Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Saturday - November 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $18.52 $12.52 209%
CD-2   DD (2/6/3)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-3 $29.43 $20.43 227%
CD-3   PK3 (2/6/3)-(1/3/6)-(5/7/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-3-5 $47.85 $29.85 166%
CD-6   WIN (10/9/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $13.20 $5.20 65%
    DD (6/1/5/7)-(10/9/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-10 $56.28 $40.28 252%
CD-7   WIN (8/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.86 $1.86 31%
    DD (10/9/3/4)-(8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  10-8 $28.59 $16.59 138%
    PK3 (6/1/5/7)-(10/9/3/4)-(8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-10-8 $126.12 $102.12 426%
CD-10   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $11.98 $5.98 100%
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-7 $22.54 $10.54 88%
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-7-3 $16.67 $13.67 456%
    DD (4/2/7/3)-(7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-4 $24.91 $12.91 108%
CD-11   WIN (9/6/4/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $27.68 $17.68 177%
    DD (7/4/3)-(9/6/4/5/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-5 $108.52 $93.52 623%
    PK3 (4/2/7/3)-(7/4/3)-(9/6/4/5/7) 60 $3.00 $180  4-4-5 $1283 $1103 613%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   11/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIPPED 5 1 2nk 2nk   1 1 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 4.00 28% 2.50 8.26 W
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FLY TIME by MR SPEAKER)
ROTHKO 4 5 42 31   2 2 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 1.45  
  (by TAPIT out of COVFEFE by INTO MISCHIEF)
VALIANT HUMOR 3 4 54 5   44 3 (radosevich shelly )GRAHAM J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 31.73 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of VALIANT EMILIA by PEGASUS WIND)
MIZZOU 2 2 1nk 1nk   33 410½ (weaver george)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 36% 1.80 0.85  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MO'NE DAVIS by BERNARDINI)
DISCOTHEQUE 1 3 3 43   58 517½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 6.91  
  (by CONNECT out of NEW HOPE ROAD by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  SEA VISTA               (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SARA LOUISE by MALIBU MOON)
 
CD-2   11/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:224 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VASA 3 2 2½ 2nk   12 1 (sweezey kent)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 2.50 22% 3.50 1.57 W
DOUBLE ECHO 4 5 44 4   3 2 (escobar m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 10.00 14.30  
SOCO AND LIME 2 6 5 5   57 3 (williamso)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00 21.09  
FIFTH AVENUE 5 1 1½ 1nk   22 4 (fawkes da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 2.92  
MAMOOT 6 4 3 34   47 5 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 3.00 5.45  
HONEST AL 1 3 6 6   610½ 613¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.50 42% 1.40 2.29  
SCR  MCILROY               (garcia gena)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.00    
 
CD-3   11/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:231 :462 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLT DIOR 5 5 21 2nk   1½ 1½ (girten tim)MACHADO LUAN 119 1.80 34% 2.00 1.56 W
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of VIBRANT GINGER by MINESHAFT)
PARADISE STREET 6 4 4 3   3 2½ (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 6.00 2.35  
  (by STREET SENSE out of PARADISE BAY by BLAME)
R KENDL 3 3 3 44   43 3 (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 12.00 23.83 DQ↓7
  (by BASIN out of COZY GAIN by COZZENE)
GIRL NAMED KNICKI 4 1 11 1nk   2½ 4 (ennis john)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 14% 6.20 7.51 S
  (by KNICKS GO out of CAUSEFORCOMMOTION by AMERICAIN)
MO BISCUIT 1 7 7 5   58 510¼ (humphrie)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 37.69  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TUSCAN CHIANTI by ROMAN RULER)
DON'TMINDIFIDO 2 2 6 6   614 633½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 7.41  
  (by BENTON CREEK out of IVA SURPRISE by KNIGHTS CHOICE)
MIGHTY NORA 7 6 5 7100   7100 7100 (stewart da)ASMUSSEN J 119 4.00 20% 3.90 3.52  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of BLAZEN BETSY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CD-4   11/08/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:103 1:224   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE' MEDICI 4 4 4 43 2nk 1½ 1 (mccarthy mich)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 6.37  
FIRST PLAYER 5 6 55 5 5 31 2 (mcgee pau)LEPAROUX R 121 2.50 0.66  
FIREBALL BIRDIE 6 2 2½ 21 1nk 2½ 3 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 6.00 11% 7.90 12.77 S
RAISING KANE 1 5 6 6 6 54 47 (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 118 10.00 12% 7.30 6.86  
SMOKEN BOY 3 3 3 3 4 43 510½ (winebaugh )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00 27.88  
DEER DISTRICT 2 1 1½ 11 31 616 691½ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 47% 1.10 3.15  
SCR  CALYCANTHUS               (arnold ge)TORRES A 121 3.50    
 
