Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - November 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-1 $15.58 $3.58 30%
CD-4   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $32.44 $26.44 441%
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-4 $127.10 $115.10 959%
    DD (7/3/2/5)-(6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $32.10 $20.10 168%
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(7/3/2/5)-(6/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-3-2 $95.95 $77.95 433%
CD-5   DD (6/4/2)-(5/10/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-5 $32.47 $20.47 171%
    PK3 (7/3/2/5)-(6/4/2)-(5/10/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-2-5 $69.60 $45.60 190%
    PK4 (1/5/2)-(7/3/2/5)-(6/4/2)-(5/10/9/4) 144 $0.50 $72.00  5-3/8-2-1/5/7 $305.77 $233.77 325%
CD-6   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-1 $12.50 $0.50 4%
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  8-1-4 $15.39 $12.39 413%
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(5/10/9/4)-(8/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-5-8 $51.47 $33.47 186%
CD-8   SFT (8/12/2/6/1)-(8/12/2/6/1)-(8/12/2/6/1)-(8/12/2/6/1) 120 $0.10 $12.00  2-8-12-6 $27.71 $15.71 131%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($69K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:112     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLT FORTY SEVEN 1 6 55¾ 47   2½ 14½ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 7.97  
7  PERFECT AUDIBLE 7 4 21½ 21½   1½ 24½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 2.50 2.07  
5  MISCHIEF MANIA 5 3 31½ 32   3½ 36¼ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 29% 2.50 3.34 S
2  SMOLS 2 2 67¾ 610   54 48¾ (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 118 5.00 13.32  
6  CUZIN ROSCOE 6 7 78¼ 711   67 510¾ (chavez manue)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 48.27  
4  BIG D 4 5 45½ 59   78 617½ (block chris)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 24% 3.20 3.59  
3  TINGUS PINGUS 3 1 11½ 11½   43 718¼ (blair jord)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 25% 3.00 3.20  
 
CD-2   11/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:231 :461 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BROOKLYNN DREW 5 1 1½ 11   12½ 12 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 13% 6.60 1.35 W
1  MEZCALIFORNIA 1 6 53½ 55   44 22 (weaver george)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 51% 1.00 2.28 P
3  CAROLINA CANDY 3 4 42½ 33   33 32¾ (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 120 4.00 4.00  
6  CREATIVE QUALITY 6 3 2½ 21   22½ 43 (foster er)TORRES A 120 6.00 15.13  
4  MOM'S CHEESECAKE 4 5 65 67   67 57 (kerrick l)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 5.24  
2  VIRAL PLANE LADY 2 2 32 44½   56 610¼ (labra ro)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 6% 15.30 15.11  
 
CD-3   11/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($48K) 2 F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:112     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ALTA AVENUE 3 4 31 2½   12½ 17 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 17% 4.80 1.09 W
6  BERLINWIN 6 1 2½ 32½   33½ 27 (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 119 4.00 3.71  
7  MISS MO MAGIC 7 2 1½ 1½   22½ 37¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 27% 2.80 2.38 S
5  MORE SWEETS 5 6 42 43½   67¾ 414¼ (waltz bri)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 10.00 13% 6.80 20.07  
2  AMAZING LADY 2 7 53 54   47½ 514¾ (calhoun willia)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00 13% 6.80 13.87  
1  CROWN OF VIOLENCE 1 3 64 66   57½ 615½ (moreno t)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 28.68  
4  LADY NVIDA 4 5 78 79   79¾ 715¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 5.00 11.83  
SCR  P. O. S. H. POSH               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 4.50    
 
