Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - February 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(6/1/5)-(2/5/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(2/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(2/5/8/1)-(7/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/1)-(2/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/1)-(2/5/8/1)-(2/5/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/8/1)-(7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/1)-(7/5/4)-(3/8/6/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(3/8/6/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4)-(3/8/6/1/7)-(8/5/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/8/6/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/1/7)-(3/8/6/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/1/7)-(3/8/6/1/7)-(3/8/6/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/6/1/7)-(8/5/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/1/7)-(8/5/1/9)-(6/10/2/7/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (8/5/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/9)-(8/5/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/9)-(8/5/1/9)-(8/5/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/9)-(6/10/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/9)-(6/10/2/7/4)-(3/1/9/10/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (6/10/2/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/2/7/4)-(6/10/2/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/2/7/4)-(6/10/2/7/4)-(6/10/2/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/2/7/4)-(3/1/9/10/8) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/1/9/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/9/10/8)-(3/1/9/10/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/9/10/8)-(3/1/9/10/8)-(3/1/9/10/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/23/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOCEPHUS Jan31 Dec29 Dec09 Dec01 Nov16 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 10.00    
2  MR TINGLES Feb03 Jan10 Dec14 Nov17 Nov03 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 113 8.00    
3  MONTAUK DADDY Feb14 Jan31 Jan05 Dec15 Nov29 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
4  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Feb09 Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 Dec01 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 124 0.80 26% 2.80    
5  INSIDE RISK Feb08 Jan31 Jan10 Dec14 Nov29 (caison l)MAWING A 120 12.00    
6  PIT STOP MAN Jan31 Jan18 Jan10 Dec14 Oct06 (ginter ra)BOCACHICA J 113 4.50    
7  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Jan25 Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 Sep30 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 19% 4.30    
 
CT-2   02/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C R'S UNCLE LINO Dec16 Nov11 Oct08 Sep08 Aug27 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  MY HANDSOME MAN Feb07 Jan25 Dec09 Nov18 Nov01 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
3  EPIC TIME Feb03 Dec08 Jul27 Jul08 Jun15 (kolb chris )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
4  MACHEN'S RIDGE Dec09 Nov29 Nov18 Oct27 Sep21 (ovando me)BOCACHICA J 117 12.00    
5  HOT FUDGE SONDE Jan25 Jan12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
6  BOSS E BOOGS Feb07 Jan12 Dec01 Oct28 Sep28 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.00 26% 2.80    
 
CT-3   02/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTIVATING Jan27 Dec29 Oct28 Sep27 Nov18 (viands r)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SISYPHUS Jan27 Jan18 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 (rose d)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
3  PLAY IT LOUD Feb09 Feb01 Oct25 Aug27   (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 10.00    
4  CALCULATED LUV Feb09 Dec08 Nov10 Oct20   (joy kevin)BOCACHICA J 109 20.00    
5  STOMPING MOON Feb01 Jan12 Dec09 Nov22 Oct05 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.80 20% 4.00    
6  LOW COUNTRY DUDE Nov06 Aug06 Jul25 May14 Apr22 (cuttino m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
7  YO VINNIE Dec16 Nov18 Oct28 Sep01 Aug11 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 10.00    
8  HAMMER Feb14 Jan13 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 (gazzier krist)ROJAS MARTINA 111 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
CT-4   02/23/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT PASS Jan11 Nov16 Oct05 Sep14 Aug03 (racanelli)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00    
2  LADY SPARROW Feb01 Jan10 Dec06 Nov09 Oct07 (conn p)REAP E 120 50.00    
SCR  DEVIN ON EARTH Feb07 Jan24 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50    
4  GREAT DEVOTION Feb07 Jan11 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DAPHNE'S FIRE Jan24 Nov16 Oct26 Oct13 Sep01 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
6  LUNA WEST Jan11 Dec16 Nov10 Sep07 Aug24 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00    
7  BLUE HOUR Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 Nov03 Oct07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 55% 0.80    
 
