Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (6/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7)-(3/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-4   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (4/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2)-(4/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (8/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/4/2)-(8/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/4/2)-(8/6/4/2)-(8/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1)-(5/7/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (2/8/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/10)-(2/8/1/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/10)-(2/8/1/9/10)-(2/8/1/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-10   WIN (1/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4)-(1/5/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATE'S LOVE Mar18 Feb05 Nov15     (cole-davi)BOCACHICA J 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOVE WHO out of KATE'S BULL'S BAY by BULLSBAY)
2  GRAVITY HILL         (lynch cathal)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.50 13% 6.50    
  (by SKY MESA out of FAKER by PETIONVILLE)
3  HONEY BLONDE Mar27         (carango )HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of CYBER CAFE by SKY CLASSIC)
4  AIR MASQUE Mar09 Jan17 Oct06     (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MASQUE D'OISEAU by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
5  LITTLE LIA Apr13         (martin f)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of HANNA BANANA by OFFICER)
6  MILDOON Sep10 Aug27       (huston k)CENTENO E 119 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
7  ONE FINE WINE         (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50 13% 6.50    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of PINOT GRIGIO by UNBRIDLED JET)
8  BABY CAKES Mar03 Feb25 Sep15 Sep10 Aug27 (ortega leopol)IORIO MELISSA 118 10.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HIGH FLYING FLAG by OUR EMBLEM)
 
MTH-2   05/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH PLAYER Mar24 Feb10 Jan14 Dec24 Oct21 (suarez wlaimar)OLIVERO A 119 4.50    
2  POLISH UP Apr19 Aug05       (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 123 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  THE HEIGHTS Apr13 Mar01 May27 Apr22 Mar04 (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
4  LONG ASTRIDE Mar08 Feb18       (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
5  MAD MAXEY Dec27 Nov22 Oct24 Oct06 Aug18 (carango )HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
6  SUPREME DOMINANCE Mar02 Feb03 Oct07     (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 119 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  IMAGINIZED Mar29 Mar09 Feb11 Jan28 Jan06 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-3   05/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADIE THE GOAT Apr24 Mar31 Mar14 Dec30 Nov19 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 115 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  LA SIERVA C Apr05 Mar18 Feb21 Jan30 Jan03 (gonzalez )BOCACHICA J 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MILES OF SMILES Apr10 Mar20 Jan24 Dec22 Nov25 (orseno j)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 46% 1.20    
4  GUN RUNNIN' GAL Mar10 Feb23 Jan06 Dec15 Sep20 (gonzalez clau)JARA FERNANDO 121 2.00    
5  BORNFORGREATNESS Mar29 Jan19 Dec28 Nov24 Nov09 (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 115 4.50    
6  RAW POWER Dec08 Sep15 Aug25 Jul22 Jun30 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
 
MTH-4   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN TAPITURE Sep01 Aug04 Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
2  FAST COREY Apr19 Mar16 Nov22 Oct18 Oct07 (suarez wlaima)IORIO MELISSA 116 20.00    
3  PEACH BE WITH Q Apr30 Mar25 Mar07 Jan31 Dec11 (brown howa)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BABY'S DIALED IN Apr10 Mar06 Jan17 Dec16 Nov12 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 119 3.00    
SCR  RANDOM LUCK May11 Jan29 Jan03 Nov29 Oct02 (sweezey kent)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
6  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Apr19 Apr12 Mar16 Mar02 Feb16 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  FLOGE Apr27 Apr14 Apr06 Mar17 Mar09 (serey mario )ARROYO S 120 2.50    
 
MTH-5   05/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMER FLOWER Feb17 Jan28 Dec15 Dec02 Sep16 (dini mike)CENTENO E 119 3.50    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PHALEONOPSIS by SIPHON (BRZ))
2  EMILY REWARD         (schistl rafae)JARA FERNANDO 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by SNOW TROUBLE out of REATA'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
3  EATONTOWN GIRL Aug27         (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BERNING CARBS by BERNARDINI)
4  LILY THE KID Nov02 Oct25 Sep15 Aug27 Aug20 (grullon riquel)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00    
  (by ALI out of WAYTOOEASY by WILL'S WAY)
5  J WILLARD Apr24 Apr01 Jul21 Jun30   (simon linda)BOWMAN ADAM 119 5.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of SKIP AWAY BELLE by SKIP AWAY)
6  KATE'S CUBAN KISS Dec20 Nov21 Aug20 Jul23 Jun20 (krebs steven)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.50    
  (by CUBA out of KATE'S COZY KISS by COZY DELL)
7  VIVID ARTISTE Jul21 Jun30 Jun03     (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 114 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MELODRAMA by ORB)
8  GYPSY STYLE         (carango )HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 16% 5.40    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HITCHIN by DIXIE UNION)
 
MTH-6   05/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHADOW MAN Apr23 Dec31 Nov30 Nov11 Oct05 (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 117 5.00    
2  WRITEITONTHEICE May01 Apr11 Mar15 Feb17 Jul13 (foglia antho)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  KING MIANO May01 Apr07 Mar16 Feb28 Feb11 (o'connell ka)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50 20% 4.00    
4  PRINCE GHOST Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 May20 Apr30 (gallegos jos)ARROYO S 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
5  GUN RIGHT May01 Mar22 Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 8.00 13% 6.50    
6  QUINCY MARKET Apr19 Mar29 Feb10 Jan28 Dec30 (ward dan)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00    
7  RUNNING LUCKY Apr12 Feb26 Jan28 Dec15 Nov30 (dini mike)OLVER MADISON 117 15.00    
SCR  PLENTY OF TIME Mar12 Feb22 Feb06 Dec19 Nov22 (aristone phil)RANGEL JOEZER 121 6.00    
9  PRINS FIRE May11 Apr26 Mar24 Mar17 Mar03 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
 
