Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - January 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(3/5/2/6)-(4/5/8/10/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/5/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6)-(3/5/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/6)-(4/5/8/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/6)-(4/5/8/10/6)-(4/1/6/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/5/8/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/10/6)-(4/5/8/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/10/6)-(4/5/8/10/6)-(4/5/8/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/8/10/6)-(4/1/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/10/6)-(4/1/6/3)-(3/6/5/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3)-(3/6/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/3)-(3/6/5/4)-(2/6/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (3/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/4)-(3/6/5/4/9)-(3/6/5/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/5/4)-(2/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/4)-(2/6/1/3)-(10/5/3/8/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/3)-(10/5/3/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/3)-(10/5/3/8/1)-(6/1/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/5/3/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/3/8/1)-(10/5/3/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/3/8/1)-(10/5/3/8/1)-(10/5/3/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/3/8/1)-(6/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/5/3/8/1)-(6/1/4)-(9/3/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(9/3/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/10)-(9/3/10/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/10)-(9/3/10/1/8)-(9/3/10/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED DELICIOUS Nov26 Nov19 Nov08 Oct03 Sep13 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 122 12.00    
2  SUMMER GOLD Dec30 Dec16       (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FIRELANE Dec16 Sep25 Sep09 Aug26   (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 122 10.00 ★    
4  AMARULA SUN Dec30 Dec06 Oct20 Oct08 Aug25 (wasiluk peter )CEDENO CAROL 122 15.00    
5  BEER BALI Dec24 Aug31 Aug18 Jul27 Jun10 (gulick m)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.00 47% 1.10    
6  THIRSTY DATE Dec30 Dec22 Dec16 Nov29 Dec26 (curto beverly)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00    
7  LUNA AMARILLA Dec30 Dec16 Nov29 Aug17 Jul27 (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
8  GATOR TWENTY FIVE Dec06         (guciardo )MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 6.00    
 
TAM-2   01/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RITAAN Jan06 Dec16 Nov22 Oct08 Sep18 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.50    
2  DANCE STEP Jan06 Dec23 Dec06 Nov15 Nov02 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
3  EILAT Dec26 Nov10 Sep23 Aug26 Aug11 (barboza v)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 4.00 22% 3.60    
4  BIONDA SUPRISE Dec20 Aug04 Jul22 Mar31 Mar18 (yanez r)CEDENO CAROL 118 20.00    
5  DIVISIBILITY Jan03 Dec20 Mar29 Mar03 Jan20 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
6  SHEZA RAJUN CAJUN Dec23 Nov22 Oct04 Sep21 Aug18 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 6.00 6% 16.60    
7  BAND SWEETHEART Jan05 Dec20 Nov29 Sep30 Aug06 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 118 3.50    
 
TAM-3   01/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTHINGMAKESENSE Jan05 Oct20 Oct06 Sep06 Jun17 (aguayo ramon)CASTANON L 117 8.00    
2  IRAZU Dec22 Nov25 Aug20 Jul23 Jul01 (jones douglas)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 12.00    
3  MILLIONDOLARMONKEY Dec09 Oct26 Aug22 Jul23 Jun04 (orantes yoni)ARROYO S 115 30.00    
4  PAPER MANSION Dec30 Dec15 Oct29 Oct12 Sep29 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
5  PRINCESS JAVONCIA Dec30 Nov17 Aug16 May11 Nov06 (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
6  STEPPER Dec30 Aug04 Jun21 Mar07 Aug06 (russo j)LOPEZ E 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  CARMEL SUNRISE Nov04 Oct07 Sep08 Aug11 Jul09 (potts)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 20.00    
8  INANNA'S QUEST Dec30 Nov29 Nov10 Sep09 Jul27 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 117 10.00 19% 4.10    
9  CLOUD STORAGE Jan03 Nov16 Oct29 Oct05 Sep28 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00    
10  SPECTACULAR GAL Jan03 Nov29 Apr20 Mar29 Mar08 (mcgoey monic)MORELOS E 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-4   01/20/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICAL WAY Jan07 Dec16 Dec01 Nov22 Oct27 (richards renal)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 27% 2.70    
2  GOLDEN TONE Jan07 Dec27 Dec15 Dec01 Oct23 (rivera xa)HERNANDEZ H 121 12.00    
3  GUINESSEY Jan07 Dec01 Oct12 Sep29 Aug31 (rhone bernell)FERRER C 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  WAR NOVEL Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Oct25 Oct02 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  ALMASHRIQ Jan05 Dec15 Dec08 Nov10 Oct27 (pita daniel)MORELOS E 121 5.00    
6  DREAM ASTRAY Dec30 Nov24 Oct09 Aug06 Jul08 (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 3.50 18% 4.40    
7  POLITICAL RIOT Jan05 Dec06 Aug26 Aug03 Jul22 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00    
8  KIDYOUNOT Jan05 Dec16 Sep29 Sep07 Aug17 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 121 20.00    
 