CT-5   02/23/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAFTY CANDYGRAM         (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00 7% 14.40    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of SHEZA CRAFTY CAT by FIBER SONDE)
2  HOLY MOAT Feb02         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 30.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
3  HEART STOPPING         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 35% 1.80    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MAGIC FILLSTHE AIR by MORE THAN READY)
4  BLUSHING BIP BOP Feb14         (stehr p)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
  (by SIENTE EL TRUENO out of BIP BOP BOO by ADMIRALTY ARCH)
5  GRUMPY N U KNOW IT Feb02 Jan12       (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of STEFANI'S SURPRISE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  SPANISH GHOST         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 9% 10.40    
  (by ALDRIN out of SPANISH MOSS by LIMEHOUSE)
7  SISTER WINNIE         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 7% 14.40    
  (by REDIRECT out of AUNT WINNIE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
8  CANDY TRICKS Feb16 Feb02 Jan12     (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of TRICKY WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
9  NEUTRAL CAUSE         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of LAUGH N YODEL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  PIPE DREAMIN         (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 4.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of VIA AURELIA by MARQUETRY)
SCR  UNITE THE GIRLS Feb02 Jan03       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of GIRLFRIENONTHESIDE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
CT-6   02/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Feb07 Jan18 Dec29 Dec13 Nov18 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  RAGTIME RICHES Jan25 Jan05 Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 (barber donald )REYNOLDS C 120 4.50    
3  STACKS OF SILVER Jan06 Nov03 Oct20 Sep16 Aug16 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00    
4  JUMPSTER Feb07 Oct28 Oct12 Aug06 Jun03 (hillegass alexa)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
5  NEVER CHANGE Jan27 Oct12 Oct04 Sep08 Aug17 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 9% 10.30    
6  GUN COLLECTOR Feb08 Dec14 Nov22 Oct17 May06 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 10.00    
SCR  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Feb16 Feb07 Dec16 Dec08 Nov17 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 5.00    
8  MARK DID IT Feb07 Jan18 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 (figgins o)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00 61% 0.60    
9  PAYMENGOLD Feb01 Dec08 Dec01 Oct14 Sep28 (johnson dewayne)BOCACHICA O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   02/23/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURTLE DOVE Feb02 Oct21 Sep28 Aug26 Jun30 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00    
2  RUNALDO Feb02 Dec14 Feb16 Jan27   (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 5.00 16% 5.30    
3  REMYS GUNSMOKE Dec16 Jan19 Jan07 Nov23 Oct29 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 20.00    
4  BORN TO SIN Feb01 Dec14 Nov29 Oct28 Oct07 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  KARMA BUS Dec16 Nov29 Nov14 Oct20 Sep29 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
6  TIME TO ROCK Feb01 Jan13 Dec16     (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 34% 1.90    
7  CUPID'S SONG Jul06 Jan06       (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00 10% 8.70    
8  JAXJAXXORJACKS May12 Apr27 Mar31 Feb24 Feb08 (caison l)MAWING A 120 30.00    
SCR  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Jan31 Jan12 Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
10  GEORGE Feb02 Dec16 Oct28 Oct07 Aug26 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
CT-8   02/23/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLORINE         (bailon he)ACOSTA D 124 10.00 15% 5.60    
2  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Feb02 Dec08 Dec02 Nov17 Oct27 (aylor natasha )REAP E 122 12.00    
3  AZTECA GIRL Feb03 Jan14 Dec16 Nov24 Nov04 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
4  ZIDORMI Feb09 Dec15 Oct13 Sep01 Jul07 (mcgill sylvest)RIOS-CONDE A 124 10.00    
5  SONGTELLER Jan31 Jan12 Dec08 Nov03 Jun10 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 15.00    
6  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Feb02 Jan12 Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 3.50    
SCR  RED DELICIOUS Nov26 Nov19 Nov08 Oct03 Sep13 (gotera juan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
8  TAP THE KEG Feb02 Jan26 Dec15 Nov12 Sep16 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SK'S HEART Feb02 Jan12 Dec02 Nov17 Oct27 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  NOBLE OBSESSION Feb14 Jan04 Nov09     (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.