Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FG-1   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(3/2/4)-(6/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(6/1/3)-(1/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FG-3   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(1/6/3)-(5/6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(5/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(5/6/4/1)-(6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1)-(5/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/1)-(6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/1)-(6/2)-(5/8/1/2/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-6   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/2)-(5/8/1/2/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(5/8/1/2/3)-(6/5/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
FG-7   WIN (5/8/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/2/3)-(5/8/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/2/3)-(5/8/1/2/3)-(5/8/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/1/2/3)-(6/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/2/3)-(6/5/3)-(7/3/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-8   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(7/3/5/2)-(9/3/7/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-9   WIN (7/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/2)-(9/3/7/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FG-10   WIN (9/3/7/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/10/2)-(9/3/7/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/10/2)-(9/3/7/10/2)-(9/3/7/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MAXIMUS Aug23 Jul11 Jun01 Apr27 Sep01 (casse w)TORRES A 122 4.50    
AZTEC EMPRESS Dec08 Sep16 Jul22 Jun02 May17 (duke steven)GRAHAM J 122 3.50    
FROST AND FIRE Oct06 Sep26 Dec14     (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
FLIGHT ON RACE DAY Dec26 Dec06 Sep14 Aug26 Jul27 (west henr)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
MARY'S BOON Oct06 Jun18 May04 Apr01 Feb25 (robertson mc)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.00    
GOLD PLUS Dec08 Aug01 Jun29 Jan11 Nov30 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
FG-2   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAYDEN AND REMI Dec28 Dec08 Nov23 Oct18 Aug10 (gelner scott)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00    
LOUISIANA NATIVE Dec19 Sep16       (dandridge )ALBERT S 119 6.00 20% 4.00    
COATTAILS Dec08 Oct26 Aug15 Jul13   (castille )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
NOVA'S RETURN Nov02 Aug15       (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 5% 18.30    
AMPITUP Dec13 Nov02 Aug31 Aug13 Jul29 (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50    
SOPHIE'S PAINTER Dec06 Nov05 Aug15     (gelner sco)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 5.00    
NIGHT STICK Dec12 Nov16 Oct26     (foster joseph)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00    
 
FG-3   01/09/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOES NOT COMPUTE Dec29 Nov30 Sep26     (burkes bobby)SMITH R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
DEFTLY DONE Dec06 Sep26 Sep14 Aug24 Jul25 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.00    
CAJUN SWAGGER Oct07 Aug12       (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NINE OH ONE Dec22         (west henr)HERNANDEZ J 120 20.00    
WAYLLEN RICHARD Dec29 Dec06 Nov13     (catalano way)MURRAY M 120 4.00    
GOLDEN ICE Dec07 Nov21 Oct22 Sep18 Aug24 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 1.60 65% 0.50    
MOTOWN STAR Nov30 Sep25       (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50    
 
FG-4   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ROSIE Dec20 Jul18 May08 Feb03   (gelner sco)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 5.00 34% 1.90    
GUITAR WOMAN Dec08 Sep04 Feb29 Feb08 Jan25 (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00    
CUSTOM PUNCH Nov24 Nov09 Jul06 May18 Apr11 (bourgeois ke)TORRES A 121 4.50 13% 6.60    
STARSHIP JAMBALAYA Dec19 Dec08 Oct19 Sep04 Aug16 (gelner sco)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 6.00    
THE PRETTY SISTER Dec07 Oct29 Aug10 Jul04 Jun20 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 121 5.00    
A MISS DEAMEANOR Dec15 Nov24 Sep10 Aug17 Jul20 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
RUNNING ARGUMENT May31 May03 Apr20 Feb17 Nov17 (robbins ha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00    
 
FG-5   01/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMALEESE Dec15 Nov30 Oct12 Aug17 Jul19 (courville ricky)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
TARTARIA Sep11         (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00    
ACOUSTICAT Dec15 Nov14 Sep27     (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50    
TACO CAT BACKWARDS Dec15 Nov13 Aug29 Aug16 Jul26 (troiani nicco)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00 9% 10.60    
PLAZA CUE         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 46% 1.20    
MULTIPLICATION Nov21 Oct27 Sep26     (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
EYES ON ITALY Dec15 Nov10       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 5.00    
CHEVAL B Dec15 Nov04 Sep08     (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
 
FG-6   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($26K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONCENTRATION Dec08 Oct28 Oct18 Sep23 Sep06 (claire alexis)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50    
MAHONEY ROAD Oct10 Sep05 Aug08 Jul11 Jun22 (tracy tanne)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
TOSCANO Dec08 Aug16 Jul31 Jun06 May04 (claire alexis)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
TWO TONS OF FUN Jul24 Jul06 Apr06 Mar07   (devaux adr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
GAMBE FORTE Dec08 Oct17 Oct04 Sep12 Aug17 (rubley kelly)CURTIS BEN 121 4.50    
PINFIRE Nov22 May30 Jan12 Dec09 Nov04 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 121 1.80 25% 3.00    
 
