Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (12/1/3/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/1/3/5/4)-(12/1/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/1/3/5/4)-(12/1/3/5/4)-(12/1/3/5/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/1/3/5/4)-(2/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (12/1/3/5/4)-(2/5/1)-(5/1/11/12/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(5/1/11/12/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(5/1/11/12/8)-(1/5/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-3   WIN (5/1/11/12/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/11/12/8)-(5/1/11/12/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/11/12/8)-(5/1/11/12/8)-(5/1/11/12/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/11/12/8)-(1/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/11/12/8)-(1/5/2)-(8/2/10/4/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LRL-4   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(8/2/10/4/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(8/2/10/4/9)-(6/8) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-5   WIN (8/2/10/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/10/4/9)-(8/2/10/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/10/4/9)-(8/2/10/4/9)-(8/2/10/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/2/10/4/9)-(6/8) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (8/2/10/4/9)-(6/8)-(10/7/6/4/2) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
LRL-6   WIN (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/8)-(6/2/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8)-(6/2/1/8)-(6/2/1/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/8)-(10/7/6/4/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/8)-(10/7/6/4/2)-(1/2/4/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-7   WIN (10/7/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/6/4/2)-(10/7/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/6/4/2)-(10/7/6/4/2)-(10/7/6/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/6/4/2)-(1/2/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/6/4/2)-(1/2/4/7)-(6/12/1/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/7)-(6/12/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (6/12/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/12/1/10)-(6/12/1/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/12/1/10)-(6/12/1/3/10)-(6/12/1/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   10/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPLASH OF JACK Sep04 Aug24 Aug11 Jul26 Jun15 (allen fer)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 6.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  RASCALLION Aug30         (gaudet la)CARRASCO R 123 6.00    
LAURANA Aug28 Jun14 May04 Sep14   (delacour a)SANCHEZ J 126 3.50 13% 6.90    
SHE GOT THE MUNNI Jul20 Jun18 May12 Apr16 Mar10 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SUGAR BEE         (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 123 20.00 10% 8.60    
GRANUAILE Sep14 Sep04 Aug12 Jul07 Jun08 (meyers madis)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 5.00    
FUZZY WUZZY Sep04 Oct19 Aug26     (mcclure d)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 112 30.00    
MOR MOR MOR Sep14 Jul17 Jun15     (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 15.00    
BEAUTIFUL MISCHIEF Sep07 Aug16 Jul21 Feb18 Jan06 (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 123 6.00    
10  DEARLY Sep14 Dec23 Mar17     (kjelstrup e)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 30.00    
11  HAIL NO Aug24 Jul26       (payne c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 6.00    
12  WORRIES UNFOUNDED Sep14 Jul20 Jun08     (geralis emanue)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  JOYFUL KITTEN Mar15 Jul13       (robb gina)HO WESLEY 123 20.00    
SCR  BANANA SPLIT Sep20 Sep06 Jul25 Jun21 May31 (jones micha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 20.00    
 
LRL-2   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE MARK Sep27 Aug28 Jun15 Aug03 Jul19 (shankle joa)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHERIFF RONNIE Sep21 Aug11 Jul23 May18 Apr19 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
MONDAY MORNING QB Sep15 Aug11 Jun30 Jun12 May17 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 126 2.00    
SCR  B WEST Sep20 Jul26 Jun30 May16 Jul30 (magee kieron)MORALES ANGEL 123 8.00    
SUPREME LAW Sep25 Sep06 Aug16 Jul21 Jun30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 21% 3.90    
COLLABORATE Sep27 May25 May04 Mar24 Jul02 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
SCARAMANGA (IRE) Aug22 Jul28 Jun12 May29 Apr14 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50    
 
