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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-1			WIN	(5/3/1)						3	$2.00	$6.00	3		$53.70			$47.70				795%
			EXA	(5/3/1)-(5/3/1)						6	$2.00	$12.00	3-5		$102.24			$90.24				752%
CD-3			EXA	(5/9/7/10/8)-(5/9/7/10/8)						20	$2.00	$40.00	10-8		$126.88			$86.88				217%
			TRI	(5/9/7/10/8)-(5/9/7/10/8)-(5/9/7/10/8)						60	$0.50	$30.00	10-8-9		$75.33			$45.33				151%
CD-4			EXA	(10/4/9/3/2)-(10/4/9/3/2)						20	$2.00	$40.00	4-2		$94.06			$54.06				135%
			TRI	(10/4/9/3/2)-(10/4/9/3/2)-(10/4/9/3/2)						60	$0.50	$30.00	4-2-3		$91.08			$61.08				204%
CD-7			WIN	(6/2/4/1)						4	$2.00	$8.00	1		$14.04			$6.04				76%
CD-9			WIN	(10/2/5/8/7)						5	$2.00	$10.00	5		$12.22			$2.22				22%
			PK3	(6/2/4/1)-(1/6/8/10)-(10/2/5/8/7)						80	$0.50	$40.00	1-1-5		$59.27			$19.27				48%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			11/16/2025		4950ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($100K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	ASHES AND DIAMONDS									(baker james)LANERIE J 122						6.00		5%		19.00		25.85	W
5	PLAZA CUE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122						1.40		62%		0.60		0.95	P
6	NANA GRACE									(amoss m)ORTIZ L 122						3.00						3.72
2	EXECUTIVE SUITE									(cox h)ORTIZ JR 122						3.50						2.32
1	BIT OF FROST									(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 122						8.00		5%		19.00		17.67
4	DANCING GIRL									(stall m)MACHADO LUAN 122						10.00						9.33

CD-2			11/16/2025		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($92K)			2		F		PT- 1:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	STICKER SHOCKED									(mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119						10.00						10.32
		(by AUDIBLE out of PRICE TOO HIGH by SCAT DADDY)
7	KILLA SALLY									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						5.00						2.27
		(by VOLATILE out of SALLYPORT by FLOWER ALLEY)
4	MENKAURE									(walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						2.50		49%		1.00		1.93	S
		(by CITY OF LIGHT out of LADY PHAROAH by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
5	TACTICAL COMMAND									(troiani n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						12.00		5%		19.00		8.38
		(by TACTICAL ADVANTAGE out of HALO BELLE by SAINT BALLADO)
2	LIGHT MY FLAME									(camejo m)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						8.00		25%		3.00		7.87
		(by FLAMEAWAY out of EQUITES by MALIBU MOON)
3	SISTER WIFE									(van thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119						4.50						2.87
		(by CODE OF HONOR out of SPEEDY BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
SCR	NOROOMFORMISCHIEF									(ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						1.80
		(by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of NO VACANCY by QUALITY ROAD)

CD-3			11/16/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($57K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
10	WELL AWARE									(hartman chris)BACON W 118						3.50		6%		15.50		3.08	W
8	TIZ SALTY									(thompson )TORRES A 121						15.00		5%		19.00		27.26	P
9	MARELOW									(servis c)ORTIZ JR 118						2.50		20%		4.00		1.35	S
3	WILD ACCLAIM									(mckeever andre)ORTIZ L 121						6.00						4.85
4	CHEYENNE MOON									(wiggins lon)TORRES A 121						20.00						49.30
6	ANIMAL FRIES									(newton troy)MACHADO LUAN 121						5.00						7.14
2	FIFTH WHEEL									(l)DE CRUZ 118						20.00						62.03
1	PRINCESS BUTTERCUP									(shaffer sarah )MILLER CHASE 121						20.00						19.02
7	SKYLAROSE									(cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 121						6.00		18%		4.70		6.84
SCR	MUSTANG LADY									(newton troy)CONCEPCION AXEL 121						4.00		30%		2.30

