Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (6/7/4/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/9/2)-(6/7/4/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/9/2)-(6/7/4/9/2)-(6/7/4/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (5/9/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/3)-(5/9/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/3)-(5/9/6/3)-(5/9/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-4   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/11/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/11/1)-(6/7/3/11/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-7   WIN (4/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/1)-(4/7/8/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/1)-(4/7/8/2/1)-(4/7/8/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-8   WIN (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-9   WIN (8/7/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/4)-(8/7/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/4)-(8/7/9/4)-(8/7/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/07/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSEMARY POTATOES Jun20 Apr20 Mar14 Feb18 Dec31 (arenas ma)HERNANDEZ F 121 30.00    
2  BURNING EMBERS Jun17 May21 Apr22 Mar19 Feb21 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRINCESS GLADYS Jun09 May18 Apr26 Apr05 Mar15 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
4  TIMBAVATI Jun02 May03 Apr13 Mar16 Dec16 (schultz lindsay)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.50 16% 5.40    
5  FOREST FUEL Oct28 Sep21       (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 117 6.00    
6  DON'T LISTEN May09 Apr11 Nov24 Oct01 Sep04 (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 117 3.50 37% 1.70    
7  DELIGHTFUL DIXIE Jun21 Aug04 Jul07     (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
8  KEEP IN TOUCH May26 Apr26 Mar02     (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 112 8.00    
9  EVIE DOES IT Jun10 May28 Apr15 Jan26 Dec26 (sacco gregory )RENDON JAIRO 121 4.50 7% 14.40    
SCR  HEIROZAN Jun01 Mar29 Jan17     (pompay terri)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
 
MTH-2   07/07/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARGAINING POWER Jun22 Jun02 May27 May12 May05 (serey j)IORIO MELISSA 119 5.00    
SCR  MOTION TO STRIKE Jun16 Jun02 May12 Apr13 Jan25 (pantaleo jose)OLVER MADISON 124 2.50    
3  BIG BROWN SHOES May08 Mar20 Feb19 Feb12 Jan30 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 124 20.00    
4  JACK BEANSTALK Jul01 Jun12 May18 Apr22 Apr10 (diaz jorge)OCASIO M 124 20.00    
5  SPOTTED BULL Jun01 May12 Apr22 Mar16 Jan25 (ward dan)JARA FERNANDO 124 2.50 19% 4.40    
6  SNEAKINESS Jun22 Jan26 Jan12 Nov22 Nov02 (avila jua)VARGAS A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLY FLY AWAY Jun22 May26 May07 Jan21 Jan05 (potts way)HERNANDEZ F 124 1.80 58% 0.70    
 
MTH-3   07/07/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR ROBERT HALL Jun23 May19 Apr12 Mar22 Jun17 (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.50    
2  WHO KNOWS Jun23 May21 Apr15 Feb26 Dec27 (pino mich)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 117 4.00    
3  BRENNAN'S WAR Jun22 Jan06 Aug31 Jul28 Jun18 (arenas ma)HERNANDEZ F 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  VINDICATED TIGER Jun23 Jun02 May03 Apr13 Mar29 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 124 15.00    
5  CHAPLIN Jun08 Apr21 Mar14 May14 Apr07 (weaver georg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
6  KERN RIVER Jun22 Jun02 Jan01 Dec14 Oct12 (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 10.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  CASSATION Jun29 Jun08 May12 Sep04 Aug27 (margotta anthony)JUAREZ NIK 121 6.00    
8  MEROKEE Jun23 May27 Apr26 Apr12 Mar10 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00    
9  TANG Feb06 Jan19       (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 114 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  O'BRIEN Dec06 Oct24 Aug26 Jul18 Nov16 (dotolo davi)VASQUEZ WILFRED 121 15.00    
 