TAM-5   01/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE MAGIC GIRL Dec02 Oct07 Sep21     (lopez mar)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RICKETYRACKETYRUSS by BORREGO)
2  BIRDWATCHING         (delacour ar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of ELUSIVE BIRD by STORM BIRD)
3  QUEENS FABLE (IRE) Dec02         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
  (by FRANKEL out of RYMSKA by LE HAVRE)
4  BOLD LOOK Nov10 Sep16       (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 120 8.00 5% 17.70    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of MOON DELIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
5  SHAMU Dec15 Sep15       (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 120 15.00 20% 3.90    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of ORCA by MIZZEN MAST)
6  GOLDEN NOTE         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 4.00 21% 3.90    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GOLDEN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  TAKE THE COOKIES Dec09 Oct07 Aug17     (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of SHE'S NOT LAZY by TIZNOW)
8  MAXS PICK Nov03 Oct18       (correa maxine)FERRER C 120 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  GRECIAN GODDESS         (cleme)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 5.00 ★    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of AMMANNATI by GALILEO)
10  MOMMA KIM Dec28 Dec02 Jul02     (nunn douglas)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ESTORIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  ACQUALINA         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LUCEVAN by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
TAM-6   01/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TICKET TO THE TOP Jan05 Oct14       (smith cr)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 8% 11.30    
2  SIR MI TOLEE Dec31 Dec02       (bennett gerald)CEDENO CAROL 119 1.20 55% 0.80    
3  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Dec22 Dec02 Nov03 Oct22 Sep17 (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50 7% 13.80    
4  GAV N BRODY         (cudworth paul)COTTO L 119 15.00    
5  HABERDASHERY Jan05 Sep25       (mckathan kevin)DIAZ S 119 12.00    
6  MORE THAN DESTINY Dec31 Dec13 Oct20     (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00 8% 11.20    
7  READY FOR ACTION Oct03 Aug17 Jul03     (hamm timoth)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
8  TIZ LORD         (bowersock maria)FELICIANO R 119 10.00    
 
TAM-7   01/20/2024 5610ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEO MONTE Dec22 Nov22 Oct13 Sep03 Aug04 (sacco d)FERRER C 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  IRWANI (ARG) Dec30 Dec08 Nov25 Jul09 Jun30 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 117 5.00    
3  THE PENINSULA Dec30 Dec15 Sep09 Aug06 Jul22 (rodriguez da)ARROYO S 119 4.50 10% 9.20    
4  CHICO CHARLIE Dec31 Nov24 Aug18 Jul23 Jun11 (o'connell kath)CASTANON L 116 10.00    
5  CANNON'S ROAR Dec30 Nov16 Oct22 Oct14 Aug19 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
6  MR. SARCASTIC Nov22 Oct14 Sep14 May06 Apr22 (richards renaldo)LOPEZ E 114 30.00    
7  SIR TERRE Dec30 Nov12 Oct22 Sep22 Sep08 (sacco gr)GALLARDO A 118 4.50    
8  GRATIA PRINCE Dec22 Nov25 Oct05 Aug05 Apr26 (potts g)CENTENO E 117 15.00 5% 18.60    
SCR  LORD OF THE NILE Jan06 Nov24 Oct06 Jul01 May06 (dobber arnoud)FUENTES MARIO 112 30.00    
10  AMERICAN UNITY Dec30 Dec13 Nov03 Sep24 Sep08 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-8   01/20/2024 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH BROW Dec24 Dec16 Nov24 Nov01 Oct09 (d'angelo jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 12.00 18% 4.60    
2  POWER HUMOR Dec26 Sep16 Aug12 Jun30 May06 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 5.00    
3  GILDED AGE Dec02 Sep24 Jun22 May25 Sep24 (d'angelo)GALLARDO A 119 3.00    
4  WINTER'S GHOST Jan12 Dec16 Dec01 Oct27 Sep30 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 119 10.00 9% 10.60    
5  EASTSIDE COOL Nov24 Oct14 Sep10 Jun04 May06 (herna)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00    
6  JUST BEAT THE ODDS Dec16 Oct22 Sep09 Aug18 Jul22 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 47% 1.10    
7  SHERLOCK'S JEWEL Dec15 Nov08 Sep03 Aug19 Jun03 (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 2.50 ★    
 
TAM-9   01/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RADIANT QUEEN Dec02 Nov05 Oct01     (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 5.00 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RENEE'S QUEEN by AFTER MARKET)
SCR  STORMY DISCO Dec09 Sep15 Sep01     (dini mike)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SCATCAPADE by SCAT DADDY)
3  VICTORIA'S DANCER Dec09 Oct07 Sep02 Aug05 Jul02 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ARTISANAL by MORE THAN READY)
4  LIME TREE         (james gerald)MORELOS E 120 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of LATIQUE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  COURT STAR         (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 20.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PRINCESSE RAFAELA by SKY MESA)
6  CAMEO ROSE         (motion g)SANCHEZ J 120 12.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of LES BIZ by FED BIZ)
7  LUCEVAN LA STELLE         (albertrani t)BATISTA A 120 15.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of LOOK AT ME by FAIR AMERICAN)
8  SPINNING CLASS Nov18         (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00 ★    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MY IMPRESSION by SKY MESA)
9  WATCHTOWER (IRE) Oct20 Sep02       (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of ZLOTY by POLISH NUMBERS)
10  MAYFLY Dec09 Nov12 Oct22 Sep16 Aug17 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 4.00 11% 8.30    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CRYSTAL MOONLIGHT by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
11  FAIRE PLAISIR         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 120 8.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of EXCUSES BEGONE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  STENTS AND STATINS (GB) Sep03         (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 4.00    
  (by SOLDIER HOLLOW out of DEALBATA by DUBAWI)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.