CD-4			11/16/2025		5610ft	TURF	RC7	FIRM	Claiming ($80K)					Purse ($83K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	GOOD LONG CRY									(weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118						2.50		23%		3.30		3.85	W
2	CLASSY'N CONNECTED									(drury tho)TORRES A 121						15.00		5%		19.00		21.41	P
3	BREAD TO RUN									(brisset rod)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						8.00		9%		10.70		6.62	S
7	SHEILA'S LION									(desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118						15.00						21.04
9	SURPRENANT COCCA									(maker michael )ORTIZ L 121						3.00		13%		7.00		1.26
5	CE LA VI CHARLI									(garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118						10.00						11.28
6	SWEET HEAT									(mcguire l)DOYLE SOPHIE 118						30.00						67.66
10	CHA CHA CHUKKA									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121						4.50		34%		2.00		6.16
1	DOZEN DIAMONDS									(hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 121						6.00						8.28
SCR	MISS AUTHENTIC									(kenneally e)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118						10.00

CD-5			11/16/2025		4950ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($100K)					Purse ($72K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	DR. SAIKALI									(moger jr)ORTIZ L 122						5.00		17%		5.00		3.80	W
7	ARTHUR JR									(leitch daniel)SAEZ GABRIEL 122						6.00						9.62
5	BARKER									(davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122						4.50						3.80
10	WOODSON									(eurton peter)DOYLE SOPHIE 122						6.00						5.92
6	DOC BOVIE									(harty eoin)TORRES A 122						3.50		30%		2.30		7.52
8	BUDDY MAC									(drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 122						10.00						9.98
4	GLOBALIST									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122						10.00		12%		7.30		9.80
9	BACKSIDE									(cox h)ORTIZ JR 122						4.00		20%		4.10		3.90
2	BON TEMPS									(contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122						20.00		5%		19.00		18.00
SCR	EXHILARATION									(johnston )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						30.00

CD-6			11/16/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($78K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	CAROLO RAPIDO									(kenneally edd)ORTIZ JR 121						3.50						2.87
9	C F V BULLET									(esquivel )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						20.00		5%		19.00		20.91	P
4	BESTFRIEND ROCKET									(mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118						3.00						5.15
7	QUALITY CHIC									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121						4.50		36%		1.80		11.20
6	YELLOW BRICK									(maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 121						6.00		21%		3.80		6.30
2	ELUSIVE TARGET									(sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121						12.00						15.49
1	GASOLINE									(david a)SAEZ LUIS 121						4.00		17%		5.00		4.62
3	SLIP MAHONEY									(garcia gena)CONCEPCION AXEL 121						15.00		5%		19.00		2.64
5	GO EMI									(gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 121						20.00						66.11
SCR	HERN									(contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121						10.00

CD-7			11/16/2025		5940ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	ENERGIZE									(stidham michael)SAEZ LUIS 118						15.00		5%		19.00		6.02	W
8	PAGODE									(lobo h)ORTIZ JR 118						5.00						3.86
2	CHILLAX									(mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120						1.80		10%		9.30		1.59	S
6	HOP SING									(d'angelo jose )MACHADO LUAN 121						1.40		54%		0.90		2.84
4	FOUNTAIN LAKE									(ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 118						6.00		9%		10.10		11.49
3	WRITE OFF JERRY									(maker michael )ORTIZ L 121						12.00						13.26
5	WHAT'S UP DOC									(hiles rick)TORRES A 121						15.00						16.91
7	HURRICANES ABLOWIN									(winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121						30.00						74.62

