Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - June 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(8/1/7/2)-(1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (8/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2)-(1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(1/7/3)-(2/10/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(2/10/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3)-(2/10/3/5)-(6/5/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (2/10/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/10/3/5)-(2/10/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/10/3/5)-(2/10/3/5)-(2/10/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/10/3/5)-(6/5/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/10/3/5)-(6/5/1/2)-(10/4/7/9/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (6/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/2)-(10/4/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/2)-(10/4/7/9/2)-(2/7/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (10/4/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/7/9/2)-(10/4/7/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/7/9/2)-(10/4/7/9/2)-(10/4/7/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/7/9/2)-(2/7/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/4/7/9/2)-(2/7/4/5)-(10/11/8/7/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
BAQ-8   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/5)-(10/11/8/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (10/11/8/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/8/7/4)-(10/11/8/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/8/7/4)-(10/11/8/7/4)-(10/11/8/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BAQ-1   06/29/2025 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSETTI May03         (bond harold )CASTELLANO J 118 2.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of SCHEME by TIZWAY)
1A  AMAZING GRACER         (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 118 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS GRACER by UNCLE MO)
NIGHT JASMINE Jun05 Apr26 Mar29     (de horacio)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LOVE TRAIN by FULL PARTNER)
2B  JUST ONE MORE Jan11 Nov16 Apr20     (de h)SANTANA JR 125 3.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MYSTIC CHANT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
LEONORA'S SECRET Dec28 Dec07 Oct20     (clement miguel)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of FRESCO by FREUD)
BRYANT AND COOPER Nov02 Sep13       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 13% 6.90    
  (by SLUMBER out of WAIT YOUR TURN by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
ON A SUMMER DAY Jun05 Apr24 Dec01 Nov14 Sep27 (pregman j)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ON OAKS DAY by MALIBU MOON)
THE GAEL Mar23 Feb13       (duggan)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PANTSONFIRE by SIR PERCY)
 
BAQ-2   06/29/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NESHIKA         (maker mi)SANTANA JR 119 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of KISS IS A KISS by BROKEN VOW)
RUDY UP         (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KNOWN AGENDA out of THEM THERE EYES by HOLY BULL)
GREAT ACTRESS         (sacco d)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00    
  (by FORTUNATE PROSPECT out of STAGEDOOR FRANNY by DEFENSIVE PLAY)
DEVILISH GRIN         (green amelia )VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of CASUAL SMILE by SEA THE STARS)
I REST MY CASE         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of HAUGHTY GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
VIVIENNA         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by FREUD out of VIVAZANO by VERRAZANO)
KNOWLEDGE IS GOOD         (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 7% 13.30    
  (by KNICKS GO out of FLASH ACT by ACTIVADO (URU))
NACHO PROBLEM Jun08 May03       (green a)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 3.50 43% 1.30    
  (by WAITING out of NACHO MAMA by BRETHREN)
SCR  BLUE HIGHWAY         (dutrow e)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
  (by GALILEAN out of WHITE WEDDING DAY by CRIMSON GUARD)
 
