Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Monday - September 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(6/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/2/3)-(6/5/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(5/2)-(9/1/8) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
MNR-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/2)-(9/1/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MNR-4   WIN (9/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/8)-(9/1/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/8)-(9/1/8)-(9/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (9/1/8)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(2/8/9)-(5/3/6/10/2) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-7   WIN (2/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/9)-(2/8/9) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/9)-(2/8/9)-(2/8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/8/9)-(5/3/6/10/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
MNR-8   WIN (5/3/6/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/10/2)-(5/3/6/10/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/10/2)-(5/3/6/10/2)-(5/3/6/10/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMESAYNEIGH Jun02 May25 May04 Apr23   (shuler r)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SOME SAY by CHELSEY CAT)
SWORD OF DAMOCLES Sep04 Aug21 Aug07 Jul31   (baird mic)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
  (by MACHEN out of NATALIE'S WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
WATCHING SNOW FLY Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Mar11 Jan26 (delong ben)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.00 23% 3.30    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SNOW FROLIC by ARTAX)
CASH IS MONEY Sep04 Aug21       (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 118 4.50    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of KARACUDA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
ALL ROADS TO DENIS Sep09 Aug17 Jul28 Jul13 Jul01 (ewell devan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of ROAD TO ZANZIBAR by QUALITY ROAD)
KID QUICK Sep04         (jensen)ENRIQUEZ JR 118 3.00 8% 11.50    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of FRISCO GAL by FRISCO STAR)
NORTHERN RUNNER Aug31 Aug02 Dec30 Nov27 Nov03 (herrington cally)CCAMAQUE M 118 6.00    
  (by PERFECT SOUL out of NORTHERN CHEROKEE by OUTFLANKER)
 
MNR-2   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINLANDIAS NEAT Sep05 Aug21 Aug02 Jul10 Jun04 (eidschun greg)NELSON TYRONE 123 6.00    
COMMANDING Sep04 Aug14 Aug08 Feb02 Dec13 (valdez moises)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
TRUST FUND ROBBER Aug28 Aug14 Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 (lopez e)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
EAST BY WEST Sep06 Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 May23 (londono o)HERNANDEZ H 118 5.00    
WILLIAM'S CAUSE Sep05 Aug28 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 5.00 6% 16.30    
JOHN'S KID Sep03 Aug14 Jul23 Jul12 Jul02 (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 118 4.50 72% 0.40    
BLOWN OUT Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Jun13 May15 (bell brenda)CEDILLO MAURO 113 8.00    
COMMISSIONER H Sep04 Aug11 Jun10 May19   (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 118 2.50    
 
MNR-3   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED ROSEBUSH Aug31 Jul07 Jun20 May17 May02 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
AMERICAN DREAMER Jul25 Jun15 May18 Dec08 Oct26 (jackson l)CULLUM W 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
UNESCORTED Aug24 Aug03 Jul03 Jun10 May20 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.50    
MY DANCING QUEEN Aug10 Jul13 Jun20 May25 Jan19 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 120 3.50    
HAMMER AND JAMMER Aug01 Jul09       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 2.00 67% 0.50    
CHICA CHULA Aug26 Aug09 Jul27 Jul09 Feb22 (calvo kelsie)DIAZ R 118 2.50    
 
