Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - October 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/6/1)-(5/2/9/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/1)-(5/2/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1)-(5/2/9/7)-(3/1/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/2/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/9/7)-(5/2/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/9/7)-(5/2/9/7)-(5/2/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/9/7)-(3/1/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9/7)-(3/1/8/7)-(5/2/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-5   WIN (3/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/7)-(3/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/7)-(3/1/8/7)-(3/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/7)-(5/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/3)-(2/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4)-(2/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/1/4)-(5/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1/4)-(5/2/4/3)-(6/10/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3)-(5/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/3)-(6/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-9   WIN (6/10/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/7)-(6/1/11/10/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/10/7)-(6/1/11/10/7)-(6/1/11/10/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAMM' DUKE Oct04 Aug09 Jul06 Jun06 May12 (ryerson t)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
2  GUNMAN Jul08 Jun24 May21 May06 Apr28 (williams omani)BROWN DALTON 124 8.00    
3  STARS N STONES Sep16 Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 2.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  BENJI BROWN Sep16 Sep02 Aug20 Jul08 Jun24 (babcock )DAVIS A 121 15.00    
5  BIG BABY HENRY Sep30 Sep02 Aug19 Jul29 Jul01 (marino josep)HARKIE K 121 12.00    
6  PROFITABILITY Sep30 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 Jun26 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  I GOT BUSTED Sep30 Feb19 Feb02     (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
FL-2   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH TALES Aug21 Aug07 Jul16 Jun19 Jun12 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 120 10.00    
SCR  SNEADS Sep23 Sep10 Aug21 Jul29 Jul08 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 120 10.00    
2  PRODUCTION CREDIT Sep03 Aug12 Jul16 Jul02 Jun12 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
3  ALMENDRO Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 Jul09 Jun04 (ubbink s)DAVIS A 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
4  SUTTON BREEZE Sep30 Sep11 Sep01 Jul29 Jul16 (lopez arcad)CAMILO D 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  CAN'T BEAT ME May20 Apr29 Mar22 Mar03 Jan06 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
6  DEVIOUS BANKER Oct02 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jun11 (pettine jame)HARKIE K 124 4.00    
 
FL-3   10/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  M. A. S. SCRUVES Sep10 Aug27 Jul24 Nov01 Oct18 (marino jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEET TOOTH SUE Sep30 Sep11 Aug28 Aug19 Jul31 (marino e)ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
2  SWEET SENSATION Sep10 Aug28 Jul24 Jun17 Jun03 (beech e)BROWN DALTON 122 15.00    
3  RAW POWER Sep30 Aug30 Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
4  DR G AND ALI Sep25 Aug27 Aug07 Jul29 Jun24 (dixon lind)DE EMANUEL 121 5.00    
SCR  SWEET SUGAR BABY Sep10 Aug28 Aug19 Jul17 Jun03 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00    
6  MUCHO MAMA MIA Jul25 May24 May03 Sep15 Aug19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
7  JESSICA'S RACE Sep11 Aug21 Jul16 Jun24 Nov13 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 4.00    
 
FL-4   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURECRAZIGROOVE Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug12 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 119 6.00    
2  BROKENHEARTED Oct01 Sep18 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 (murphy p)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
3  BLUE LIEUTENANT Oct01 Sep04 Aug21 Jul23 Jul09 (monserrate )CAMILO D 122 8.00    
4  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Oct01 Sep18 Aug06 Jul17 Jul08 (vasquez r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 10.00    
5  BUSTING CREDIT Oct01 Sep03 Aug12 Jun26 Jun03 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  HOT ROD LINCOLN Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug06 Jul23 (areche thali)BERRIOS C 122 10.00    
7  MISAWA Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Nov13 Oct17 (ashley juliu)HARKIE K 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  UNCLE VIC Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Jul23 (dea)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 20.00    
9  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Sep25 Sep03 Jul10 Jun25 Nov22 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 4.00 10% 9.10    
 
FL-5   10/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDINI Sep29 Sep14 Aug21 Jul31 Jun29 (noda orlando)HARKIE K 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
2  GINNSU WARRIOR Sep24 Sep10 Sep03 Jul04 Jun19 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
3  FLASH KISS Sep18 Aug21 Jul23 Jun24 Apr28 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
4  RAW COURAGE Sep30 Sep18 Sep03 Aug13 Jul10 (khan s)DAVILA A 124 4.00    
5  BUCK WILD Sep30 Sep10 Jul04 Jun12 May28 (wadams j)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
SCR  KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 (dixon lin)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 6.00    
7  MASETA Sep30 Sep10 Aug05 Jul16 Jul01 (murphy t)DAVIS A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  JITTER JUICE Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 Aug05 Jun19 (lopez rober)CAMILO D 124 8.00 19% 4.30    
 
