Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/6/5)-(1/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-2   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1/7/5)-(3/2/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(3/2/1/6)-(1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/6)-(1/4/2)-(6/4/1/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-5   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(6/4/1/3/5)-(4/2/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (6/4/1/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/3/5)-(6/4/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/3/5)-(6/4/1/3/5)-(6/4/1/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/3/5)-(4/2/5/6)-(5/11/6/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
BTP-7   WIN (4/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6)-(4/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/6)-(5/11/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/11/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/11/6/1)-(5/11/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/11/6/1)-(5/11/6/1)-(5/11/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA CUMPARSITA Jun17 May11 Apr13 Mar23 Mar11 (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 116 4.00 18% 4.70    
2  FOOT RUB LOVE Jun30 Jun21 Jun08 May12 May04 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 5.00    
3  CAJUN DELIGHT Jun30 Jun14 Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 (skeens jeremy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
4  E STREET ANGEL Nov11 Nov01 Oct25 Sep28 Sep13 (douglass dev)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 10.00 7% 12.40    
5  WHISKEY SIS Jun30 Jun15 May31 May17 Mar23 (nocero carmino)BUSH V 121 6.00    
6  NANA'S GRAY Jun15 May31 May17 Apr28 Apr11 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 121 1.60    
 
BTP-2   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIDI'S SINATRA Jul06 May25 May06 Apr29 Apr11 (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 10.00    
2  CHOCOLATE RABBIT Jul06 Jun14 May26 Dec06 Nov22 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  WHISKEY HELPS Jul06 Jun02 May17 Apr06 Mar22 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.00    
4  TEQUILA FLATS Jul06 May25 May17 May06 Mar20 (ramos fra)CORREA L 121 6.00    
5  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Jun07 May26 Mar21 Mar06 Jan12 (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 121 8.00 11% 8.30    
6  DANCE MOVES Jun22 May25 May11 Mar21 Feb27 (haehn r)OUZTS W 121 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Jun14 May11 Mar30 Feb15 Jan16 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 3.50    
 
BTP-3   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 Jim Morgan Memorial Tah Dah Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTISTIC LANEY Jun29         (west m)LEAHEY HANNAH 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of ARTISTIC LICENSE by HEART OF THE STORM)
SCR  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Jun29         (hamm timo)CORREA L 116 8.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
3  LESOTHO         (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 116 6.00    
  (by MITOLE out of FEISTY TOMBOY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  GOLD HONEY Jun24         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 116 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
5  BRIEF ENCOUNTER Jun15         (hamm timo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GRAND MERE by BOB AND JOHN)
6  TWISTED JUSTICE Jun29 Jun15       (smith larry)OUZTS W 116 3.50    
  (by BIONDETTI out of TOUR FOR LOVE by EXPRESS TOUR)
7  CITY SCENE Jun24 Jun05       (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
BTP-4   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERO CLICK May26 May06 Apr18 Mar18 Mar04 (langemeier j)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
2  TIZ BIZ Jun17 May27 Apr29 Sep16 Sep02 (brafford c)MCKEE J 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
3  TWITTER TRAFFIC Jul02 Jun23 Jun03 May20 Apr23 (crumley jevon)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 5.00 30% 2.30    
4  FABIOLA PRINCESS Jun17 May20 Dec21 Nov22 Oct06 (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.00    
5  SOPHISTICATED Jun17 May25 May12 Apr05 Feb08 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50    
6  SISTER JUSTICE Jun17 Jun10 Nov21 Nov08 Oct18 (thompson daniel)BUSH V 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  NOT A ROLE MODEL Jul06 Jun22 Jun10 Jun03 May25 (calderon en)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 10.00    
 
BTP-5   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRISCO LINE Jul05 Apr27 Mar30 Feb03 Jan18 (locker timot)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 3.00 36% 1.70    
2  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE May19 Apr27 Feb23 Jan12 Sep20 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
3  ORB OF THE BORO Jun22 Jun15 May20 Oct11 Sep14 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 120 4.50    
4  DROP IT Jul01 Jun01 May04 Apr18 Oct06 (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  BLACKSMITH STRONG Jun24 Jun03 May22 Apr27 Mar31 (green troy)OUZTS W 122 6.00    
6  CHIEF MYSTIQUE Jun30 Jun10 May31 May14 Apr27 (hernandez javi)COLON H 122 8.00    
 
