Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - February 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5)-(5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/7/5)-(5/2/1)-(7/6/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(7/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(7/6/3/8)-(6/2/4/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/8)-(6/2/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/8)-(6/2/4/8)-(1/5/2/9/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/8)-(1/5/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/8)-(1/5/2/9/3)-(7/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/5/2/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/9/3)-(1/5/2/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/9/3)-(1/5/2/9/3)-(1/5/2/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/2/9/3)-(7/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/9/3)-(7/3/6)-(8/6/3/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(8/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(8/6/3/9)-(5/13/11/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (8/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/3/9)-(8/6/3/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/6/3/9)-(8/6/3/5/9)-(8/6/3/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/6/3/9)-(5/13/11/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/3/9)-(5/13/11/2/4)-(4/2/8/1/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-8   WIN (5/13/11/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/13/11/2/4)-(5/13/11/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/13/11/2/4)-(5/13/11/2/4)-(5/13/11/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/13/11/2/4)-(4/2/8/1/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
TAM-9   WIN (4/2/8/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/1/6)-(4/2/8/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/1/6)-(4/2/8/1/6)-(4/2/8/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   02/07/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBTLE SENORITA Jan12 Nov11 Oct27 Aug26 Aug12 (dominguez luis)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 4.50    
THIRSTY DATE Jan20 Dec30 Dec22 Dec16 Nov29 (curto beverly)SOSA LAUREANO 120 30.00    
ALWAYS CONNECTED Jan27 Jan14 Nov25 Nov03 Oct15 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.40 14% 6.40    
AMARULA SUN Jan20 Dec30 Dec06 Oct20 Oct08 (wasiluk p)HERRERA R 122 30.00    
EXAGERADORA Jan27 Jan10 Dec22 Dec06 Nov01 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
TESHIMA Jan27 Jan12 Dec31 Dec22 Dec17 (potts wayne)CENTENO E 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
THE RAIN IS COMING Jan10 Dec09       (lilly p)FUENTES MARIO 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
 
TAM-2   02/07/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE COMES BILLY Jan21 Jan05 Dec01 Oct28 Oct13 (nunn dougla)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00 15% 5.70    
MALIBU MIKE Jan12 Dec31 Dec15 Mar04 Feb03 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 119 5.00 23% 3.40    
JAY'S DELIGHT Jan21 Dec31 Dec13 Nov22 Jul09 (richards ren)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.50    
DIVINING STONE Jan21 Jan10 Dec23 Dec16 Oct25 (lopez mar)RODRIGUEZ A 123 4.50    
RANSEUR Jan21 Oct19 Sep14 Aug18 May20 (carvajal luis)IORIO MELISSA 112 3.00 28% 2.50    
LEMONADEATTHELATCH Jan21 Jan06 Dec22 Dec06 Oct19 (mendieta alej)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00    
SCR  SKYHOOPER Jan27 Dec08 Oct29 Aug26 Jul16 (arriagada)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 3.50    
 
TAM-3   02/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEAX Jan27 Jan13 Dec20 Dec08 Nov22 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 122 10.00    
SHADY BOY Dec16         (charlton ros)MENESES MARCOS 122 15.00    
SWIFT DANCER Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 May04 Mar23 (munoz carlos)MORELOS E 122 12.00 6% 16.50    
ROMPING RUNNER Jan17 Dec26 Dec14 Jul09 Jun11 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50    
FIRST PLACE G Dec29 Nov25 Apr21 Jan19 Dec23 (smith rob)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 4.00    
ROCKY'S EXPRESS Dec30 Dec16 Sep06 Jul19 Jun17 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
SILVER SLUGGER Dec05         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
CITY HUMOR Jan17 Dec29 Oct14 Sep22 Sep02 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   02/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY SONG Jan26 Jan12 Dec13 Oct20 Aug31 (ochoa gerard)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
MR. EXTENSION Jan12 Aug20 Aug12 May29 May14 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
LITIGANT Jan26 Jan05 Dec16 Dec06 Nov22 (ochoa gerard)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00    
RAISE A SPEIGHTS Dec08 Nov25 Nov17 Oct18 Oct06 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
AGENT COOPER Sep23 Aug26 Aug17 Aug03 Jun30 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 120 8.00    
YES I'M A BEAST Nov22 Nov05 May27 Apr27 Mar16 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 120 1.60 52% 0.90    
WAR CROSS Dec30 Dec20 Dec06 Nov03 Oct15 (gatis chris)FERRER C 120 6.00    
SIX WHIPS Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 Oct25 Oct07 (orantes r)HIRALDO JOHN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-5   02/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLIME QUEEN Jan28 Dec30 Nov29 Jul30 Jun03 (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 119 3.50 29% 2.40    
CLOUD STORAGE Jan20 Jan03 Nov16 Oct29 Oct05 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 121 2.50 14% 6.20    
LEA RO Dec13 Oct05 Aug31 Jul27 Jun21 (campbell mi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00 10% 8.90    
IRAZU Jan20 Dec22 Nov25 Aug20 Jul23 (jones douglas)IORIO MELISSA 112 10.00    
HIGH VIBES Dec30 Dec13 Nov29 Aug31 Aug09 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 121 4.00 14% 6.10    
FALL MOON Dec13 Sep03 Aug24 Jul20 Jul09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
KIKILOVE Jan21 Dec31 Nov25 Aug27 Jul22 (potts g)CEDENO CAROL 119 15.00    
DEL REY DOLLY Jan06 Dec20 Nov25 Sep20 Jul23 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 119 20.00    
SING SCAT Jan28 Jan03 Dec13 Nov29 Nov10 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 6.00 13% 6.80    
10  FUNNY ENOUGH Aug31 Aug12 Jul22 May21 Apr02 (russo j)LOPEZ E 119 15.00    
SCR  AFERDITA Jan17 Jan03 Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
SCR  DRILL'S VALENTINE Jan19 Dec15 Nov25 Jul01 Jun09 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 10.00    
SCR  NICOLAR Dec13 Nov29 Nov17 Oct14 Sep17 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 10.00    
SCR  PANOTTI Nov19 Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 Jul27 (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
 
