Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6)-(1/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/2/6)-(2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2/6)-(2/1/5)-(2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(2/3)-(3/6/11/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/3)-(3/6/11/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(3/6/11/4)-(1/4) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
FG-4   WIN (3/6/11/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/11/4)-(3/6/11/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/11/4)-(3/6/11/4/2)-(3/6/11/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/11/4)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6/11/4)-(1/4)-(8/3/5/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(8/3/5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(8/3/5/4)-(8/6/3/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-6   WIN (8/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4)-(8/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/4)-(8/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/4)-(8/6/3/1)-(1/5/7/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FG-7   WIN (8/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1)-(8/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/3/1)-(1/5/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/1)-(1/5/7/3)-(5/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-8   WIN (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/3)-(5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/3)-(5/3)-(7/2/5/10/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-9   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(7/2/5/10/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
FG-10   WIN (7/2/5/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/10/6)-(7/2/5/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/10/6)-(7/2/5/10/6)-(7/2/5/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REALITOS Sep09 Aug12 Jun17 May08 Mar24 (savoie sherman)SINGH R 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
2  FITTS N STARTS Oct26 Aug14 Jul02 May15 Apr13 (peterson j)ALBERT S 121 4.50 13% 6.90    
3  ANN'S STORM Nov29 Nov21 Nov08 Aug26 Aug12 (govea cesar)TORRES A 121 4.50    
4  OUR LITTLE GIRL Oct23 Jul15 Jun05 May08 Mar24 (schwandt e)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 4.00 18% 4.60    
5  I DONT KNOW EITHER Nov29 Sep23 Sep02 Aug14 Jul31 (gomez )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00    
6  IMMA MADI TUE Sep16 Aug24 Aug15 Jun28 May30 (ney john)MURRAY M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  AVERI EVER AFTER Nov22 Sep17 Aug14 Jul03 Jun17 (duke steven)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50    
 
FG-2   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT OUT RUNNER Nov13 Oct23 Aug27 Aug13 Jun15 (ramirez-rodrigu)MCMAHON J 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  SHAWN'S SOLVING Aug28 Aug09 Jul13 Apr12 Mar08 (ney john)TORRES A 121 2.50 28% 2.50    
3  STONE ALLIANCE Nov29 Nov15 Jul18 Jun07 May23 (zenon char)MARQUEZ L 121 10.00    
4  OLDER AND WISER Nov13 Jun28 May29 May10 Apr17 (woodley j)GRAHAM J 121 3.50    
5  HARPES HILL Nov20 Aug03 Jun29 May18 May02 (patt r)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MALADJUSTED MISFIT Aug10 Jul13 Jul04 May04 Apr25 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 119 4.00    
7  TOP PRIORITY Nov30 Aug03 May23 Apr20 Apr06 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 119 6.00    
 
FG-3   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPLENDA GAIL Jul20 Jan26 Dec08 Oct12 Oct05 (briley lonnie)MCMAHON J 121 4.00 ★    
2  DE' ANS EIGHTY Nov15 Jun27 May11 Apr17 Mar24 (amoss thoma)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 1.80 68% 0.50    
3  BAYSHORE FOXES Aug16 Jul21 Jun24 May18 May07 (guillory h)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIMONA'S CHOICE Jul21 Jun15 Apr27 Mar22 Feb19 (duke steven)GRAHAM J 121 4.50    
5  GLAMOROUS LIFE Nov09 Sep26 Sep02 Aug16 Jul14 (guillory h)RAMIREZ JR 116 5.00    
6  SALLY'S SUPRISE Oct19 Oct03 Aug22 Aug01 Jul14 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.50    
 
FG-4   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKSKIN SUZIE         (ducoing s)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
2  A WICKED NUMBER         (ducoing stur)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 ★    
3  LUCKY GEM Aug12 Jul24       (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
4  TITTLE         (woodley j)MCMAHON J 120 15.00 6% 15.10    
5  ELSIE NO NACK         (david b)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
6  GLORYLAND Nov22 Oct19 Sep24     (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  WICKEDREVOLUTION Oct19 Oct06 Aug30     (desormeaux j)TORRES A 120 15.00    
8  CANDY GIRL MISS Nov16 Oct30 Oct12 Sep02 Aug02 (landry jacoby)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
9  AT FIRST LIGHT Nov08 Jun28       (castille c)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 20.00    
10  BECKY'SGOTTAHAVEIT         (david sam)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
11  PERFECT DIXIE LADY Oct25         (duhon jose)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 8.00 8% 12.10    
 
FG-5   12/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAELY'S SISTER Oct03 Sep08 Jul08 Jun15 May12 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  FLATTER ME SILLY Aug29 Jun20 May19 Apr21 Mar23 (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50    
3  RUE LALA Jul12 Jun06 May03 Mar24 Feb25 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.50    
4  SASSI STRUTTER Nov23 Aug15 Jul27 Jul12 Jun21 (thomas lee)MURRILL MITCHELL 117 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  VIOLA Jan06 Nov30 Sep20 Aug31 Aug13 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 120 4.50    
SCR  FACCIA BELLA Oct10 Aug22 Jul28 Jul06 Jun09 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50    
7  TU CHA Aug11 Jun22 May08 Apr16 Jan13 (simpson daniel)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00    
 
