Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - August 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(4/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(4/1/6)-(3/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(3/2/1)-(2/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(2/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(2/5/1)-(1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(1/3)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/1/5/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/6)-(4/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/6)-(4/7/5)-(7/9/4/12/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/3/5)-(4/7/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(7/9/4/12/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PID-8   WIN (7/9/4/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/4/12/2)-(7/9/4/12/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/9/4/12/2)-(7/9/4/12/2)-(7/9/4/12/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T C GREELEY Jul26 Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 May22 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 57% 0.80    
2  HINDENBURG Aug02 Jul25 Jul05 Jun06 May30 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50    
3  LEGIO Jul26 Jul11 Jun19 Jun05 May17 (skawinski car)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00    
SCR  SPEED WAY Jan29 Oct19 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.00    
5  ANTE UP ALEX Jul26 Jul11 Jun14 Jun03 May17 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.50 11% 8.00    
 
PID-2   08/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTY COURT Jul31 Jul11 Jul03 Jun13 May30 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 12% 7.20    
2  ADIOS BOBBY Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 May03 Oct25 (pappada micha)WALKER M 124 2.50    
3  SNAKERATTLEANDROLL Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 May30 May16 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00    
4  J BERESFORD TIPTON Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 May30 May17 (potts g)FOX CHRIS 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
5  BATTLE CREEK Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 Jun12 May24 (potts g)ALLEN D 124 5.00    
6  TEXAS GANO Jul19 Jun27 May25 Mar09 Feb04 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 6.00 9% 10.20    
 
PID-3   08/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC WIZARD Aug07 Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 Jun12 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 8.00 9% 10.20    
2  UP FOR THE CHANCE Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun07 May31 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 2.00 11% 7.80    
3  SAN MARCO CITY Jul31 Jun07 May18 Apr13 Mar23 (estvanko rich)MORALES PABLO 117 2.50 53% 0.90    
4  LONG RAP SHEET Jul25 Jul07 Jun18 May27 May06 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 112 4.50    
5  RAPA NUI Jul31 Jul17 Jul03 Jun19 May31 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 122 12.00    
6  CONRADO Jul17 Jun07 Mar27 Feb13 Jan08 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 117 2.50    
 
PID-4   08/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAPPEZOID Jul31 May20 Apr05 Mar19 Feb08 (guciardo john)RIQUELME J 122 4.50 6% 15.20    
2  STARSHIP EMPIRE Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 Oct25 Oct06 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 1.80 64% 0.60    
3  TAMANRASSETT Jul31 Jul16 Jul05 Jun19 Jun11 (gomez alejandro)LEON A 122 10.00    
SCR  STRIKE THE TOP Jul31 Jul10 Jun06 May23 Nov04 (rogers j)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
5  SURF AND TURF Jul20 Jun26 Jun06 May10 Apr16 (winters)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 4.00 8% 11.20    
6  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Aug02 Jul12 Jun15 Jun07 May24 (maddox a)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
 
PID-5   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOLK HERO Aug01 Jul17 Jun27 Jun19 May23 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL STAR Aug09 Jul17 Jun27 Jun20 Jun07 (brooks e)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
3  RED PIXIE Jul17 Jul05 May22 Jan07 Dec22 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 25% 3.00    
SCR  KINGSTON TIME Jul11 Jun13 May31 Apr27 Dec28 (urieta johann)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00    
5  LIGHTNING ROUND Aug07 Jul11 Jul04 Jun14 Jun07 (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
6  BOURBON BLAST Aug01 Jul11 Jun14 May24 Apr14 (cheeks joseph)WALKER M 122 4.00    
 
PID-6   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOTYLOS Aug07 Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 May15 (russell )MARTINEZ A 119 3.50 18% 4.50    
2  GOOSE HUNTER Jul24 Jul10 Jun05 Dec02 Oct18 (rice adam)ROJAS MARTINA 110 10.00    
3  LEONARD'S LEGACY Jun14 May30 Oct20 Sep21 Sep06 (russell randall)ALLEN M 122 6.00    
4  UNCLE JOCK Jul24 Jul10 May30 May15 Apr21 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 117 2.00 44% 1.30    
5  WON SMALL WARRIOR Jul18         (girten tim)ALLEN D 119 8.00 7% 12.60    
6  JOSH'S HONOR Aug01 Jul10 Jun07 May15 Oct18 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MORNING MARCH Jul20 Jul10 Jun07 Oct25 Oct05 (gordon-w)GALLARDO A 122 15.00    
8  RUNAWAY STAR Aug01 Oct20 Sep21 Aug31 Aug15 (weaver cas)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00    
 
PID-7   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON CAT Jul23 Jul08 May17 Apr21 Mar11 (davis ch)GALLARDO A 117 3.00    
2  LAST COOKIE Jul26 Jul10 Jun24 Jun05 May17 (urieta johann)VILLA-GOMEZ H 117 5.00    
3  WARRIOR'S CAUSE Aug01 Jul12 Jun16 May26 May11 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 117 4.50 ★    
4  CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Jul31 Jul11 Jun05     (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
5  CYBERTOWN Jul21 Jul08 Jun17 Apr22 Apr02 (martin n)RIQUELME J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ALTMEISTER Aug06 Jul10 Jun27 Jun18 Oct02 (norris stepha)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00    
7  WORLDS ON HIGH Jul24 Jul10 Jun14 May19 Apr15 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
PID-8   08/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRYSTAL QUEEN         (markgraf david)STANLEY O 124 15.00    
2  LIBERTALIA Jul04 Jun06 May23 Jan08 Dec21 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHE'D RATHER DANCE Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 May29 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00    
4  LT. LYDIA Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 May15 (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 3.50 10% 9.30    
5  BABY BLUE Jul17 Jul04 Jun19 May30 May11 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 20.00    
6  CHICKEN TALK Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Sep07   (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 30.00    
7  JAZZ TIME GIRL Jul31 Jul18 Jun20 May15 Feb26 (morrell r)SPIETH S 124 4.00 45% 1.20    
8  AFTER NOON KISSES Jul17 Jul04 Jun06 May23 May03 (spanabel kell)DELGADO DAVID 119 20.00    
9  SOUPER SLEWS CASH Jul29 Oct29 Sep11 Aug17   (trombetta mic)ROJAS MARTINA 112 2.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  WINE IN THE DARK Aug06 Jul08 Jun03     (hendriks rich)MORALES PABLO 119 8.00    
11  CEREAL I D Jul11 Jun19 May30 Apr26 Mar29 (miller d)WALES GARY 124 15.00    
12  SOUL OF THE BEAST         (connelly teres)ALLEN D 119 10.00 7% 13.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.