Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(4/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(4/3/2/8)-(6/1/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-2   WIN (4/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/8)-(6/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/8)-(6/1/4/5)-(6/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-3   WIN (6/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/2)-(5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(5/2/4)-(11/6/10/9/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-5   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(11/6/10/9/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(11/6/10/9/4)-(2/5/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
DEL-6   WIN (11/6/10/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/10/9/4)-(11/6/10/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/10/9/4)-(11/6/10/9/4)-(11/6/10/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/6/10/9/4)-(2/5/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/6/10/9/4)-(2/5/1)-(3/2/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
DEL-7   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
DEL-8   WIN (3/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7)-(3/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDMUND FITZGERALD Jun21 Jun01 Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 119 8.00    
2  SIX WHIPS Jun21 Jun03 May04 Mar31 Mar09 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 117 1.60 34% 2.00    
3  LUCKILY LEYTON Jun22 May19 Mar21 Jan24   (russell t)ROSE J 120 3.00    
4  BIG ROWDY DAN Jun21 Apr29 Apr12 Apr02 Mar17 (lopez r)ALICEA JEREMY 115 2.50    
5  SAAFEN Jun01 Mar16 Feb10 Jan27 Jan21 (rodriguez j)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 12.00 11% 8.10    
6  SILVER R Jun21 Dec09 Nov11 Oct27 Sep23 (luqueno gi)MENDOZA JHONATAN 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
 
DEL-2   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 SOFT Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRAYER BOOK Jun22 May21 Oct27 Oct07 Jul22 (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 122 6.00    
2  GRECIAN PHAROAH Jun30 May27 Oct21 Oct06 Sep05 (gaudet lacey)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Jul07 Jun27 Jun16 Jun06 May27 (gallimore tr)ROLDAN FELISHA 115 15.00 6% 15.10    
4  BOX OFFICE WARRIOR Jul03 Jun02 May20 Apr18 Mar04 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 122 1.50 63% 0.60    
5  IRISH KITTEN Jun28 Jun01 Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 (arriagada ju)ARROYO S 119 2.50    
6  DISTORTED TIMES Apr28 Apr12 Mar24 Mar05 Jul28 (hayford jenni)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 10.00    
7  PAPA JIMMY Jun14 May31 May24 Mar31 Feb24 (wagner karin)CENTENO E 122 12.00    
8  HONOR MY WORLD Jul08 Jun24 May27 Nov14 Oct22 (horner el)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-3   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBYS FLASH Jun22         (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 9% 9.70    
2  MITHRIDATES         (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 118 8.00    
3  TAPORICAL Jun28         (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 8.00    
4  PLAY HARD         (capuano a)CENTENO E 118 4.00 8% 11.20    
5  THIRD CITY         (hendriks richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 10.00 5% 17.60    
6  PRINCE FRED Jun10         (russell t)ROSE J 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
7  KICK STARTNESS         (ness jamie)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 111 6.00    
 
DEL-4   07/15/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 SOFT Christiana Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS RIDDLER Jun03 Apr27 Jul29     (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 117 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by DIALED IN out of GOTTA HAVE HER by ROYAL ACADEMY)
2  FACCIA BELLA Jun22 Apr15 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 (raven kerri)ARROYO S 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of WEST KENTUCKY by YANKEE VICTOR)
3  GATITA SUAVE Jun16 May27 May12 Apr30 Dec03 (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 15.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SENORA GATO by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  THIRTY THOU KELVIN Jun11 May19 Mar25 Feb12 Jan12 (terranova p)ROSE J 117 3.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of WEALTHY SHIPMAN by MIDSHIPMAN)
5  SABALENKA Jun03 May05 Apr08 Nov20 Oct07 (beckman w)RUSSELL SHELDON 117 4.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of DARLING DAUGHTER by MARIA'S MON)
6  HANG THE MOON May19 Mar11 Jan22 Dec26 Oct08 (stidham michael)CENTENO E 117 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOONDANCE by MALIBU MOON)
 
