Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - November 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $53.70 $47.70 795%
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-5 $102.24 $90.24 752%
CD-3   EXA (5/9/7/10/8)-(5/9/7/10/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  10-8 $126.88 $86.88 217%
    TRI (5/9/7/10/8)-(5/9/7/10/8)-(5/9/7/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-8-9 $75.33 $45.33 151%
CD-4   EXA (10/4/9/3/2)-(10/4/9/3/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-2 $94.06 $54.06 135%
    TRI (10/4/9/3/2)-(10/4/9/3/2)-(10/4/9/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-2-3 $91.08 $61.08 204%
CD-7   WIN (6/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $14.04 $6.04 76%
CD-9   WIN (10/2/5/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $12.22 $2.22 22%
    PK3 (6/2/4/1)-(1/6/8/10)-(10/2/5/8/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00  1-1-5 $59.27 $19.27 48%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/16/2025 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:112 1:241   1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ASHES AND DIAMONDS 3 5 62¼ 53¾   21½ 1¾ (baker james)LANERIE J 122 6.00 5% 19.00 25.85 W
5  PLAZA CUE 5 3 2½ 2nk   11½ 2¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40 62% 0.60 0.95 P
6  NANA GRACE 6 4 41 63¾   32½ 32¾ (amoss m)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 3.72  
2  EXECUTIVE SUITE 2 6 51¼ 32   43½ 45½ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 2.32  
1  BIT OF FROST 1 1 31 42¼   56½ 513 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 17.67  
4  DANCING GIRL 4 2 1½ 1nk   610 624 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 9.33  
 
CD-2   11/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:112 1:243   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STICKER SHOCKED 1 6 65 47 24 22½ 1½ (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 10.00 10.32  
  (by AUDIBLE out of PRICE TOO HIGH by SCAT DADDY)
7  KILLA SALLY 6 4 32 57 55½ 34 2½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 2.27  
  (by VOLATILE out of SALLYPORT by FLOWER ALLEY)
4  MENKAURE 4 5 11 14 14 12½ 32½ (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50 49% 1.00 1.93 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LADY PHAROAH by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
5  TACTICAL COMMAND 5 3 54 69 66½ 45 46½ (troiani n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.38  
  (by TACTICAL ADVANTAGE out of HALO BELLE by SAINT BALLADO)
2  LIGHT MY FLAME 2 1 42½ 34½ 45 56½ 59¾ (camejo m)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 25% 3.00 7.87  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of EQUITES by MALIBU MOON)
3  SISTER WIFE 3 2 21 24 34½ 610 625½ (van thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 2.87  
  (by CODE OF HONOR out of SPEEDY BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  NOROOMFORMISCHIEF               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 1.80    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of NO VACANCY by QUALITY ROAD)
 
CD-3   11/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:13 1:391   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WELL AWARE 9 4 31½ 31½ 1nk 12½ 13 (hartman chris)BACON W 118 3.50 6% 15.50 3.08 W
8  TIZ SALTY 7 8 89½ 810½ 75½ 34½ 23 (thompson )TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 27.26 P
9  MARELOW 8 9 65 64½ 31½ 22½ 33½ (servis c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 20% 4.00 1.35 S
3  WILD ACCLAIM 3 3 54½ 54 63½ 69 411 (mckeever andre)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 4.85  
4  CHEYENNE MOON 4 2 75½ 76½ 42½ 46½ 512¾ (wiggins lon)TORRES A 121 20.00 49.30  
6  ANIMAL FRIES 5 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 57 614¾ (newton troy)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 7.14  
2  FIFTH WHEEL 2 5 912½ 915 911 916½ 720½ (l)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 62.03  
1  PRINCESS BUTTERCUP 1 7 44 44 86 816 825¾ (shaffer sarah )MILLER CHASE 121 20.00 19.02  
7  SKYLAROSE 6 6 2½ 2½ 53 715 926½ (cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 18% 4.70 6.84  
SCR  MUSTANG LADY               (newton troy)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
CD-4   11/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($80K) Purse ($83K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:123 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GOOD LONG CRY 4 1 43 42 31 12½ 13½ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 23% 3.30 3.85 W
2  CLASSY'N CONNECTED 2 5 86 76 85¾ 54½ 23½ (drury tho)TORRES A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 21.41 P
3  BREAD TO RUN 3 3 64 64 53 33 34¼ (brisset rod)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 9% 10.70 6.62 S
7  SHEILA'S LION 7 4 54 54 64 64½ 44¾ (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 15.00 21.04  
9  SURPRENANT COCCA 8 6 32 31½ 41½ 43½ 55½ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 121 3.00 13% 7.00 1.26  
5  CE LA VI CHARLI 5 9 96½ 98¾ 96¾ 86¼ 66 (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 10.00 11.28  
6  SWEET HEAT 6 7 75½ 86¼ 74¼ 76 77¼ (mcguire l)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 30.00 67.66  
10  CHA CHA CHUKKA 9 8 21 2½ 21 97¾ 89¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 34% 2.00 6.16  
1  DOZEN DIAMONDS 1 2 11 1½ 11 22½ 910¼ (hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 8.28  
SCR  MISS AUTHENTIC               (kenneally e)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
 
