Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/5/2)-(2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(2/1)-(1/9/3/8/7) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/9/3/8/7)-(6/3/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/9/3/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/8/7)-(1/9/3/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/8/7)-(1/9/3/8/7)-(1/9/3/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/9/3/8/7)-(6/3/1)-(3/4/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(8/10/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1)-(3/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/1)-(8/10/3)-(11/2/12/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (8/10/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/3)-(8/10/2/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/3)-(8/10/2/3/9)-(8/10/2/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/10/3)-(11/2/12/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (11/2/12/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/2/12/1)-(11/2/12/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/2/12/1)-(11/2/12/1/5)-(11/2/12/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR THE D Jun21 May24 Apr11 Mar23 Dec30 (bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
2  STREAKY Aug01 Jun21 Apr29 Mar20 Dec20 (bennett c)MCKEE J 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  LA LA ANGEL Jul05 Jun08 May26 May06 Nov09 (tomlinson )SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 8.00    
4  OHIO MUNNY Jul11 May22 Apr25 Mar22 Feb13 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  RUN BUBBA RUN Jan30 Dec27 Dec01 Aug24 Jun29 (smith larry)OUZTS W 124 2.50    
6  TEQUILA FLATS Aug01 Jul15 Jul06 May25 May17 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 5.00    
 
BTP-2   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHECK THE FACTS         (kerr n)MOJICA JR 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by FACTUM out of MILLIE K by TEJANO RUN)
2  COUNTRY MUSIC Jul22         (krummen monic)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of MENE by HOLY BULL)
3  DISCO MUSIC Jul22         (krummen monic)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.50    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of MENE by HOLY BULL)
4  CAT CORN Aug09 Jul22 Oct10     (thomas mark)MCKEE J 120 3.50    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HAP CAT by VAN NISTELROOY)
5  FATHER FRANK         (mcvickers)CORREA L 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of HOLY HABIT by HOLY BULL)
 
BTP-3   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODYTHEOXMAN Aug10 Jul26 Jul01 Oct11 Sep30 (lopez carlos )CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  CACAHUETE Jul21 Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 Apr25 (coyle vernon)MARCANO Y 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  CONGRATS THIS Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 Jun09 May19 (rhoden carlto)PANAIJO JORGE 124 8.00    
4  BAKER'S MAN Aug05 Jul19 Jun30 May31 Apr23 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 124 4.50    
5  ARTEMUS EAGLE Aug07 Jul21 Jun09 May24 Apr13 (cline c)OUZTS W 124 3.50    
SCR  CAPPY HOUR Aug12 Aug04 Jul07 Jun21 May27 (adams l)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.00    
 
