Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - January 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(6/2/4)-(8/1/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(8/1/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(8/1/6/9)-(7/4/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/6/9)-(8/1/6/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/6/9)-(8/1/6/9/3)-(8/1/6/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/6/9)-(7/4/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/6/9)-(7/4/1/3)-(3/4/7/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3)-(7/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/3)-(3/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/3)-(3/4/7/6)-(10/3/7/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/6)-(10/3/7/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/6)-(10/3/7/5/2)-(8/3/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (10/3/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/7/5/2)-(10/3/7/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/7/5/2)-(10/3/7/5/2)-(10/3/7/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/7/5/2)-(8/3/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/7/5/2)-(8/3/4/2)-(5/9/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (8/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/4/2)-(5/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/7)-(5/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/7)-(5/9/4/7)-(5/9/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/03/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIPED THE CASTLE Dec02         (jackson angelo )PELTROCHE F 124 1.20 33% 2.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SWIPE RIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
2  IRISH WIZARD Dec02         (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 2.50 20% 3.90    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of WIZARDS FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
3  RAISE A RUCKUS Nov16 Oct19 Sep30 Sep07 Aug17 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of HOT CREEK RISIN' by BRING THE HEAT)
4  RESTLESS BUSTER Dec02         (craig e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of RESTLESS TOUCH by MEDFORD)
5  HARLEY SIOUX Dec02 Nov10 Jul06 Jun10 May20 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  SPYDYLEGS Nov26 Oct15       (clement r)BOCACHICA J 117 12.00    
  (by GARNERED out of HEAD START JOANIE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
7  BRADLEY DO RIGHT Dec16 Nov25 Nov03 Oct20 Oct12 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 116 12.00 ★    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
 
CT-2   01/03/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AT THE HALF Nov30 Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (davis r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00    
2  THUNDER PUNCH Nov30 Nov08 Oct20 Sep29 Sep08 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 12% 7.10    
3  LIME AFTER LIME Dec13 Nov30 Jan21 Jan14 Dec17 (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
4  JUBA'S HOUSE Nov22 Nov02 Oct14 Sep21 Aug19 (shanley mark)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHENANDOAH CAT Nov30 Jul21 May26 May12 Apr29 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00    
6  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Nov08 Oct21 Sep16 Sep07 Aug04 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 59% 0.70    
7  WINDSOR'S PLAY Dec13 Nov25 Nov03 Oct18 Oct13 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00 ★    
 
CT-3   01/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLD THE NOTE         (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
  (by NYQUIST out of SWEEPING IN by SCAT DADDY)
2  COLLECTED SUCCESS Dec03 Nov08 Oct08 Sep06   (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of GIANT SUCCESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  OREO ANGEL Nov08         (hess jacob )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of HINT OF MINT by MORE THAN READY)
4  RAGAZZA MIA Nov08 Oct19       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 10.00    
  (by MOSLER out of THEGALTHATWASABOY by TIZNOW)
5  DEE DEE SIX Dec01 Oct18 Aug27 Jul21   (cipriano rober)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
  (by DON SIX out of BEACH BADGE by MEDALLIST)
6  DEBT RELIEF Nov30         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by COLLECTED out of TIZ A BRITE MISS by HIGH BRITE)
7  FOE WHAT ITS WORTH Nov30         (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
  (by FRIEND OR FOE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  PHOTO FINISH Dec09 Oct21       (cruz jesus)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 1.20 33% 2.10    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of SUPER MAMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  CAUSETOWIN Nov09         (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of NEVER GO BACK by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
 
CT-4   01/03/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAVEL SMART Dec15 Nov03 Oct18 Jun16 May20 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
2  WICKED SAUCY Nov29 Sep30 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 (calhoun amanda)CULLUM W 120 30.00    
3  THE MONEY MACHINE Nov29 Nov15 Oct18 Sep29 Sep02 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHATTA NOTION Nov25 Oct25 Oct26     (cruz jesus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  DESTINED TO DANCE Dec09 Nov23 Oct28 Oct05 Sep22 (corral)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00    
SCR  PUSH Dec08 Nov18 Nov11 Oct19 Sep28 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
7  SKYLAR'S SISTER Nov29 Nov15 Oct26 Sep01 Jul15 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
8  TOUGH ENOUGH Nov16 Oct18 Sep30 Sep22 Sep02 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
SCR  CORA'S CHOICE Dec22 Dec13 Nov26 Nov09 Oct27 (walters j)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00    
10  ALWAYS FORWARD Dec09 Nov26 Nov09 Oct19 Oct05 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 10.00    
 
