Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mountaineer Park
Monday - September 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MNR-1   WIN (11/2/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/2/8/9)-(11/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (11/2/8/9)-(3/5/6/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-2   WIN (3/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/6/1)-(5/3/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/1)-(5/3/8/9)-(4/6/8/7) 64 $2.00 $128 
MNR-3   WIN (5/3/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/9)-(5/3/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/9)-(4/6/8/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/8/7)-(4/6/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/6/8/7)-(4/6/8/7)-(4/6/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/6/8/7)-(6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MNR-5   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(3/1)-(1/5/4/2/3) 30 $2.00 $60.00 
MNR-7   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/5/4/2/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
MNR-8   WIN (1/5/4/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/2/3)-(1/5/4/2/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/2/3)-(1/5/4/2/3)-(1/5/4/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MNR-1   09/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OBIWAN Sep04 Aug20 Jul08 Jun09 May21 (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 120 6.00    
2  STRIDE Aug21 Feb15 Jan18 Dec22 Sep23 (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 120 4.00 25% 3.00    
3  MISTERCHILLIWILLI Sep01 Aug21 Aug04 Jul08 Jul01 (fletcher jeff)YARANGA Y 120 4.50    
SCR  MR HARRY Jul28 Jul09 Jun26 Jun19 Jun04 (sipp burt)HERNANDEZ H 120 15.00    
5  CANDY TYCOON Aug23 Jul08 Jun16 May25 Apr25 (craig armonte)HO WESLEY 120 2.00    
SCR  OPRY Jun18 May13 Apr08 Feb05 Jan08 (pease harry)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
7  TATE Sep01 Aug20 Jun15 May24 Apr12 (sanders melinda)LEON A 120 10.00    
8  THRU THE VINE Sep04 Aug06 Jul10 Jan24 Dec21 (johnson gary)TAPARA BRANDON 120 12.00 8% 11.70    
9  AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM Aug01 Sep09 Aug18 Feb17 Jan20 (bourke liam)NEGRON LUIS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HARD LOVE Aug26 Jul15 Jun11 May28 May10 (crago terry)WHITACRE B 120 20.00    
11  DOWAGIAC CHIEF Aug21 Aug07 Jul15 Jun12 May22 (rogers mich)CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
12  AFJAN Sep04 Aug12 Jul02 Apr30 Apr09 (clouston edward)FELICIANO R 120 6.00    
SCR  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Aug24 Aug02 Jul17 Jul05 May15 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 15.00    
 
MNR-2   09/16/2024 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAZTHAROS Aug12 Jul22 Jul15 Jul08 Jun19 (ccamaque )HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  MASKED Aug25 Jul08 Jun23 Nov06 Sep05 (spiess shan)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 20.00    
3  YEUDIEL Sep04 Aug05 Jul23 Jun26 Jun04 (montano wilf)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  JUSTWAVEANDSMILE Sep08 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun17 (viands gregory)VEGA L 120 5.00    
5  CITY PLAN Sep08 Aug26 Aug13 Aug04 Jul11 (zook w)YARANGA Y 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
6  POET OF LIFE (IRE) Aug22 Aug09 Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 15.00 12% 7.60    
7  TEMPLET Aug06 Jul22 Jul04 Jun12 May28 (connelly tere)CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.50    
SCR  TWO GUNS Jul30 Jun17 Apr23 Mar06 Feb14 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 8.00    
9  ZERO FOR CONDUCT Aug20 Jul14 Jun24 Jun04 May14 (witherow wil)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 30.00    
10  ROYAL AIR FORCE Sep02 Jul30 Jul02 Jun08 May23 (yoder sus)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 10.00    
SCR  CHROME HEIR Sep04 Jun12 May22 Apr25 Mar30 (pickett cryst)BRACHO A 120 20.00    
 
MNR-3   09/16/2024 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HASHTAG NO WONDER Sep05 Aug01 Oct26 Aug04 Jul08 (morris r)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.00    
2  UNDERTOW Aug25 Aug04 Jul17 Jul09 Jun26 (viands gregory)VEGA L 123 5.00    
3  CROWNED JEWEL Aug27 Aug05 Jul24 Jul03 Jun17 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 121 3.00 12% 7.10    
4  WILD WINE Aug27 Aug13 Aug04 Jul07 Jun04 (pizzurro jessica)AVILES YAN 120 20.00    
5  TAP EM Aug04 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May27 (inirio carlo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
6  SEXY CHOCOLATTE Sep08 Aug27 Aug18 Jul26 Jul09 (dixon geoffrey )TAPARA LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  DON'T CROSS JACK Aug11 Jul24 Jun18 May27 Apr25 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 120 10.00    
8  GAMER Aug20 Jul13 Jun21 May30 May13 (andrade hugo)MURGIA A 120 8.00 8% 11.10    
9  QUEBECK (ARG) Aug11         (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MNR-4   09/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIANNA QUEEN Sep04 Aug20 Aug13 Jun24 Jun10 (inirio o)TAPARA LUIS 123 15.00    
2  SONADOR Aug20 Jul14 Jun08 May14 May01 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 2.50    
3  CROSSTOWN GIRL Aug26 Jan25 Jan04 Nov27 Nov12 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
4  UP IN ARMS Sep04 Aug27 Aug09 Jul12 Jun29 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
SCR  BELLE OF ST. JOHN Sep02 Aug13 Jul17 Jun20 May30 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 8.00    
6  LUCKY STEPPER Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jul10 Jun23 (denny travis)WHITACRE B 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
7  CAPTAIN ANNE Aug28 Aug05 Jul07 Jun25 Jun04 (cox g)BRACHO A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  FORGLO Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 Jul07 Jun24 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 8.00 7% 14.40    
 