BAQ-3   06/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUSCAN GOLD May18 Mar23 Jan31 Nov04   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
FRIZZANTE Jun06 Apr13 Mar22 Feb22 Jan11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
HOP SING May17 Apr19 Feb27 Oct31 Dec02 (d'angelo)SANTANA JR 126 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  WAITLIST Jun06 May23 May10 Feb22 Feb02 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 126 8.00    
CONTRARY THINKING Apr23 Mar16 Jun07 Apr20   (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
CHILENO May09 Apr13 Dec12 Nov15 Sep21 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-4   06/29/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PISTOL LIZ ABLAZEN May26 May02 Apr18 Feb21 Jan19 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 41% 1.50    
IT TAKES HEART Jun13 May16 May09 Mar16 Mar07 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50    
WHISTLER'S STYLE Apr24 Mar28 Feb21 Jan30 Jan01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
LUNA MOTH Jun05 May26 Mar28 Feb23 Jan25 (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 3.50    
SCR  FLOGE May26 May09 Feb21 Feb13 Jan14 (romero j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
SCR  MAJESTIC CREED May11 Apr13 Feb16 Dec31 Nov15 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 5.00    
MURSAL Jun05 Apr19 Mar28 Feb16 Jan14 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
BAQ-5   06/29/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR R T Jun07         (jimen)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
PAPA GOLF Apr19 Feb15 Jan04 Nov10 Sep14 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 50% 1.00    
RETEKO Jun06 May04 Mar14 Feb13 Dec22 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
WEEKENDSANDWHISKEY Apr19         (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
BLAST FURNACE May30 May08 Apr30 Mar30 Aug19 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
GO LONG Aug31         (terranov)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA Jun22 Jun14 May26 May01 Mar16 (arriaga )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00    
HEDGE THE RISK Jul13 Sep16 Aug06     (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 4.50    
SCR  ROCK CONCERT         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
10  COMMANDER OF TRUTH Apr19 Jun07 May10 Sep16   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
BAQ-6   06/29/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMY'S LIGHT Jun12 May15 Mar22 Feb06 Dec15 (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 9% 10.50    
VALENTINE GIFT May23 Apr11 Jan24 Jan04 Nov30 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 123 8.00 6% 15.80    
STRACA Feb08 Dec01 Oct17 Sep20   (duggan dav)RIVERA R 118 4.50    
CARA'S DREAMWEAVER Jun12 May17 Apr26 Apr10 Mar21 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00    
LIKA ROLLING STONE Jun19 Jun04 May15 May01 Apr19 (arriag)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 3.00 13% 6.90    
CATCHPHRASE Jun12 May18 Apr03 Mar01 Jan31 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50 47% 1.10    
MITOLE'S GIRL Apr26 Mar02 Jan28     (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   06/29/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($45K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONCORDE SPIRIT May18 May08 Apr12 Mar22 Mar09 (delauro edward )CANCEL ERIC 123 30.00    
FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Jun08 Apr26 Mar14 Feb14 Jan30 (kantar)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
LOST IN ROME Jun08 May16 Apr17 Apr04 Mar14 (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 116 6.00    
NEUSCHWANSTEIN Jun13 Apr17 Mar21 Feb13 Jan26 (romero jes)RIVERA R 123 15.00 8% 11.90    
DADS GOOD RUNNER Jun13 May18 Apr23 Apr06 Mar29 (bhigroog chetr)LUZZI J 121 20.00    
JOKING WAY May03 Oct05 Aug22 Aug11 Jul12 (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
FUNNY JOKE Jun15 Apr19 Mar21 Feb23 Jul12 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 10.00 5% 18.20    
BOSS TWEED Dec06 Oct31 Sep01 Aug16 Jul20 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00    
TETSU Jun13 May16 Apr17 Apr10 Feb21 (abreu fernando)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  AMUNDSON Apr26 Apr10 Mar14 Feb21 Jul27 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 63% 0.60    
11  SPUN AND WON Jun15 May24 May08 Apr17 Mar09 (kantarmaci ilk)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00    
12  THRILL OF IT May09 Mar12 Feb23 Jan11 Jul26 (terranov)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
SCR  HATCH (GB) Jun14 May24 May03 Apr13 Mar29 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   06/29/2025 3960ft TURF RC11 FIRM John Hettinger Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN ROCKET Jun19 May24 Apr19 Apr08 Mar13 (ness jamie)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50    
  (by ALPHA out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
SILVER SKILLET Jun04 Apr19 Dec27 Oct27 Sep26 (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CATCHA RISING STAR by RED GIANT)
SUGAR BEE Jun07 Apr27 Jan23 Jan04 Nov30 (milosevic mila)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of SILENT THOUGHTS by GALILEO (ARG))
SUNDAY GIRL Mar02 Feb01 Dec27 Nov23 Jul11 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LADY DAPHNE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SINEAD Apr24 Feb08 Oct20 Aug25   (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ANDARTA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
SOLOSHOT Jun05 May11 Jun14 May24 Apr27 (shivma)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SWEET QUEEN by TWIRLING CANDY)
LOON CRY May16 Nov08 Oct12 Sep14 Aug03 (clement miguel)DAVIS DYLAN 122 1.60 27% 2.80    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FINAL ESCROW by BERNARDINI)
CARA'S TIME Jun04 May11 Mar22 Jan25 Dec08 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 122 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ZINDRA by MACHO UNO)
 
BAQ-9   06/29/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($81K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LISTER May18 Apr19 Apr04 Jan31 Jan17 (pringle)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 30.00    
ALAN TURING May18 Apr25 Mar01     (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
VESUVIO Jun14 May11 Apr17 Nov27 Nov06 (ibrahim emron)DAVIS KATIE 120 30.00    
AMERICAN GRANT May25 Nov02 Sep21 Aug24 Jul27 (brown br)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST PITCH Jun04 May10 Mar23 Feb21 Jan11 (jimen)HERNANDEZ OMAR 120 15.00    
STORMY BIRTHDAY May26 Apr27 Oct27 Sep29 Aug16 (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
CHARLES J May18 Oct27 Aug30 Jun22 Jun06 (lee joseph)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
EL DE LARRY May25 Apr05 Mar23 Mar01 Feb01 (bailes robert)DAVIS DYLAN 126 4.50 13% 6.60    
MAGNI May25 Apr17 Mar23 Feb22 Jan04 (friedman mitc)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
10  MIZTERTONIC May17 Nov16 Nov09 Oct05 Aug31 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 126 2.50 37% 1.70    
11  AMPLITUDE Nov16 Sep26 Aug15     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  JUST LICORICE May24 Apr10 Mar16 Feb08 Jan17 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.