CD-5   11/08/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:101 1:34   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYLISH SUE 6 2 11 11 1 12 11 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 36% 1.70 3.05 W
REAGAN'S FLAME 3 4 31 4 2 22 21 (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 5.00 3.26  
ADRASTEIA 2 7 7 7 6 34 3 (bogle fergus)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 5.09  
A LILAC ROLLA (IRE) 1 6 6 6 5 4 4 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 19% 4.40 1.43  
STRIKINGLY SPUN 7 5 4 3 3 56 59 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 121 8.00 8% 10.90 9.65  
GRAN MIRELLA (ARG) 5 3 5 5 7 79 6 (mott rile)TORRES A 121 12.00 9% 9.50 27.91  
BREEZING ALONG 4 1 21 21 4 67 710¾ (meah m)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 15.00 35.72  
 
CD-6   11/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:101     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COUPERIN 8 6 42 4   11 1 (hartman chris)BACON W 120 10.00 42% 1.40 5.60 W
PIKE PLACE 6 1 6 7   42 2 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 16.37  
AIR OF DEFIANCE 4 5 21 2nk   21 3 (simms jr)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 1.15 S
LUDWIG 2 2 11 1nk   3 4 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 14% 6.20 4.33  
OUTLIER 1 8 8 54   5 5 (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00 18.20  
11  BACKGROUND 9 3 9 8   6 66 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 13.82  
12  STELLAR VINO 10 10 10 9   7 7 (cunningham s)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 20.00 19.14  
AMERICAN BLAZE 3 4 5 10   1010 815½ (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 31.83  
NABOKOV 5 9 7 6   99 916½ (foster er)TORRES A 120 20.00 32.49  
ONE COOL DUDE 7 7 3 3½   86 1018¼ (blair jord)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 21% 3.80 7.15  
SCR  BORN FLAWLESS               (casse no)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00    
SCR  J J'S JOKER               (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 120 10.00    
SCR  SLIP MAHONEY               (garcia gena)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.00    
 
CD-7   11/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:10     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE LEVEL 5 3 31 1nk   1 11 (brion keri)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 37% 1.70 2.93 W
TERRAPIN STATION 1 5 2½ 5   42 21 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 4.00 6.09  
THE WARDEN 6 2 5 3½   2 32 (damato ph)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 2.99  
MITTY'S GRIDDY 3 1 1½ 2nk   32 43 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 23% 3.40 1.98  
GOOD LORD 4 4 6 6   5 53 (sweezey kent)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5.43  
BOURBON'S FAULT 2 6 42 42   6 6 (shorter a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 10% 9.20 12.14  
SCR  FIELDING               (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  RISK IT               (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120 5.00    
SCR  TIMING DIFFERENCE               (knippenberg )RAMOS D 120 10.00    
 
CD-8   11/08/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:234 :493 1:133 1:25   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOSHAMETOHERGAME 6 1 2½ 2½ 2nk 11 1 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 31.77  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of TRES OSOS by MALIBU MOON)
11  DAGMARA 10 9 97 9 74 4 2 (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 16% 5.30 5.11 P
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of DYNARAMA by DYNAFORMER)
KISS MY HEART 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 21 3 (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 19.44  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of RED ROSES TOO by NYQUIST)
PETRONELLA 3 3 3 5 42 33 44 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 61% 0.60 0.72  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MORAL REASONING by MORE THAN READY)
WONZEE WEATHER 7 5 86 7 6 66 5 (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 6.00 13.55  
  (by CUPID out of PRETTY ZIPPY by CITY ZIP)
BREAKING HEARTS 4 6 6 4 8 7 67 (devaux cherie)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 13.78  
  (by VALLEY CROSSING out of TRYSTER (IRE) by UNKNOWN)
EMPRESS SISI 2 7 5 6 3 55 7 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00 9.25  
  (by TAPIT out of GENTLE RULER by COLONEL JOHN)
LOTTA ALPHA 8 4 42 3 5 8 811½ (servis john )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 30.00 46.54  
  (by MCKINZIE out of YGRITTE by TAPIT)
12  MYSTERY DATE 11 11 11 118 1010 1015 919 (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00 55.22  
  (by DEHERE out of TOWNPLACE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  SERRALUNGA 9 8 74 8 9 914½ 1019½ (vaccarezza nic)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 13.11  
  (by MAXFIELD out of LUCY IN DIAMONDS by ROCK HARD TEN)
FATIMA BLUSH 5 10 10 10 1112½ 1117½ 1124 (brown cha)TORRES A 119 8.00 20.38  
  (by BROCCO out of WHITE LIGHT by TAPIT)
SCR  BELLE OF LIBERTY               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by CHIEF HONCHO out of MISSIVE by ALTERNATION)
SCR  RED RAINBOW               (wismer gl)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU RAINBOW by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SUPER DREAMY (IRE)               (beckman whi)ORTIZ JR 119 12.00    
  (by SUPREMACY out of DREAMADREAMFORME by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  TAP TO GIVE               (leitch da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of RIDEFORTHECAUSE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  TAYLOR TIME               (amoss m)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MISS AFFARE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
CD-9   11/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:091     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S TIME 4 2 2 2nk   12 1 (von kelly)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 33% 2.10 2.79 W
KALAHARI DREAMS 5 3 43 4   22 2 (bauer philip )ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 2.66  
U DEVIL YOU 8 8 6 6   3 3 (ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 3.33  
SPEED KING 7 1 53 3   55 410 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 16% 5.10 3.93  
PERFECT FORCE 1 6 75 7   77 510½ (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 118 15.00 33.55  
POLITICALLYCORRECT 3 5 1 1nk   4 611 (davis christop)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 19.27  
GARDINER 2 7 32 5   66 712¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 18% 4.40 6.15  
MISCHIEF RIVER 6 4 8 8   810 822 (caramori cai)TORRES A 120 12.00 39.09  
 
