Handicappers' Racing Form

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Finger Lakes
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FL-1   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-2   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-3   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-4   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FL-5   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-6   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FL-7   Win (4/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FL-8   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FL-1   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUSALISTIC Jun12 May09 Mar13 Jan26 Jan03 (o'callahan carl)COA J 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
KODIAK BROWN Jul01 Jun18 May27 Nov20 Oct23 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
MAX FOSTER Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 May21 May06 (oyola david)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 5.00    
MASETA Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May21 May07 (murphy timothy)HARKIE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
INTERSTATE Jul01 Jun18 May20 May07 Apr29 (lopez arcadi)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00    
REINER Jul01 Jun03 Feb11 Jan19 Dec30 (ferraro a)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 2.00    
 
FL-2   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAUFY FUTURES Jun25 Jun10 May21 Nov07 Oct24 (gutierrez a)ALVARADO R 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
1A  PALS ALLY Jul02 Jun04 May21 May13 Nov22 (gutierrez luis)BERRIOS C 124 5.00    
IN TRAFFIC Jun25 Jun10 May28 Nov21 Nov08 (rivera david )FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
REMOANE Jun18 Jun03 May22 May14 Apr29 (lopez arca)DAVIS A 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
SUPER SLIDE Jun18 May28 Nov01 Oct16 Oct03 (bireta donna)ROHENA JR 124 3.50 20% 3.90    
THEFABULOUS MOOLAH Jul02 Jun12 May28 May14 Apr29 (morales samue)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
SCR  TASTY WAVE Jul04 Jun04 Nov15 Oct31 Oct23 (ashle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.80    
 
FL-3   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORABLE AVENUE Jun11 May27 Mar21 Feb29 Feb09 (o'callahan carl)COA J 124 3.50    
SHANTY SHACK Jun18 May20 Nov15 Oct23 Oct09 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 4.50 12% 7.60    
KONG LOVES A FIGHT Jun12 Nov13 Oct30 Oct11 Sep18 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
AULA Jul01 May25 May02 Mar22 Feb29 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 5.00    
RHYMES LIKE DIMES Jul01 May27 Mar20 Feb17 Jan20 (murphy p)ALVARADO R 122 2.50    
ROSE'S PEPINO Jun26 Jun09 May13 May06 Apr28 (inman l)WHITACRE B 122 3.00 66% 0.50    
 
FL-4   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NECESSARYANDPROPER Jun05 May14 Apr14 Mar17 Feb19 (ferraro anthon)COA J 120 4.00    
MITOLE'S LEGACY Jun17 May23 May01 Mar28 Jul21 (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 1.60 67% 0.50    
GLORY BOUND CLARA Jun19 May22 Nov08 Oct24 Oct10 (bartlett h)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
FLURRY OF ROSES Nov13 Oct23 Sep04 Aug14 Jul10 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHASI Jun24 May03 Apr20 Mar22 Feb19 (masti)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
EQUINAMOUS Jul02 Jun04 May22 Nov06 Oct18 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 120 8.00    
JESSICA'S RACE Jun24 Nov13 Oct17 Sep06 Jun20 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00    
 
FL-5   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE THAT BIRD Jun11 Jan28 Jan14 Nov07 Oct09 (ferraro anthon)COA J 120 2.50    
1A  MO TRUMP Jun12 Nov14 Oct31 Oct16 Oct02 (ferraro a)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 2.50    
EIRIK RIDGE Jun19 Jun03 Apr13 Jan15 Jul02 (grusmark k)DAVIS A 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
BILLIEVE IN JOSH Nov30 Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 Jun21 (ficarella brooke)ROHENA JR 122 6.00    
CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Jun12 May22 Nov06 Oct25 Oct09 (bireta donna)DAVILA A 122 3.50    
TIZ LUCKY Jul04 Jun12 May20 Nov14 Oct31 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
STREET COP OFFICER Jun12 May20 Feb18 Feb10 Jan01 (sells rachel)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-6   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  GIMMEDAMONEY Jun24 Jun05 Oct09 Sep11 Aug29 (lecesse mich)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CONVERTIBLE FREEZE Nov08 Sep26 Oct13 Aug31 Aug07 (lecesse mi)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
SCR  CRUNCH B B B Jul02 Jun11 May21 Sep20 Aug29 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
TOMMY GUN May25 Apr27 Mar08 Feb10 Jan04 (schettino domi)HARKIE K 122 6.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  DOUBLE SHOT Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May22 Nov08 (oyola david)DAVILA A 122 3.50    
MORNING CUP Jun14 May05 Apr28 Oct21 Sep01 (grabowski a)COA J 122 4.00    
OLD POINT Jun19 Jun03 Oct31 Oct17 Sep06 (loaiza ilma)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 12.00    
KOOL KATHMANDU May20 Apr30 Apr12 Jan01 Nov22 (ferraro micha)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
THE LAST ACE Nov21 Oct17 Sep19 Aug01 Jun27 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00    
 
FL-7   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOWING SNOWMAN Jun26 Jun11 May27 Nov21 Nov06 (muller j)ROHENA JR 124 15.00    
IN SKY WE TRUST Jun11 May18 Aug19 Jul03 May30 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.50 15% 5.50    
TRAPPE THE DREAM Jun04 Sep26 Aug21 Aug01 Jul17 (buckley jonatha)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.50    
OLD MAN WINTER Jul02 May21 Apr30 Nov22 Nov13 (acquilano james)DAVILA A 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
SON OF DARKNESS Jun26 Jun04 May13 Apr30 Mar08 (pettine m)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRODUCTION CREDIT Jul02 Jun12 May22 Apr29 Nov21 (d'alessandro)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
BENCH WALK Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May21 May07 (huertas ni)DAVIS A 120 10.00    
NUTSIE Jul04 Jun19 Nov21 Nov06 Oct25 (ferraro anthon)COA J 124 6.00    
 
FL-8   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASS APPEAL Jun10 May14 Apr30 Nov13 Oct31 (murphy timothy)HARKIE K 122 6.00    
1A  SMOOTH TALES Jun19 Jun12 May28 May14 Apr30 (murphy tim)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
SUTTON BREEZE Jun04 May14 May06 Mar21 Feb07 (o'callahan carl)PEREZ E 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  DEVIOUS MO Jun18 May27 Nov21 Oct09 Sep19 (shaffer rich)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00    
SCR  HOLEY MATRIMONY Jun11 May28 May21 Nov14 Oct18 (gutierrez luis )DAVILA A 124 12.00    
BROCKMONINOFF Jun10 Nov13 Oct17 Sep19 Aug22 (barrow paul)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 3.00 6% 15.60    
BUSTIN PIETRE May07 Mar23 Mar02 Jan25 Dec10 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 6.00    
SCR  DEE'S WISEGUY Jul02 Jun11 May28 May13 Apr30 (johnston rob)COA J 122 10.00    
SCR  SAMAY (PER) Jul07 Jul04 Jun13 Jun10 Apr20 (loaiz)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.