MNR-5   09/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYTOWN AMY ROSE Sep04 Aug21 May18 Apr11   (mcentee paul)WHITACRE B 115 4.50 ★    
  (by GAME WINNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BAYTOWN BEATLE Sep10 Aug20 Aug10 Jul18 Apr21 (mcentee paul)BRACHO A 118 2.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SONG SUNG TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  STREET LASS Jun08 May24 May03 Apr07   (stanoszek sa)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 30.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
4  DONT COMPRESS         (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 115 10.00    
  (by TURBO COMPRESSOR out of IDONTKNOW MAYBE by DONERAILE COURT)
5  REVOCATA         (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of UNCHECKED by UNBRIDLED)
6  NARIZON Aug31 Aug25 Jun05 May04 Apr11 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 113 2.50 69% 0.40    
  (by STANFORD out of ZAKAR by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  ADIOS KID         (delong ben)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 8.00    
  (by PATAKY KID out of LOVE IN PARIS by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  MIMA PRINCESS Aug25 Jun17 May29     (bouali wajdi)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 110 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of IDERATHERBLUCKY by IDE)
 
MNR-6   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Jul23 Jun24 May13 Apr10 Apr01 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 120 3.50 16% 5.20    
2  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Sep03 Aug11 Jul14 Jun30 Jun02 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 120 2.50    
3  INDEFATIGABLE Sep03 Aug12 Jul10 Jun23 May10 (norris ste)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 10.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Aug11 Jul23 Jun24 May28 Apr10 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 20.00    
5  T MONEY Aug11 May30 Apr30 Apr13 Mar19 (johnson)BRAVO MISAEL 115 12.00    
6  FOWL NATION Sep01 Aug12 Jul30 Jul14 Jun01 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 29% 2.40    
7  HIDDEN RULER Sep03 Aug19 Oct11 Sep19 Sep05 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 2.00    
 
MNR-7   09/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE HAD A SECRET Sep04 Aug13 Jul09 Jan02 Dec19 (roberson don)TAPARA BRANDON 120 8.00 14% 6.40    
SCR  LUCKY BOP Aug20 Jul29 Jul16 Jun23 Jun14 (craig lewi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 115 3.50    
3  THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT Aug28 Jul03 Jun05 Apr23 Mar13 (mcentee paul)MURGIA A 118 6.00 38% 1.60    
4  SHARP AZ CAN BE Jul24 Jun11 May20 Apr25 Feb22 (urieta johanna)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.00    
5  ALMOND FUDGE Aug14 Jul14 Jun19 Jun01 May16 (crago terry)WHITACRE B 118 8.00    
SCR  LEAVE DRAMA BEHIND Aug28 Jul31 Apr26 Apr12 Mar02 (sanders meli)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 20.00    
SCR  WORTH A PEEK Aug28 Jun20 May07 Jul02 Jun13 (delong ben)AVILES YAN 120 4.50    
SCR  MISS COMPRESSOR Jul10 Jun24 Aug28 Aug02 Nov17 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 4.00    
 
MNR-8   09/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENZOEXPRESS Aug19 Jul31 Jul15 Apr30 Jan31 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
2  LADY'S BOY Aug25 Aug11 Jul15 Jul03 Oct10 (brown t)AVILES YAN 123 20.00 7% 13.10    
3  LITTLE VAQUERO Aug26 Aug14 Jul24 Jun19 Jun04 (montano wilf)VILCHEZ MAIKOL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY MAE DAY Aug25 Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 May21 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 22% 3.60    
5  FLAMING EAST Aug19 Jul29 Jul05 Jun14 May25 (clouston e)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  SYNCLINES TRIP Dec10         (kocijan marcus)BUSH V 123 15.00    
7  SOMERSET BAY Sep03 Aug04 Jul14 Jun24 Jun04 (stanoszek sara)WHITACRE B 123 20.00    
8  VERRAZANO LEGACY Jul10 Dec05 Nov26 Aug20 Jul17 (sanders melinda)DAVILA M 123 30.00    
9  GOTTAGETITBACK Sep03 Aug19 Aug11 Jul29 Jul22 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50    
10  I'M A COOL MAN Sep01 Jul31 Jul23 Jul08 Jun30 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 123 4.00    
SCR  RIVERBOAT GAMBLER Aug25 Jul08 May27 Nov21 Oct31 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 2.00    
SCR  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Aug21 Aug11 Jul29 Jul09 Jun19 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 3.50    
SCR  MY BLUE EYES May10 Apr20 Mar07 Feb01 Dec29 (martinez joseph)VEGA L 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.