Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - July 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/6/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/1)-(3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(3/4)-(5/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(5/7/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(5/7/2/6)-(7/6/3/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6)-(5/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/6)-(7/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-5   WIN (7/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/4)-(6/5/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (6/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/4/8)-(6/5/7/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/7/8)-(6/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7/8)-(6/8/5/2)-(4/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-7   WIN (6/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2)-(6/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/2)-(4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-8   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   07/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVALUABLE WILL Jun11 May27 May14 May06 Nov22 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 12.00    
2  FATHER WALSH Jun18 May22 Apr30 Nov15 Oct25 (sabine mic)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00    
3  GANDY DANCING Jun11 May07 Apr12 Mar22 Feb29 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  FORWARD MOTION Jun05 May06 Feb23 Dec01 Oct09 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 124 3.50    
5  LIMIT UP Jun11 May27 May07 Mar17 Feb19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 126 1.60 33% 2.00    
6  FIERY HEART Jun11 Nov14 Oct09 Sep20 Aug28 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
FL-2   07/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RALLY SQUIRREL Dec30 Nov11 Oct21 Sep03 Aug18 (murphy timot)BERRIOS C 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLUES CITY Jun26 Jun12 May28 Nov22 Nov13 (gutierrez l)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 8.00    
3  NO LIME Jun26 Jun12 Nov22 Nov13 Oct03 (diaz-mendez)CAMILO D 124 15.00    
4  MASSEY HALL Jun19 Jun10 May27 May07 Nov07 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 124 4.50    
5  HONOR AMONG MEN Jun05 Sep19 Jul28 Jul03 Jun05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.00 73% 0.40    
6  TUCKABUCKAWAY Jun26 May28 May21 Oct11 Sep26 (gutierrez lui)DAVILA A 124 3.00 ★    
 
FL-3   07/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL SUSPECT Jun19 Jun05 Nov22 Nov08 Oct23 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 124 3.00 ★    
2  BROTHER JEREMIAH Jun19 Sep25 Sep04 Aug15 Jul24 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00    
3  ALLURE OF MONEY May27 Nov15 Oct16 Sep25 Aug27 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
4  STYNER Jan19 Dec13 Dec01 Oct17 Sep06 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00 8% 12.00    
5  DON'T POKE THE CAT Jun26 Jun11 Dec22 Dec06 Nov15 (loaiza i)DAVIS A 124 8.00    
6  BETA Jun12 Sep04 Aug16 Jul28 Jul12 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 3.50    
 
FL-4   07/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY MAKING KAZ Jun25 Jun11 Jun03 May22 Apr30 (vasquez ramo)BERRIOS C 122 8.00    
1A  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 May22 May13 (vasquez ram)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 8.00    
2  SAMURAI SAINT Jun20 May22 May08 Mar13 Mar07 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 122 10.00 7% 13.20    
3  HOLY COWBOY Jun12 May28 May13 Apr30 Nov22 (bre)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00    
4  MARGARITA SUNRISE Jun12 May21 Apr30 Nov07 Oct25 (tasso mark)ALVARADO R 122 5.00    
5  SNEADS Jun26 May28 May13 Apr30 Dec06 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
6  SMOKIN' ALONE Jun12 May21 May07 Nov15 Nov07 (sabine michael )ROHENA JR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  PREPARE FOR GLORY Jun26 Jun12 May21 Nov13 Oct30 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 4.00 25% 2.90    
 
