Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - March 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(4/2/1)-(9/3/5/4/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(9/3/5/4/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(9/3/5/4/2)-(5/7/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-3   WIN (9/3/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/4/2)-(9/3/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/4/2)-(9/3/5/4/2)-(9/3/5/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/5/4/2)-(5/7/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5/4/2)-(5/7/3/4)-(6/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/4)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/4)-(6/1/5)-(6/3/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(6/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(6/3/7/4)-(5/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-6   WIN (6/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4)-(6/3/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/4)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/4)-(5/4/1)-(6/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/9/6)-(5/4/1/9/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(6/7/8)-(10/3/9/7/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/8/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/8/9/10)-(6/7/8/9/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(10/3/9/7/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (10/3/9/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/9/7/6)-(10/3/9/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/9/7/6)-(10/3/9/7/6)-(10/3/9/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   03/02/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS Feb14 Jan27 Jan01 Dec07 Oct29 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 122 5.00 11% 8.40    
SCR  SHEA ON A MISSION Jan17 Dec29 Dec16 Dec06 Nov25 (torres pabl)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 30.00    
3  SNEAKY CHEEKY Feb14 Jan31 Dec30 Dec09 Nov12 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 1.80    
4  KITTEN WITH A WHIP Jan19 Dec13 Sep02 Jul30 Jan25 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Feb16 Jan11 Dec10 Nov19 Oct19 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
6  TEMPEREYA Feb16 Jan28 Dec08 Nov18 Nov11 (dobles eliza)MORELOS E 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  TWIRLING GRACE Feb14 Feb04 Jan27 Dec30 Jun25 (cordero anto)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 15.00    
 
TAM-2   03/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR LITTLE TIGER Jan11 Dec07 Nov14 Oct23 Sep06 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  WAIT A SEC Jan31 Dec27 Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00 37% 1.70    
3  WHEELINGNDEALING Jan20 Dec24 Oct28 Sep17 Aug20 (breen j)CENTENO E 118 3.00    
4  SHE'S PEACHY KEEN Jan21 Dec23 Nov24 Sep16 Mar11 (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 1.20 38% 1.60    
5  BAND SWEETHEART Jan20 Jan05 Dec20 Nov29 Sep30 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 118 15.00    
6  THE SWEATY FOX Jan21 Jan03 Dec20 Oct21 Oct09 (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 3.50    
 
TAM-3   03/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S THAT GIRL Feb14 Dec16       (galvan ba)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 15.00    
2  BACK OFF ME Jan21 Dec15 Sep06 Aug17 Jul21 (russo j)LOPEZ E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  JANNIE MAE Jan26 Nov05 Sep02 Aug04 Jul13 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 122 4.50 29% 2.50    
4  FAR ABOVE Feb09 Jan13 Dec31 Oct08 Sep23 (dobber arnoud )CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MONEY ON ICE Feb09         (ubide max)LUGO D 122 10.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  TAKE IT SOUTH Aug01 May24 Feb11 Jan26 Jan05 (hess b)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00    
7  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE Dec14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul16 Jun22 (dixon)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 3.50    
SCR  AMOR SALVAJE Feb25 Feb09 Jan21 Dec31 Dec13 (ochoa gerard)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
9  FROSTY SECRET Feb09 Aug24 Aug17 Jul21 Jul01 (manning denni)IORIO MELISSA 115 4.50 36% 1.80    
10  THIRSTY DATE Feb18 Feb07 Jan20 Dec30 Dec22 (curto beverly)SOSA LAUREANO 122 30.00    
11  APPLE LOVER Feb25 Feb09 Oct12 Sep09 May14 (carvajal lu)VILLASMIL EDGAR 122 20.00    
12  FAMILY STASH Feb09 Jan14 Dec16 Nov29 Oct20 (dobber arnoud)IORIO MELISSA 115 30.00    
SCR  DELIZIOSA Feb09 Dec31 Jul27 Jul13 Feb05 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 30.00    
SCR  MORENA DANCER Feb18 Feb09 Dec31 Dec22 May03 (marrero nest)ARROYO S 122 20.00    
 
TAM-4   03/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALLANVAARA Oct19 Sep30 Sep03 Aug20 Jul09 (holder tedst)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 15.00    
2  SUSIE'S SAVER Feb14 Jan27 Jan12 Dec29 Dec08 (paragallo je)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
3  SHEMIGHTDANCESALSA Dec16 Nov04 Jun18 Apr26 Apr01 (knoll pet)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 8.00 9% 10.40    
4  HUMOR SENSE Dec29 Nov25 Nov04 Sep30 Jul21 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  BEATIFUL KARLA Feb17 Feb03 Oct14 Sep02 Aug19 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
6  MISS EASY Feb17 Jan24 Dec29 Dec16 Oct03 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 2.50    
7  CHRIS'S MOTOWN GAL Jan24 Jan12 Dec24 Jun30 Apr29 (o'connell kat)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
TAM-5   03/02/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGING AERO Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov18 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  FAR FROM HOME Feb02 Jan21 Dec03 Oct18 Oct10 (cascallar)HERRERA R 119 30.00    
3  BANG A RANG Dec23 Oct25 Oct12     (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00    
4  ROCKINGHAM JOE Feb03 Dec23 Oct27 Oct08 Aug19 (downing william)CENTENO E 119 2.50 ★    
5  BIG LOUIE Feb17 Feb03 Jan21 Jan06 Dec15 (marino gary)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOYAL LOUIE Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 Nov25 Nov05 (stormfelt juli)CASTANON L 119 2.00 58% 0.70    
7  SONG RUNNER Jan26 Jan06 Dec01 Oct29 Sep16 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 119 15.00    
8  SARATOGA BANKER Jan31 Jan10 Dec22 Nov24 Oct18 (dini mike)FERRER C 119 3.50    
SCR  MISTERCHILLIWILLI Feb04 Jan13 Dec27 Dec13 Nov25 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 6.00    
SCR  TAP EM Jan24 Dec27 Dec20 Dec03 Oct13 (rivera a)FERRER C 119 6.00    
 