MTH-4   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPA DO PAPA DO Apr24 Feb29 Feb01 Jan06 Dec14 (delgado jorg)GONZALEZ CESAR 107 10.00    
2  TEJOTA Jun16 Jun02 Apr26 Apr04 Mar14 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 121 3.50    
3  SWAY'SINMYDNA Jun22 Nov18 Nov10 Oct21 Oct01 (serey j)IORIO MELISSA 116 4.50 ★    
4  DUDEWITHANAME May27 Aug13 Jun10 May05   (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 14% 5.90    
5  SOPHIA'S PRINCE Jun16 Mar22 Feb11 Jan07 Jun21 (wilson tony)MOYA F 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  NATURAL STAR Jun23 May27 Feb10 Jan24 Dec29 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 120 1.00 58% 0.70    
7  RUNNING LUCKY Jun22 Jun02 May18 Apr12 Feb26 (dini mike)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
 
MTH-5   07/07/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRAINER PLEASE Jun11 Aug26 Aug04 Jun11 Jun02 (crook-demasi)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00    
2  POWER ATTACK May25 May11 Mar27 May13 Oct09 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
3  CAPTAIN QUICK Jun16 Nov02 Oct13 Aug26 Jul22 (milne joa)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SUMMER IN ADRIANE May19 Apr28 Mar24 Jan18 Dec15 (morley thomas)JUAREZ NIK 117 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  PRINCE OF TROY Jun09 May19 Nov04 Oct06 Aug11 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00    
SCR  TIE BREAKER May09 Apr18 Jul21 Jun18 May19 (sanchez jose )OLVER MADISON 121 30.00    
SCR  BEWARE OF PRIDE Jun13 Oct17       (pino v)BRAVO J 120 5.00    
SCR  FAMOUS GENT Jun08 Apr28 Mar28 Feb29 Jan28 (abreu fernan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 6.00    
9  EMPIRE SKY May19 Oct20 Aug26 Jul14 Jun18 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 121 8.00    
 
MTH-6   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LECANTO Jun21 May19       (carango)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of BROAD GALE by BROAD BRUSH)
2  FULLY COMMITTED Jun21 Oct06       (dini mike)TORRES JOMAR 119 10.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of ELECTRIC COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
3  MICRO BREWSKY Jun21 May19 May12 Jul08 Jun10 (ryan s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.50 6% 15.30    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of RED HEADED LILL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  I NEVER SAY NEVER Apr30 Apr15       (simon lin)HERNANDEZ F 119 20.00    
  (by DON SIX out of WAYTOOEASY by WILL'S WAY)
5  SEE THE TRUTH Aug12 Jul23       (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of COUNTESS GERALDINE by LOVE OF MONEY)
6  POST COMMAND Jun21 Jun01 May19 Jul23 Jul01 (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by IL POSTINO out of REQUESTED VOW by BROKEN VOW)
7  NAVESINK PIRATE Jun21 May19 Mar16 Feb10   (owens jr)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 30% 2.40    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of ALL EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
8  TOWN KISSER May19 Oct06 Aug27     (spina charles)JUAREZ NIK 119 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SEEYOUINTHETOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9  RANUNCULUS Jun16 Jun01 May19 Oct06 Jul08 (wilson tony)MOYA F 123 15.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
10  KAZ' MEGA BANK May19         (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 119 12.00    
  (by BANK HEIST out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  ISLAND SPIRIT May19 Nov01 Jul08 Jun25 Jun10 (huston k)RENDON JAIRO 123 6.00 ★    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of VODKA HIGH by MOUNT MCKINLEY)
 
MTH-7   07/07/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR SALE Jun08 May20 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 (orseno joseph )ADORNO ABNER 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAMILA T (IRE) Feb10 Nov04 Oct04 Aug19   (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 5.00 ★    
3  AMAZING GRACES JOY Jun29 Jun01 May18 Oct06 Sep22 (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 121 20.00    
4  QUEEN OLLY (IRE) May18 Sep14 Aug12     (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 3.50 57% 0.80    
5  HOLIDAY DECISION Feb10 Dec18 Jul26 Jul14 Jun10 (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 116 20.00    
6  PEAK EARNINGS (GB) Jun02 Apr28       (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
7  INDEPENDENCEAVENUE May12 Jan06 Nov29 Sep07 Aug17 (delacour arna)JARA FERNANDO 117 3.00 9% 10.20    
8  LADY D'ORO Jun08 Jul29 Jul02 Jun16   (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00 8% 11.20    
9  WRIGHT UP FRONT May18 Apr13 Feb24 Jan18 Dec15 (toner jam)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.00    
SCR  DECOUPAGE Jun11 May18 May04 Apr16 Apr02 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 121 6.00    
SCR  DIANE'S MERLOT Jul03 Jun07 May21 Apr22 Apr05 (pino v)BRAVO J 117 20.00    
SCR  ANAITA Jun11 Jun01 May27 Mar15 Feb16 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 124 5.00    
 
