Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Wednesday - June 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-1   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(2/3/4)-(6/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(6/1/7)-(5/1/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/7)-(6/1/7)-(6/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/7)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-5   WIN (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/3/4)-(5/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-6   WIN (5/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/4)-(2/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/4)-(2/4/1/6)-(9/6/4/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
FL-7   WIN (2/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/1/6)-(9/6/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-8   WIN (9/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/4/8)-(9/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/4/8)-(9/6/4/8)-(9/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   06/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL BIZZ May16 Feb15 Feb01 Jan04 Nov22 (dix)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00    
MOCLIPS Jun13 May23 Nov16 Nov01 Oct18 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 1.60    
TRUE DESTINY Jun14 Jun05 Aug08 Jul18   (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 119 5.00 15% 5.90    
SMOKIN ZIVA Jun13 May23 May02 Nov08 Oct05 (breed a)ROHENA JR 124 10.00    
RUXTON ROCKS Feb25 Jan20 Dec11 Nov25   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
SUEBEE Jun13 May30 May17 Apr25 Nov15 (breed a)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 25% 2.90    
 
FL-2   06/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THAT'S MY BUSINESS Jun19 Jun05 May08 Apr06 Mar12 (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 119 2.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of OL' BLUE EYES by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
NEMO'S FORTUNE Jun19 Jun05 Oct17 Aug08 Jul13 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00 32% 2.20    
  (by EMCEE out of DADDY'S CRAZY GIRL by SCAT DADDY)
MOBOT Jun04 May16 Oct26 Oct04 Sep24 (loaiza )NAVARRO J 119 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of GINGER MO by UNCLE MO)
LOOKIN GRAND Jun19 Jun05 May22 May11 Nov25 (dean victor )BARBOSA CARLOS 114 8.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SWEET SLAM by GRAND SLAM)
COLTEN GOES Oct19         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of FANCY CHANCE by REVOLVING)
BALI RIDDIM Jun19 Jun05 Nov10 Oct09 Sep17 (dean i)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of RIBBET by AZAMOUR (IRE))
GOLD TEMPLAR Jun12 May23 May02 Nov07 Oct25 (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TRUSS by FRIENDS LAKE)
 
FL-3   06/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIJEMINI SLEW May17 Aug24 Aug15 Aug03 Jul19 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
DEVIL OR ANGEL May29 Nov22 Oct18 Sep26 Sep12 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
MAJOR SPIN Jun14 May07 Apr14 Mar03 Jan14 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
WHAT'S MY CATEGORY Jan12 Dec02 Nov22 Nov02 Sep12 (grusmark karl)PEREZ E 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE May16 Apr22 Mar10 Feb12 Jan15 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 3.50    
KNIGHT OFTHE CROWN Jun14 May24 Oct25 Aug07 Jun25 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 4.00    
 
FL-4   06/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DON'T POKE THE CAT Jun11 May29 May08 Feb08 Jan02 (loaiza ilmar)BARBOSA CARLOS 112 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  TRIVISTA May23 May14 Apr30 Apr15 Mar10 (loaiza ilma)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 4.00    
ROYAL SUSPECT Jun14 May30 May17 Jan26 Jan05 (huertas nirka)CRUZ JOEL 122 6.00    
SCR  BLOOD MOON Jun11 Jun04 May12 Apr03 Mar21 (maroun douglas)GOMEZ O 122 2.50    
COACH BAHE Jun14 May30 May02 Nov14 Oct31 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 6.00    
FIRE'S FINALE Jun14 May29 May15 May02 Mar22 (torelli stacy)DAVILA A 124 5.00    
OUR CARAVAN Nov14 Oct19 Sep07     (fer)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
PARADE FIELD Jun14 Nov07 Oct24 Oct12 Sep27 (lecesse micha)IORIO MELISSA 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-5   06/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONNA BE DANCING May09 Nov09 Sep26 Aug17 Jul27 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 124 4.00 10% 8.90    
ANGELIC MISSION Jun12 Nov15 Oct19 Oct04 Sep21 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 119 6.00    
COLOR COMMISH Jan01 Dec11 Nov16 Nov02 Oct25 (sells rachel)DAVILA A 119 3.00 9% 10.30    
COACH P Aug31 Aug15 Jul13     (torelli stacy)ALVARADO R 124 6.00 6% 14.60    
FIGHTER KITE May16 Nov15       (englehart chr)DAVILA R 119 2.50 51% 1.00    
HANGAR ONE Jun12 May23 May02 Jun07 May18 (pettine jam)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 12.00    
BEACH BOY AL Nov09 Aug31 Jul03 Mar05 Feb11 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 5.00    
 
