Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - November 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-2 $15.36 $3.36 28%
CD-8   WIN (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $30.84 $22.84 286%
    DD (13/11/2/5)-(1/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  13-6 $77.69 $61.69 386%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   11/06/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:253 :501 1:142 1:381   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RIGHT ON RIGHT ON 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 11½ 12½ (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 1.77  
1  BARRICADE 1 2 42½ 31½ 31½ 32 22½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.20 65% 0.50 2.22 P
2  BATTER UP 2 5 54 54 53 43½ 33½ (troiani n)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 20.67 S
3  CONQUERING CAT 3 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 21½ 45¼ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 1.44  
5  MINTASTIC 5 4 32½ 42 42 55½ 510 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 5.00 5% 19.00 10.56  
 
CD-2   11/06/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MINNESOTA MUNNY 2 5 42 41½ 2nk 11½ 12 (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 10% 9.10 1.60 W
2  PRINCESS KALAMOH 1 4 2½ 31 31 32 22 (matthews randy)MACHADO LUAN 121 2.00 26% 2.80 1.73 P
4  MIRANDA'S ROCKY 3 3 55½ 54½ 53¼ 54 34½ (cline c)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 3.00 9.61  
5  CRUSHED ICE 4 2 31½ 21 41¼ 43 45 (quartarol)LEPAROUX R 121 5.00 4.47  
6  MILA JUNES 5 1 1½ 11 1nk 21½ 55 (west w)TORRES A 121 3.50 33% 2.00 4.41  
SCR  CALISUE               (campbell )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
 
CD-3   11/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:233 :463 :581     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MERRY MADISON 2 5 31 31½   3½ 1¼ (bauer philip )ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 35% 1.80 1.31 W
3  MIMI'S GRACE 3 6 52½ 2½   1nk 2¼ (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 20% 4.00 1.93 P
5  CHASING GLORY 5 1 11 1½   2nk 32¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 122 8.00 7.17  
4  RISKY WAVE 4 2 41½ 65½   68 410¾ (arnold ge)TORRES A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 22.65  
6  BABY AVERY 6 3 21 42½   45½ 510¾ (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 124 5.00 13% 6.80 13.31  
1  HAMPTON'S AFFAIR 1 7 63 54   57 611 (casse mark)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 6.10  
7  BEA TRIX 7 4 74 77½   712 716¼ (wilkes r)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 14.38  
 
CD-4   11/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  W W CRAZY 5 10 63½ 72¾   22½ 12 (calhoun william)LANERIE J 120 20.00 17.61  
3  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 3 8 84½ 84¾   63¾ 22 (heath des)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 12.00 10.34  
1  MINE OWN STAR 1 5 11 11   12½ 32 (elliott m)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 12.00 15% 5.60 7.11 S
4  SHIPMAN 4 7 21 21   33 43¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 16% 5.10 1.23  
7  HIGH STRIKE 7 9 74 62½   43 54 (west aaron )CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00 ★ 9.80  
10  BLOODLINE 9 3 96 95¾   86¼ 68½ (canani n)RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.00 39% 1.60 3.80  
11  PRINCIP 10 1 52 41½   53½ 79 (kantarmaci m)TORRES A 120 5.00 18.60  
9  IMPROBABLE STORY 8 2 107 106¾   96¾ 810¾ (king l)ASHTON GAVIN 120 30.00 80.00  
6  XANDER 6 4 41½ 31½   74¼ 911½ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
2  STOMPING HOTROD 2 6 31 52   107¼ 1015 (wiggins lon)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00 84.43  
SCR  READY PURSUIT               (gonzalez rein)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 30.00    
SCR  SALTWATER COWBOY               (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 120 3.50    
 
CD-5   11/06/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:133 1:383   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MEASURE 7 4 73¾ 73¾ 52¼ 3.2 11¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 6.84  
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of FATEER by ESKENDEREYA)
4  ELEGANT MISS 4 8 83¾ 83¾ 73¾ 42¼ 21¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 12.20  
  (by FOREST CAMP out of KEEP THE PEACE by TOUCH GOLD)
8  ROCKIN ROBIN 8 3 42 31 2nk 1nk 32¾ (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 5.00 29% 2.40 18.38 S
  (by ROCK HARD TEN out of TU TU LARUE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
1  TAM TAM 1 7 2½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 44¼ (bauer a)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 31% 2.30 1.24  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PRINCESS JULIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  MAXIMUM OFFER 3 2 1½ 2½ 41¾ 54¼ 58¾ (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 8.00 6.45  
  (by MAXFIELD out of NO BETTER TERMS by PURE PRIZE)
2  HONFLEUR 2 6 62¼ 62¼ 84¼ 76¾ 69¼ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 14% 6.10 3.06  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COWORTH PARK by LEA)
5  INKLING (AUS) 5 5 52 42 62¾ 66¾ 716¼ (harty eoi)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 12.00 12.37  
  (by DUPORTH out of TARCOOLA DIAMOND by LAST TYCOON (IRE))
6  HOLLY'S HOLIDAY 6 1 31½ 52 31½ 88¾ 823 (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 16.43  
  (by MAXFIELD out of BLAST by ROAR)
 
