Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   EXA (3/5/4/2)-(3/5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-5 $49.28 $25.28 105%
CD-5   EXA (7/1/3/6)-(7/1/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-6 $30.74 $6.74 28%
CD-6   WIN (1/4/9/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $13.18 $3.18 32%
    EXA (1/4/9/6/8)-(1/4/9/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-1 $68.72 $28.72 72%
    DD (7/1/3/6)-(1/4/9/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-4 $30.90 $10.90 55%
    PK3 (9/4/8/3)-(7/1/3/6)-(1/4/9/6/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00  9-7-4 $51.57 $11.57 29%
CD-7   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    DD (1/4/9/6/8)-(6/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-6 $24.20 $9.20 61%
    PK3 (7/1/3/6)-(1/4/9/6/8)-(6/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-4-6 $55.95 $25.95 87%
    PK4 (9/4/8/3)-(7/1/3/6)-(1/4/9/6/8)-(6/5/3) 240 $0.50 $120  7/9-7-4-2/6 $145.13 $25.13 21%
CD-8   PK3 (1/4/9/6/8)-(6/5/3)-(8/6/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50  4-6-8 $64.79 $42.29 188%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/09/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:121 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TEXAS RED HOT 6 4 56 59 46 11 11¼ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 4.50 4.48  
1  BIG PAPER 1 5 67½ 611½ 610 42 21¼ (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 5.00 27% 2.70 4.50 P
6  MASTER GAME 5 2 44 35 33 21 34½ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00 3.40  
4  KNICKS STORY 3 6 2½ 2½ 21½ 31½ 47 (ramirez-rodr)TORRES A 121 8.00 17% 4.90 5.36  
5  DENINGTON 4 3 33½ 46 56 65½ 512¼ (johnston lane )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00 6% 16.20 19.08  
3  CASTLE ISLAND 2 1 1½ 1½ 11½ 52 625 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 1.41  
SCR  MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS               (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00    
 
CD-2   11/09/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 2 ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134 1:394   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LARGE RISK 3 7 31 31½ 1nk 12 11¼ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 25% 3.10 0.68 W
5  PSALMIST 5 6 65¼ 63½ 54 45 21¼ (hill f)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 6.00 24% 3.10 23.58 P
7  OWIE 7 4 55 52½ 2nk 22 37 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 7.81  
6  GRAY IS OKAY 6 2 2nk 11 3½ 32½ 47 (hartman chris)BACON W 119 3.00 3.54  
1  CHUCK'S LAW 1 3 1nk 21 43 57½ 59 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 5.72  
2  ALL LEGAL 2 5 78¾ 76 76½ 613½ 625¾ (douaihy m)BEALMEAR C 119 20.00 5% 19.00 56.59  
4  STATE CONCEAL 4 1 43 42½ 66 715 730 (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 3.50 19% 4.20 11.57  
 
CD-3   11/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FOCUSYN 7 1 32 31   1nk 11 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 2.24  
6  BOB'S CARROT 6 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 21 (schultz lin)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 2.50 0.75  
3  HESPER 3 4 42½ 53¾   42½ 31½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 14% 6.40 7.25 S
5  FORTY LOVE 5 7 64½ 43½   52¾ 42½ (wiggins lon)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 37% 1.70 7.25  
2  PULGARCITO 2 5 1½ 1nk   31½ 57¾ (lobo h)ROMAN A 120 6.00 20% 4.10 22.86  
4  ALL ABOUT CROGE 4 2 52½ 67¼   67¾ 615 (brown pa)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00 72.07  
1  NO TAKE BACKS 1 6 77½ 79¼   79¼ 716¾ (leonard g)TORRES A 120 10.00 5% 19.00 26.27  
 
