Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - December 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(4/7/1)-(5/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/1)-(4/7/1)-(4/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/1)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1)-(5/2/3)-(3/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(3/5/4)-(6/8/2/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(6/8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(6/8/2/9)-(2/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/8/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/2/9)-(6/8/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/2/9)-(6/8/2/9)-(6/8/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/2/9)-(2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/2/9)-(2/1/6)-(6/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/4/6)-(2/1/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(6/1/3)-(1/6/9/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(1/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ONE TOUGH ROSE Nov11 Sep29 Sep14 Aug25 Aug04 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
2  DIVINE FASHION Nov16 Oct14 Oct06 Jul29 Jul01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.40 70% 0.40    
3  SECRET CASTLE Nov16 Oct27 Oct05 Aug31 Aug19 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 20.00    
4  SHERIFF'S KID Nov17 Oct26 Oct06 Sep14 Aug12 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
5  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Nov16 Oct05 Sep16 Aug19 May18 (viands r)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 7% 13.20    
6  BETCHA BY GOLLY Nov16 Oct06 Sep16 Sep04 Jul29 (andrea)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.20    
 
CT-2   12/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLLY'S PERSUASION Nov30 Sep21 Aug04 Jun23 May27 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00 9% 10.70    
2  CICI UNIFIED Dec01 Nov10 Oct19 Oct06 Sep02 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
3  ONEPRETTYTHING Nov18 Nov10 Oct19 Oct04 Sep02 (smith osborne)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
4  SWEET TALIA Nov12 Oct27 Sep30 Aug19 Jul23 (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.40 57% 0.80    
5  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Nov17 Oct19 Oct07 Sep09 Aug19 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
6  CONGRESS HALL Nov12 Oct26 Oct06 Sep17 Aug12 (mcfarlane)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
7  RUXTON ROCKS Sep19 Aug22 Jul25 Jun28 Feb25 (valvo zoe)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.60 12% 7.60    
 
CT-3   12/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 May11 Apr20 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 120 8.00    
2  GABRIEL'S WING Nov11 Oct28 Oct05 Mar05 Feb17 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
3  SCHMEAR Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 Aug25 Aug10 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 1.80 21% 3.90    
4  SPEAKERIT Oct28 Sep30 Sep07 Aug20 Jul29 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
5  I'LL FINISH Nov14 Oct24 Sep07 Apr01 Feb12 (delong ben)BATISTA A 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
6  SURF CITY GOLD Nov23 Nov09 Oct19 Oct06 Sep16 (mckenzie danie)ARAUJO DENIS 124 2.50    
 
CT-4   12/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZUPITA Nov17 Oct26 Oct07 Sep27 Aug22 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
2  SEEMS TO WHISPER Sep16 Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 Jun09 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00    
3  DEVIN ON EARTH Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep03 Aug24 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 33% 2.10    
4  WATCH ME DISAPPEAR Oct26 Oct05 Sep02 Jul14 Jun23 (robb j)HO WESLEY 122 2.50 9% 9.80    
5  BAYLIS STREET Oct26 Jul08 May20 Mar17 Feb20 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 29% 2.50    
6  WATERLOO ROSE Oct28 Oct06 Aug05 Jul15 Jul07 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
 
CT-5   12/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS HALO Nov15 Oct26 Oct13 Sep16 Aug19 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
2  ABUNDANT STORY Nov04 Oct23 Sep26 Aug29 Aug11 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  ODINA Nov15 Oct26 Sep16 Aug24 Jul13 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50    
4  IMINCHARGENOW Nov15 Oct26 Sep30 Jul20 Jun17 (schottroffe e)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
5  LAURA'S GRAND Nov24 Oct26 Oct19 Sep03 Aug25 (pyke joseph)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
6  JUST HAVE FAITH Nov15 Oct13 Sep15 Aug25 Jul14 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 1.80 66% 0.50    
7  KEY TO THE CASTLE May26 Apr20 Mar02 Nov30 Nov09 (espinosa victo)ARAUJO DENIS 122 12.00    
8  I SHALLBE RELEASED Nov15 Oct26 Oct07 Aug24 Aug11 (walters d)BOCACHICA J 113 3.00 5% 19.00    
9  DEREKA'S BLUFF Nov15 Oct13 Sep16 Aug19 Jul28 (venham d)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   12/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREME DE LA QUEEN         (brown kel)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00 22% 3.70    
2  MSSNAP Nov24         (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 124 3.50 54% 0.80    
3  GATTOLOTTASPARKLE Jun01 May04 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (mcclure)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 30.00    
4  S S CASINO GIRL Nov15 Sep03 Aug20 Jun17 May25 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 121 5.00 ★    
5  PALACIO Nov04 Oct13 Aug12     (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 121 4.50    
6  COLD CASH Nov29         (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PLAYING FOR TWO Aug26 Aug18 Aug12 Jul27 Jan06 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 119 15.00    
8  UNALTERED Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Aug18 Aug04 (stehr j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 1.40    
 
CT-7   12/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Oct28 Oct14 Aug25 Jun11 May17 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.00 27% 2.80    
2  FEARNOUGHT Nov22 Nov01 Oct07 Sep16 Aug31 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00    
3  HERO'S MAN Oct25 Aug19 Jul21 Jun16 May19 (meyers shan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 16% 5.10    
4  REMYS SHOWTIME Nov29 Nov08 Oct28 Oct14 Sep09 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 5.00    
5  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Nov06 Sep27 Aug16 Jul19 Jul12 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
6  JUNGLE BEAST Nov18 Oct14 Sep22 Aug25 Jul21 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.40 34% 1.90    
 
CT-8   12/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAPHNE'S FIRE Nov16 Oct26 Oct13 Sep01 Jul30 (comi ralph)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.80 45% 1.20    
SCR  C TWO Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep02 May27 (atkins)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00    
3  MIDNIGHT PASS Nov16 Oct05 Sep14 Aug03 Jul14 (racanelli mark)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
4  HOLY HIP Nov18 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Sep22 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
5  HONEYCAMP Nov11 Oct21 Oct06 Sep28 Sep14 (adorno je)BOCACHICA J 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TOUGH ENOUGH Nov16 Oct18 Sep30 Sep22 Sep02 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
7  HANNAHS RED RUBY Nov15 Oct28 Oct05 Sep02 Jul13 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 20.00    
8  HERECOMES SCARLETT Nov11 Oct25 Oct05 Aug10 Jul29 (davis e)HO WESLEY 118 5.00    
9  GREAT DEVOTION Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 8% 12.00    
10  GOLDEN BLOSSOM Nov17 Oct25 Oct05 Sep15 Mar17 (klesari)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.