Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - August 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(3/4)-(5/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/1/3/6)-(7/3/8/11) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-4   WIN (5/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6)-(5/1/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3/6)-(7/3/8/11)-(6/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/3/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/11)-(7/3/8/12/11/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/11)-(7/3/8/12/11/6)-(7/3/8/12/11/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
BTP-6   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(2/6/1)-(6/2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUTHORITARIAN Aug08 Jul24 Jun26 May29 Dec16 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 2.00 49% 1.00    
2  PICKFORD Jul10 Jun20 Oct16 Oct02 Sep10 (conto kevin)BUSH V 122 12.00    
3  MY BARILEY Jul15 Jun12 May23 May07 Mar22 (leonard iii)MCKEE J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOBO SALVAJE Jul20 Jul03 Jun16 May23 May13 (salas felip)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 8.00    
5  DRIFTWOOD Jun27 May30 Mar16 Feb22 Jan26 (kordenbrock m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 5.00 ★    
6  JUANITA'S EXPRESS Jun27 May29 Mar16 Feb07 Jan12 (deegan c)MOJICA JR 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  ONE LUCKY DAY Jul24 Jun27 May29 Jan04 Dec13 (hernandez rey)SOSA LAUREANO 122 15.00    
8  POET OF LIFE (IRE) Aug09 Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 May16 (haehn r)OUZTS W 122 20.00    
SCR  READY FOR ACTION Jul24 Jul13 Jun22 Jun07 May24 (douaihy mi)CARPIO J 120 20.00    
SCR  RAISON KARTER Jul26 Jul10 Jun01 May15 Dec18 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
SCR  ORB OF THE BORO Aug03 Jul25 Jul05 Jun08 Sep01 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00    
 
BTP-2   08/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALAMOR Jul20 Jan26 Jan11 Dec28 Nov17 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.00    
2  TEN BITS Jul20 Jun22 Apr25 Mar07 Feb23 (short thomas)SOSA LAUREANO 120 6.00 7% 14.40    
3  AMERICAN SILVER Aug08 Jul26 Jul10 Jun22 Dec16 (melancon paul)CANUTO THIAGO 125 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  KLAY B EVEN MONEY Aug08         (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 4.00    
SCR  RUN CECIL Jul22         (newton troy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 4.50    
6  KOHAKU Aug10 Jul27 Jul10 Jun15 May30 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 125 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
BTP-3   08/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDSTRIKER Aug03 Jun27 Jun07 Oct31 Oct12 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 3.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of MONGOOSE GOLD by MONGOOSE)
SCR  JUBILEE BEN PLAYIN Aug02 May22 May04 Apr25   (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 114 4.50    
  (by THE PLAYER out of JUBILEE PARTNER by PARTNER'S HERO)
3  ATLAS FALLS Jun14 Apr10 Dec19 Nov16   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by BERNARDINI out of OLDFASHIONED STYLE by OLD FASHIONED)
4  COUSIN JOE Aug03 Jul20 Jun07 May22 May04 (adams l)HESS SARA 114 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
5  PARTY POOPER Aug03 Jul20 May30 May16 Apr25 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 1.60    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of INTERCOASTAL by GEMOLOGIST)
 
BTP-4   08/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. BELLA Jul24 Jun28 Jun14 May11 Apr26 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
2  DOMITIA LUCILLA Jul24 Jun28 Jun01 Jan27 Jan06 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50    
3  HONEY RUN Aug07 Jul13 Jun14 May19 Apr27 (heitzman eric)OUZTS W 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  TWO HEARTED Aug01 Jul12 Jul04 May31 May17 (salas felipe)MCKEE J 118 6.00    
5  DESTINY'S DARLING Aug01 Jun29 May23 May04 Mar15 (newton troy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  FUTURE FLAY Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 Jun05 May16 (aguirre juan )SOSA LAUREANO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  KERLO'S CAUSE Aug07 Jun29 Jun13 May22 May15 (short thomas)MURGIA A 120 5.00    
 
