Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - November 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(1/6/3)-(5/9/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(5/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(5/9/6)-(1/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/9/6)-(5/9/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/9/6)-(5/9/7/6)-(5/9/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/9/6)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6)-(1/2/3)-(9/2/4/10/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(9/2/4/10/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(9/2/4/10/5)-(4/8/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/2/4/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/10/5)-(9/2/4/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/10/5)-(9/2/4/10/5)-(9/2/4/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/4/10/5)-(4/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/2/4/10/5)-(4/8/7)-(9/8/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/7)-(4/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/7)-(4/8/7)-(4/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/7)-(9/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7)-(9/8/2/7)-(8/9/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/2/7)-(9/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/2/7)-(9/8/2/7)-(9/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/2/7)-(8/9/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/9/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/7)-(8/9/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/7)-(8/9/5/7)-(8/9/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WATCH ME DISAPPEAR Oct26 Oct05 Sep02 Jul14 Jun23 (robb j)HO WESLEY 122 1.80    
2  LONDON GOLD Jul15 Jun04 Apr06 Mar12 Feb12 (hillegass)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
3  RED PRIESTESS Oct26 Sep15 Aug19 Aug02 Jul13 (nicholson junio)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
4  SASSY BABE Nov10 Oct26 Sep06 Aug18 Jul13 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 3.50    
5  TALENTED CORINNA Oct06 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul15 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 11% 7.90    
6  ZUPITA Oct26 Oct07 Sep27 Aug22 Aug10 (dollinger-sth)RIVERA JAVIER 120 12.00 23% 3.30    
7  LIKELY CHOICE Oct26 Oct06 Sep15 Aug30 Aug07 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
CT-2   11/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIDICULOUS Oct06 Sep14 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.00 50% 1.00    
2  CLAW Nov03 Oct21 Sep29 Sep02 Aug04 (bailon nesvil )ARAUJO DENIS 120 15.00    
3  CAPE LOOKOUT Oct18 Jul31 Jun21 May14 Apr27 (schottrof)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 9% 10.40    
4  BERMONDSEY Nov02 Sep16 Aug17 Jul27 Jun21 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 5.00    
5  EKATI'S VERVE Nov03 Oct06 Sep24 Sep04 Aug03 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
6  PYEONG CHANG Oct06 Sep02 Aug11 Jun24 Jun02 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 113 4.50 12% 7.20    
7  RAISE A SPEIGHTS Oct18 Oct06 Sep14 Jun24 May22 (pickett)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00    
 
CT-3   11/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLEBOURBONGIRL Nov02         (grams tim)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 15.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of ROCK OF WINDSOR by WINDSOR CASTLE)
2  FLAMME FATALE Oct27         (couchenour lee)REYNOLDS C 122 30.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of LA FLAMME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  PARALLAX VIEW Oct06 Aug31       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of WIDE OPEN by FLAT OUT)
4  ROMAN CANDLE Oct27 Sep21       (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of ROMAN CHARITY by ROMAN RULER)
5  MALIBU YEARS Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 (johnson jam)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MALIBU LOVE by MALIBU MOON)
6  MY LUCKY DEIA Nov02         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEA out of QUILT by TWILIGHT AGENDA)
7  LIGHTNIN QUEEN Oct27 Sep15 Aug31 Aug02   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00 ★    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MY LIGHTNIN STRIKE by MINESHAFT)
8  HERE'S A QUARTER Jul06         (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of BATHSHUA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
9  POUR ME A DRINK Nov02         (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by BULLSBAY out of INTOXICATING BELLE by STAY THIRSTY)
 
CT-4   11/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O K SMARTY PANTS Nov01         (sterling michae)PELTROCHE F 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
2  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Nov01 Oct19 Aug18 Aug04 Jul14 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
3  MISS ARGENTINA Nov04 Oct13 Sep23 Sep02   (larrosa a)BOCACHICA J 115 6.00 9% 10.80    
SCR  NEW AGE BAD GIRL Nov01 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Mar11 (hamlin kathleen )MAWING A 120 20.00    
5  GHOST OF ALCINA Oct19 Sep23 Sep02 Aug04 Jul01 (greaves ver)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
6  VERY VENUS Nov04 Oct13 Sep15 Aug25 Aug12 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00    
7  XTENDED STREAK Nov01 Oct19 Sep02 Aug12 Aug04 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 5.00    
 
