Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mountaineer Park
Tuesday - September 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MNR-1   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/5/6/7) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/5/6/7)-(3/4/5/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (3/7)-(8/5/11/2/6) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
MNR-2   WIN (8/5/11/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/11/2/6)-(8/5/11/2/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (8/5/11/2/6)-(8/5/11/2/6)-(8/5/11/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (8/5/11/2/6)-(6/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/5/11/2/6)-(6/1/5)-(4/2/6) 45 $2.00 $90.00 
MNR-3   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
MNR-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MNR-5   WIN (3/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8)-(3/4/8)-(3/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MNR-6   WIN (6/8/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/7)-(4/2/8/6)-(9/8/2) 48 $2.00 $96.00 
MNR-7   WIN (4/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 12 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6)-(4/2/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/8/6)-(9/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
MNR-8   WIN (9/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/8/2)-(9/8/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/2)-(9/8/2)-(9/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MNR-1   09/05/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAM LUCKYTOBALIVE Jul05 Dec07       (ramgeet tin)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 30.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of WINTERELLO by THUNDERELLO)
MCGOLDEN Aug13 Jul05 Jun21 Jun13 May16 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 123 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MCTAPIT by TAPIT)
RED GUN Aug08 Jul16 Jun27 Jun21 May29 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00 73% 0.40    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CANADIAN MISTRESS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
SCR  HIKE'S DREAM Aug13 Jul05 Jun21 Dec07 Nov07 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by PROSPECTIVE out of SILENT SPIN by JOHANNESBURG)
BOOYAH Aug11 Jun21 May19 Apr16 Apr01 (jackson l)CULLUM W 123 3.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of CLAIRENATION by BERNSTEIN)
MR MAYHEM Aug28 Aug13 Aug02 Jul23 Jul10 (inirio carlos)TOLEDO S 123 6.00    
  (by TWO STEP SALSA out of MOUNTAIN FIRE by FIRE SLAM)
WILLIAM'S CAUSE Aug28 Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Oct21 (eidschun gre)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CAUSEY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
FINLANDIAS NEAT Aug21 Aug02 Jul10 Jun04 May21 (eidschu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of FINLANDIA by ROYAL ANTHEM)
PAPA DEL CIELO Aug23 Aug13 May20 May06 Apr20 (gotera car)LEON A 118 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of QUANIQUE by MORE THAN READY)
10  PEINADITO Aug21 Jun15 Apr15 Mar10 Feb08 (stanoszek sara)DAVILA M 123 20.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of PURE GENIUS by BEAU GENIUS)
SCR  MALPRACTICE MEUSER (GB)         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SNEAKY FAIR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  CAROLINA PARTISAN Jun09 Apr29       (montano wilfr)NELSON TYRONE 123 30.00    
  (by THE LADY'S GROOM out of CAROLINA ROSA by A. P. WARRIOR)
SCR  LINE ASTRAY         (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 10.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of ANGEL'S SOUTH by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
MNR-2   09/05/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SELLING OUT Aug13 Aug02 Jul18 May30 May22 (welsh r)DIAZ I 120 8.00    
MR. MAGICO Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Oct13 Aug31 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 8% 10.90    
REUX (GB) Jul18 Jul12 May30 May16 May07 (wolfe greg)BARRIOS RICARDO 120 12.00    
MASKED Aug14 Jul26 Oct24 Oct09 Jun28 (spiess s)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 20.00    
FULL OF LUCK (CHI) Aug02 Jul10 May30 Jan25 Dec14 (godsey marshall)YARANGA Y 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
PIONEER DANCER Aug02 Jul23 Jun25 Feb21 Feb02 (logston chr)WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
HARD N'SWEET Aug13 Aug02 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 (vickers richard)RAMGEET R 120 8.00    
GOTTAGETITBACK Aug27 Aug09 Jul26 Jul02 Jun13 (logston chri)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
ESTILO VARONIL Aug13 Jul18 Jun26 Jun05 May16 (barker jame)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 5.00    
SCR  GRAB THE MUNNY Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 May16 May01 (bright derrick)JURADO EDDIE 120 15.00    
11  UNBRIDLEDSELECTION Aug16 Jul26 Jul03 Jun19 Oct09 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 120 4.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  SCORSESE Aug23 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 May22 (trierweiler cam)VEGA L 120 6.00    
SCR  VINCENT VAN GOGO May07         (morris neil)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 120 6.00    
SCR  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Aug13 Jul18 Jul10 Jun13 May30 (welsh gary )WILLIAMS AJHARI 120 12.00    
 
MNR-3   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDYWRAPPER CRAZY May27 May03 Apr15 Mar20 Feb27 (hay r)LEON A 120 2.50 14% 6.20    
CONSTITUTIONALIST Aug24 Aug01 Jul23 Jul02 Jun18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 5.00    
TORIANNE Jul25 Jul11 Dec04 Nov13 Oct26 (tucker jim)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 15.00    
MY BATON ROUGE Jul25 Jul01 Jun02 May05 Apr23 (suarez w)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 118 8.00    
LADY OCEAN Aug21 Mar26 Mar01 Dec09 Nov20 (fiesman rob)BARRIOS RICARDO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS TERESKA Mar29 Mar23 Jan09     (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 3.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  OOPSIE DOOPSIE Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 May07 Apr02 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50    
 
