Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - June 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-2   Win (1/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-3   Win (3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-4   Win (2/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-5   Win (4/2/12/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-6   Win (4/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-7   Win (9/8/3/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-8   Win (9/4/2/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   06/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUSTOMIZE MY QUEST May18 Apr22 Apr08 Feb23 Feb03 (larrosa a)BARRERA J 117 3.50    
DONNA'S COURT May07 Feb16 Feb03 Jan01 Dec18 (singh s)SINGH R 122 12.00    
YES BAB May28 May07 Feb28 Feb11 Jan18 (beavin judy)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ZONG TOUGH May29 Mar15 Jan01 Sep26 Sep17 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 6.00    
MEDITATE (IRE) May27 May08 Feb17 Jan26 Jan11 (lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
GALLANT STAR Jun03 May22 May04 Apr19 Mar24 (husak j)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
LAD-2   06/12/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOW NOW SAINT May15 Oct26 Sep18 Sep03   (cascio j)LOZADA CARLOS 124 3.50 23% 3.30    
GRAND ENCORE         (gomez c)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 6.00 14% 6.10    
SNAKEBIT Feb22 Feb11 Jan26 Dec01 Oct20 (morris rowdy)TORRES HUGO 114 8.00    
SONYA KNOWS BETTER May27 Apr27 Apr07 Mar11 Feb23 (fuselier jonah)STOKES A 119 2.50    
CUSTOM RED RUM         (dodson c)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00 14% 6.00    
MECKES PRIORITY Jun02         (dussette alv)ALBERT S 114 12.00 14% 6.00    
OWEN THE ICE MAN May22 Feb10 Feb02 Jan07 Dec22 (hatcher na)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.00    
 
LAD-3   06/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIALED J         (ramirez rosa )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 3.00 20% 4.10    
TRINITY HOPE May15 Apr22 Apr08 Mar08 Feb11 (duhon o)BARRERA J 117 2.50 13% 7.00    
BEAUX TOX May22 Feb28 Feb15 Jan28 Jan12 (turner p)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
BRI May11 Apr13 Feb28 Jan26 Dec15 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 10.00 8% 10.90    
I DONT KNOW EITHER May15 Mar19 Mar05 Feb05 Jan15 (gomez jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00    
MYLIES STAR May26 May11 Apr28 Apr12 Mar11 (dussette alv)ALBERT S 117 12.00    
STAR'S DREAM May15 Mar19 Mar05 Feb05 Jan15 (hargrave kenneth)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
 
LAD-4   06/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOLLYS FLYIN HIGH May08 Feb01 Dec29 Dec16 Nov02 (turner patti)ALBERT S 116 8.00    
WHAT CAN I SAY Mar23 Feb10 Dec22 Oct06 Aug06 (foster m)GREEN AUBRIE 116 3.50 55% 0.80    
SHEZA HUNK May05 Apr15 Oct07 Sep17 Sep06 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50    
CRYSTAL CRESCENT May14 Apr28 Apr14 Mar10 Mar02 (hewitt michael)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00    
CUSTOM GUITAR May08 Feb22 Feb09 Jan21 Dec29 (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 15.00    
WHO DAT GREY May22 Feb28 Jan12 Dec16 Dec07 (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
JOANIE GAL May22 Jan25 Dec29 Aug21 Jul24 (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 9% 10.30    
GEE SHE'S PRETTY Mar05 Feb04 Jan08 Dec15 Nov26 (garza e)SINGH R 124 5.00 9% 10.30    
DERBY DAY LASSIE May21 Apr30 Mar24 Feb12 Jan22 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 10.00 5% 18.50    
 