CT-5   11/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHESARUNAWAYTRAIN Sep01         (pennella rhe)WILLIAMS DEVON 124 20.00    
2  DREAM OF GOLD Apr28 Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06 (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  SK'S HEART Oct27 Oct12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 (bailon ne)BOCACHICA J 115 5.00    
4  EBONY QUEEN Oct27 Sep22 Aug24     (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
5  AFIRE Aug04 Jul14       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRINCESS MIA ROSE Oct27 Oct12 Sep14 Jul15 May12 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
7  GOLDEN BLOSSOM Oct25 Oct05 Sep15 Mar17 Feb25 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
SCR  DEAREST M. A. Oct25 Oct05 Sep02 May18 Apr06 (jones william)CHILO JACINTO 122 30.00    
9  GREAT SISTERS Sep03         (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
10  SILVER'S GIRL Nov03 Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 May06 (bourne t)CRUZ ANGEL 124 6.00 6% 15.30    
11  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Oct27 Oct12 Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
 
CT-6   11/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEACHINTHERELEASE Oct28 Oct14 Sep28 Sep08 Aug17 (petty kristy)MONTANO JOSE 120 4.00    
2  MR TINGLES Nov03 Oct20 Sep30 Sep21 Sep09 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
3  EL LUCERITO Oct28 Oct14 Sep08 Aug17 Jul21 (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00    
4  PRIMAL DESTINY Oct21 Sep21 Aug06 Jul13 Apr30 (patterson kev)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00 39% 1.60    
5  SETTLEMENT DATE Oct28 Jun30 Jun15 May19 May05 (larrosa r)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
6  THE ILLUSIONIST Nov02 Sep28 Aug31 Jul29 Jul08 (kravets bruce )ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00    
7  CARIBBEAN PLEASURE Sep21 Aug17 Aug04 Jul01   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  COMPANY CLOWN Oct21 May26 Mar30 Feb11 Dec01 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  ADVANCE CASH Oct28 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 (peltroche van)CHILO JACINTO 124 3.50    
SCR  STORM BOARDER (CHI) Nov03 Oct21 Sep21 Aug06 Jul13 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 5.00    
 
CT-7   11/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHAT SAY YOU Nov02 Oct12 Sep04 Jul12 Jun23 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.50    
2  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Nov02 Oct12 Aug27 Aug11 Jul13 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 6.00 15% 5.60    
3  URBAN BANDIT Oct21 Sep30 Sep08 Aug17 Jul02 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 12.00    
SCR  GAMMA SQUEEZE Nov08 Oct18 Sep16 Aug18 Jun22 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00    
5  THE HAPPY GIANT Oct28 Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Jul31 (fulmer allison)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Oct18 Sep29 Sep16 Aug31 Aug18 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00    
7  SILIPO Oct28 Oct07 May20 Apr14 Mar25 (hillegass)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 7% 13.10    
8  PERSONABLE Oct28 Sep01 Aug17 Aug04 Mar31 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00 25% 3.00    
9  MARK DID IT Oct28 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Aug10 (brown w)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
10  ROYAL PAIN Oct28 Jul15 Jun23 Jun03 Apr22 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
SCR  KRUG Nov04 Oct27 Sep30 Aug27 Aug10 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   11/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOBE'S GIRL Oct20 Sep08 Aug18 Jul07 Jun15 (pickett)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
SCR  LIGHTFOOT MISS Oct19 Sep29 Jul01 May20 Apr29 (racanelli mark)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT REGRET Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 (dillon l)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50    
4  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Oct19 Oct07 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00    
5  SULTRY SALLY H Oct25 Oct05 Aug26 Jul29 Jul13 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00 12% 7.20    
6  ULTIMATE BREEZE Oct20 Sep15 Aug26 Aug04 Jul07 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
7  SHERIFF'S KID Oct26 Oct06 Sep14 Aug12 Jul22 (shanley m)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
8  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Oct27 Oct07 Sep02 Aug12 Jul13 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
9  SHES SO SPEIGHTSY Oct27 Sep14 Aug24 Aug05 Jun16 (jones a)RODRIGUEZ V 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
10  EXTRA CRUNCHY Oct27 Oct08 Sep04 Jul29 Jul07 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00    
SCR  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Nov08 Oct27 Oct14 Sep14 Jul29 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 117 8.00    
SCR  AMERICA'S PRIDE Nov10 Oct26 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 (gayle webster)SIMPSON JASON 122 15.00    
SCR  ONEPRETTYTHING Nov10 Oct19 Oct04 Sep02 Aug19 (smith osborne)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
SCR  TIMEISGOLDEN Oct24 Aug31 Jul29 May09 Apr13 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.