CD-4   11/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:113 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SEVENON 8 5 2nk 3½ 1½ 11 13¼ (holsapple hutch)GRAHAM J 121 2.50 50% 1.00 1.86 W
2  BULLET BABY 2 3 54¼ 55½ 42 32½ 23¼ (radcliffe robe)ELLIOTT JANE 121 6.00 10.21  
4  TRIPLE MOON 4 4 41¼ 42½ 2½ 21 35 (block chris)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 14% 6.20 3.34 S
5  JAILHOUSE RELIGION 5 7 64¾ 66½ 66 55½ 49½ (tomlins)DE CRUZ 121 5.00 6.49  
6  PICKLEBALL QUEEN 6 8 89¾ 813 810½ 68 510 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 21.29  
8  MELLY'S BIRKIN 7 2 3.2 2nk 31 45 611½ (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 121 8.00 10% 9.10 4.01  
1  LADY DIXIE 1 6 76¼ 77½ 78½ 710½ 720¼ (heitzman eri)TORRES A 121 5.00 9.46  
3  SHE'S ALL ELLIE 3 1 1nk 1nk 54 810½ 821 (von don)BACON W 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.20  
SCR  VINO ALLA MORA               (butcher james)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 15.00    
 
CD-5   11/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NIGHT KISS 7 5 62¾ 3½   11 12½ (medina tomas)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 2.00 43% 1.40 1.96 W
6  ABITIBI 6 4 31 2nk   21 22½ (esquivel gu)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.36 P
4  FRANGO ELECTRICO 4 2 52½ 42   52¾ 32¾ (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 60.33  
5  GLORIETTE 5 1 1nk 1nk   31 43¾ (shorter aaron)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 1.52  
3  TIFFANY TWIST 3 7 77¾ 76¼   64¾ 53¾ (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 17.14  
1  DE' ANS EIGHTY 1 6 42 62¼   42½ 66 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 2.50 30% 2.30 2.87  
2  BELLA CRUELLA 2 3 2nk 52¼   76¾ 711¼ (bahena ismae)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 15.00 32.28  
 
CD-6   11/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:102     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MOONLIGHT DASH 4 3 1½ 1nk   14½ 16¼ (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 18% 4.60 5.59 W
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MOON DASH by MALIBU MOON)
1  LOVE SUPREME 1 5 31 51¾   34½ 26¼ (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 26% 2.80 2.86 P
  (by TAPIT out of TERRA PROMESSA by CURLIN)
7  CRAWFORD 7 1 62½ 4¾   44¾ 39¾ (oliver victori)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 7.51  
  (by MCKINZIE out of TAPPED by TAPIT)
9  DARING MADISON 9 6 41½ 3½   24½ 49¾ (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 10% 8.90 2.07  
  (by MITOLE out of DARING GREATLY by EVEN THE SCORE)
6  TATANIA 6 8 72½ 72¼   56¾ 510¼ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 5.00 10% 9.10 7.14  
  (by TAPIT out of PAULASSILVERLINING by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  COMPLEX TRICK 2 9 52 62¼   67¼ 611¾ (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 122 20.00 70.05  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
8  CUVEE CREED 8 7 94¾ 84¼   79¼ 712¼ (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 122 12.00 5% 19.00 34.64  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LEVERAGEDTOTHEHILT by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
5  PICKLE SHOES 5 4 2½ 2nk   89¼ 821 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5.94  
  (by VEKOMA out of AKRON GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  ROILING 3 2 84½ 94¾   912¾ 922½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 124 6.00 18.89  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of PRETTY ZIPPY by CITY ZIP)
 
CD-7   11/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:102 1:221   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  POSTER 5 5 33½ 34 32½ 31 1½ (harty eoin)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 48% 1.10 2.80 W
7  JUDGE DAVIS 6 4 21½ 22 2nk 1½ 2½ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 3.79  
1  NOISES OFF 1 3 55 55 64¼ 42½ 32¼ (lobo h)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 3.77  
4  MIRANDA RIGHTS 3 1 65 65½ 54 52½ 43½ (nihei mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00 4.25  
3  SMOKEY MANDATE 2 2 11½ 12 1nk 2½ 54 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00 3.25  
5  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 4 6 44 44 43 63½ 65½ (hartman chris)BACON W 121 5.00 16% 5.20 8.40  
SCR  SURLY FURIOUS               (wismer gl)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 12.00    
 