CD-8			11/16/2025		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SLAY THE DAY									(lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.00		36%		1.80		0.99	W
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of MIND OUT by TAPIT)
8	WINNING MATTERS									(stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 119						8.00		8%		10.80		4.76	P
		(by GAME WINNER out of MOON OVER MATTER by MALIBU MOON)
6	FASHION DESIGNER									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						2.50		28%		2.60		3.43	S
		(by ISLAND WHIRL out of BEACH WALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3	EPIC PRANKSTER									(wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119						15.00						8.03
		(by MUNNINGS out of A MERRY PRANKSTER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10	RUN ON STATES									(medina ro)TORRES A 119						12.00		7%		14.00		12.34
		(by YAUPON out of MONORAIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
2	MAJESTIC MOON									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119						15.00						29.98
		(by U S RANGER out of DYNAMOUS by DYNAFORMER)
13	SMOKED PEACH									(donjuan se)HERNANDEZ N 119						15.00						56.26
		(by MODERNIST out of TIZ MAY WEST by TIZ WONDERFUL)
4	PRINCESS JULIE									(foster eric)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						15.00						36.91
		(by FORLI WINDS out of PRINCESS NIDRA by RECITATION)
5	DIAMONDINTHEROUGH									(hartman chris)BACON W 119						8.00		★				18.59
		(by TRICK QUESTION out of ZAROLIA by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
SCR	APPEALING MISCHIEF									(morse l)ELLIOTT JANE 119						20.00
		(by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SENSATIONAL APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR	AUNT SHERYL									(romans dale)LANERIE J 119						10.00
		(by AUTHENTIC out of TAYLOR S by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR	BABY HELLO									(williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						12.00
		(by MO TOWN out of HELLO CENTRAL by DIALED IN)
SCR	LOCKDOWNYOURTOWN									(sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119						12.00
		(by MO TOWN out of MISS LADY LOCKER by FLAT OUT)
SCR	MIGHTY HANKERIN									(casse w)ORTIZ L 119						8.00
		(by MCKINZIE out of DRUNK DIAL by DIALED IN)
SCR	YASMIN									(morse randy )TORRES A 119						12.00
		(by YAUPON out of SUPERHELPFUL by VIOLENCE)

CD-9			11/16/2025		3630ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	DALA									(harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 120						6.00		5%		19.00		5.11	W
9	MOM'S PALACE									(contre)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 117						6.00						6.94
10	NIKI NINE DOORS									(davis christo)ORTIZ JR 120						4.50		36%		1.80		3.25	S
2	TALES OF THE HEART (IRE)									(maker michael )ORTIZ L 120						3.00		33%		2.00		1.68
3	MUSICAL NOTE									(troiani niccol)SAEZ GABRIEL 120						30.00						65.26
4	HIDEKI									(walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120						20.00						45.58
11	CLASSIC PERFORMER									(forster gran)TORRES A 120						30.00						95.74
1	DON'T SAY IT									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120						6.00						4.75
8	CONTINUITY									(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118						8.00		5%		19.00		10.98
12	CABERNEIGH									(barker w)MCKEE J 120						30.00						86.81
SCR	BIG TROUBLE									(foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 120						10.00
SCR	MOON SPUN									(lynch bri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						2.50
SCR	RILEYS REDEMPTION									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120						8.00		5%		19.00

CD-10			11/16/2025		5610ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($83K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
12	LAUGHNOWCRYLATER									(mccarthy mich)ORTIZ JR 121						2.50						1.31
7	THRILLA									(romans dale)LANERIE J 118						6.00		★				5.71	P
13	EXCEL CALCULATOR									(jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 121						4.00						8.98
10	DID IT DIALED									(lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 118						12.00						6.82
14	PAPA YO									(hartman chris)BACON W 121						6.00		35%		1.90		3.59
6	BAYTOWN BRUISER									(king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 121						10.00						19.93
8	BOURBON SOCIETY									(contre)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 116						3.50		18%		4.60		19.64
4	ANGLICAN									(lovell michell)SHEEHY DANNY 121						15.00						60.51
5	UTOPIAN									(camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 121						20.00		10%		8.60		41.88
9	BEYOND BEST									(wiggins lon)TORRES A 121						20.00						77.18
3	MORAL									(o'dwyer jeremi)MACHADO LUAN 118						12.00		5%		19.00		26.22
SCR	ANTHONIAN									(morse l)ORTIZ L 121						10.00
SCR	FOUNTAIN RUN									(meah m)SHEEHY DANNY 118						8.00
SCR	TYLER'S TURN									(mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118						12.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.