CD-5   11/16/2025 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:094 1:23   1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DR. SAIKALI 2 4 11½ 11   1½ 12¼ (moger jr)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 17% 5.00 3.80 W
7  ARTHUR JR 6 2 75 44½   44 22¼ (leitch daniel)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 6.00 9.62  
5  BARKER 4 1 21½ 21   2½ 33½ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 3.80  
10  WOODSON 9 3 43 32½   31 44 (eurton peter)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 6.00 5.92  
6  DOC BOVIE 5 6 86 87½   55 54¾ (harty eoin)TORRES A 122 3.50 30% 2.30 7.52  
8  BUDDY MAC 7 9 98 910½   77½ 66 (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 122 10.00 9.98  
4  GLOBALIST 3 7 54 66   66 77 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 10.00 12% 7.30 9.80  
9  BACKSIDE 8 8 64½ 76½   811 812¼ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 20% 4.10 3.90  
2  BON TEMPS 1 5 32½ 54½   913½ 923¼ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
SCR  EXHILARATION               (johnston )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
 
CD-6   11/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:114 1:364   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CAROLO RAPIDO 8 6 55 55½ 41 22 12 (kenneally edd)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 2.87  
9  C F V BULLET 9 1 32½ 33 2nk 12 22 (esquivel )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 20.91 P
4  BESTFRIEND ROCKET 4 7 76 66½ 53 44½ 34 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.00 5.15  
7  QUALITY CHIC 7 4 2½ 2½ 1nk 34 45¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 121 4.50 36% 1.80 11.20  
6  YELLOW BRICK 6 9 99¾ 810½ 63½ 56½ 57½ (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 121 6.00 21% 3.80 6.30  
2  ELUSIVE TARGET 2 3 65½ 77½ 87½ 610½ 615 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 12.00 15.49  
1  GASOLINE 1 5 1½ 1½ 3½ 712 720¾ (david a)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 17% 5.00 4.62  
3  SLIP MAHONEY 3 2 42½ 43 74 813 825½ (garcia gena)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00 2.64  
5  GO EMI 5 8 89½ 912½ 917½ 926 952 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00 66.11  
SCR  HERN               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 10.00    
 
CD-7   11/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:121 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENERGIZE 1 2 31 31½ 41½ 1nk 1¾ (stidham michael)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 6.02 W
8  PAGODE 8 7 52½ 52½ 31 2nk 2¾ (lobo h)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 3.86  
2  CHILLAX 2 5 63 64½ 55½ 53¼ 36¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 1.80 10% 9.30 1.59 S
6  HOP SING 6 1 11 1½ 1nk 32½ 47¾ (d'angelo jose )MACHADO LUAN 121 1.40 54% 0.90 2.84  
4  FOUNTAIN LAKE 4 4 41½ 2½ 2nk 42¾ 59 (ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 9% 10.10 11.49  
3  WRITE OFF JERRY 3 8 85½ 75½ 76½ 68¼ 617¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 121 12.00 13.26  
5  WHAT'S UP DOC 5 6 74½ 85½ 89½ 79¾ 720¼ (hiles rick)TORRES A 121 15.00 16.91  
7  HURRICANES ABLOWIN 7 3 21 42 66 813¾ 833 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 30.00 74.62  
 