MTH-8   07/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEIGH DUDE Jun01 May18 Apr23 Mar26 Feb27 (moore michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  CENTER MID MADDIE Jun16 May25 May08 Apr30 Mar06 (cole-d)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 10.00    
3  CHUCK WILLIS (IRE) Jun30 May26 Mar30 Feb04 Jan12 (falcone r)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 2.50 47% 1.10    
4  PRACTICAL COACH Jun16 Jun01 May18 May12 Apr23 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
SCR  B B BAD Jun26 Jun08 May18 May06 Mar29 (rodriguez mig)RIVERA D 121 8.00    
6  MY MAMBA Jun29 Jun16 Jun09 May11 May05 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 124 6.00    
7  AFTERNOON HEAT Jun27 May19 May12 Apr07 Mar15 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-9   07/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Irish War Cry Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO CENTS Jun09 May19 Apr06 Mar15 Feb17 (lynch cathal)NO RIDER 117 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FAKER by PETIONVILLE)
SCR  IRISH BOOLUM Jun09 Mar10 Jan28 Sep24 Sep04 (lynch cathal)NO RIDER 117 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of IRISH SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  IRISH RILL Jun21 Nov18 Oct13 Aug27 Aug06 (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 118 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of IRISH SOVEREIGN by POLISH NUMBERS)
4  WHAT'S UP MR. Z Jun09 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 (kendall s)JUAREZ NIK 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IL POSTINO out of WHAT'S UP by DYLAN THOMAS (IRE))
5  ONE TIME WILLARD Jun09 Feb16 Jan03 Dec13 Nov18 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 121 4.00    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of PINOT GRIGIO by UNBRIDLED JET)
6  STARSTRUCK NOTION Jun09 Apr26 Oct14 Sep03 Jul23 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of STAR ON BROADWAY by SIR CAT)
7  HE'SPUREGOLD May25 Apr27 Sep16 Aug13 Jul09 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by VANCOUVER out of SMART N CLASSY by SMART STRIKE)
8  THERE ARE NO WORDS May25 Oct19 Sep04 Aug13 Jul09 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of WAY WITH WORDS by SEFAPIANO)
9  SMITHWICK'S SPICE Jun16 Apr27 Apr07 Feb24 Feb08 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 8.00 21% 3.80    
  (by FROST GIANT out of SPICY MCHAGGIS by GOOD AND TOUGH)
10  GO TO THE KINGDOM Jun09 Nov18 Jul29 Jun25 Jun04 (lynch cat)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 5.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of VADA by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  GREAT NAVIGATOR Jun09 Apr20 Mar10 Jan27 Dec23 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of ALL EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
MTH-10   07/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DURKIN'S CALL Jun22 Jun01 May25 Apr26 Apr14 (serey j)RIVERA D 124 10.00 7% 14.10    
2  MOUNT TRAVERS Jun14 May26 Apr27 Mar09 Feb25 (potts wa)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  NEW YORK PANTHER Jun28 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Jan13 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 8.00 5% 18.20    
4  COCO SHELL Jun22 Jun01 May11 Mar26 Mar11 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 124 4.00    
5  FIGHT FIERCELY Jun28 May11 Apr28 Apr12 Mar22 (arenas ma)HERNANDEZ F 124 12.00    
6  ACHILLES HEEL Jun22 May26 Mar20 Feb20 Feb05 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 4.50    
7  CANADIAN PHAROAH Jun29 Jun22 May27 May05 Apr19 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.