BTP-4   08/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAIRHOPECURLY         (morey william)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELLE AMIDST by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  BERYL RACER May23         (matejka pav)PETERSON FERRIN 120 4.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BLUE BERYL by BERNSTEIN)
3  FROLICKING LADY         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 6.00 7% 13.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CRUELMORE by FORESTRY)
SCR  AUTISM COMPASSION Aug01         (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 4.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of NAMAKA by DECLARATION OF WAR)
5  BELLA VALENTINA Jul06 Jun08 May11     (orantes r)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of SO REFINED by TAPIZAR)
6  ANORIA Aug01 Jul12 Jun08 May27 Apr28 (corrigan jim)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of EXTRAVAGANTLY by LEA)
7  DESPEIGHTFUL         (claire alexis)OUZTS W 120 5.00 6% 16.30    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of LOVE TO SHARE by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
8  GIGI'S WORLD         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 8.00 7% 13.50    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of GIGI JEAN by TEMPLE CITY)
9  CANOPY         (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of CAMOU by WAR FRONT)
10  MORNING GORDITA Jul20 Jul11 Jun15     (gorostieta )LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 8.00    
  (by KLIMT out of MORNING BELLE by MORNING LINE)
SCR  GOLD DEL MAR Jul23 Jun29       (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DEL MAR BABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
BTP-5   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANDY WALKS WITH ME Aug03 Jul22 Jul07 Jun17 Jun10 (salcedo ramon)PANAIJO JORGE 122 10.00 9% 10.30    
2  THISPOINTINTIME Aug03 Jul20 Jul07 Jun10 Jun03 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 122 8.00    
3  FROOME (IRE) Aug12 Aug02 Jul13 Jan11 Dec07 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 117 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  PERFECT THUNDER Aug12 Jul22 Jun16 May11 Apr23 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 2.50    
5  HECTOR B Aug03 Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 Feb04 (ramos rafael)REYES R 124 3.00    
6  PAST IMPERATIVE Jul19 Jul01 Jun08 May12 Mar31 (sandy s)MCKEE J 122 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
BTP-6   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I MATTER Jun14 May23 May03 Apr06 Mar22 (gorham ro)CORREA L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SWEET TOOTSIE LU Jul24 Jul09 Jun11 May23 May08 (lopez carlos )CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00 11% 8.20    
3  STARSHIP NUGGET Jul26 Jul12 Dec26 Dec04 Oct23 (figueroa ces)FIGUEROA NICKY 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
4  AYY LADIES Apr30 Apr11 Mar23 Feb28 Jan19 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  FABIOLA PRINCESS Aug01 Jun17 May20 Dec21 Nov22 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 3.00    
6  MAGESTAL BASTIDA Jul26 Jun17 May25 May12 Mar27 (silva ferna)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 5.00    
7  C V THUNDER Aug12 Jul21 Jul05 Jun24 Jun10 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 4.50    
 
BTP-7   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAE BEE RIGHT Jul15 Jun21       (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 10.00    
2  AWESOME MARINA Aug04 Jul08 Apr08 Mar22 Jan04 (ramos rafael)REYES R 120 6.00 ★    
3  KENDALL SPIRIT Aug05 Aug09 Jul19 May12 Apr20 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  KENTE KLARKE Aug04 Jul21 Jan04 Dec21 Nov10 (austin steven)PANAIJO JORGE 124 8.00    
SCR  SAUNTER Aug04 Jul18 Jun19 May30 May02 (sweeting craig)MCKEE J 120 2.50    
6  FUNNY CHIC Aug04 Sep20       (chain pearl)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 12.00    
7  RUNNETH OVER Jun12         (hamm timo)CORREA L 120 12.00    
8  SHADY DAISY Aug05 Jun29 Jun16 May22 May03 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
9  CREATIVE WHIT Aug05 May27 May11 Oct06 Sep16 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 124 10.00 ★    
10  AWESOME VALOR Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jul07 Jun16 (adams l)COLON H 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
 
BTP-8   08/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($13.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICK HAT Jun10 May25 Mar15 Feb04 Jan14 (laugherty joe)PANAIJO JORGE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Aug01 Jul07 Apr01 Mar09 Feb22 (knippenberg )MARCANO Y 115 4.50 27% 2.70    
3  ENDLESS Aug02 Jul13 Jul06 Jun10 May26 (adams l)HESS SARA 115 15.00    
4  GRAN CHEMIN Jul26 Jun24 May31 May19 Apr05 (cline c)OUZTS W 122 5.00    
5  UNWHIRLED Jul25 May31 Mar24 Feb24 Jan16 (reed r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 8.00 ★    
6  HUSH HUSH Aug02 Jun24 Jun08 May11 Mar16 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 12.00    
7  MAMBO KITTEN Jul06 Jun15 May27 May06 Apr11 (andrade hugo)COLON H 120 12.00    
SCR  ALWAYS LAUGHING Jul09 Jun11 Apr28 Mar09 Feb16 (morey william)LEBRON VICTOR 115 10.00    
SCR  CELESTIAL SPIN Jul30 Jun04 May18 Apr27 Jan20 (cristel j)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
10  CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY Aug05 Jun15 May31 May06 Mar24 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
11  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Jul22 Jan04 Dec08 Oct13 Sep09 (drury jr)MCKEE J 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
12  COMMANDERS PALACE Feb16 Feb02 Jan05 Dec01 Sep21 (rider david)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.