FL-6   06/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE BEE Jun12 Nov15 Nov02     (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 15.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LADY JESSICA by ATREIDES)
TACONY ROAD         (murphy timothy)ALVARADO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FINGERPAINTER by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
SCR  CENTRAL STATION Jun12 May14 Apr23 Mar17 Mar04 (d'alessandro)HARKIE K 122 6.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of FLOMAR by TWO PUNCH)
HONOR MR. BABY         (bartlett william )BAEZ JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of THEKRAA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
PENTANGELI Jun05 May08       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 3.50 63% 0.60    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BRINGYOUROWNBOTTLE by STAY THIRSTY)
NEWPORT MITTENS         (englehart jef)IORIO MELISSA 112 4.00 8% 11.60    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of OUR MARY ELIZABETH by CITY ZIP)
EIGHT SUNSET DRIVE Nov16 Oct19 Oct04     (cook rober)DE EMANUEL 122 20.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of ROARING BELLE by ROARING FEVER)
RHUM PRESSURE May30 Apr23 Mar10     (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 2.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of AUNTGRACE by LION HEART)
DESTIN HOOFMAN May30 May15 Oct22 Sep22   (bireta donna)CRUZ JOEL 122 15.00    
  (by DESTIN out of SADIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
FL-7   06/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERSTATE Jun12 May29 May08 Nov16 Nov09 (cabrera a)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALLURE OF MONEY Jun12 Oct25 Oct17 Sep21   (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 118 2.00 63% 0.60    
NOBODYRIDESFORFREE Jun12 May24 Nov14 Oct18 Jun21 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 3.00    
BINGO JOHN May31 May07 Apr15 Mar26 Mar05 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
ACH DU LIEBER May31 May15 Nov21 Oct25 Sep28 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 122 15.00    
BENCH WALK Jun12 May17 May02 Nov14 Oct31 (huertas nir)PAREDES JHOVANY 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
JACOBA Jun14 May30 May17 Nov14 Oct25 (pettine jam)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 20.00    
LUCKY MANNY Jun12 May29 May15 Nov16 Nov01 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 5.00    
 
FL-8   06/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LAST SHEEK         (progno chris)HARKIE K 120 10.00    
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of SATIN SHEEKS by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SUPPORT THE CAT Jun19 Jun05 May15 Nov27 Nov09 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
UNDER THE KNIFE         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of ARCH ARCH ROSE by ARCHARCHARCH)
MACLYRICAL Jun05 Nov09 Oct17 Sep27 Sep13 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TO THE MOON ALICE by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  THE CATILLAC KID Jun05 May15 Jan21 Dec11 Oct17 (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 5.00 8% 11.10    
  (by REDESDALE out of BLUE CATILLAC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
GOD BLESS AMERICA Jun12 Oct17 Sep26 Aug22 Aug08 (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 7% 12.90    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of DRAMATIC MOMENTS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ANOINTED SPIRIT Jun19 Jun05       (dean victor )BARBOSA CARLOS 110 20.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of AGENT PROVOCATEUR by INTERACTIF)
BROADWAY BANKER         (d'alessandro )DAVILA A 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of DANCIN ON BROADWAY by MENIFEE)
MATT DOYLE Feb11 Jan22 Dec15 Nov11 Oct09 (grusmark karl)PEREZ E 124 4.50 57% 0.80    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SOPHRONIA by STREET SENSE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.