Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - May 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(3/4/1)-(6/2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(6/2/1/5)-(4/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/5)-(4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/5)-(4/7/8)-(2/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/1/8)-(4/7/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/8)-(2/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8)-(2/6/7)-(6/10/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-5   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(6/10/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(6/10/4)-(6/9/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-6   WIN (6/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/4)-(6/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/10/4)-(6/10/4)-(6/10/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/10/4)-(6/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (6/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/7)-(6/9/4/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/7)-(6/9/4/7/8)-(6/9/4/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/14/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPULIST Mar22 Feb16 Nov17 Oct13 Sep29 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 124 2.50 10% 9.20    
2  IMPLICATOR Mar22 Feb25 Nov29 Oct13 Sep27 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.00    
3  BEER CHASER Apr06 Mar01 Feb02 Dec29 Oct12 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 1.80 67% 0.50    
4  MAX PANDOWDY Mar10 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 (hirdes j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
5  BIG POWER RED May03 Apr17 Mar30 Feb19 Feb03 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
6  THUNDER ROAD Apr27 Apr07 Mar15 Feb25 Feb09 (dodson cliffo)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   05/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TAP BABY Apr06 Mar21 Mar01 Feb04 Jan06 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  TAKEOVER FIFTYFOUR Mar15 Feb23 Dec07     (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 120 3.00    
3  MARVINS' POSSE Mar08 Feb16 Jan18 Jan01 Dec07 (gelner jayde )ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
4  DOUBLE ON THE RED Feb10 Jan01 Dec07 Nov18 Jul29 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
5  LONE STAR MAX May04 Apr19 Mar15 Jan18 Dec31 (balderas alf)DEL-CID MARLON 119 10.00    
SCR  SNAKEBIT May04 Feb29 Feb16 Jan18 Jan04 (hatcher nathan )WADE LYNDIE 124 12.00    
7  PUNCHIE Mar08 Feb10 Jan12 Dec17 Dec01 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00    
 
LAD-3   05/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIGI'S LUV Mar15 Feb23 Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 (duhon o)WADE LYNDIE 120 10.00 8% 11.50    
2  QUITEGIRL Apr27 Dec22 Dec08 Oct20 Aug28 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  WHEELS LIKE NALA Feb15 Dec21 Nov16 Oct19 Sep05 (de beauville )LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50    
4  DADDY'S CINDERELLA         (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 124 15.00    
5  GRACE'S VISION May02 Apr20 Apr05 Feb23 Feb08 (daigle walte)MURRAY M 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHE BADGER Feb24 Feb07 Aug26     (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
7  MID WEST FUN         (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
 
LAD-4   05/14/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY IDEA Apr24 Apr10 Mar08 Feb23 Feb10 (antwine michae)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 4.00 ★    
2  WITH A SONG Apr27 Apr05 Feb07 Dec27 Nov11 (zenon shelto)DEL-CID MARLON 115 5.00    
3  BACK STREET BABY Mar27 Mar12 Feb24 Feb07 Jan13 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50    
4  RADIANT REBEL Mar20 Feb23 Feb03 Jan13   (mouton patrick)WADE LYNDIE 120 3.00 65% 0.50    
5  OUR INDIAN GIRL Mar15 Feb23 Feb02 Jan13 Nov18 (hargrave ke)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 12.00    
6  MALLORY UNBRIDLED Apr24 Mar01 Feb08 Jan06 Dec13 (zenon shelton)STOKES J 124 10.00    
7  PINCHING PENNIES Jan05 Sep12 Aug20 Jul30 Jun19 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00 11% 7.70    
8  CHAPELLETE Mar20 Feb25 Jan26 Jan01   (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   05/14/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOVE SPELL Mar09 Mar01 Feb19 Jan13 Jan05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 6.00    
2  MR. SHORTY May05 Apr26 Jan11 Nov15 Oct20 (broberg karl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
3  COME ON COME ON Mar08 Feb18 Jan26 Jan05 Nov24 (hirdes john)WADE LYNDIE 124 12.00    
4  OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW May06 Dec16 Jul17 Jun26 May14 (duhon o)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 3.50    
5  BOLD EXCAPER Apr05 Mar01 Feb19 Jan20 Jan05 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
6  WISHERT Mar09 Feb10 Nov04 Oct07 Sep22 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 2.50 14% 5.90    
7  FRIEND'S DO CARE May06 Apr13 Feb23 Feb02 Dec15 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-6   05/14/2024 4950ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORA'S LEGACY Apr12 Mar29 Mar01 Feb22 Feb10 (hibdon mark )DEL-CID MARLON 117 15.00    
SCR  TRIPLE L'S CUTTER Apr26 Apr07 Mar28 Mar10 Feb19 (hewitt micha)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00    
3  IRONIT Mar16 Jan15 Jun18 May29 May07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 3.00    
4  SWEET PERFECTION Feb09 Dec10 Nov25 Aug20 Jun25 (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CRYSTAL CRESCENT Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 Jan19 (govea cesar)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
6  SUPER CINDY Apr26 Mar10 Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 (cravens ronnie )WADE LYNDIE 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  SKYKAT Mar14 Feb22 Jan27 Dec10 Nov18 (govea cesar)SINGH R 122 10.00    
SCR  MS. CAJUN QUEEN Mar24 Dec30 Oct25 Sep03 Aug05 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 4.50    
SCR  HONORARY GUEST Nov17 Oct07 Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 (delany sarah)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00    
10  ZOOM ERIN Mar13 Feb22 Jan12 Sep02 Jul16 (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 27% 2.70    
 
LAD-7   05/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL GABRIELO Mar29 Feb22 Jan19 Dec01 Sep09 (del cid )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
  (by KLIMT out of FLYING WENDY by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
2  KANT CONQUER ME Apr21 Mar28 Mar03 Feb10 Jan06 (le tara)WADE LYNDIE 124 4.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CONQUEST SO TRUE by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  CAPITAN GEORGE Feb17 Dec23       (del eri)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 15.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of WITCHESOFWESTFIELD by CAPE CANAVERAL)
4  STARSTUDDED AFFAIR Apr12 Feb10 Jan18 Dec14   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of KING'S GHOST by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  BRONTE DIEM Mar13 Feb13       (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of ZAMSWEET by ZAMINDAR)
6  DEBATER Apr21 May05 Apr08 Mar25 Mar05 (gonzalez jaime )POMPELL L 124 5.00 43% 1.30    
  (by ORDAINED out of HEATED DEBATE by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
7  TWO WEEKS NOTICE         (vincent jarvi)RENGIFO JOHAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of REFRESHING by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
8  ONLY A DREAM         (gonzalez jaime)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 ★    
  (by FIVE IRON out of ONLY by SALT LAKE)
9  ALL JACKED UP Apr06 Mar10       (jacks e)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
  (by JACK MILTON out of SHAYEVILLE SLEW by CAPE CANAVERAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.