CD-4   11/07/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:10 1:213   1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KUPUNA 2 5 54 53 53 42 1½ (casse nor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 15.00 10% 8.80 15.22 W
4  NORTHERN INVADER 3 3 43 42 42 21½ 2½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 19% 4.20 2.26 P
5  EPIC RIDE 4 1 11½ 11 1½ 11½ 3½ (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 2.00 1.39  
1  STRONG QUALITY 1 2 32½ 31½ 31½ 32 43¼ (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00 13.44  
6  EMMANUEL 5 6 64½ 63½ 63½ 64¼ 55¼ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 23% 3.40 3.18  
7  PAROS 6 4 21½ 21 2½ 52¼ 65¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 121 5.00 7.44  
SCR  QUATROCENTO               (gutierrez)LEPAROUX R 123 2.50    
 
CD-5   11/07/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:221 :451 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GOOD MOJO 4 2 42½ 54   21 13½ (forster grant )ORTIZ L 122 1.80 33% 2.00 1.79 W
  (by MO TOWN out of CASTINETTE DANCER by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
4  POLICY CHANGE 3 7 76 66½   34½ 23½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.99 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of EXCITED by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
8  CLASSIC ROCK 6 6 11 11½   11 36¾ (azpurua e)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 3.81  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of A BIT OF PRESSURE by HIGH YIELD)
9  GAME DAY 7 4 32 21½   45 412¼ (reed eri)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00 14% 6.10 9.91  
  (by GAME WINNER out of CURRY CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  TAP EM' OUT 1 1 21 42   69½ 517 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 30.00 36.01  
  (by TAPIT out of INDIA by HENNESSY)
10  D BIGALOW 8 3 53 31½   57 619½ (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 30% 2.30 1.95  
  (by BAYERN out of CAGED MISTRESS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
6  MORE THAN PRADA 5 5 64 77   715 732 (spicer jame)POSTON K 115 30.00 98.63  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MAGGI O'PRADO by PADDY O'PRADO)
3  FLAMEFIRE 2 8 813 816   819 836½ (morzan javier)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 30.00 73.97  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of VINYATA by VINDICATION)
SCR  DON'T GHOST ME               (fawkes david)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SKYLUCK by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  RUN TZU               (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FIXER UPPER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CD-6   11/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  INTO THE BEAST 6 1 45½ 44½   21½ 12½ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 2.00 66% 0.50 2.30 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WHOA NELLIE by ORB)
1  HIMOTHY 1 4 12½ 12   11½ 22½ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 8% 11.50 0.83 P
  (by YAUPON out of DANCE FOR DADDY by SCAT DADDY)
4  ELEOS 3 2 22½ 22   33 35 (munoz carlos)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 6.00 5% 19.00 19.20 S
  (by HARD SPUN out of WAVERLY PLACE by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  GENTLEMAN JIM 4 3 32½ 33½   46 412¼ (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 12.97  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of TO DREAM ABOUT by MONARCHOS)
6  MAGIC BREW 5 5 610¼ 511   512 515¼ (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 5.26  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of BOBBY'S BABE by SMART STRIKE)
3  U JHEREMY 2 6 510 612   613½ 617½ (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 10.97  
  (by GIFT BOX out of ADDAE DO JAGUARETE by CRIMSON TIDE)
SCR  MIDNIGHT ROCKET               (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 3.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MIDNIGHT GIRL by DROSSELMEYER)
SCR  ROMAN ROGUE               (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MAGIC APPOINTMENT by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
 
CD-7   11/07/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:124 1:242   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CLIFFS 2 5 64 64 41½ 31 1nk (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 45% 1.20 1.05 W
10  EXCLUSIVE STAR 9 2 53 43 2nk 11 2nk (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.69  
8  MODERN SOUND 7 7 86 86½ 84½ 82¾ 31 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 8% 11.30 5.23 S
5  LES IS BEST 4 4 31½ 32 52 52 42½ (foster er)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 35.53  
7  BEE CAT 6 1 11 11½ 1nk 41½ 53¼ (arnold george )SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00 24.70  
1  VIRGIN COLADA 1 9 75 75½ 73½ 72¼ 63½ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 21% 3.80 3.02  
9  SHEILA'S LION 8 6 21 21½ 3½ 21 73¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 30.00 29.05  
3  TICKIN TIME BLONDE 3 3 43 53½ 63 62¼ 84¾ (oliver victo)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 31.26  
6  ROMANY ROAD 5 8 97½ 97½ 97 97¼ 98½ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00 86.97  
SCR  DAWN AFTER DAWN               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  GIRLS ROCK               (beckman whit)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
SCR  LA MARINERA               (fernandez )HERNANDEZ N 118 30.00    
 
