Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - August 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(2/1/4/7)-(1/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/7)-(1/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/7)-(1/6/4)-(4/5/7/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(4/5/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(4/5/7/6)-(2/7/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (4/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/6)-(2/7/6/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/6)-(2/7/6/3)-(2/1/5/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3)-(2/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/6/3)-(2/1/5/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-6   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3)-(2/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/4/9/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(2/4/9/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (2/4/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/7)-(2/4/9/8/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/7)-(2/4/9/8/7)-(2/4/9/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORTHTHEMONEY Jul01 May27 Apr12 Mar16 Oct19 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 8.00    
NEON DEION Jul24 Jul09 Jun26 Jun04 Apr13 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 118 3.50    
ROBO WARRIOR Jul22 Jul03 Jun05 May22 Mar12 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 1.60 23% 3.40    
REBEL WARRIOR Jul31 Jul16 Apr18 Mar21 Mar08 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
ON AN ISLAND Jul09 Jun19 Jun04 May20 Oct26 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
RISEN SAVIOR Jul16 Jul03 Jun10 May22 Jul25 (depasquale kimb)BAYS BROOKE 115 6.00    
 
PID-2   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ODDLY ATTRACTIVE         (wismer s)SPIETH S 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
REIGERT GIRLS Jul10 Jun17 Jun04 May20 Dec29 (girten t)GALLARDO A 115 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of REIGERT by INTO MISCHIEF)
CROWNING PRINCE Jul01         (morrell justin)ALLEN D 124 4.00    
  (by CROWN OF THORNS out of DOUBLEBLACKDIAMOND by CASH DEPOSIT)
CHEERFUL TROUT Jul31 Jul04 Jun25 Jun03 May27 (valdez moises)GONZALEZ ALEX 115 3.00 8% 12.10    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of BUCK TROUT'S NIECE by WAQUOIT)
MR. IMPATIENT Jul29 Jul04 Jun12 May20 Oct24 (morrell just)ALENCAR WALBER 120 15.00    
  (by GOT THE LAST LAUGH out of TURKOCRAFT by CRAFTY FRIEND)
MICHAELSHATRICK Jul01 Jun10       (barron r)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLEETHEART by NORTHERN AFLEET)
CHIPS LEGACY Jul15 Jun25       (russell )MARTINEZ A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of CHIP'S SISTER by MONETARY GIFT)
GRUIT Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 Oct26 Oct19 (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 30.00    
  (by EQUALITY out of MYSTERY DATE by DEHERE)
 
PID-3   08/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET NOLA Jul23 Jul03 Jun17 May29 Mar03 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Jul23 Jul04 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 124 6.00    
INDIAN SPIDEROO Jul23 Jul03 Jun05 Aug01 Jul11 (kintz s )RODRIGUEZ O 122 3.00    
METANOIA Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 Jun08 May06 (uhacz we)GALLARDO A 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
EASTERN SUNRISE Jul17 Jun04 Apr27 Mar15 Feb15 (davis christophe)MARTINEZ W 118 2.50    
OMIKAMI Jul15 Jun25 Jun11 May21 Dec27 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
 
PID-4   08/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COURAGEOUS ARI Jul22 Jul03 Jun17 Jun05   (skawinski caro)ALLEN D 120 3.50    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of THATZA WRAP by HARD SPUN)
SCR  VALIANT ENYA         (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 6.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of MINE FOR LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MARKET ORDER         (kleine l)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of MARKET PRICE by TOUCH GOLD)
SADIE'S GRACE         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by BAYERN out of FLANNERY'S GRACE by FIRST DEFENCE)
HIDDEN RECIPE Jul03         (hamm timothy)ALENCAR WALBER 120 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SECRET INGREDIENT by CONGRATS)
SCR  JASMINES WORLD         (kleine bernar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of PRINCESS JASMINE by ARTAX)
INSTABRAT         (hamm timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of BRITTNEY BRAT by PIKEPASS)
ON RESERVE         (cheeks k)RODRIGUEZ O 120 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of RESERVE LIST by KANTHAROS)
 
PID-5   08/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANIPPE Jun25 May28 Feb08 Dec27 Nov16 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 6.00    
JENNY LIND Jul17 Jun25 Mar16 Feb14 Dec15 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
UPPITY UP Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 Jun04 May20 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
KILLSHAVE BEAUTY May30 Apr27 Oct11     (mckeever)RODRIGUEZ O 118 4.00    
ROZAY SUMMER Jul24 Jun28 Jun09 Mar15   (rice kevin)MARTINEZ W 120 8.00    
VICTORY BADGE Jun25 Jun08 May05 Nov10 Oct20 (trombetta mi)AYALA J 118 4.50 16% 5.20    
LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD Jul17 Jun03 Apr10 Oct31 Oct12 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
PID-6   08/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETROIT CITY Jun29 Jun06 Apr27 Mar23 Feb25 (amaya jo)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
WOODCHUCK Jul15 Jun26 Jun10 May22 Oct19 (rogers mic)AYALA J 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
SIMON SAYS May15 Feb14 Jan08 Dec26 Jun24 (pizzurro joseph)BAYS BROOKE 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
NOBLE JON Jul23 Jul05 Jun13 May09 May04 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00    
CHEWING GUM Jun26 Dec09 Nov17 Oct27 Sep03 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
BLOW TORCH Jul06 Jun15 Apr27 Mar07 Feb16 (rosin w)ALENCAR WALBER 122 5.00    
CALL ME LATER Apr28 Dec12 Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
 
PID-7   08/07/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SILENT POET Jun22 Apr27 Mar09 Feb17 Nov04 (tracy ta)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
GROUNDED Jul15 Jul03 Jun10 Feb25 Jan24 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 2.00 67% 0.50    
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Jul22 Jul04 Jun24 Jun05 May02 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOOSE HUNTER Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun11 Dec06 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 12.00    
DOWAGIAC CHIEF Jul15 Jun12 May22 Feb25 Jan01 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 9% 10.30    
DELTA RIDGE Jul22 Jul04 Jun18 May27 Apr05 (ruberto)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 20.00    
SCR  PEMAQUID PETE Jul03 Jun12 May21 Oct26 Oct16 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 1.80    
 
PID-8   08/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THOUSAND LOVES Jul23 Jun24 Jun05 May21 Apr07 (kleine bernard )BAYS BROOKE 115 30.00    
GOLDEN SODA Jul17 Jul08 Jun05 May21 Oct26 (potts ro)RODRIGUEZ O 122 5.00 36% 1.80    
RANSEUR Jul17 Jul01 Jun01 May11 Apr27 (musarro josep)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.00    
GRAEL Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Jun03 Oct09 (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
BLAMEITONMYMOMMA Jul18 Jul03 Jun11 Mar08 Feb03 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 2.50    
OSBIN Jul16 Nov06 Oct04 Sep25 Sep05 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00    
COUNTRY RUCKUS Dec26 Sep21 Aug30 Aug17 Jul27 (wilson ariane)WALKER M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOVERNOR ATWOOD Jul08 Jun24 Jun05 Oct19 Oct05 (russell rand)AYALA J 122 8.00    
VILLEGAS SWING Jul17 Jun22 May30 Feb07 Jan01 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 122 6.00 20% 4.10    
10  COUPLES THERAPY Jul09 Jun12 Oct18 Sep20 Jul05 (breed jr)ALLEN M 122 15.00    
SCR  PUNX Jun24 May21 Sep28 Sep13 Sep04 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 122 20.00    
12  HUNTIN' THE RUT Jul08 Jun24 Jun05 Oct11 Sep27 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.