CD-8   11/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CAMILA CATALINA 6 4 64½ 32½   21 1nk (hess b)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50 28% 2.50 1.02 W
7  VICTORY MUSIC 5 1 21 2nk   11 2nk (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 7.75  
6  VALALA 4 2 11 1nk   31½ 35½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 27% 2.70 4.44 S
2  DONNA ROMANO 2 5 43 42¾   45 47¾ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 2.17  
5  WHAT'S UP DOG 3 3 53½ 53¼   55½ 58 (contre)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 117 5.00 20.40  
1  MARIETTE 1 6 33 63¾   67 619¾ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00 15.67  
SCR  STARLIT NITE               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
SCR  SUGAREE (IRE)               (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
 
CD-9   11/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:223 :46 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TOM CAT TUESDAY 7 3 21 2nk   1nk 1½ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 4.43  
2  INCURSION 2 6 64 62¼   41 2½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 43% 1.30 1.43 P
1  MASTER MULE 1 7 74 74¼   72¾ 31¾ (matthews randy)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 29% 2.50 5.39 S
7  SHADOW COAST 6 1 11 1nk   2nk 42¾ (crichton g)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.88  
5  MY OWN 4 5 42 51¾   51¼ 53 (foster eric)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 5.68  
6  MI DINERO 5 2 52½ 31½   61¼ 63½ (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 15.00 5% 19.00 40.01  
4  CHADO 3 4 31½ 41¾   3½ 74 (lovell mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.47  
SCR  SUITED AND BOOTED               (tomlinson mich)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
 
CD-10   11/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:232 :491 1:151 1:392   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ZEPPELIN 6 12 118¼ 94¼ 83¾ 52¼ 1½ (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 25.07  
  (by MUNNINGS out of HEMMERLE by TAPIT)
1  LEMON'S LAW 1 5 41½ 42 51¾ 42 2½ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 3.50 23% 3.30 3.33 P
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LEMON BELLE by LEMON DROP KID)
5  THAILAND 5 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 3½ 3¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 38% 1.60 1.47 S
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUEEN BEE TO YOU by OLD TOPPER)
8  DROP SHOT (ARG) 8 7 73¼ 74 41½ 1½ 4¾ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 15% 5.70 4.72  
  (by EQUALIZE out of DOLLAR LADY (ARG) by FARNESIO (ARG))
9  STILL SOBER 9 8 107¼ 116¾ 104¼ 73¾ 52 (caramori )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 20.00 75.39  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of CAIPIRINHA by TEMPLE CITY)
7  RULER OF THE SKIES 7 10 62¼ 62½ 73¼ 63¾ 62½ (sweezey kent)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00 82.27  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SUNNY SKIES by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
10  BEALE STREET BOY 10 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 73¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 11.64  
  (by STREET SENSE out of FLATTERING BEA by FLATTER)
2  HELPFUL HOWIE 2 4 52 52 62¼ 95 85 (shirer matt )GEROUX FLORENT 119 20.00 13.48  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of WORLDLY HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  APOLLO'S GLORY 4 3 84¾ 84¼ 115¼ 127½ 97 (stephen anth)CALLEJA ANDRES 119 20.00 5% 19.00 69.56  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TROPICAL WAVE by LEMON DROP KID)
3  DUFOOF 3 9 1210¾ 127¼ 125¾ 117 107¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 8.31  
  (by STREET SENSE out of ANGHAAM by CURLIN)
13  HOSS N BOSS 12 6 3½ 31 3½ 84¾ 117¼ (hartman chris)BACON W 119 15.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WICKED LICK by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
12  HAYES GOAL 11 11 95¼ 104¾ 93¾ 106 128¼ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 67.02  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of AMERICA'S TALE by GIO PONTI)
SCR  APACHE ONE SIX               (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of GAME FAIR by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  FORTUNY               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PATOU by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  LIGHTER               (brisset rodol)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GALINA POINT by SAFFIR)
SCR  NO JOKE JOE               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of WAR POPPY by STORM BLAST)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.