BTP-6   07/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BABY GRAND Jun15 Jun02       (roggenkamp e)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  BACON Jun09 May20 Mar24 Feb10 Jan06 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 120 15.00    
3  RAGING WHIRLWIND Jun30 May31 May06 Apr19 Apr08 (chain pearl)LEBRON VICTOR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MR JOKE Apr20         (ramos rafael)REYES R 120 15.00 21% 3.90    
5  HABITUS (GB) Jun30 May20 Apr01 Mar11 Feb10 (shifflet)STRANDBERG MALLORY 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BROWN LIQUOR MAN Jun30         (shirer a)CANUTO THIAGO 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  BIALYSTOCK Jun12 May23 Apr28 Apr14 Oct12 (hamm timo)CORREA L 120 12.00    
8  GUNLEATHER AL Oct18         (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 120 8.00    
9  SCHOOLMASTER (GER) Jul07 Jun17 May31 May20 Apr07 (manning j)BUSH V 120 8.00    
10  NEAP TIDE Jun09 May25       (lobo paul)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 3.50    
SCR  YES POINT May25 Apr29 Jan19 Jan05   (mckeever andrew)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00    
12  DOM GERVASIO May25 Apr16 Mar24 Feb01 Dec21 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.50    
SCR  STEALTH MISSION Jun22 Jun07 Dec14 Sep30 Sep05 (patrick gary)OUZTS W 125 6.00    
SCR  DISCOUNT DENNIS Jun15 May19 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 (wittek karyn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 20.00    
SCR  JARED THE WARRIOR Jun26 Jun10 May30 Jan07 Dec03 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 120 30.00    
 
BTP-7   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELESTIAL ORB Jun21 Jun07 May24 Apr30 Apr14 (lawrence dalton)HESS SARA 116 12.00    
2  CANADA CANDY Jun14 May16 May09 Apr26 Apr04 (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  MY ANGELICA Jun29 Jun03 May17 May05 Apr27 (pinzon maria)CANUTO THIAGO 121 6.00    
4  RATTRAPANTE May22 Apr27 Mar30 Sep23 Aug20 (delong be)CORREA L 121 5.00 31% 2.30    
5  I SAID HEY Jul05 Jun03 Apr28 Apr12 Mar25 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  KENYA SUN Jun29 Jun03 Mar17 Feb12 Jan28 (tsirigotis)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 4.00 6% 16.20    
7  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Jun29 Jun14 Jun07 May31 May03 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.50    
 
BTP-8   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 Vivacious Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Jun21 May17 Oct31 Oct05 Aug26 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GATHERING DREAMS by MERCER MILL)
SCR  MARKET SUCCESS Jun24 Jun07 May09 Oct29 Oct11 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 123 3.50    
  (by GIANT OAK out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  PARFAIT Jun15 May12 Apr12 Oct29 Sep23 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 123 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of MISS EMMA MARIA by TIZNOW)
4  BUCKEYE BLING Jun23 Jan19 Dec15 Oct29 Sep29 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 123 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of GOT BLING by LANGFUHR)
5  I RECALL Jun19 May22 Oct29 Oct19 Sep19 (bourke john)STANLEY O 125 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of REAL DISTINCTIVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
6  WINDY LU WHO Jun23 Jun07 May11 Apr05 Mar14 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
SCR  GOODNESS SAKES May11 Apr27 Oct10 Sep23 Aug12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 125 5.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SWEETNESSNGOODNESS by CUVEE)
8  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Jun07 Apr27 Apr05 Mar14 Feb06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 30.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of VICKI JO by MERCER MILL)
SCR  SALLY STRONG Jun27 Jun02 May11 Apr05 Aug13 (rone mike)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 12.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of TANTAMOUNT by LEMON DROP KID)
10  LEDGENDARY KITTEN Jun15 May26 Nov12 Sep23 Sep07 (bush s)MCKEE J 121 30.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LEDGE'S MONARCHOS by MONARCHOS)
11  SOFT TALK Jun02 Apr27 Mar23 Nov15 Oct29 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 120 6.00 25% 3.10    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SMALL SECRET by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.