CD-6   11/06/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:22 :443       :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUNRATTY MANOR (IRE) 1 1 41½ 41½   31 11 (arnold ge)TORRES A 118 3.50 10.46  
10  LOST AND FOUND 9 8 83¼ 51¾   21 21 (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 58% 0.70 2.56 P
3  PARTY PAULINE 3 7 1nk 1nk   11 31½ (hartman chris)BACON W 120 20.00 18.26  
7  LAURICE 7 9 104¾ 72¾   41½ 42 (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 11% 8.40 2.73  
8  FLIRTING WITH TIME 8 6 51¾ 104½   73½ 53¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.36  
5  SAPHIRA 5 3 62¼ 83   83¾ 64 (mott riley)TORRES A 120 5.00 8% 11.00 3.32  
11  MALIBU MUSE 10 4 31 3½   52½ 75¾ (mott riley)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 33.11  
2  SHE'Z THE LAW 2 5 72¼ 61¾   104¾ 85¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 12.34  
6  SARISSA 6 10 94¼ 94½   94¾ 96 (sandy steph)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00 93.56  
4  MILA CANDY 4 2 2nk 2nk   63 109 (kantarmaci mertka)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.15  
SCR  SHIRLEY ANN               (vesty clarke)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
 
CD-7   11/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:11     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  SHOWERS 12 7 31 2nk   2nk 11 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 29% 2.40 2.54 W
3  CHANDON 3 6 105¼ 106¼   44½ 21 (barker w)MCKEE J 118 15.00 38.59  
8  ROYALEWITHCHEESE 7 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 31½ (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00 14.30  
4  MOMBAYLA 4 10 116¼ 117¼   66½ 43½ (crichton ro)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00 13.17  
2  SWEET NOTE 2 9 72¾ 84¾   56 53½ (habeeb donald )ASHTON GAVIN 118 10.00 22% 3.50 6.94  
11  MISTY MUPPET 10 12 95¼ 74¾   34 63¾ (santamaria ca)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 26% 2.80 4.13  
12  MISS TIFEYE 11 11 127¼ 127¾   109½ 77¾ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 49.67  
1  VOLATILE MARKET 1 1 41 63¾   88½ 88¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 ★ 4.63  
6  BRIGHT LADY DAY 6 2 83¼ 43   77½ 910¾ (jackson christ)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00 69.77  
5  HAND IT OVER 5 4 62½ 95¾   99 1015¾ (walsh rya)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 12.32  
9  AHAMO 8 5 51½ 53¼   1110½ 1120¾ (calhoun willia)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 7.84  
10  FANCY FASCINATOR 9 8 2½ 32   1218½ 1242¾ (moge)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 10.00 19.30  
SCR  BIRTHDAY GIRL               (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
SCR  VANISHED               (cowans william)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
SCR  WELL AWARE               (hartman ch)ASMUSSEN J 120 10.00    
 
CD-8   11/06/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:224 :453 :572     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR 6 3 21 2½   2nk 1nk (navarret)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 14.42 W
4  SPANKSTER 4 1 53 31½   3½ 2nk (cunningha)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 47.84  
1  HARRODSBURG 1 2 11 1½   1nk 33 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 120 2.00 35% 1.80 1.07 S
2  HAPPY AMERICAN 2 7 64½ 74   53½ 43½ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 8.73  
5  ALDER 5 5 75 53   63¾ 54¾ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 12% 7.10 6.00  
3  BILLAL 3 6 42½ 42   42½ 65 (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 30% 2.30 2.88  
7  BANGO 7 4 32 64   76¼ 714 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 6.06  
 
CD-9   11/06/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:103 1:223   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOVE HER LOTS 3 3 32½ 32½ 2½ 1nk 12¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 1.59  
4  MORNING MIRACLE 4 1 11½ 12½ 1½ 2nk 22¼ (blair jordan)TORRES A 121 4.00 45% 1.20 6.28 P
2  WINDY BAY 2 4 43½ 44 33 32½ 33 (van th)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 12.00 22.80  
8  STEAMPUNK 8 9 87 65½ 64½ 43½ 44 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 15% 5.60 3.17  
5  MISSY BEE 5 8 76½ 86¾ 86¾ 64¼ 54 (foster eric)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50 12% 7.00 10.83  
9  SPOTTY SHOWERS 9 6 65½ 75¾ 54 54 65 (lauer mic)TORRES A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.66  
7  LADY BLAKE 7 7 97 97¼ 96¾ 75¼ 75¾ (baker ja)RODRIGUEZ A 118 10.00 20.74  
1  GRACELEADSUSHOME 1 5 55 55 76½ 86¼ 88¼ (reed r)MCKEE J 121 30.00 40.07  
6  HONEY HAULER 6 2 21½ 22½ 44 96¾ 910¾ (wismer gl)CAMACHO JR 121 10.00 10.89  
11  BRITTANYSGLDNFAITH 10 10 109½ 109¼ 109¾ 108¾ 1012½ (dobbsjr r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 14.23  
SCR  MOLLY'S ROSE               (riefenberg eri)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.