MNR-4   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASSY JUSTICE Aug30 Jul16 Jun20 May09 Mar15 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  TIMEISGOLDEN Aug31 Jul29 May09 Apr13 Feb25 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 6.00    
SCR  MAOILIN Aug22 Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 May31 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00    
LADY NOGUEZ Aug20 Aug13 Jul18 Jul03 May09 (silva pabl)LEON A 120 6.00    
MISS FORT Aug13 Jul30 Jun20 May18 Nov23 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 10.00    
FAIRY CAKES (GB) Sep09 Aug15 Jul12 Jun13 Feb18 (mcentee paul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 8.00    
ONE NIGHT STAND Aug22 Aug10 Jun28 Jun03 Apr21 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 10.00    
GO STELLAIRE Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul30 Jul18 (vickers ric)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 8.00 8% 12.00    
SWEET QUEEN BEE Aug29 Aug08 Jun13 May22 May09 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
MNR-5   09/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIT OF BLESSINGS Sep03 Aug25 Aug12 Jul31 Jul22 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 4.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of BIT BUSTIN by BUSTIN STONES)
FRIENDLY LUCY Sep03 Jul24       (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of A FEW GOOD FRIENDS by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
ISLE BE THERE Aug02 Jul24 Jun01 Apr29 Feb11 (baird michael)PAUCAR E 118 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of BARBADOS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SUNSET QUEEN Jun17 May20 Apr29 Apr20 Mar04 (lucas anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 123 12.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of CANADIAN QUEEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
LADY GANGSTER Aug26 Aug04 Jun17 Jun01 May20 (joy j)WHITACRE B 123 4.50 13% 6.80    
  (by GANDHI out of STERLINGS AMERICA by SILVER TRAIN)
SCR  S S COSMOPOLITAN Sep03         (jimenez m)HERNANDEZ H 118 10.00    
  (by D' FUNNYBONE out of SMART TRADE by SMART STRIKE)
TRACE ESTATE Sep03 Aug20 Jul24 Jun01 May20 (ewell sr)LEON A 123 5.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of RUNNING A TRACE by STAR TRACE)
TAPTAP Aug25 Aug12 Jul24 Jun02 May20 (pyke joseph)CEDILLO MAURO 123 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAL THE APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
MNR-6   09/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN WARRIOR Sep02 Aug17 Jan12 Dec22 Dec05 (mcentee paul)CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.50 23% 3.40    
TYPE SETTER Nov14         (bell brenda)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00    
MARSALA MONARCH Oct09 Sep13 Aug11 Jun19 May31 (vickers ric)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
EL CARDINAL Sep06 Aug27 Aug14 Jun27 May23 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
CAMINERO May13 Mar17 Feb15 Jan26 Jan01 (hetrick)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 3.00    
SCR  BEST CHOICE BABY Sep06 Aug16 May11 Apr16 Mar25 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 121 4.00    
HINK'S PALADIN May27 May06 Apr27 Mar24 Mar12 (johnston r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
 
MNR-7   09/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIP THORN Jul31 Jul03 Jun11 Oct22 Oct13 (collins tim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 6.00    
ESCAPE VELOCITY Sep05 Aug29 Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 (treharne dave)BRACHO A 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  KOZY'S WILDCAT Sep03 Jul30 Jun21 Jun09 Apr29 (treharne dave)CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.50    
SAVVY LAYLA Aug22 Jul27 May27 Apr22 Apr08 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 10.00    
DYRDEK Aug29 Jul24 Jun15 May16 May02 (walker a)AVILES YAN 120 6.00    
SCR  HARD COUNT Sep03 Jul31 Jul05 Jun07 May16 (bernardini jay)JURADO EDDIE 120 8.00    
TAKECHARGEJUSTICE Aug26 Aug05 Jul18 Jun20 Jun01 (cluley denn)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 15.00    
HIGH ROLLING DUDE Sep05 Aug13 Jul31 Jul18 Jun25 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 120 5.00 28% 2.50    
PALACE PRINCE Aug23 Aug09 Jul23 Jul17 Jul03 (silva pabl)LEON A 123 6.00 11% 8.20    
 
MNR-8   09/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIFTEEN TO VEGAS Aug13 Jul26       (hamilton beverly)CCAMAQUE M 120 30.00    
CUPID'S NUMBER Aug27 Aug07 Jul23 Jul01 May26 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
CHOCO ROCO Sep06 Aug16 Aug02 Jul25 Jun25 (alamo a)JIMENEZ S 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
THE FIVE B'S Sep04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 May19 (deville carl )CEDILLO MAURO 113 2.50    
SEAN THE HAMMER Sep06 Aug20 Aug09 Jul27 Jul21 (clouston edward)PAUCAR E 123 4.50 32% 2.10    
KAPHAVATA Jul12 May29 May07 Apr04 Mar16 (spiess shane)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 6.00 14% 5.90    
ROCKIN MACHEN Aug08 Jul10 May30 May09 Nov30 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00    
BORN FOR VICTORY Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul23 Jul10 (cordero-lopez)LUGO D 120 8.00    
CATCHING MAGIC May21 May08 Apr03 Mar06 Feb16 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00    
10  FROSTED WHITE FACE Aug27 Aug13 Aug07 Jul17 Jun04 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00 9% 9.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.