FG-6   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MADAME MARKIEVICZ Oct07 Sep21       (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
2  TWENTY FOUR GRAND Nov23         (zeringue j)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 15.00    
3  CRUZIN VAN NUYS         (hartman ch)WELLINGTON KYLIE 115 8.00 23% 3.30    
4  LITTLE BIT O STORM Oct23 Oct06 Sep13 Aug25   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHE'S SINGLE AGAIN Oct23 Sep21       (hartman chris)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 9% 10.10    
6  GOLDEN BONITA Nov30 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 (guillory j)RIQUELME J 120 5.00    
7  COEUR ROUGE Nov23         (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 8.00    
8  CANDYBELLE         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.00 43% 1.30    
9  FLINTLOCK Nov23 Nov02       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
 
FG-7   12/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER STORMY Sep16 Aug14 Jul09 Jun10 Apr26 (schmidt denise)RIQUELME J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CLAIRE Oct16 Sep03 Jul14 Jun06 Feb29 (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50    
3  BEADS Oct23 Oct01 Sep09 Jul24 Jun23 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
4  LEAMETATRAINER Oct10 Sep13 Jun28 Jun06   (pessin l)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00    
SCR  MS. LILIBET Nov28 Nov13 Oct16 Aug19 Jul29 (williamson bria)MCMAHON J 121 8.00    
6  SHARP FLAME Oct31 Sep28 Sep13 Jul18 Jun23 (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
7  MISS HARMONIC May24 Apr21 Mar08 Feb09 Jan18 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
8  WHERE'S THE WINE Oct30 Sep15 Aug05 Jul15 Jun08 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 30% 2.30    
9  SPIN THE BREEZE Aug10 Jul25 Jul04 May03 Apr04 (robertson mclean)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
10  MAIRSILS FIRST Oct14 Jul20 May29 Apr28 Apr06 (west henry)PARKER L 121 20.00    
 
FG-8   12/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($59K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAUSEWAY BENNY Nov14 Oct11 Jul25 Mar23 Feb17 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 121 3.50 31% 2.30    
2  CITY OF LOVE Jul19 Feb02 Jan06 Dec16 Nov09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.50    
3  RACY BILLE Nov09 Jun13 May18 Apr12 Mar08 (briley lo)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Sep18 Aug20 Jul10 May18 Jan18 (foster jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
5  BENJI STAR Nov28 Mar07 Feb17 Jan20   (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 118 4.50 26% 2.80    
6  AVERY'S GEM Nov07 Oct10 Sep10 Aug17 Jul19 (bourgeois )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
7  TAKE CHARGE J J Oct17 Jun01 May04 Mar23 Feb24 (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 12% 7.40    
8  GEM BUOY Nov28 Nov06 Oct11 Aug28 Jun20 (west g)PARKER L 118 6.00    
 
FG-9   12/12/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($59K) 2 F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PONDERING Oct05 Aug31 Jul22     (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 117 2.50    
2  SOCIAL CODE Nov03 Sep28       (flint steve)HOYTE JASON 117 3.50    
3  GOTANOTHATHINGCOMN Oct03         (russell bri)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 6.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  SWAN HOUSE Sep28 Sep06 Jul30     (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 117 6.00    
5  FINE FINISH Nov07 Oct11 May26     (calhoun willia)ORTIZ L 117 1.80 45% 1.20    
6  WATERING Nov24 Aug13 Jul13     (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 117 8.00    
 
FG-10   12/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOREST BEAST Oct23         (thomas lee)RIQUELME J 124 10.00    
2  CAT COUNTY Nov24 Jan04 Nov25     (david sam )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 11% 7.90    
3  INVOLVEDNTERACTION Sep23 Sep09 Aug23 Aug10 Jul19 (ducoing stur)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 8.00    
4  DEAL OF FAITH Nov24 Aug22       (bourgeois ke)TORRES A 122 6.00    
5  DR SPECK Sep11 Aug28 Jul25 Jun06 May08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 8.00 5% 18.80    
6  DADDY'S CODE Nov24 Nov01 Aug22     (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  LOST MY BAG Nov24 Sep16 Aug22 Aug01 Jun28 (ney john)WELLINGTON KYLIE 117 4.00 57% 0.80    
8  COMPUTERIZED Jul29 Jun26 Jun05 May15 Mar13 (west g)GRAHAM J 124 10.00    
SCR  THE FACT IS Aug24 Jul19 Jun15 May29 Nov30 (thompson kevin)SMITH R 124 20.00    
10  TAUREAN Nov29 Sep04 Aug17 Jul26 Jul11 (richard russ)JOURNET JARRED 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  CAUGHTUPNDAMOMENT Nov24 Aug17 Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 (peterson j)ALBERT S 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.