CT-5   01/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTHARITA Nov29 Oct22 Sep14 Sep01 Mar25 (horner g)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
2  HERETODAYGONMANANA Dec08 Nov25 Nov03 Oct18 Sep16 (boggs joanna)MAWING A 124 10.00    
3  EMBERLY Dec08 Nov25 Nov16 Nov08 Oct26 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 3.50 31% 2.30    
4  MISS LAUREN Dec08 Nov18 Oct12 Sep02 Aug03 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  VICTORY ROYALE Nov12 Oct16 Oct02 Mar18 Feb16 (delong)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.50    
6  SMOKIN LADY Dec14 Nov20 Oct26 Sep16 Aug26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 6% 16.10    
7  KATALIMA Dec13 Nov18 Oct28 Oct12 Jul22 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 8.00 18% 4.50    
8  SNEAKY LYNK Dec04 Nov09 Oct26 Sep16 Aug24 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
 
CT-6   01/03/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE BUCKPASSING Dec09 Nov29       (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of METAL FIRECRACKER by LITE THE FUSE)
2  FLORIDIFIED         (curtis)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of FLORID by LEMON DROP KID)
3  TOMORROW'S EDGE         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of TRES CHIC by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  SHE'S A BRICKHOUSE Dec09 Nov29 Nov04 Oct13 Oct28 (hamlin e)LARROSA G 124 8.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of BENEDICTA by ORIENTATE (GB))
5  TRUE INDY Nov29         (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AARON'S WAY out of BOBBIE'S THE BEST by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  S S FLAMINGO Dec09 Nov27 Oct03     (jimenez mig)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of VERONICA'S LAKE by SALT LAKE)
7  UNITE THE GIRLS         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of GIRLFRIENONTHESIDE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  IMADHI Oct12 Sep21       (kopecki e)MAWING A 116 20.00    
  (by GANDHI out of MONSTER IMAGE by MEADOW MONSTER)
9  BET YOUR BOOTS Nov15         (groves janice)BATISTA C 124 12.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of WINNING BET by DIXIE UNION)
10  JUBA'S PUNCH Nov29         (joy j)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by JUBA out of SCOTTISH PUNCH by MY BOY ADAM)
SCR  SPECIAL KAYLEE Dec15 Nov24 Nov02 Sep21   (kopecki e)CHILO MAXIMO 116 20.00    
  (by GANDHI out of FIRST COLONY by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
CT-7   01/03/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCONSCIOUS MIND Dec15 Nov04 Oct13 Sep22   (davis e)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
2  CASTLE TOY Dec14 Oct13 Sep28 Sep14 Aug30 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAYYESTOTHELADY Feb01 Jan14 Nov30 Oct22 Sep21 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
4  KEEP ON SPURRIN Dec06 Nov08 Sep07 Aug19 Jul29 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
5  AIM'S JUBILEE Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 Sep14 Sep02 (regget)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 10.00    
6  TIMETOGETUP Nov25 Nov08 Oct25 Oct05 Sep07 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 124 3.00    
7  PURE NONSENSE Dec14 Nov22 Nov02 Sep15 Aug26 (gillespie a)MAWING A 120 10.00    
8  MACKENZIE'S MUSIC Nov08 Oct14 Aug24 Jul27 Jun19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
CT-8   01/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEPE AND HEYWOOD Dec16 Nov24 Nov11 Oct21 Sep22 (nazario p)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
2  PROTA Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 Oct13 Sep29 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
3  TOP OF THE MINT Dec13 Nov29 Sep21 Aug23 Nov12 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
4  MYSTIFIED Sep29 Aug23 Jul05 Jun03 Mar31 (jackson sh)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 8% 11.10    
5  YOU ARE AWESOME Oct03 Sep14 Aug22 Jul31 Jul04 (st davi)ADAMS L 115 8.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  GOLDEN SPOKE Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 Oct06 Sep13 (joy ke)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.80    
7  ROYAL THUNDER Dec16 Nov25 Oct18 Sep04 Aug27 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  FOX RED Dec15 Dec07 Nov22 Nov02 Sep11 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00    
9  PYEONG CHANG Nov17 Oct06 Sep02 Aug11 Jun24 (runco c)CULLUM W 122 5.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  CAPE LOOKOUT Dec13 Nov26 Nov17 Oct18 Jul31 (schottroffe )BATISTA A 122 20.00    
11  GABRIEL'S WING Dec17 Dec07 Nov11 Oct28 Oct05 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.