Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-9   EXA (1/4/7/8)-(1/4/7/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-8 $74.80 $42.80 134%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :464 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTEN GLOVES 2 1 32 1½   14 1 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 23% 3.30 1.39 W
WANNA GO HOME 3 6 4 4   24 2 (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 2.50 47% 1.10 1.93 P
LA PRESUMIDA 4 3 55 66   5 3 (seglin e)MEZA JJ 119 15.00 25.42  
BECTIVE ABBEY 5 5 6 5   4 4 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 119 3.00 3.25  
NONSTOP VINO 1 4 2nk 2½   35 5 (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 10.00 5% 19.00 8.86  
LOVELY SUMMER 6 2 1nk 3   612½ 633¾ (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 12.00 11.38  
SCR  OAKS STREET               (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 8% 12.10    
 
CD-2   11/02/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 2 ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:14 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEAL BAY 7 6 54 53 3 1nk 1 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.20 30% 2.40 0.63 W
CONSEQUENTIAL 1 2 2½ 3 2½ 2nk 2 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 3.00 23% 3.30 2.96 P
HERBS BOLT 4 3 1½ 11 1½ 32 3 (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 6.17  
HOT ICE 3 5 7 65 63 46 411¼ (arnold george )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 17% 5.00 15.42  
ONE TOUGH ROAD 6 1 42 42 52 58 519½ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.09  
FEDERAL AGENT 2 4 32 21 42 611½ 637 (barnett bob)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 10.00 20.98  
GOSH SAKES 5 7 6 7 713 721½ 744¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 18.84  
 
CD-3   11/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH BEND TOM 6 1 1nk 1   13 12 (stall albe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 4.15  
YOU BELONG HERE 3 4 5 4   44 22 (garcia ge)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 23% 3.30 6.18 P
BRAVE BLEND 4 2 2nk 2   23 33 (sweezey ken)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 1.23  
IL CAVALLINO 1 3 32 33   34 4 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 12% 7.40 10.13  
ATTERSEE 5 6 6 6   5 5 (block chris)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 34% 2.00 3.82  
LINEBACKER 2 5 43 5   6 612¾ (blair jordan)TORRES A 120 2.50 6.39  
 
CD-4   11/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:111 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE CHALK 6 6 76 7 65 11 1 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 4.00 23% 3.40 2.25 W
AERATE 5 4 6 44 54 3 2 (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 120 6.00 3.93  
WHERE Y'AT 7 2 42 5 43 21 3 (tomlinson m)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50 40% 1.50 4.27 S
10  FREE ADVICE 8 7 3 3 3 64 412 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 7.47  
MIDNIGHT VENGEANCE 2 5 21 23 22 42 512 (londono genevieve)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 3.44  
AUBREY'S MAX 4 8 817 813½ 79 7 613 (kerric)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 120 20.00 5% 19.00 34.47  
PAPA ALDEN 1 1 11 13 12 5 718¾ (kerrick l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 15.00 5% 19.00 28.55  
WARTANK 3 3 5 65 811 810 825½ (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 8.00 8.29  
SCR  ANDO               (gutierrez f)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 8.00    
SCR  JUST CALL RIP               (reed r)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
SCR  THE REINBOW FACTOR               (thompson micha)ASHTON GAVIN 120 12.00    
 
CD-5   11/02/2025 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:12 1:36   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEIGHTED AVERAGE 8 6 4 43 32 1 19 (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.40 62% 0.60 0.26 W
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CHARREADA by KITTEN'S JOY)
MCKINZIE'S GLORY 4 8 9 9 9 39 29 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 10.91 P
  (by MCKINZIE out of GLORY by KNIGHT)
EMMY BLUE 6 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 2 311¾ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00 12% 7.60 7.64 S
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BLUE HEART by EXCHANGE RATE)
11  POVERTY WITH AVIEW 10 4 8 8 75 4 414 (lejzerowicz jo)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 20.00 64.58  
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of INTEREST by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
YOU'RE SO VAIN 1 10 1010¾ 10 10 612½ 517½ (cruz jesus)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00 9.37  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LOOK AT ME by FAIR AMERICAN)
EL ZAIN 7 7 64 6 54 5 617½ (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 30.00 32.14  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CENTRE COURT by SMART STRIKE)
SMOKIN HOT BLONDE 9 3 53 5 64 816½ 725 (kelley a)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00 54.06  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BIRDLOVER by BYRON)
RODINA 5 9 7 7 8 920½ 830¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 39.05  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EMMA SPENCER by ZAMINDAR)
POLLINATOR 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 714½ 931½ (blair jordan)TORRES A 121 15.00 61.95  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STOUPINATOR by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SOMERVILLE 2 5 3 33 4 1021½ 1033½ (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 12.00 52.83  
  (by STREET SENSE out of PATRONA MARGARITA by SPECIAL RATE)
SCR  THE PALACE GIRL (GER)               (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.00    
  (by AREION out of TRES MAGNIFIQUE by HE'S HAD ENOUGH)
 