FL-6   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAINTING STONES Sep09         (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 121 6.00 9% 10.20    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of PINCELADA by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  HOTTAKEJAKE May17         (breed ro)DAVIS A 121 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by DESTIN out of STRAIGHT SETS by TEXAS CITY)
3  SEVENTH RACE SHAKE Sep19 Jul26 Dec29     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREUD out of SATURDAY BLISS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  WITT DASHING SPEED Oct01 Sep23 Sep04 Aug19 Aug05 (progno micha)HARKIE K 124 30.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SHE'S GOT THEFEVER by GOLD FEVER)
5  WAR STRIDE Jan07 Dec09 Nov12 Sep17 Aug11 (weaver george)COA J 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR  RALEIGH ST. CLAIR Sep23 Mar03 Feb02 Dec10 Nov02 (ryerson t)PEREZ E 121 3.50    
  (by STREET BOSS out of HEARTS OF RED by LION HEART)
7  PAINT THE LINE Oct01 Sep16       (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 121 10.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of FINGERPAINTER by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
8  SOLO FLIGHT Sep23         (d'alessandro r)ALVARADO R 121 15.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SKY GAL by SKY MESA)
9  FIVE DESTINATIONS Sep23 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jun10 (acquilano )DE EMANUEL 124 6.00    
  (by DESTIN out of CINCO by PANCHO VILLA)
 
FL-7   10/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPE COD GEM Sep16 Jul02 Jun18 May22 Nov06 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 15% 5.60    
2  BAY BANK Sep16 Aug27 Jul17 Jun12 Nov14 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  DOUBLE SHOT Oct01 Sep16 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29 (oyola david)DAVILA A 122 4.00    
4  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Sep16 Aug20 Jul17 Jun26 May21 (englehart chris)ROHENA M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIGHTER KITE Sep18 Sep03 Aug12 Jul17 Jul01 (rohena jose)CAMILO D 124 5.00    
6  RILEY BEE Sep30 Sep18 Sep10 Aug21 Aug05 (lopez arcadi)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
7  BOTTOMLESS REFILL Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 Jul11 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 121 3.50 19% 4.20    
8  BOSS HOLIDAY Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Aug02 Jun27 (albright am)CALDERON OLIVER 122 6.00    
 
FL-8   10/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Sep17 Sep09 Aug14 Jul18 Jun18 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 5.00    
2  HONEST BANKER Sep18 Sep02 Jul30 Jul13 Jun04 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
3  BAVARIAN CREME Sep23 Apr21 Mar05 Feb10 Nov26 (buckley j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  EMBRACEABLE GAL Sep17 Aug14 Jul22 Jun18 May22 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
5  MYBRONXBABY Sep19 Aug23 Jul17 Jun18 May21 (grusmark)DAVIS A 119 2.50 33% 2.00    
6  BUSTINROXY Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 May22 May13 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 6.00    
7  SALOON GIRL Sep24 Sep09 Aug07 Jul22 Jul02 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 122 12.00    
SCR  ISLE STORM Sep17 Aug14 Jul31 Jul02 Jun05 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 12.00    
 
FL-9   10/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMANDY Sep25 Jul09 Nov20 Nov06 Oct10 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00 ★    
2  SOX FOR DAUGHTERS Sep30 Sep18 Aug26 Jul24 Jun30 (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 121 6.00    
3  GAME MISCONDUCT Sep30 Jun11 May17 Apr27 Apr12 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 121 4.00    
SCR  MANNY PENNY Sep17 Sep02 Jul28 Jun29 May25 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 15.00    
5  BOLD FORCE Jun03 Feb21 Feb01 Dec30 Nov21 (grusmark k)DE EMANUEL 121 10.00    
6  HINENI Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Jul24 Jun10 (lecesse michae)COA J 124 3.50 73% 0.40    
7  SEMINARIAN Sep25 Sep11 Aug26 Jun26 Jun10 (lecesse )DAVIS A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  CROAGH PATRICK Sep25 Sep04 Aug26 Aug06 Jul08 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 15.00    
SCR  DANCINWITHJAKE Sep25 Sep17 Aug28 Aug07 Jul23 (progno micha)HARKIE K 124 20.00    
10  IN A MINUTE Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Aug06 Jun24 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  CURLIN'S HUSTLE Sep18 Aug26 Jul21 Jul04 May18 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.