Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - November 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/4)-(8/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/4)-(8/5/4)-(8/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/5/4)-(6/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4)-(6/2/3)-(7/4/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(7/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(7/4/3/1)-(6/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/1)-(7/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/1)-(7/4/3/1)-(7/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/1)-(6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/1)-(6/7/8)-(8/9/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/8)-(6/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(8/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(8/9/4)-(8/4/9) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/4)-(8/9/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/9/4)-(8/9/4)-(8/9/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/9/4)-(8/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4)-(8/4/9)-(3/1/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/9)-(8/4/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/9)-(8/4/6/9)-(8/4/6/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/9)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/9)-(3/1/7/5)-(10/5/4/1/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/5)-(10/5/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/5/4/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/4/1/2)-(10/5/4/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/4/1/2)-(10/5/4/1/2)-(10/5/4/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN ASSET Oct20 Sep29       (mcdonald tim)BATISTA A 121 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PRECIOUS ASSET by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
2  DIMELO PAPI Oct20 Sep29 Sep08     (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 12.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of GIANNA BELLA by FIBER SONDE)
SCR  SWIPED THE CASTLE         (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 121 10.00    
  (by WINDSOR CASTLE out of SWIPE RIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
4  GAMBLING FEVER Oct20 Jul20 Jul06 Jun10   (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LITTLEBITABLING by CARSON CITY)
5  HARLEY SIOUX Jul06 Jun10 May20 Apr29 Apr06 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CARLY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  DON'T GET CAUGHTUP Oct20 Oct13 Sep29 Sep08 Jul20 (boykins kevin)SIMPSON JASON 121 30.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of PUTTYBADSHARK by ONEBADSHARK)
7  CECIL THE GREAT Aug19 Aug05       (clement r)BOCACHICA J 114 3.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PRACTICAL IDEAS by PROSPECT BAY)
8  MY BALBOA Nov03 Oct20       (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 1.80 39% 1.50    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCKABYE LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
CT-2   11/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUPPYMONKEYBABY Oct20 Oct08 Sep29 Sep02 Jul07 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
2  FORTES Oct25 Sep08 Aug24 Jul07 Jun16 (reynolds joan )ARAUJO DENIS 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Sep08 Jul07 Jun16 May26 Apr14 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  RUNNING FREE Oct25 Sep29 Aug26 Aug18 Jul27 (boyce bri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 6.00    
5  SISTER'S DUTY Oct20 Jul29 Jul07 Jun16 Jun02 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 12.00    
6  TIZ THE REASON Oct25 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.40 33% 2.00    
7  VALID REASON Oct25 Jan21 Jan05 Nov10 Oct12 (johnson de)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00    
 
CT-3   11/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIBRANT FORCE         (doran )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 10% 9.50    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of VIBRANT SPIRIT by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  SUPER ROCKY Jul27         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of ROMANTIC SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
3  CALCULATED LUV Oct20         (joy j)ARAUJO DENIS 120 10.00 13% 6.90    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
4  RUMORS TO BLAME         (rathman eli)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by BLAME out of RUMOR by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  COOLKID Oct11 Sep27 Aug25 Aug11   (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of UNTAINTED by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  CAJUN JOE Oct20 Sep14 Aug30     (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of CONCERTED EFFORT by CONCERTO)
7  ADIOS COOL ARROWS Oct20 Aug20 Jul23     (delong ben)BATISTA A 120 1.20 25% 3.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of EASY A by MORE THAN READY)
8  HOT ROD LOVE Oct20 Sep02       (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of KATIE'S CADDIE by LION HEARTED)
 
CT-4   11/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOTIVATED SPEAKER Aug17 Jul28 Jul14 Apr14 Feb16 (covello)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
2  BOSEY Aug18 Jul27 Jun22 Jun03   (straughn will)ADAMS L 113 30.00    
3  WOOTDAREITIS Oct14 Sep15 Sep01 Aug16 Jul27 (werneth ro)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.00    
4  SKY OF GOLD Oct19 Oct06 Oct07 Sep15 Aug27 (atkins willia)BATISTA C 122 6.00    
5  BIG BALLOONS Oct19 Sep23 Aug27 Aug11 Jul08 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.50    
6  TAPIO (IRE) Sep25 Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 Jun11 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 1.40 43% 1.30    
7  D TACHYON Oct06 Jun17 May05 Apr14 Feb10 (davis bil)BOCACHICA J 115 8.00 19% 4.10    
8  BOP ZAPPER Oct27 Oct05 Sep22 Aug31 Aug03 (huet k)RODRIGUEZ V 120 10.00 8% 12.10    
 