CD-8   11/07/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:123 1:382   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MESQUITE 2 10 119¾ 108¼ 42½ 1nk 1¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 10% 9.30 0.81 W
  (by HUDDLE UP out of TAURASI by MINESHAFT)
8  LIBERTY VALANCE 8 11 86¾ 96¾ 63½ 3½ 2¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 38% 1.60 5.39 P
  (by I WANT REVENGE out of JUST A TIZZY by CEE'S TIZZY)
12  CARSON STREET 11 3 64 64¼ 31½ 2nk 31½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 31% 2.30 3.60 S
  (by STREET SENSE out of MIZ KELLA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  MISTER LANDRY 6 8 109¼ 118¾ 95¼ 65¾ 46¼ (kinmon keith)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 57.34  
  (by SKY MESA out of BARDS MISSCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  SILVER SHOT 10 9 96¾ 75¾ 52½ 55½ 56¾ (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 6.55  
  (by ISLAND WHIRL out of SILVER DESTINY by SILVER BUCK)
5  RING CURL 5 5 21½ 21 2½ 43½ 69½ (wismer gl)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 ######  
  (by CURLIN out of SOUTHERN RING by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  MOM'S SPAGHETTI 4 1 11½ 11 1½ 76¼ 716½ (navarret)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 54.69  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FOLLOW NO ONE by UNCLE MO)
9  APOLLO ELEVEN 9 2 33 33 74½ 816¼ 831¾ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 15.00 22.28  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MOONLIGHTANDBEAUTY by CAPOTE)
7  WICKED GUN 7 7 43 43 85 916¾ 934½ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 28.62  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MAYBE WICKED by MIZZEN MAST)
1  MIMICRY 1 6 53½ 54 108¾ 1025¼ 1059 (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 58.50  
  (by ALYSHEBA out of PICARDIA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  ASTOUND 3 4 74¼ 85¾ 1113¾ 1128¾ 1159 (harty eoin)TORRES A 119 20.00 54.77  
  (by STREET BOSS out of ELAINE'S CAT by DISCREET CAT)
SCR  GRAND SLAM SAM               (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 4.00    
  (by ANCIENT OAKS out of ME FEIN by KNIGHTS CHOICE)
SCR  SARTORIAL               (arnold george )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
  (by CHARISMATIC out of ACCESSORY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 
CD-9   11/07/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:213 :441 :553     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ITS BOURBON THIRTY 2 5 33½ 32   1nk 11 (o'dwyer jeremi)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 ★ 3.39  
2  BEER RUN 1 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 21 (ward a)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 35% 1.90 3.00 P
5  G T FIVE HUNDRED 3 1 1nk 2nk   3½ 31¾ (maker mic)LEPAROUX R 120 8.00 4.97 DH
9  AMOUDI BAY 7 3 44 44   43 31¾ (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 33.58 DH
8  CURLIN'S GESTURE 6 6 87¾ 87¼   54 52½ (jacobson david)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 6% 15.80 19.76  
7  ROWDY RIOT 5 4 76¼ 77   74¼ 63½ (morse rand)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 12.00 8.44  
10  TROUBLE TIME 8 7 66 66½   64¼ 73¾ (vaccarezza ni)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 31% 2.20 3.61  
6  INNOVATOR 4 8 54½ 55   86¼ 811¼ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 3.50 4.94  
SCR  EVAN ON EARTH               (foley greg)TORRES A 120 15.00    
SCR  FLOODLITES               (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.