TAM-6   02/07/2024 5400ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AFRICAN WATERS Jan13 Nov16 Sep16     (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 1.60    
  (by WAR FRONT out of VAULCLUSE by A.P. INDY)
MONEY BEETS Nov11 Oct07 Sep16 Aug20 Jul29 (minshall)GALLARDO A 122 4.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DO THE DANCE by DISCREET CAT)
SERENA'S COURT Jan05 Dec18 Nov04     (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of HOME COURT by STORM CAT)
SCR  IKRAN         (sancal murat)CENTENO E 122 10.00    
  (by CURLIN out of COMMON HOPE by STORM CAT)
MOON CAVE Mar18 Dec23       (charlton rosh)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS EUPHORIA by ARAGORN (IRE))
UNIFIEDS PRINCESS Jan14 Dec13 Dec06 Oct28 Sep30 (gonzalez jav)MORELOS E 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of PREDICTRESS by VICAR)
EYES OF GOLD Jan13 Dec14 Nov24 Oct08 Aug04 (demeritte larr)CASTANON L 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MS TRISH S. by SMOKE WARNING)
 
TAM-7   02/07/2024 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNEY'S WAY Sep29         (deaton willia)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
CALL EM KARL Jan07 Dec06 Nov14 Oct24   (ryan s)CASTANON L 120 15.00    
THAT MAGIC MOMENT Dec29 Dec03 Oct27     (yanez reynal)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
JOSH'S DRAMA Jan10 Dec13 Nov24 Sep09 Aug10 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 6.00    
DR SCHUSTER Jan19 Dec27 Dec13 Oct13 Aug25 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 2.00    
VENEZUELAN FAITH         (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 34% 1.90    
SUPER BUSTER Jan07 Oct20       (pickett crysta)CEDENO CAROL 120 20.00    
MY NOBLE KNIGHT Dec27 Dec01       (barbazoniii)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 1.80 38% 1.60    
TOURIST STYLE Dec29 Dec02 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 (mcgoey monica)DIAZ S 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-8   02/07/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLY DANCE Jan10 Dec23 Dec08 Nov12 Sep28 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 8.00    
WEDDING BLISS Jan07         (ness jam)GALLARDO A 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
UNO UNO Jan19 Jan10 Dec31 Dec20 Sep10 (cascallares n)IORIO MELISSA 113 6.00    
HARD SPICE Jan10 Dec22 Dec08     (santil)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
RED HAIRED GAL         (bennett ger)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.00 34% 1.90    
MORNING REFLECTION Jan17 Jan07 Nov09 Sep28   (rarick ly)RODRIGUEZ A 120 20.00    
SCR  ADIOS MAC MAC Jan10         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 30.00    
MONEYSLOT Jan13 Dec08 Oct05 Sep09   (avila c)MORELOS E 120 30.00    
BAHAMIAN BABY Nov17 Oct21 Sep15 Jul29   (cascallar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00    
10  MISS CLAUDETTE Dec16 Nov24 Nov01 Sep16   (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 12.00    
11  CLASSY LIL BETTY Aug18         (rountree cathy)BUSH V 120 4.50 19% 4.20    
12  RAICHU Jan07 Aug25 Jul20 Jun02   (avila)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00    
13  I LOVE VENEZUELA Dec01 Nov04 Jul21     (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  AUSTRIAN KITTY Jan07 Nov17       (minguet ramon)IORIO MELISSA 113 30.00    
 
TAM-9   02/07/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TITLE SHOT Dec24 Dec08 Nov25 Sep22 Aug25 (wilson tony)BATISTA A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
DANIEL SUN Aug10 Jan04 Dec16 Sep24 Sep07 (crichton roh)MENESES MARCOS 118 3.50 10% 9.00    
FAST PAYDAY Dec24 Nov25 Aug26 Aug19 Jul01 (manning den)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 15.00    
CRAFTY KING Jan19 Jan05 Sep02 Aug18 Jul23 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
BRUCE BANNER Jan10 Dec24 Oct28 Sep09 Aug26 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 118 6.00    
K'S PICK Dec24 Sep13 Aug26 Jul14 Jun28 (smith g)CENTENO E 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHIMMERING LEROID Dec24 Dec08 Nov25 Sep16 Aug04 (dini mik)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
CHARLES CHROME Dec24 Nov25 May14 Apr23 Mar08 (crichton roh)ARROYO S 118 10.00 10% 9.30    
KINGDOM ON PAWS Jan19 Dec24 Dec01 Oct26 Oct06 (schistl raf)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 4.50    
10  ARRIO Dec24 Dec08 Sep14 Jun22 May29 (paragallo jen)SOSA LAUREANO 118 20.00    
SCR  E MINOR Jan17 Dec23 Oct26 Sep18 Aug29 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00    
SCR  GHOSTSTRYDER Jan10 Dec13 Nov22 Mar31 Feb24 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 118 4.00    
SCR  SIR LUMPALOT Jan19 Jan05 Dec13 Nov24 Oct28 (ness jam)GALLARDO A 120 3.00    
SCR  REDISUR Jan21 Jan07 Dec02 Nov12 Oct20 (romero)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.