CD-8   11/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:222 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLAY THE DAY 1 4 12 11½   13 1¾ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 36% 1.80 0.99 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MIND OUT by TAPIT)
8  WINNING MATTERS 7 3 22 32   33½ 2¾ (stewart dalla)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 8% 10.80 4.76 P
  (by GAME WINNER out of MOON OVER MATTER by MALIBU MOON)
6  FASHION DESIGNER 6 2 43 21½   23 36 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 28% 2.60 3.43 S
  (by ISLAND WHIRL out of BEACH WALK by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  EPIC PRANKSTER 3 8 77½ 77   58½ 48¼ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 119 15.00 8.03  
  (by MUNNINGS out of A MERRY PRANKSTER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  RUN ON STATES 8 1 54 43½   47½ 59½ (medina ro)TORRES A 119 12.00 7% 14.00 12.34  
  (by YAUPON out of MONORAIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  MAJESTIC MOON 2 9 88 89   813 615 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00 29.98  
  (by U S RANGER out of DYNAMOUS by DYNAFORMER)
13  SMOKED PEACH 9 7 98½ 99½   913 715½ (donjuan se)HERNANDEZ N 119 15.00 56.26  
  (by MODERNIST out of TIZ MAY WEST by TIZ WONDERFUL)
4  PRINCESS JULIE 4 6 67 67   711½ 815½ (foster eric)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 36.91  
  (by FORLI WINDS out of PRINCESS NIDRA by RECITATION)
5  DIAMONDINTHEROUGH 5 5 32 54½   610½ 917 (hartman chris)BACON W 119 8.00 ★ 18.59  
  (by TRICK QUESTION out of ZAROLIA by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
SCR  APPEALING MISCHIEF               (morse l)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SENSATIONAL APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  AUNT SHERYL               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of TAYLOR S by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  BABY HELLO               (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of HELLO CENTRAL by DIALED IN)
SCR  LOCKDOWNYOURTOWN               (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS LADY LOCKER by FLAT OUT)
SCR  MIGHTY HANKERIN               (casse w)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of DRUNK DIAL by DIALED IN)
SCR  YASMIN               (morse randy )TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by YAUPON out of SUPERHELPFUL by VIOLENCE)
 
CD-9   11/16/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :452 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DALA 5 9 96¾ 86¾   43 1¼ (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 5% 19.00 5.11 W
9  MOM'S PALACE 7 1 11½ 12   12 2¼ (contre)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 117 6.00 6.94  
10  NIKI NINE DOORS 8 8 43 42½   32 32 (davis christo)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 36% 1.80 3.25 S
2  TALES OF THE HEART (IRE) 2 6 33 22   22 43 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 120 3.00 33% 2.00 1.68  
3  MUSICAL NOTE 3 4 108¼ 108¾   107¾ 53 (troiani niccol)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 30.00 65.26  
4  HIDEKI 4 5 86½ 96¾   53½ 63¼ (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00 45.58  
11  CLASSIC PERFORMER 9 10 65 54½   64 74¼ (forster gran)TORRES A 120 30.00 95.74  
1  DON'T SAY IT 1 7 75½ 76¼   85¼ 85½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 4.75  
8  CONTINUITY 6 2 54 64¾   96¾ 98¼ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.98  
12  CABERNEIGH 10 3 21½ 32   74¼ 1010 (barker w)MCKEE J 120 30.00 86.81  
SCR  BIG TROUBLE               (foley greg)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
SCR  MOON SPUN               (lynch bri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.50    
SCR  RILEYS REDEMPTION               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-10   11/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:13 1:372   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  LAUGHNOWCRYLATER 9 3 32 32 3½ 2nk 1nk (mccarthy mich)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 1.31  
7  THRILLA 5 5 2½ 21 2nk 1nk 2nk (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 6.00 ★ 5.71 P
13  EXCEL CALCULATOR 10 10 119¾ 118¼ 84¼ 53¾ 33¼ (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.00 8.98  
10  DID IT DIALED 8 7 95¾ 85¼ 94½ 63¾ 43½ (lynch brian )MONCADA IRVING 118 12.00 6.82  
14  PAPA YO 11 8 85¼ 75 42 33 54½ (hartman chris)BACON W 121 6.00 35% 1.90 3.59  
6  BAYTOWN BRUISER 4 4 1½ 11 1nk 43¼ 68¾ (king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00 19.93  
8  BOURBON SOCIETY 6 6 54 53½ 73¼ 78¼ 712 (contre)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 116 3.50 18% 4.60 19.64  
4  ANGLICAN 2 1 42½ 43 63¼ 99 817 (lovell michell)SHEEHY DANNY 121 15.00 60.51  
5  UTOPIAN 3 9 75 63½ 52¼ 88¾ 918¼ (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 20.00 10% 8.60 41.88  
9  BEYOND BEST 7 11 107¾ 95¾ 104½ 1013 1033 (wiggins lon)TORRES A 121 20.00 77.18  
3  MORAL 1 2 64 107¼ 1122½ 1137 1189 (o'dwyer jeremi)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 26.22  
SCR  ANTHONIAN               (morse l)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
SCR  FOUNTAIN RUN               (meah m)SHEEHY DANNY 118 8.00    
SCR  TYLER'S TURN               (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.