DEL-5   07/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX THE HARD WAY Jun23 May14 Apr29 Apr15 Mar25 (sanchez-salo)ARROYO S 115 8.00    
2  CARROLL GIRL Jun28 May11 Apr06 Mar06 Jan27 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 124 6.00 30% 2.40    
3  RESPECTFULLY Jun23 May19 May06 Apr16 Mar25 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.80    
4  WATERWORKS Jul01 May27 Mar30 Feb24 Feb03 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.50 11% 7.80    
5  PEPPERMINT CLASS Jun22 Mar10 Nov23     (alvarado diane)MENA E 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
6  RAGTIME BELLE Jun24 May24 Apr28 Mar12 May15 (quinonez nathan)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00    
 
DEL-6   07/15/2023 5490ft TURF RC7 SOFT Claiming ($28K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALVY Jun30 Jun21 May31 May18 May05 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 117 8.00    
2  GHOST OF KHOZAN Jun30 Jun21 Jan11 Sep28 Sep10 (hayford jenn)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
3  EYE ON THE CANDY Jun21 May31 Mar22 Mar31 Feb18 (alvarado diane)MENA E 122 8.00    
4  ANDREZ CONQUIST         (ovando melvin)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOLD LICORICE Jun10 May31 Nov19 Nov13 Sep08 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 5.00    
6  KITTEN AROUND Jun10 May23 Oct12 Aug22   (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 117 4.00 19% 4.30    
7  THE GREAT GAZOO Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr01 Feb26 (gorham mich)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 12.00    
8  JOE BRAINS Jun21 Jun02 Mar22 Mar03 Feb15 (downing willia)HIRALDO JOHN 121 6.00    
9  SIGMUND Jun23 May31 Dec30 Dec09 Oct26 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) May31         (hendriks j)ROSE J 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
11  KENNER May29 May05 Jul06 Jun25 Jun07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 4.50 33% 2.00    
 
DEL-7   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($38.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONECOLDWARRIOR Jun30 Jun17 Mar17 Dec15 Nov27 (siculietan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 10.00 16% 5.10    
2  AIN'T WASTING TIME Jun09 May27 Jan07 Dec09 Nov18 (alvarado diane)MENA E 120 2.00 28% 2.50    
3  BURGEE Jun23 May24 May07 Mar31 Feb20 (gaudet lacey)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 3.00    
SCR  EL DE CHIMI Jul01 Mar06 Jan03 Oct29 Sep17 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 115 8.00    
5  PASSAGE OF LINES Jun18 May17 Apr05 Mar08 Feb14 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  STACKS OF SILVER Oct01 Aug25 Jul27 Jul08 Jun11 (capuano a)HIRALDO JOHN 120 6.00    
7  MY DANNY BOY Jun14 Oct08 Aug27 Jul07 Jun23 (strauss bev)MARIN A 120 8.00    
 
DEL-8   07/15/2023 7260ft TURF RC11 SOFT Kent Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGAL KINGDOM Jun02 Apr22 Mar26 Feb23 Jan28 (motion graham)CENTENO E 117 6.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of STARINTHEMEADOW by MEADOWLAKE)
2  REALLY GOOD Jun25 May14 Apr15 Nov04 Oct09 (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 117 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MEANS WELL by SMART STRIKE)
3  FREEDOM TRAIL Jun03 Apr07 Mar11 Nov26 Oct29 (terranova p)ROSE J 117 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by COLLECTED out of FREEDOM by WAR FRONT)
4  LOVE ME NOT Jun02 Mar24 Feb04 Jan08 Dec03 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of GOLDEN MUSCADE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  PHILEAS FOGG Jun28 Dec08       (stidham mich)ARROYO S 117 8.00    
  (by ASTERN out of MERINO by MORE THAN READY)
6  OCEAN CITY May31 Apr20 Mar26 Feb18   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 117 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNICORN GIRL by A. P. FIVE HUNDRED)
7  TEE AT ONE May06 Apr07 Mar10     (alvarado diane)MENA E 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TUNWOO out of SEACRYSTAL by THEATRICAL (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.