Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - August 30, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/10)-(3/4/2/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/10)-(3/4/2/10)-(3/4/2/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/10)-(1/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/10)-(1/7/5/4)-(4/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4)-(1/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/5/4)-(4/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/4)-(4/1/2/5)-(4/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5)-(4/1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/5)-(4/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/5)-(4/2/9)-(8/6/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/9)-(4/2/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/9)-(4/2/7/9)-(4/2/7/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/9)-(8/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/9)-(8/6/4/1)-(1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (8/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1)-(8/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/4/1)-(1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4/1)-(1/7)-(1/8/6/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/7)-(1/8/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(1/8/6/7)-(1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/7)-(1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/7)-(1/3/7)-(7/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-8   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-9   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Fort Indiantown Gap Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMERICAN SAINT Aug14 Jul23 Jun20 May25 Apr05 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 122 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KATERI by DANCE BRIGHTLY)
2  ON THE SHORTLIST Jul29 Jul04 Jun18 May31 Nov11 (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.00 ★    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GWENDOLYN by LION HEARTED)
3  PRINCESS JAVONCIA Jul31 Jun29 May31 May03 Jan20 (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of DANCINGINTHESTREET by CAHILL ROAD)
4  FILLMORE EAST Aug16 Jul18 Jun25 Sep14 Sep01 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 125 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by CONGRATS out of DARK CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  DOCTOR ABBIE Aug17 Jul24 Jul11 May31 May24 (kravets b)VARGAS L 125 12.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of LA ESTRELLITA by CRYPTO STAR)
6  FILTERED LIGHT Jul26 Jul04 Jun18 May29 May15 (moreno tito)CORA D 125 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LEAFY SHADE by NEW APPROACH)
7  GETAWAY PALACE Jul26 Jun26 Jun17 May27 Oct20 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 6.00    
  (by PALACE out of STORMIN' TAFFY by SEEKING THE DIA)
8  LADY OUTOFTHE BLUE Jul29 Jul04 May31 Feb17 Jan19 (matz r)CRUZ ANGEL 125 3.50    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of CUBIST by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR  AMUNET Jul11 Jun18 Feb14 Jan17 Dec22 (matz r)TORRES JOMAR 125 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SUNLIGHT CAT by FOREST WILDCAT)
10  SWAN POINT Jul11 May24 May02 Dec20 Nov22 (murillo ric)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OXBOW out of FLEET SPECIAL by AFLEET ALEX)
11  PRIVATE CREDIT Aug07 Jul11 Jun18 May30 Oct12 (hendriks richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 125 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAVEANICEWEEKEND by ADIOS CHARLIE)
 
PEN-2   08/30/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Summer Fun Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRISPER Aug02 Jul05 Jun16 May31 Oct28 (woolley t)HERNANDEZ A 125 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of JE SUIS ENCHANTEE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
2  KAZ SUGAR BANK Jul05 May31 Mar30 Feb11 Jan27 (synnefias dimitri)CHIAPPE R 125 10.00    
  (by BANK HEIST out of SPUN SUGAR by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  JAYJAYDEE Aug16 Aug08 Jul19 Jun26 May31 (kravets b)VARGAS L 125 12.00    
  (by JUMP START out of MISS HOLICONG by FIRST SAMURAI)
4  CURLINGTON Aug01 Jul05 Jun04 May16 Apr13 (rathman e)RODRIGUEZ R 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of MOMENT OF MAJESTY by SAINT LIAM)
5  TUDOX OPPORTUNITY Jul24 Jul05 May31 Nov30 Nov01 (rathman eli)WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 5.00 12% 7.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DISTINCT SPARKLE by WITH DISTINCTION)
6  HOMETOWN HERO Aug22 Jul25 Jul05 Jun26 Jun04 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 125 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MIDNIGHT SWEETIE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
7  RETWEET Aug01 Jul08 Jun25 Jun16 May28 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 2.50 29% 2.50    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of TWEET by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  MAJOR THOMAS Jul04 Jun11 May24 May02 Mar15 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 125 4.50    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of JOY TO RUN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
9  MAX BARLEY Jun24 May31 May09 Apr09 Mar15 (zalalas michael)CORA D 122 15.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of PINK ELEPHANT by ACTIVIST)
SCR  A WESTERN YARN Jul10 May31 Sep09 Jul24 May20 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 125 4.00    
  (by EASTWOOD out of BASKET STITCH by TIZNOW)
 