FG-7   01/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPTIMUS KAT Dec16 Aug22 Jul04 Jun14 May19 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 7% 14.10    
INTERSTELLAR Dec16 Nov24 Oct16 Sep11 Aug24 (wilson shane)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Oct10 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jun16 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
PROWLING TIGER Dec19 Nov08 Jul08 May19 Mar24 (russell brittany)CURTIS BEN 121 6.00    
SKI PATROL Dec13 Oct24 Sep18 Aug15 Mar10 (diodoro roberti)COHEN DAVID 121 6.00 33% 2.00    
TWOKO BAY Dec16 Nov24 Nov02 Sep21 Aug25 (scherer gary)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
DARE TO FAIL Dec16 Nov14 Oct11 Sep14 Oct14 (gomez c)MCMAHON J 121 20.00    
FIREWATER JAKE Oct10 Sep19 Sep04 Aug01 Jun08 (barnett b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00 32% 2.10    
GENTLE SOUL Dec19 Nov28 Oct24 Sep30 Aug29 (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50    
10  BROTHER REID Dec16 Nov15 Jun14 May18 Apr16 (camejo m)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00    
SCR  X J RASCAL (IRE) Dec03 Nov05 Oct09 Sep04 Aug13 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
SCR  WICKED TRICK Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 Oct19 Aug09 (larrosa j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00    
SCR  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Nov27 Nov10 Oct06 Oct02 Sep04 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 121 6.00    
SCR  FRENCH COMPOSER Dec14 Nov21 Oct25 Jun22 May31 (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00    
SCR  ENGLISH CHALLENGE Dec20 Dec05 Oct14 May21 Mar30 (cano mu)TORRES A 121 20.00    
SCR  PATH TO SUCCESS Dec13 Oct12 Sep19 Aug08 Jul18 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00    
 
FG-8   01/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLIED COMMANDER Dec22         (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00    
SHOOT THE NICKEL Nov28 Nov01 Sep28 Jun06   (devaux adr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00    
AMERICAN CITY Dec19 Oct31 Sep04 Aug17 May18 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
RIGHT SPOT Nov30 Oct04       (scherer t)COHEN DAVID 119 5.00    
CARAMBASO Dec19 Nov09 Sep21 Aug03 Jul07 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 4.00 15% 5.50    
GUNNER GLACKEN Nov29         (kenneally eddie)CURTIS BEN 119 1.80 60% 0.70    
 
FG-9   01/09/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKETS SISTER Jun21 Jun01 Apr10 Mar02 Feb04 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
SWEET ALYSSA Oct29 Oct07 Aug29 Jul28 Jul06 (husak gar)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CECILE (IRE) Nov30 Oct12 Aug31 Jul20 Jun28 (schultz lin)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 1.80 13% 6.70    
RUE LALA Dec12 Jul12 Jun06 May03 Mar24 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 6.00    
SHE HAS IT ALL May29 May11 Apr12 Mar07 Feb16 (bourgeois )HERNANDEZ J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FLATTER ME SILLY Aug29 Jun20 May19 Apr21 Mar23 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
PARTY ON GIRL (IRE) Nov24 Sep28 Aug24 Jun28 Apr20 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
NOTICE ME TOO Dec08 Oct10 Aug11 May30 May15 (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 6.00    
SCR  TU CHA Dec12 Aug11 Jun22 May08 Apr16 (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 120 8.00    
SCR  KAELY'S SISTER Dec12 Oct03 Sep08 Jul08 Jun15 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00    
 
FG-10   01/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BET ON BOBBY Dec20 Nov30 Jul30 Jun19 May20 (duhon jos)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 6.00    
GATSBY'S FORTUNE Aug23 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 (jackson dw)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
MUNNINGS CATSLE Sep18 Sep02 Jun26 May27 Feb21 (foster jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.50 26% 2.90    
LOVELY SASSICAIA Dec20 Nov30 Nov14 Oct16 Aug17 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 8.00    
BABY'S LAST DANCE Dec20 Nov30 Nov07 Oct23 Sep16 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 121 20.00    
FLAT OUT RUNNER Dec26 Dec12 Nov13 Oct23 Aug27 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 124 12.00    
NERVY Jul30 Jun15 Apr19 Mar22 Feb25 (wilson sha)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 12% 7.70    
NATIVE STAR Dec14 Nov30 Nov06 Aug09 Jun29 (gelner scot)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 3.50    
HANDSOME HAROLD Dec07 May06 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
10  CATALINA DAY Dec20 Nov29 Nov06 May30 May08 (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 124 8.00 7% 13.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.