FL-5   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE DELAWARE BOYZ Jun10 May27 May13 Apr29 Mar21 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 5.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WOODFORD TEA by STREET SENSE)
2  REV PARKER Jun24 Jun10 May27 Nov09 Oct20 (acquilano jame)COA J 119 3.00    
  (by ASTERN out of DITCH EM by UNCLE MO)
3  SEAMS LIKE DESTINY Jun10 Nov21 Oct18     (smith troy)DE EMANUEL 119 4.00 7% 13.80    
  (by DESTIN out of BUSTINATTHESEAMS by BUSTIN STONES)
4  WITT DASHING SPEED Jun17 Nov22 Nov06     (progno michael )ROHENA JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of SHE'S GOT THEFEVER by GOLD FEVER)
5  MONTAUK SURF May25 Apr28 Mar08     (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 119 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of ILLGIVEYOUWATTEVER by WISEMAN'S FERRY)
6  SHAWNPATRICK         (iorio sa)DAVIS A 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by FIRING LINE out of ABSENCEISPRESENCE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
7  SAVAGE SPIRIT Jun10 May19 Apr11 Mar16 Jan06 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
  (by ACCELERATE out of SCAT'S LASSIE by SCAT DADDY)
 
FL-6   07/08/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON CLOUD WINE Nov20         (smith troy)ROHENA JR 119 20.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of R FROSTY ONE by SOUTHERN SUCCESS)
2  CROAGH PATRICK Jun24 Jun03 Nov21 Nov01 Oct18 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 20.00    
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of TRUE BLUE ELLIE by E DUBAI)
3  HAL AWAY Jun24 May29 May13 Oct16 Sep27 (falk jac)DAVIS A 119 15.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of RENNINA by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
4  COMPUTE IT Jun24 May29 May19 Apr11 Mar21 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 119 6.00 ★    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of GRACEFUL LIGHT by SILVER TRAIN)
5  LAST DRINK May03 Mar24 Jan18     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by DESTIN out of I DRINK ALONE by INTIDAB)
6  LIFETIME GUARANTEE Jun26 Nov21       (ferraro michae)COA J 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of VELMA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  AIR FORCE CROSS Jun26 May25 May12 Mar21 Feb18 (ferraro an)HARKIE K 119 3.50 12% 7.30    
  (by SOLOMINI out of SOUL SPINNER by HARLINGTON)
8  AHVEE'S MISSION Jun14         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of WATLING by STREET BOSS)
9  SHARPOON Jun26 Jun17 Jun18 May19 Apr01 (henry n)BROWN DALTON 124 10.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of GANESHA by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  FIVE DESTINATIONS Jun10 May20 Oct18 Sep25 Sep04 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 6.00    
  (by DESTIN out of CINCO by PANCHO VILLA)
 
FL-7   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORTGAGE RATE Jun26 Jun10 May13 Apr19 Mar28 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 119 10.00    
2  BENJI BROWN Jun24 Jun10 May20 Nov07 Oct18 (babcock kathl)DAVILA A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS Jun16 May12 Apr14 Feb25 Feb03 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 2.50    
4  ENTICING PROSPECT May20 May06 Sep27     (ferraro an)HARKIE K 119 10.00    
5  RUNAWAY JOKE Jun09 May11 Apr19 Mar13 Jan21 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 4.00 7% 12.80    
6  COIN JAR Jun17         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 119 3.00 53% 0.90    
7  MY COOL HAND LUKE Jun10 Nov14 Oct16 Sep25   (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 12.00    
8  MAD MAGIC Nov22 Nov14 Nov01 Oct16 Jul15 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
FL-8   07/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BET THE PALACE Jun24 Jun10 Apr29 Sep27 Sep11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 3.00    
SCR  QOROKWE Jun10 May29 May17 Apr28 Apr11 (sells rache)CAMILO D 124 8.00    
SCR  ONOFRIO Jun24 May29 Apr28 Mar28 Aug19 (murphy timothy)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00    
4  REBEL JACKSON Jun24 May21 Apr14 Feb25 Feb02 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  KEIGS Mar01 Feb11       (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  ONE WITHEVERYTHING Jun24 May29 May21 May07 Jan06 (murphy timot)HARKIE K 119 6.00    
7  WONKER WARRIOR Nov13 Mar30 Mar03 Feb25   (lecesse mi)DE EMANUEL 124 6.00 5% 18.40    
8  MOR VALOR Jun17 May27 May13 Apr29 Nov20 (fung christo)MULERO M 114 20.00    
9  THE LAST SHEEK Jun24 Nov21 Oct18 Aug23 Aug07 (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.