Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - January 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/2/1)-(4/5/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(6/3/4)-(3/1/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(3/1/5)-(5/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/2/1)-(2/1/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1/6)-(5/2/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(2/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(2/1/9)-(7/9/3/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/9)-(2/1/7/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/9)-(2/1/7/6/9)-(2/1/7/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/9)-(7/9/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/9)-(7/9/3/10)-(5/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/9/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/3/10)-(7/9/6/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/9/3/10)-(7/9/6/3/10)-(7/9/6/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/9/3/10)-(5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/9/3/10)-(5/4/7)-(4/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7/2)-(5/4/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/10/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/10/7/2)-(4/6/10/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONGTELLER Dec08 Nov03 Jun10 May07 Apr28 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 8.00 7% 13.40    
2  PALMARY Dec10 Nov26       (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 3.00 ★    
3  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Dec08 Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 Sep14 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
4  BIG R. NAUFFAL Nov27 Oct21       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 1.80 46% 1.20    
5  SK'S HEART Dec02 Nov17 Oct27 Oct12 Sep27 (bailon nes)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.00 15% 5.70    
6  LAZY ACES Dec15         (malgarini maw)ADAMS L 117 20.00    
7  HEY MACARENA Dec08 Dec02 Nov02 Sep30 Jul22 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 124 30.00    
 
CT-2   01/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNOISSEUR Nov30 Oct19 Jun07 May30 Nov22 (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 10.00    
2  SCARLET TANAGER Dec02 Nov11 Oct07 Sep07 Aug19 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50    
3  GRANDIOSELY Dec02 Nov11 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
4  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Dec01 Nov11 Oct07 Sep07 Aug19 (knoblauch-per)ADAMS L 115 12.00 14% 6.00    
5  SALTY SAUL Sep15 Aug12 Jul13 Jun16 May06 (mancill)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00    
6  ALWAYS SOMETHING Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 Sep29 Aug25 (bass curt)BOCACHICA J 113 1.80 33% 2.00    
SCR  REINE SECRET Dec13 Dec06 Sep01 Aug12 Jun11 (babcock rebe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 15.00    
 
CT-3   01/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHEN IT RAIN Aug21 Oct17 Jul10     (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  S S MIRAGE Dec16 Nov29 Nov16     (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00    
3  MY BALBOA Dec14 Dec02 Nov10 Nov03 Oct20 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 0.60 45% 1.20    
4  DONNIE B Nov29 Oct07 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
5  EVANESCO Dec14 Nov25 Nov16 Nov26 Nov09 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GETTIN SPICY Dec06 Nov30 Nov16 Nov08 Nov01 (boykins kevin)ADAMS L 115 50.00    
7  DOG TOWN ALLEN Dec06 Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 Sep08 (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00    
8  MONKEY WRENCH Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 Jul15 (barahona isaac)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
 
CT-4   01/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE SONDE Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 May12 Apr22 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
2  REMYS SHOWTIME Dec16 Dec07 Nov29 Nov08 Oct28 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
3  EL LUCERITO Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct14 Sep08 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 124 12.00    
4  BON BUENO Dec09 Sep16 Sep09 Jul31 Jul07 (gillespie a)MAWING A 120 12.00    
5  PERSONABLE Dec09 Nov17 Oct28 Sep01 Aug17 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
6  BOSS E BOOGS Dec01 Oct28 Sep28 Sep02 Jul27 (wilhelm tabitha)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.00 ★    
7  STOMPING MOON Dec09 Nov22 Oct05 Sep22 Sep02 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
 
CT-5   01/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYING FOR TWO Dec07 Aug26 Aug18 Aug12 Jul27 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
2  LIVANA Nov30 Jul07 Jun10 May18 Apr28 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
3  IMINCHARGENOW Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 Sep30 Jul20 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 122 5.00    
4  LAURA'S GRAND Dec07 Nov24 Oct26 Oct19 Sep03 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 120 30.00    
5  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Oct26 Sep30 Aug11 Jun30 Apr15 (aylor william )REAP E 120 30.00    
6  JUJU ON DA BEAT Nov30 Nov15 Oct26 Sep30 Sep07 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 ★    
7  WINDSOR'S MEMORY Nov30 Oct25       (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00 ★    
8  TAPTAP Dec14 Nov27 Nov02 Oct25 Oct05 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
9  AWESOME MOON Jul20 Jul07 Jun17 May26 May11 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   01/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORANGEBURG Dec16 Dec05 Oct31 Oct08 Sep07 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
2  MODERN DAY ROMANCE Dec16 Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 Sep07 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
3  HAZEDNCONFUSED Nov01 Oct16 Sep15 Aug19 Jun16 (calhoun amanda)CULLUM W 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00    
5  SCARE DEM Dec16 Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 Oct18 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
6  BURR HILL BULLET Dec16 Nov24 Oct27 Oct11 Sep25 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 ★    
7  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Dec09 Nov18 Oct27 Oct14 Sep15 (sigler ronald )REYNOLDS C 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  KING OF LUCK Dec01 Nov16 Oct27 Oct05 Sep28 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
9  DOCTOR PARDO Dec05 Nov07 Oct06 Sep15 Sep01 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
10  JAZZ WITH DENIS Dec16 Nov18 Nov01 Oct14 Sep15 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   01/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT HEIRESS Dec02 Oct04 Sep10 Aug11 Jun17 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
2  YOLO CHARLOTTE Dec14 Jun30 Jun02 May12 Apr15 (lyster ste)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  BARBERS POINT Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep08 Aug15 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
4  MARINA GRANDE Nov25 Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 (cruz jesus)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
5  JUBA'S PARADE Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 Sep09 Aug12 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 120 4.50 50% 1.00    
6  EMBERLY Jan03 Dec08 Nov25 Nov16 Nov08 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 15.00    
7  VOLNAY Nov02 Oct06 Sep04 Jul08 Jun17 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 8.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  GOLD TIME VIXEN Dec30 Dec15 Oct20 Oct06 Sep15 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
9  HONEY BELLA Dec06 Nov15 Sep30 Sep16 Sep03 (joy j)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   01/12/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMESUGARNSPICE Dec12 Dec06 Nov08 Oct27 Oct06 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 4.50    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
2  GRUMPY N U KNOW IT         (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 ★    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of STEFANI'S SURPRISE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
3  MY LUCKY DEIA Nov17 Nov02       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
  (by LEA out of QUILT by TWILIGHT AGENDA)
SCR  OVERNIGHT POW WOW         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOLY POW WOW by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  DREAM STREET ROSE         (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of PARTY CAKE by REPARATIONS)
6  SHEWONTTALKTOME Jul20 Jul06       (sigler rona)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
  (by JUBA out of FERZETTI by MUNNINGS)
7  CANDY TRICKS         (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of TRICKY WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
8  SPECIAL KAYLEE Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Sep21   (kopecki e)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
  (by GANDHI out of FIRST COLONY by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  HOLY MOAT         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of PLUNGEINTHEMOAT by WINDSOR CASTLE)
10  BULL'S LEGACY         (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 6.00 ★    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SKY'S LEGACY by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  SIMPLY EVIL         (kopecki e)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
  (by GUNNERSIDE out of WITH CLASS by WITH DISTINCTION)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.