CT-5   11/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS SOMETHING Oct20 Sep29 Aug25 Jun02 May02 (patterson kev)RIVERA JAVIER 120 6.00    
2  AMERICA'S PRIDE Oct26 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Jun12 (gayle webster)SIMPSON JASON 122 10.00    
SCR  DING DING Oct25 Oct07 Jul14 Apr20 Mar24 (sanderson )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
4  GARY DOING BIZ Sep29 Sep08 Jul07 May25 May04 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 8.00 15% 5.80    
5  BESTLA Oct25 Oct06 Sep15 Aug24 Jul14 (sandoval micha)CHILO MAXIMO 124 15.00    
6  COMIDA COMIDA Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 Sep02 Aug03 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 4.50    
SCR  WEDONTBELIEVEHER Oct18 Aug23 Jul05 Jun27 Apr13 (englehart)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.00    
8  MO CO GOLD Oct25 Oct01 Sep02 Jul23 Jun25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
9  INCLUDE THE BEAST Oct20 Sep08 Aug18 Jun16 May26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 25% 3.10    
 
CT-6   11/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONNIE BLUETOOTH Oct27 Oct05 Sep14 Aug19 Jul29 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00    
2  MISS WILD Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 Aug27 Aug12 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
3  ONEPRETTYTHING Oct19 Oct04 Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 (smith osborne)ADAMS L 117 30.00    
4  MARKETABILITY Oct19 Oct07 Sep29 Sep09 Aug12 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  URKILLINGMEBETH Oct19 Oct07 Aug12 May21 Apr30 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
6  DORITA'S HEART Oct25 Apr28 Mar24 Mar04 Feb17 (keller christop)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.60 ★    
7  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Oct20 Sep02 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (hillegass)BOCACHICA J 113 15.00    
8  STYLISH PAINT Oct20 Oct07 Sep09 Aug12 May25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50 60% 0.70    
9  PRACTICALLY THERE Nov01 Oct20 Oct05 Aug24 Jul29 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  CICI UNIFIED Oct19 Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
 
CT-7   11/10/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMY SONDE Sep07 Jul06 May18 Apr01 Mar09 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  SLEWING Sep30 Aug19 Jun30 Mar25 Jan14 (groves janice)BATISTA C 120 6.00    
3  XANTHE Oct18 Jun02 May12 Apr15 Mar10 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  CHEROKEE CASTLE Nov02 Sep07 Jul06 May19 Apr21 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 20.00    
5  DIXIE YODELER Oct21 Sep07 Aug05 Jul06 May05 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SCARLET REBEL Nov01 Sep23 Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
7  PHANTOM QUEEN Oct19 Aug25 Jul22 Jul01 May19 (greaves v)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
8  SILVER RULES Sep30 Sep07 Aug25 Aug12 Jul15 (kopecki e)ARAUJO DENIS 120 8.00    
 
CT-8   11/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAY DIDDLE DIDDLE Oct20 Oct05 May27 Mar24 Jan28 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 7% 13.20    
2  RUSH TO CANDY Oct25 Oct05 Sep09 Aug11 Jul26 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  ZAP MAN Jul09         (cockburn sam)ARAUJO DENIS 124 10.00    
4  SMOKIN SMITTY Oct20 Sep28 Sep07 Aug11 Jul08 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 121 5.00 7% 12.70    
5  REMASTERED Oct25 Aug18 Jul21 May14 Mar09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 121 3.00 13% 6.60    
6  AGAIN WE MEET Oct20 Aug19       (sewell lenwort)RIOS-CONDE A 121 20.00    
7  RUN FOR KARL Oct16 Sep12 Aug10 Jul22 Jun18 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 20.00    
8  CAPT COMPLICATED Oct20 Oct04 Sep18 Sep01 Aug09 (jones mic)BOCACHICA J 114 15.00    
9  FLOOR IT Oct20 Aug19 Jul21 Jun16 Mar12 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 10.00    
10  NET WORTH Jun22 Jun10 May25 Apr22 Apr10 (shanley timot)ADAMS L 114 4.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  BARRELHOUSE Oct05 Sep09 Aug17 Aug08 Apr21 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 4.00    
SCR  LET'S EAT Oct05 Aug23 Aug08 Jun30 Nov15 (gillespie ryan)CHILO MAXIMO 121 20.00    
SCR  CUP MATCH Sep02 Aug16 Aug04 Jun28 Jun10 (nicholson jun)BATISTA C 124 20.00    
SCR  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE Oct28 Oct05 Aug25 Mar23 Feb15 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.