PEN-3   08/30/2024 3300ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Lebanon Valley Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK FORTY Jul08 Jun20 May29 May09 Mar15 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
  (by PAYNTER out of RAGING SMOKE by MORE SMOKE)
2  RUSTY MY BROTHER Aug20 Jul30 Jul04 Jun18 May29 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 125 6.00 13% 6.80    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of ESTAPRIMO by PRIMAL STORM)
3  BLAME CATALAYA Jul17 Jun19 May30 May15 Apr25 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 125 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of MAKE AMENDS by MALIBU MOON)
4  ANAITA Aug14 Jul20 Jul12 Jun11 Jun01 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by LEA out of HOOKIPA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
5  COULD BE A COUGAR Jul08 Jun20 May31 Apr22 Mar07 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of ANIMALISTIC by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
6  ORGANIZED CHAOS Jul13 Jun24 Jun12 May07 Mar07 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 125 3.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of HARMONIC MISS by SUBORDINATION)
7  SHORTY MAC Aug16 Jul18 Jul12 Jun11 Oct24 (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 125 6.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of NO SEE UM by GREATNESS)
SCR  EMPRESS DEONA Jul18 Jun20 May13 Mar27 Feb28 (lake scott )WOLFSONT ANDREW 125 8.00    
  (by EMPEROR TIBERIUS out of DEONA by YANKEE VICTOR)
9  WEST ABBOTT Jul31 Jul20 Jun26 Jun11 May17 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 125 12.00    
  (by HIGHLAND REEL out of KORTOBA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  UP FOR IT Aug29 Aug13 Jul18 Jun12 May18 (matz mich)HERNANDEZ A 125 5.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of VELVET MOOD by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  RAINAS ROLLIN Aug16 Jul24 Jul03 Jun04 May21 (rogers w)CORA D 125 6.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of FREEZING FAST by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  HIPNOTIZADA Aug14 Aug08 Jul28 Jul18 Jun27 (smith law)CAMACHO JR 125 15.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of PRECIOUS PENNY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
PEN-4   08/30/2024 3300ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Don't Close Your Eyes Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO MOSCATO Jul12 Jun13 May22 May03 Mar06 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 122 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of FIGHTING MARKET by AFTER MARKET)
2  MAGIC SPIN Jun30 Jun12 May17 Mar21 Feb07 (de horacio)BEATO INOEL 125 10.00 20% 4.10    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ARAGORN AMI by ARAGORN (IRE))
SCR  MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT Jun25 Jun07 May17 Apr14 Mar20 (lake a)OCASIO M 125 10.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MOONLIGHT BASIN by EUROSILVER)
4  JEAN VALJEAN Jul19 Jun19 Feb09 Dec08 Oct24 (merryman )HERNANDEZ A 125 1.80 57% 0.70    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LADY'S TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  BRADITUDE Jul19 Jun13 May20 Oct18 Oct02 (rogers ro)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of EXIT INTERVIEW by NOTIONAL)
6  I KNOW MAP Jun28 May31 Mar23 Mar01 Feb14 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of IMA THREE BLINGER by TOO MUCH BLING)
7  PSYCHEDELIC SHACK Jul19 Jul05 Jun22 May31 May09 (beecher mark)CENTENO E 125 2.50 ★    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of CAPRI SONG by MORE THAN READY)
8  ALMOND CIDER Aug16 Jul21 Jul01 May29 May13 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 20.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of BOURBON'S RAHFEE by NOT BOURBON)
9  KISS THEM DEADLY Jul17 Jul27 Jul12 Jun16 Jul22 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of KILLIN THEM SOFTLY by WILDCAT HEIR)
 