TAM-6   03/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR JACK Feb21 Jan26 Jan10 Jan05 Dec15 (sepulveda carlo)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 4.50    
2  GRANTED SUCCESS Feb07 Jan20 Nov18 Oct29 Sep29 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 119 3.00    
3  COOL MEMORY Feb11 Jan12 Dec02 Aug13 Jul28 (joseph saff)SPANABEL SKYLER 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
4  JAY'S DELIGHT Feb21 Feb07 Jan21 Dec31 Dec13 (richards ren)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LINE TO GAIN Jan27 Dec09 Sep13 Aug27 Jul30 (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 119 4.50    
6  ESTILO MAGICO Feb17 Jan12 Apr15 Mar22 Feb01 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 121 4.00 36% 1.80    
7  CALL ME ICE MAN Jan26 Dec16 Jun25 May20 Apr08 (campbell mi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 5% 18.70    
 
TAM-7   03/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE STEP Feb09 Jan20 Jan06 Dec23 Dec06 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 5% 19.00    
2  VELOCISSIMA Feb16 Oct13 Sep24 Aug24 Aug13 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 10.00    
3  ROWDY DAISY Feb04 Dec29 Dec16 Dec06 Nov01 (bowersock maria)FELICIANO R 118 15.00    
4  WIN DIXIE RONNIE Jan28 Dec22 Oct13 Sep08 Aug13 (carrascojr )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 6.00 21% 3.80    
5  FOREVER UNCAPTURED Jan21 Dec02 Oct29 Sep17 Aug11 (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 1.20 54% 0.90    
6  LIL ANNIE ROSE Feb09 Jan17 Dec23 Nov24 Oct08 (hayford jenni)IORIO MELISSA 111 12.00 ★    
7  MONTANA JOYCE Jan06 Dec23 Dec06 Nov25 Nov02 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00    
8  MO TOWN ANNIE Feb04 Sep04 Aug11 Jul21 Jul08 (wilson tony)BATISTA A 118 12.00    
9  WHAT A KNOCKOUT Feb08 Jan17 Dec29 Dec16 Nov25 (puckett dwigh)MORALES PABLO 118 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-8   03/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUSTRIAN KITTY Feb18 Jan07 Nov17     (minguet ra)ALONSO LUIS 120 15.00    
2  RAICHU Feb07 Jan07 Aug25 Jul20 Jun02 (avila car)CEDENO CAROL 120 30.00    
3  RITEOFFIRSTREFUSAL Feb18         (damen)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
4  SHE LOVES TO MOVE Jan11 Dec26 Dec03 Nov18 Oct28 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 113 15.00    
5  BLACK BULLET Feb21 Jan31 Dec22 Nov22   (roque elis)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
6  MISS FABIANA Jan24 Dec22       (yanez reynaldo)RIVERA JON 113 2.50 53% 0.90    
7  KEEP IN TOUCH         (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
8  STYLISH ANNA Jan24 Jan07 Aug19     (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 3.00 5% 19.00    
9  R FIREBIRD Jan07 Nov18       (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00 ★    
10  GRAND LADY INDY Feb18 Jan24 Jan07 Sep16   (cordero anto)ARROYO S 120 10.00 ★    
11  DIAMOND ROMANCE Feb24 Dec29 Dec02     (gurrola t)BUSH V 120 30.00    
12  ADIOS MAC MAC Jan10         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 30.00    
SCR  CATALINA CHARLI         (morey willia)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
SCR  ABOVE THE SKY         (nunez mauric)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 20.00    
 
TAM-9   03/02/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP AND CHU Feb14 Jan14 Dec22 Dec13 Apr15 (cahill steven )CEDENO CAROL 119 6.00    
SCR  GOOD VALUE Feb09 Jan10 Dec13 Nov17 Apr27 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 123 6.00    
3  NOBLE TESS Jan19 Dec31 Dec15 Nov25 Oct13 (smith robert )MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  ORIGAMI GIRL Jan12 Oct21 Aug04 May29 May05 (delgado j)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 3.00    
5  C C'S FREEDOM Dec15 Aug18 Jul15 Jun04 May05 (russo j)LOPEZ E 119 30.00    
6  JUST MERCY Feb11 Jan21 Dec20 Sep22 Jul22 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALGARCA Feb09 Dec31 Mar16 Mar02 Feb18 (amaya gustavo)LUGO D 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
8  NEWYEARSPRESENT Feb11 Jan21 Dec15 Nov12 Jul08 (o'connor rob)BATISTA A 121 20.00    
9  ALWAYS ROYAL Jan12 Dec03 Oct28 Apr23 Mar19 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
10  MILLE DREAMS (FR) Feb14 Dec23 Dec01 Nov03 Oct08 (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  SASSY BUT PRECIOUS Feb03 Jan14 May06 Apr15 Mar17 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 12.00    
SCR  ARMONIA Feb01 Dec23 Dec15 Nov24 Jul08 (roque elis)MENESES MARCOS 119 30.00    
SCR  ENCHANTMENT (FR) Feb14 Dec30 Nov22 Oct06 Sep15 (carrascojr )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.