LRL-3   10/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADMIRAL'S WAVE Sep21 Aug29 Aug13 Jul27 Jun08 (geralis ema)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  FIGHTNOMOREFOREVER Sep19 Aug30 Aug21 Jul25 Jun27 (boniface kevin)PEREZ XAVIER 122 20.00    
DUCKPINS Aug23 Jul26 Jun21 Jun02 May26 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00    
SCR  BILL OF RIGHTS Sep29 Aug03 Jul27 Jan05 Dec01 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 1.40    
WASHINGTON'S UNION Sep29 Aug12 Jul28 Jun15 May23 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00 32% 2.10    
HOLEY MOLEY Sep20 Jan05 Nov25 Oct28 Oct06 (magee kieron)KARAMANOS A 126 5.00    
SWEET TRAVELS Sep21 Aug17 Jul18 Jul06 Jun21 (trombetta mich)BOYCE FOREST 119 15.00    
DR. HYDE Sep21 Aug29 Aug22 Jun14 May28 (dickey keith)TORREALBA JG 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SAVE THE KING Sep21 Aug29 Aug18 Jul20 Jan10 (woolley tim)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 30.00    
10  WIRED IN Aug29 Jul13 Jun14 May26 Nov18 (white ale)CARRASCO R 122 20.00    
11  AWESOME STRIKE Sep21 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jul07 (walters henry)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 2.50 18% 4.70    
12  COACHES MEETING Sep05 Aug11 Jul11 May19 Apr10 (delacour )CARRASCO R 126 6.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  CESNOLA Sep19 Aug29 Aug01 Jun14 Apr28 (rubley kelly)ALVELO C 123 30.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE IMAGE Sep12 Aug29 Jul27 Jul07 Jun14 (smith jason )BARBOSA JEIRON 126 12.00    
SCR  IF I WERE YOU Sep18 Jul06 Jun15 Apr12 Jan31 (rubley kelly)NO RIDER 123 15.00    
SCR  MAX BARLEY Aug30 Jun24 May31 May09 Apr09 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 123 15.00    
 
LRL-4   10/11/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($41K) 2 F PT- 1:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON CACHE Sep08 Jul21       (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
JULIA'S A FOX Aug23 Jul21 Jun22     (flores )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NANCY MARY Sep21 Aug10       (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 122 2.50    
ENTENTE Aug24         (servis jo)VARGAS A 122 3.00    
SHESMYTENDERONI Sep01         (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00 34% 2.00    
GALATINA Sep21         (brion keri)PEREZ XAVIER 122 4.00    
 
LRL-5   10/11/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($45K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARD TRAVELER Sep08 Jun09 May04 Jan05 Dec17 (beecher mark)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00    
AMERICAN MEMORIES Sep05 Aug17 Jul25 Jun21 May29 (pino michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
CONTEMPT Sep08 Aug10 Jul12 Sep10 Jun10 (motion h )CARRASCO R 126 6.00    
JHIRSCH Sep14 Aug02 Jun29 May25 Apr06 (motion g)SANCHEZ J 123 4.00 11% 7.80    
PRIMED TO GO Sep21 Aug29 May19 Apr21 Nov18 (duarte jorge )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 5.00    
CHA CHA TAP Sep11 Aug24 Jan31 Dec20 Nov24 (milosevic mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
WHISKEYINTHEJARO Feb07 Jan28 Dec30 Dec15 Nov16 (shankle joann)ALVELO C 123 30.00    
ONE BITE Aug29 Jul02 Jun14 Apr28 Mar17 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 126 6.00 29% 2.50    
STARLIFTER Sep28 Sep21 Aug17 Jul19 Jul06 (schoenthal phi)PEREZ XAVIER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  OMNI KING Aug12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct19 Sep09 (kelly blake)KARAMANOS A 126 4.50 16% 5.10    
11  UNION BULLDOG Aug23 Jul20 Jun14 Mar04 Feb11 (stidham mic)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 8.00    
SCR  FORMAL AFFAIR Sep29 Aug17 Jul19 May10 Apr05 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 6.00    
 