CD-6   11/02/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:112     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARM TEAM 3 8 7 6   32 1¼ (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 9% 9.60 3.19 W
PURSE THIEF 5 6 8 3½   12 2¼ (foster eric)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 4.00 13% 6.80 3.29 P
TIS CHARMING 2 5 4 7   54 3 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 5.00 13.97  
CLEAR ECHO 7 2 1½ 1nk   22 4 (shorter a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 49.63  
MIDNIGHT BOSS 9 1 2½ 2nk   43 55 (cunningham j)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 15.42  
ATLANTIC DANCER 1 9 9 9   8 6 (cook b)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 46% 1.20 5.62  
CANNON 4 4 3 42   66 7 (roberson denni)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 17.69  
WIND RIDER 8 7 5 5   77 89 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 8% 11.70 2.08  
TOTAL HEART 6 3 6 8   910¼ 912¼ (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 115 8.00 14.43  
 
CD-7   11/02/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:222 :462 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHKENAZI 4 3 2½ 2nk   1 1 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 32% 2.10 0.95 W
DOS AMORES 3 2 32 33   3 2 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 20.00 42.46  
LITTLE SAM'S 2 1 1½ 1nk   2 3 (acevedo isra)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 15.00 5% 19.00 9.71 S
GLANCING MY WAY 7 4 44 44   4 4 (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 7.24  
CHIQUITA'S WAY 5 5 6 6   5 5 (laureano gle)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 30.00 85.83  
CALL ME ANGEL 1 6 55 5   610 6 (fawkes dav)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 7% 13.00 7.34  
AGUA FRESCA 6 7 7 7   711 710½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.50 38% 1.60 2.02  
SCR  AYE BAY BAY               (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
SCR  OHOOPEE               (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.50    
 
CD-8   11/02/2025 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:124 1:37   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTADOR 3 2 5 4 4 12 12 (stidham mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 40% 1.50 1.82 W
11  MAXIMUM PROMISE 11 10 11 11 12 5 22 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 15.00 7.07  
FORT THOMAS 8 12 1210¼ 12 10 22 32 (arnold georg)TORRES A 121 20.00 64.45  
10  GLOBAL ASSET 10 9 10 10 11 8 4 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 28% 2.50 4.38  
MAUI STRONG 5 3 8 62 63 33 5 (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 4.11  
AMBITION 6 1 9 8 8 7 6 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 20.00 29.35  
WAKAN 2 8 7 73 7 43 7 (torres marceli)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 20.00 5% 19.00 97.85  
12  JOHNY'S RENDEZVOUS 12 11 3½ 31 3 96 8 (bauer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 10.98  
ENTERDADRAGON 4 7 2nk 2½ 2½ 11 911 (damato philip)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 25.19  
BLAST FURNACE 7 4 4 52 52 10 1011¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 6% 16.20 6.76  
SHOW OF FORCE 1 6 1nk 1½ 1½ 6 1113¼ (garcia gena)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00 53.66  
FREDO 9 5 6 9 9 1210½ 1214½ (sano anto)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 5% 19.00 37.37  
SCR  CARCANO               (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
SCR  MIDNITE IN FINLEY               (ewing mic)LEPAROUX R 120 15.00    
SCR  ROCKY JOY               (lobo h)ORTIZ L 121 8.00    
SCR  THE HIDDEN CHAMBER               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
 
CD-9   11/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRTEEN G'S 7 3 6 32   32 1¾ (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.02 W
FLICK (GB) 8 10 109 77   5 2¾ (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 30.09 P
10  GAME AND SMART 10 1 3.2 2nk   2nk 32 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 7.69  
WHITE WHALE 4 7 1nk 1nk   1nk 42 (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 11% 7.70 2.22  
NASH POTATOES 2 4 9 8   65 5 (newton troy)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 12.00 32.55  
GLOBALIST 1 5 5 5   44 6 (sweezey ken)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 62% 0.60 4.89  
BOSSOFMI 3 2 7 9   910 711 (morse l)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 58.27  
STUDENY 5 6 8 1011½   1011 813½ (vance d)CEDILLO ABEL 122 6.00 9.84  
GALANTINI 6 9 4 6   7 914 (foster eric)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 10.25  
IFYOUNEEDMECALLME 9 8 2nk 43   89 1019¼ (cook jason )GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 20.00 35.07  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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