BTP-5   08/22/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAMBLIN CHROME Jul27 Jul08 Jun24 May18 Apr30 (mauro juli)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00    
2  MONJE SOLAIA Aug01 Jul19 Jul11 Jun29 May23 (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 12.00    
3  MYTHOMANIA Jul24 Jun12 Jan31 Dec09 Sep23 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
4  LET IT RIDE CLYDE Jul25 Jul10 Jun29 Jun17 May27 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 123 8.00    
5  ROYAL DECADENCE Jul24 Jul06 Jun26 Jun08 May25 (alvarez ne)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 12.00    
6  MO BETTA Aug01 Jul04 Aug27 Jul29 Jun23 (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 123 20.00 ★    
7  RED LINE OVERDRIVE Aug12 Jun12 May26 Apr12 Mar10 (kubinova eliska)SERPA ANGEL 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
8  FORT LOWELL Aug07 Jul24 Jun22 Jun01 Mar27 (anderson susa)SOSA LAUREANO 123 4.50 10% 9.10    
9  JEST ABOVE Aug07 Jul06 Jun21 Jun08 May23 (nunez maur)BATISTA X 123 20.00    
10  FIRE WIRE Aug07 Jul19 Jun29 Jun19 Jun01 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 15.00    
11  CENTAURO Jul15 Jun29 Jun13 May27 May04 (torr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  POGOERIACH Aug10 Jun22 Jun05 May23 May06 (o'donnell marcus)OUZTS W 125 5.00 ★    
 
BTP-6   08/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EARL'S STORMY WIND Aug03         (cline robert )JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 5.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of BRICK BY BRICK by GRAND CIRCUS PARK)
2  R CLIFFHANGER Aug02 Dec13 Nov22 Oct24 Oct06 (melancon paul)MURGIA A 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIRDRUN out of STORMY MAY by BAD STORM COMIN')
3  FATHER FRANK Aug03 Jul18 Sep07 Aug19   (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 8.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of HOLY HABIT by HOLY BULL)
4  PLAYFULASITGETS Jul05 Jun05 May15 Dec18 Oct28 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 3.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of BE PLAYFUL by PURE PRIZE)
5  HEIDI N SEEK Aug03         (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of COAX ME HEIDI by COAX ME CHAD)
6  ROCKET LAUNCHER Aug03 Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 May30 (kerr n)MOJICA JR 125 2.00 35% 1.80    
  (by FACTUM out of AUNT SIS by STRAVINSKY)
 
BTP-7   08/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR CLINE Jul22 Jul05 Jun01 May10 Aug18 (cline c)BUSH V 123 6.00 12% 7.70    
2  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Jul19 Jun07 May17 Apr27 Apr12 (delong ben)MURGIA A 123 4.00 38% 1.60    
3  IMPROBABLE STORY Jul25 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 Jun05 (king l)MOJICA JR 123 10.00    
SCR  BUZZER Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 Jun01 May25 (baez sergio)MCKEE J 125 2.00    
5  DROP IT Jul24 Jun26 Jun08 May21 Apr30 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 123 4.50    
6  MOBSTER GUN May26 May10 Mar13 Feb16 Jan25 (hartman chris)ELLIOTT JANE 123 3.50 14% 6.10    
7  SAILOR'S CHANCE Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 Jun20 Mar14 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
 
BTP-8   08/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DABOOM         (conto kevin)BUSH V 120 8.00 7% 13.40    
  (by DOMINUS out of ALMYRA by PAYNTER)
2  RACHMAN Jul26         (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
  (by SQUADRON A out of HARD BOW by OXBOW)
3  C SUITE BOY Jul28         (morey william)SOSA LAUREANO 120 4.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of BOSWORTHY by UNCAPTURED)
4  NEAP TIDE May07 Mar22 Jan26 Dec16 Sep23 (dixon jr)HESS SARA 120 12.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of DIAVOLA by DUKE OF MARMALADE (IRE))
5  WARRING THUNDER Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 May29 May15 (alessi jam)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of ESTHER RISING by CONCORD POINT)
6  MR PUK May05         (ortiz alexande)MCKEE J 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of DIXIE DUDETTE by DIXIE UNION)
7  SOUTH OF BIRMINHAM May31         (delong ben)MURGIA A 120 6.00    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of GOLDEN PERFECTION by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
8  MAESTRO Jul16         (mackey wayne)ELLIOTT JANE 120 4.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.