LAD-5   06/12/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVERENT May22 May06 Mar23 Mar05 Feb17 (larrosa ju)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00    
RED RAIDER XPRESS May15 May06 Feb28 Jan20   (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 119 15.00 33% 2.00    
ZULTAN May19 Oct15 Jul15 Mar25 Feb11 (modica oscar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
BELLO CREEDO May20 Apr26 Mar11 Feb17 Feb03 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 3.50 40% 1.50    
THUNDER ROAD May06 Mar24 Jan15 Sep19 Sep06 (dodson cliff)ALBERT S 117 5.00    
SHANKINSTINE May28 Apr21 Jan25 Dec28 Dec14 (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 114 12.00    
OGRE'S LION KING May06 Mar10 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 (singh s)SINGH R 122 4.50    
TRAFFIC CONTROL May06 Mar30 Mar19 Feb11 Dec21 (cangemi daniel)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOROSTIETA'S LOVE May20 Apr29 Apr13 Mar09 Jan28 (mouton c)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
SCR  WESTERN STAR May20 May07 Apr29 Apr21 Mar26 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 114 10.00    
SCR  SUPER GEEK Jun04 May15 Apr16 Mar30 Mar19 (villafranco ma)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 20.00    
12  PEPPERONIKID May06 Apr07 Mar25 Mar11   (prather h)LOZADA CARLOS 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAPIRINGO May15 Feb28 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 (lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 30.00    
SCR  FETCHS BRAHM May06 Mar31 Mar09 Feb03 Jan21 (jackson richard)BAILEY CHEL-C 120 20.00    
 
LAD-6   06/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITAR SLIM May29 May14 Feb04 Dec30 Dec10 (bryant all)TORRES HUGO 114 4.00 16% 5.20    
CATHOLIC GUILT Jun02 May08 Mar24 Mar02 Feb10 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 4.50    
UNANIMOUSLY Mar26 Mar05 Feb10 Jan29 Dec17 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 8% 10.80    
OAK HILL LG May27 Apr26 Apr07 Mar26 Feb02 (larrosa juan )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
PROMISING SHOES May27 May06 Apr15 Mar02 Feb19 (duhon paul)MELANCON G 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FIRST LINE Mar16 Mar02 Feb11 Jan27 Jan20 (villafranco ma)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 6.00    
FREEDOMFI May20 Apr14 Feb25 Feb04 Jan07 (delahoussaye g)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
 
LAD-7   06/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN NATALIE RUN May22 May04 Apr14 Feb24 Jan21 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 124 6.00 7% 14.20    
BERNIECE Feb26 Dec29       (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00    
WHERE'S AUNT J Feb23 Feb04 Jan07 Nov16 Nov05 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 119 8.00 9% 10.40    
DEAL ME A PENNY Mar08 Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec22 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
MISS TARGET Apr14 Dec17 Nov26 Jul24 Jun28 (de beauvil)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
CECE WAVE May22 May07 Apr16 Mar31 Feb15 (duhon paul)LOZADA CARLOS 124 15.00    
SAVANNAH'S HERE May28 Feb23 Feb01 Jan19 Dec08 (nelson eric )ALBERT S 119 20.00    
SHEZA SALTY GAL May22 Apr14 Feb22 Feb01 Dec22 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 124 3.00 10% 9.20    
HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY May22 Mar15 Feb25 Feb04 Dec31 (hodges e)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  CCED FOR STEPH Jun01 Apr22 Mar08 Feb10 Dec22 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
 
LAD-8   06/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARMO MOON Apr08 Mar16 Oct29 Oct13 Sep14 (zeringue j)GREEN AUBRIE 119 20.00    
JUMPIN JUDY May28 Mar18 Mar02 Jan20   (broberg karl)VARGAS P 119 5.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  MO WANNA GO May21 Apr22 Feb19 Jan28 Dec30 (rhea sherry)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 12.00    
CHARMONTE Mar12 Dec22 Sep05     (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 19% 4.10    
JUDY'S CUSTARD Apr30         (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
EXPECT A DANCER May10 Mar16 Jan14 Dec10 Oct06 (robbins ray)BARRERA J 119 4.50    
LITTLE Z May28 Feb15 Jan27 Jan14 Dec22 (nelson eric )ALBERT S 116 15.00 6% 14.70    
LUNCH LADY May27 May04 Apr21 Mar30 Mar02 (deatherage corey)TORRES HUGO 119 10.00    
KHOZY TAP Sep18 Sep04 Aug15 Jul09 Jun25 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 28% 2.50    
10  UNBRIDLED TRULOVE         (dixon tim)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
11  GREEK HEIRESS May04 Apr21 Mar18 Sep14 Aug20 (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 8.00 11% 8.50    
12  SASSI'S WORLD         (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 116 15.00    
SCR  MY OCHO         (broussard jerv)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 30.00    
SCR  JERSEY DOLL Apr29         (milligan allen)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.