MTH-7   05/18/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLBY'S CANDLE         (servis c)JUAREZ NIK 119 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SPRING BLOSSOM by A.P. INDY)
2  PRINCESS GLADYS Apr26 Apr05 Mar15 Feb10 Dec20 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DULCE PERICULUM by EL CORREDOR)
3  LILLI'S SPIRIT Mar15         (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 114 20.00    
  (by FREUD out of FOUR BEARS by HENNESSY)
4  RISING INFLATION Aug31         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 14% 6.30    
  (by MITOLE out of ANY GIVEN TRACE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
5  LADY MEIS (IRE)         (schultz lindsa)RENDON JAIRO 123 4.00    
  (by CAMELOT out of ASAWER by NYQUIST)
6  MAKIA Jul23         (clement christo)CENTENO E 119 3.00 16% 5.40    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BEACH DIVA by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  H M S VICTORY Dec01 Nov16 Jul02     (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 119 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of OLD HARBOR by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
8  SELF CONFIDENT Apr06 Feb23 Jan20 Nov19 Oct14 (mcgaughey clau)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SABBATICAL by EXPELLED)
SCR  FAZOOLS         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50    
  (by CURLIN out of HOT CASH by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  LADY LALA Apr27         (o'connell ka)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of ALLYOUNEEDISLOVIN by HIGH COTTON)
SCR  SHORT SKIRTS Apr12         (mcgaughey clau)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.00    
  (by FLATTER out of UR DVLN DISGUISE by CALEB'S POSSE)
SCR  AZTECA STARDUST May02         (potts wayne)JARA FERNANDO 119 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of HELLOO REGINA by WILBURN)
 
MTH-8   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Spruce Fir Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D' TIGER LILY Apr24 Apr10 Mar16 Jun16 Oct05 (wilson tony)IORIO MELISSA 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
2  I CAN RUN Feb18 Feb02 Dec17 Nov25 Nov04 (gonzalez claud)RENDON JAIRO 119 5.00 12% 7.50    
  (by TOURIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
3  ODDSONDUSTYMILLER Jul15 Jun23 Jun04 May20 Oct05 (wilson tony)JARA FERNANDO 118 20.00    
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
SCR  TOOT YOUR HORN Oct14 Sep22 Aug27 Jul07   (contessa gary)OLVER MADISON 116 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of POOCHY by OFFLEE WILD)
5  MIA'S CRUSADE Oct06 Aug27 Jul08 Jun04 May20 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of MINI MONEIGH by MO MON)
6  BEL PENSIERO Sep10 Jul28 Jul15 Jun23 Jan07 (margotta antho)MOYA F 118 6.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
7  GIRL TROUBLE Mar13 Jan24 Jul11 Jun04 May13 (reid e)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by FAST ANNA out of ADORABELLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  SADIE BABY Apr26 Oct06 Aug27 Jul28 Jun23 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SWEET TOOTH SWEETY by SMARTY JONES)
 
MTH-9   05/18/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE PAYROLL Jan21 Dec10 Nov17 Oct08 Aug20 (margotta antho)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 9% 10.20    
2  QUEEN OLLY (IRE) Sep14 Aug12       (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  WRIGHT UP FRONT Apr13 Feb24 Jan18 Dec15 Oct28 (toner jam)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 4.50    
4  NINETY NINE Apr14 Mar20 Feb24 Apr23 Mar29 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 20.00    
SCR  BUCCHERA Apr25 Oct21 Sep09 Jul15 Jun23 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 112 20.00    
6  SEA MAIDEN Oct24 Oct06 Sep22 Sep15 Aug27 (huston ror)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 12.00    
7  AMAZING GRACES JOY Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 Jul28 Jul15 (mazza w)JUAREZ NIK 121 12.00    
8  SHUANGXI (IRE) Apr13         (delacour arna)JARA FERNANDO 117 3.50 26% 2.80    
9  DEFINITE DIVA Apr20 Feb16 Jan19 Apr22   (breen j)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 ★    
10  MADELINE'S GROGU Dec01 Oct24 Oct11 Aug25 Jul14 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DAZZY May03 Mar15 Oct20 Sep03 Aug12 (hills timothy )RENDON JAIRO 121 4.00    
SCR  FIXED ODDS Sep02 Jul28 Jun23 May20 Oct22 (simoff andrew)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50    
SCR  BODACIOUS BREN May03 Feb09 Jan24 Jan14 Dec15 (gallegos jos)ARROYO S 121 4.00    
SCR  MADNESS Mar30 Mar07 Jan10 Dec15 Nov24 (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00    
 
MTH-10   05/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFILADA Apr07 Mar14 Feb19 Jan07 Nov25 (baker charlto)OLVER MADISON 121 4.00 39% 1.50    
2  HOLY BERRIES Apr02 Mar26 Feb28 Jan09 Dec13 (gonzalez cl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
SCR  OJITOS BELLOS Apr27 Apr07 Mar22 Feb25 Feb11 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
4  NANASQUAN Feb16 Jan11 Dec27 Nov10 Oct26 (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LOVELY DRAMA Mar15 Feb28 Feb03 Jan14 Aug26 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 116 3.00 23% 3.30    
6  HIPATIA Apr19 Apr10 Mar15 Feb21 Feb02 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.50    
7  EXAGERADORA Apr14 Mar29 Feb25 Feb07 Jan27 (potts wayn)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 6.00 12% 7.10    
8  SINGLEBERYLBOURBON Oct06 Sep15 Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 (sweezey ke)ARROYO S 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.