LRL-6   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TIGER FOREVER         (gonzalez )VARGAS A 118 5.00    
SCR  BEAUTY'S TRIP         (gonzalez )VARGAS A 118 5.00    
CURL N ROD Sep13 Aug23       (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.00    
SCR  TWOS THE BOSS         (wooten al)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
SCR  LAZY DAYS         (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00    
ON A PROUD NOTE Sep21         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 3.00    
LAURA'S THUNDER Sep01         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 122 2.50 69% 0.40    
RYLNNSLOOKINGLUCKY         (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
THOUSAND AND WON Aug23         (cooney )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-7   10/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 35 ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTA GO GO GO Sep26 Sep17 Aug12 Jul07 Jun21 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 126 4.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of LIVIA B QUICK by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
ELON Aug31 Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 Apr27 (bentley fennek)ROSADO JOHAN 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of LOVE ME TWICE by NOT FOR LOVE)
MIGRATORY Mar31 Sep22       (antonacci p)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of HOUTZEN by I AM INVINCIBLE)
WIZARDOFEZ Jul07 May22       (miceli michael)CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00 5% 17.60    
  (by BUCCHERO out of DEVILSFROSTREPORT by DEVIL HIS DUE)
KNOCKANARA Sep06         (nagle )ARAUJO VICENTE 123 30.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of QUEEN DEL VALLE by BARYSHNIKOV (AUS))
PETCOFF Aug31 Aug10 Feb11 Jan07 Nov18 (caramori caio)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 10.00 9% 9.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
PROTON SPIRIT Aug29 Nov08 Oct02 Sep08   (giddings me)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 1.60 24% 3.10    
  (by PROTONICO out of BEHAVIORAL FINANCE by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  WAR STRIDE Jan07 Dec09 Nov12 Sep17 Aug11 (weaver george)CRUZ ANGEL 126 1.40    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
BIG AMADEUS Aug10 Jul21 Jun02     (perri gina)KARAMANOS A 126 30.00    
  (by FINALE out of EVITA CAPITANA by SIDNEY'S CANDY)
10  SPEED FIGURES Aug29 Aug01       (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of SWEET FORTUNE by CANDY RIDE)
11  SIG Sep23 Aug27 Jul06 Jun02 May18 (rivera ju)CARRASCO R 126 20.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of SUEDE SHOE by PULPIT)
 
LRL-8   10/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($48K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHINE ON MOON Sep13 Aug11 Jul07 Jun14 Dec30 (lynch cathal)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 1.40 24% 3.20    
LADRO DI FICHI Sep19 Aug28 Aug14 Jul27 Jul10 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
OLD BAY Sep22 Sep04 Aug02 Jul19 May23 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 4.50    
TOUISSET Sep12 Jun16 May31 Mar29 Mar01 (gorham michael )MENA E 126 3.50 15% 5.50    
KILO ROAD Sep22 Sep02 Aug04 Jul19 Jun16 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00    
SUMMER ODDS Sep22 Aug31 Sep30 Sep09 Aug05 (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 15.00    
BONDIVA Sep14 Aug04 Nov24 Nov11 Oct19 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-9   10/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 35 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN CARDINAL Sep15 Sep04 Jul27 Jul07 May31 (mcmahon hugh )ALVELO C 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCRAPPY T LEE Oct15         (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 123 12.00    
HOT ON YOUR HEELS Sep20 Sep02 Aug15 Jul12 Jun20 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 20.00    
MILO Sep15 Jun07       (alvarado di)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00    
BAND TOUR Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Jul19 Jul06 (mccue )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 12.00    
PRETTY JIMMY Sep06 Aug17 Jul26     (cooney s)PEREZ XAVIER 123 12.00    
AGENT KELLY Sep20 Aug29 Aug17 Jul25 Jun07 (boniface kevi)KARAMANOS A 119 3.50 51% 1.00    
SPECIALAGENTJONSON Sep20 Aug15 May25 Oct14 Aug03 (cudworth pau)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 6.00    
THICK AS THIEVES Feb01 Oct27       (salvaggio mark )BEATO INOEL 123 8.00    
IS IT FIVE Sep01 Aug15 Jul28 Jul06 Jun16 (stettin)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 114 30.00    
10  BOX OF ROCKETS Jun23 May24 May11 Mar23 Feb10 (plummer)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  GIFT EXCHANGE Aug17 Jul21 Jun09 May18   (trombetta mich)BOYCE FOREST 123 12.00    
12  MILE HIGH MIRACLE Sep22 Aug25 Aug17 Jul19 Jun07 (singh somraj)TORREALBA JG 123 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  SHEAR MAGIC Aug03 Jul15 Oct08     (kelly blake)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
SCR  RALEIGH ST. CLAIR Sep23 Mar03 Feb02 Dec10 Nov02 (ryerson t)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.