PEN-5   08/30/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAST FREEZE KAZ Jul17 Jun13 May10 Mar15 Feb22 (sinnefia pa)RAMOS O 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ANNA'S GOT STYLE May18 Apr07 Mar20 Mar07   (stites w)AGUILAR M 118 20.00    
3  TROPHY ROOM Aug15 Jul24 Jun24 Jun01 May22 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00    
4  NEON SIGN Jul31 Jul04 Jun15 May22 Apr30 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 3.00 11% 8.40    
5  THIS RUN'S FOR YOU Aug16 Jul21 Jun01 Apr18 Apr11 (yanez reynaldo)AGUILAR JEAN 114 10.00    
6  TERMSOFENGAGEMENT Aug07 Jul12 May23 May09 Feb20 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 121 5.00 11% 7.90    
7  NUEDORF Aug19 Jul09 Jun17 Jun04 May08 (padilla hugo)HADDOCK DEXTER 118 6.00    
8  BYK Dec29 Nov25 Oct05 Apr30 Apr07 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00 57% 0.70    
 
PEN-6   08/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAR LADY Aug08 Jun25 May22 Mar22 Feb29 (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 4.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  CANNY LAND Aug24 Jul27 Jun26 Jun05 May26 (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 2.50    
SCR  LA LIMA Jul26 Jul12 Jun18 May31 May15 (ippolito ma)CALDERON OLIVER 123 15.00    
SCR  TURBO MILLIE Aug24 Aug08 Jul25 May25 Apr28 (simoff an)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
5  RAW POWER Aug21 Aug02 Jul19 Jun23 May18 (fields kevi)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 3.50    
6  HI HEELED WARRIOR Aug21 Aug08 Jul19 Jun25 Jun04 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 125 6.00    
7  ERIN'S ENTHUSIASM Jul22 Jun26 Jun04 May13 Apr29 (aristone ph)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 10.00 10% 9.00    
 
PEN-7   08/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE EDDIE Jul11 Jun12 May30 May15 Mar28 (moreno-barb)CALDERON OLIVER 120 1.60 36% 1.80    
2  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Aug16 Jul19 Jun27 Nov09 Sep21 (cifarelli fran)AGUILAR JEAN 116 20.00    
3  DELETED VIDEO Jun29 Jun08 May23 Apr05   (crane clovis)CORA D 120 2.50    
4  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Aug23 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 Jun18 (fields kevin)USKE S 120 15.00    
5  BENCH PRESS Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Aug24 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 123 8.00    
6  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE Aug21 Jul25 Jul10 Nov08 Oct27 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 8.00 13% 6.50    
7  CALL ME NOW Jul12 Jun26 Jun03 May07 Apr15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BAG OF GOLD Aug16 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 May22 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
PEN-8   08/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REZQUIA Aug21 Aug02 Jul18 Jun20 May16 (kravets b)VARGAS L 120 1.40 27% 2.70    
SCR  RAIN LILLY Jun12 May29 Mar23 Feb16 Feb08 (moreno tito)CORA D 123 4.00    
3  WARRIOR BERNICE Jul10 Jun25 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 26% 2.80    
4  FOXEY G Aug21 Jul26 Jul17 Jun27 Jun13 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 6.00    
SCR  FORCEZILLA Aug22 Aug07 Jul05 Jun13 May23 (davis earl )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
6  BO RUNKLE Aug21 Sep07 Jul28 Jun30 May24 (moreno tito)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
7  LET'S GO MO Aug22 Aug02 Jul18 Jun20 May23 (miller marl)CALDERON OLIVER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-9   08/30/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE DONT NEED ROADS Aug18 Jul19 Jul03 Jun06 May25 (salvaggio mark)TORRES JOMAR 125 2.50    
2  ELVIRUS Aug20 Aug02 Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 (rosado roberto)AGUILAR JEAN 118 3.00    
SCR  THE GREAT CASBY Aug16 Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 May22 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 125 20.00    
4  FORECLOSURE Aug16 Jul18 Jul05 Jun20 Jun12 (graci kim)VARGAS L 125 8.00 18% 4.60    
5  MUSKOKA GIANT Jul25 Jul10 Jun25 Jun06 May22 (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.50    
6  PORSUPUESTO Aug24 Jul23 Jul09 Jul01 Jun18 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BEE BY THE SEA Aug16 Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 Apr22 (salvaggio m)SALGADO ANTHONY 125 3.50 41% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.