Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - September 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/6)-(4/8/11) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(4/8/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(4/8/11)-(3/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/8/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/11)-(4/8/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/11)-(4/8/11)-(4/8/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/11)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/11)-(3/4/6)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(1/5)-(2/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(2/1/6)-(3/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   09/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOOKY ONE Aug24 Jul20 Jul06 Jun28 Jun14 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 18% 4.40    
2  ACT OF VALOR Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 Jun21 May17 (murtough st)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
3  AGAINST THE ODDS Aug16 Jul28 Jun28 Jun20 May17 (zalalas michae)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  MISCHIEVOUS JONES Aug25 Jul05 Jun20 Mar29 Mar22 (farro patricia)RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.00    
5  FEDERAL CASE Aug25 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 12% 7.30    
6  REFUND RIGLER Aug16 Jul28 Jul11 Jun30 Jun13 (guerrero me)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   09/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT AND HEAVY Aug23 Jul10 Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 (betancourt el)RANGEL JOEZER 124 5.00    
2  STAY HYDRATED Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 May24 May02 (romero alex)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 12.00    
SCR  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Jul12 Jun22 May24 May06 Dec30 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00    
SCR  PECOS BILL Jul13 Jun02 May06 Apr20 Mar29 (bartoni way)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
5  CARTE BLANCHE Jun24 Jun03 Mar17 Feb25 Jan28 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  LAKE NAKURU Aug30 Jul26 Jul05 Jun09 May12 (ferreira )RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  POCOPSON STATION Aug16 Jul13 May24 May05 Apr21 (ippoli)SMITH DANIEL 114 8.00    
SCR  BOYS OF QUEENS Dec13 Oct26 Oct05 Sep09 Jul27 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
 
PEN-3   09/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASHINTHENIGHT Aug23 Jul20 Jul05 Jun21 May28 (salvaggio jr)CORA D 120 8.00    
SCR  STANHOPE Aug30 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul05 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 8.00    
SCR  PRIMORDIAL FEAR Aug12 Jul29 Jun13 May30 May06 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 20.00    
4  GRAB THE GOLD Aug23 Aug08 Jul12 Jun21 May18 (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  EDWARD MADDEN Aug23 Aug03 Jun30 Jun01 May10 (houghton th)INIRIO J 118 50.00    
SCR  BEACH WARRIOR Aug26 Aug03 Jul20 Jun09 May10 (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00    
7  HELLO'NDUBAI Aug16 Sep21 Aug25 Aug10   (smith thoma)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00    
8  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Aug11 Aug03 Jun28 May28 May18 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  U KANT WHIP IT Aug30 Jul30 Jun09 Aug27 Jul29 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  NITRO TIME Aug23 Aug11 Jun19 Mar30 Feb11 (comi w)AGUILAR M 124 2.50    
11  CARGO SHIP Aug08 Jul20 Jun20 May31 May17 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
12  MERU Aug24 Aug05 Jul24 Jul10 Jun13 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   09/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZOOMSTER Aug26 Jul29 Jul12 Jun30 Jun09 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 118 2.50    
2  ABHAR Aug25 Jul19 Jul06 Jun20 May19 (bobadilla j)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
3  I'LL FINISH Apr01 Feb12 Jan29 Jan15 Dec22 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 3.00 25% 2.90    
4  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Aug02 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 May10 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
SCR  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Aug25 Jul19 Jul06 Jun16 May18 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
6  COUSIN BOB Aug25 Jun29 Jun15 May17 Apr26 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
7  BUFF AND SHINE Aug25 Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 (salina)SMITH DANIEL 112 12.00    
SCR  LIONESQUE Aug25 Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 Jun16 (cooper stacey)CORA D 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   09/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BO RUNKLE Jul28 Jun30 May24 May05 Apr26 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 1.60 29% 2.40    
SCR  UNCAPTURED GRACE Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 Apr27 (lingenfelter thom)BAKER J 122 3.00    
3  LADYNESS Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jul06 Apr30 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50    
4  SIMPLE JUSTICE Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 May24 May05 (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
5  HI HEELED WARRIOR Aug16 Jul20 Jul12 Jun02 May10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 26% 2.80    
6  ALL THE WAY MAE Jul12 May05 Feb11 Nov04 Oct21 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
 
PEN-6   09/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCID Aug10 Feb05 Dec28 Dec03 Oct07 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.00 21% 3.90    
2  MR BOLDACIOUS Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 Jun09 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.50 44% 1.20    
3  BUCK WILD Aug24 Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 Jun14 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 113 4.50    
4  MIDNIGHT STRIKES Aug17 Aug04 Jul19 Jun14 Oct21 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 3.00    
5  LONG TOM Aug24 Aug04 Jun29 Jun09 Jun02 (salinas jose)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
6  SYNONYM Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 Jun02 Apr28 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 9% 10.10    
 
PEN-7   09/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISCREETLY THRIFTY Feb01 Dec22 Dec07 Oct13 Sep04 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BOB'S OUR UNCLE Aug24 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 May19 (shea lydee)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 10.00    
3  IF WE GET LUCKY Jul13 Jun14 May19 May03   (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
4  HIGHGATE Aug21         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00    
5  SYLVIA I AM Aug24 Aug09 Jun28 Jun14 May26 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
6  BULLET BREEZE Aug24 Aug09 Jul06 Jun15 May18 (murillo a)CORA D 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
7  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE May26 May05       (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.