CD-10   11/08/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Dream Supreme Purse ($300K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:221 :45 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HILLERITO 3 5 3 1   1 1nk (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 16% 5.10 4.99 W
  (by ARMY MULE out of REVEILLE'S ECHO by WAR FRONT)
R DISASTER 4 3 1½ 2   2 2nk (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 124 1.80 49% 1.00 0.51 P
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of MAKING HAVOC by GOTTCHA GOLD)
JERSEY PEARL 2 2 2½ 32   3 3 (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 10.00 11% 8.10 13.33 S
  (by BEE JERSEY out of JERSEY'S SOUL by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
10  HALINA'S FORTE 6 4 55 5   57 4 (bauer philip )ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 7.73  
  (by MITOLE out of LUNARLADY by YES IT'S TRUE)
MINK'S PALACE 5 6 6 6   67 5 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 4.64  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SCATTERING MINK by SCAT DADDY)
SUDDEN SWITCH 1 1 43 44   4 66 (mott riley)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 12.00 39.19  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SWITCHED UP by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
SCR  MARMALADE SKYE               (jacobson david)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
  (by DANZA out of DAWN BEFORE DAWN by HIGH YIELD)
SCR  TALIESIN               (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 118 10.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of HERE'S TO LIFE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  TAPIT QUICK               (stewart d)TORRES A 120 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of INSPEIGHTOF by ORB)
SCR  TOP               (elliott)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of HOMESTEADING by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
CD-11   11/08/2025 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM River City Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:093 1:332   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLFIE'S DYNAGHOST 4 1 1½ 1 11 1 1 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.84 W
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
12  TAKING CANDY 11 6 6 66 5 2 2 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 8.00 12.64  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAKING AIM by TRAPPE SHOT)
MERCANTE 6 8 8 8 6 6 3 (knippenberg )RAMOS D 125 10.00 5% 19.00 20.62 S
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CARESSING by HONOUR AND GLORY)
LAGYNOS 8 4 9 9 98 55 3 (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 121 4.50 36% 1.70 7.44 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of STEAMY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
CORRUPTION 7 3 2½ 2 21 34 5 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 11.37  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of THUNDERING SKY by SKY MESA)
QUATROCENTO 2 5 4 3 33 45 67 (gutierrez)LEPAROUX R 121 20.00 4.29  
  (by WAR FRONT out of HUASCA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
CHASING THE CROWN 5 9 7 77 8 7 710½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 26% 2.80 2.30  
  (by SKIPSHOT out of LA BELLE MARQUET by MARQUETRY)
11  TAPIT SHOES 10 11 11 1111 1011 913 816½ (moger jr)GUTIERREZ MARIO 121 20.00 ######  
  (by TAPIT out of AWESOME FLOWER by FLOWER ALLEY)
ENCINO 3 7 3 43 43 8 916¾ (cox h)ORTIZ JR 121 5.00 9% 10.10 2.49  
  (by NYQUIST out of GLITTERING JEWEL by BERNARDINI)
MOUNT RUNDLE 1 10 5 55 76 1016 1030 (nihei michelle)ACHARD ALEX 121 30.00 73.66  
  (by JACK MILTON out of BEAUCOUP by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
10  ENGLISH CHUNNEL 9 2 10 1010½ 1123 1138 1197¾ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 30.00 47.35  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of INTERROGATION by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  EPIC RIDE               (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 121 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of PICK A TIME by GIO PONTI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.