MNR-4   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALTIC FLEET Aug29 Aug22 Jun11 Jun04 May14 (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 120 8.00    
KANTPAYTHETOLL Aug23 Jul31 Jul10 Jun11 May22 (boyd l)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
CHOPPED Aug15 Jul31 Jul23 Jul10 Jun04 (demczyk vir)BARRIOS RICARDO 123 8.00    
FIRST HOMESTEAD Aug22 Jul25 Jul05 Jun15 May23 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 123 1.60 35% 1.90    
OPEN OUT Aug14 Jul27 Jul03 Jun01 May17 (londono o)HERNANDEZ H 120 8.00    
COLAVITO Aug29 Jul10 Jun11 May23 May08 (treharne dave)CEDILLO MAURO 115 5.00 11% 7.90    
VOLTE FACE Jul31 Jul24 Jun19 Jun06 May16 (bernard)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00    
 
MNR-5   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LITTLE LUCERITO Aug26 Jul31 Jun21 Jun01 Nov28 (fernandez a)DIAZ R 120 12.00    
GO STELLAIRE Aug22 Aug08 Jul30 Jul18 Jul03 (vickers t)YARANGA Y 123 8.00    
COWGIRL KIMMIE Aug23 Jul12 Jul02 May02 Mar13 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 36% 1.80    
ORBIT MARS Aug08 Jul16 Jun18 Apr30 Mar22 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 115 4.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  IMMACULATE HEART Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 Jun12 May29 (shanyfelt doug)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00    
MIZZEN Aug27 Jul26 Jun26 May29 May14 (clouston ed)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 4.00    
LATER DAYS Aug22 Jun15 Jun05 May23 May14 (silva juan )BARRIOS RICARDO 120 6.00    
MYRRH Aug23 Aug08 Jul12 Jun20 May23 (silva pablo)PAUCAR E 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
MNR-6   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN SENSE Aug14 Jul31 Jun27 Jun13 Jun05 (hebert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 4.00    
SAG HARBOR Aug01 Jul17 Jul03 Jun21 May14 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 5.00    
PRETTY STORMY Aug22 Aug13 Jul30 Jul17 Jun27 (murillo rodrigu)LEON A 120 10.00    
ROYAL SQUEEZE Aug22 Aug07 Apr26 Apr08 Mar29 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 8.00 9% 10.70    
BEASTFROMTHEEAST Aug08 Jul11 Apr19 Oct04 Sep06 (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 6.00    
RED HURRICANE Aug14 Aug08 Jun14 Mar10 Feb11 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 33% 2.00    
KREWE CHIEF Aug07 Jul03 Jun19 May30 May08 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
HIDDEN RULER Aug23 Jul17 Jul05 May07 Mar15 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 120 12.00 30% 2.40    
 
MNR-7   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPRAISAL Jul25 Jun12 May17 Apr08 Feb26 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 120 4.50    
HIGH ROLLING DUDE Aug13 Jul31 Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 (reed r)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
INDIAN EMPIRE Jul31 Jul05 Jun25 Jun06 May23 (johnson jennif)JURADO EDDIE 120 12.00    
ESCAPE VELOCITY Aug29 Jul18 Jun25 Jun04 May22 (treharne dave)CEDILLO MAURO 115 2.00 47% 1.10    
STORIED FELLA Aug14 Jul26 Jul05 Jun19 May31 (gilbert timoth)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00    
HOBE SOUND (IRE) Aug23 Aug13 Jul24 Jun25 Jun04 (baird j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
HEZA HANDFUL Jul18 Jun22 May29 May08 Apr04 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 5.00    
TWO GUNS Aug13 Aug04 Apr02 Mar04 Feb25 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 11% 8.10    
NIXON JOY (ARG) Aug08 Jul11 Feb01 Nov25 Apr08 (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 120 15.00    
 
MNR-8   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGH END VIXEN Jul08 Apr20 Nov18     (delong ben)WILLIAMS AJHARI 115 12.00    
KEYSER Aug02 Jul18 Mar15 Feb02 Jan01 (gotera car)LEON A 118 15.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  CAB BEEF         (cascalla)GONZALEZ HENDERSON 123 8.00    
BAYTOWN BEAVER Aug13 Jul22 Jul10 Jun04 May07 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 118 3.00    
SOUTHPOINT Aug08 Jul12 Jun19 May22 May01 (gerich frank)WHITACRE B 118 8.00    
SCR  JACK D Aug09 Jun10 Jun01 May11 Apr25 (bland)MONSERRATE A 123 4.00    
CAPTAIN BERNARDO Aug14 Jul18 Jul02 Jul27 May29 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 15.00    
MYSTIC MINISTER Aug21 Jul18 Jul02 May23 Apr28 (fletche)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
CIRCLE INDY Aug21 Nov17 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 123 5.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  COMMANDER CODY Jul25 Nov22 Nov06 Oct23 Oct11 (cuttino mario)SIMPSON JASON 123 12.00    
SCR  GLOBAL PRIDE Apr01 Feb01 Nov26 Oct30   (cascallares n)LUGO D 118 1.40    
SCR  BLOWN OUT Aug21 Jul25 Jul11 Jun13 May15 (bell brenda)CEDILLO MAURO 113 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.