Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - May 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(8/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(8/7/1/4)-(2/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-2   WIN (8/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/1/4)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/4)-(2/6/1)-(7/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(7/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(7/4/1)-(6/2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/3/4/1)-(7/3/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(1/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(1/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(1/5/2)-(7/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-6   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(5/8/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-7   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(5/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LAD-8   WIN (5/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/7)-(5/8/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/7)-(5/8/6/2/7)-(5/8/6/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE COWGIRL May04 Apr21 Mar30 Mar05 Feb24 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 2.50    
2  ROSALIE'S DESTINY May13 Apr30 Mar03 Feb18   (gonzalez n)MELANCON G 119 5.00    
3  LOVELY JOYCE May04 Apr15 Mar16 Feb26 Feb10 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPARKLE CITY May11 Apr19 Feb18     (silva )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 4.00    
5  ICONIC BONNET Apr28 Apr15 Mar17 Feb25 Jan28 (gonzalez jaime)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
6  VALENTINE ANGEL May07 Jan29 Dec30 Jan07   (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
LAD-2   05/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHESTHEBIGGAME Apr21 Mar30 Sep01 Aug19   (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 7.00 5% 19.00    
2  LADY KRISTEN May06         (romero alvin)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00    
3  SEE YA BYE May07 Mar19 Mar03 Feb11 Dec16 (butler w)TORRES HUGO 114 15.00    
4  NOWNOWDANCER Feb16 Dec19 Nov26     (nelson eri)ALBERT S 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  MUCHO MACHO BABY Mar25 Mar04 Feb22 Feb12 Jan14 (gonzalez isai)LOZADA CARLOS 124 5.00    
SCR  UNION GRAD Nov25 Oct28 Jul15 Jun09 May20 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
7  PIECE OF ME May12 Apr29 Apr13 Feb16 Feb02 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
8  IRISH WRIT Apr22 Apr01 Mar10 Feb05   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
9  DON'T LOOK ETHEL Apr19 Feb18 Jan11 Nov17 Nov03 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 4.00    
 
LAD-3   05/30/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECTED DREAMS         (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 118 10.00 5% 17.70    
  (by COLLECTED out of JOYFUL DREAMS by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  CINCO GAL         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of GRIMACE by VINDICATION)
3  BETONYA         (venzor jail)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 115 5.00    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of SLEW CITY LOU by SLEW CITY SLEW)
4  FOREIGN TOURIST         (tillis jerry)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by TOURIST out of PILIPHA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  SIBERIANA         (venzor ja)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 6.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of TOWANDA by DYNAFORMER)
6  CITY GHOST         (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 2.50 17% 4.90    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of ZIP HER UP by CITY ZIP)
 
LAD-4   05/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN SOCIAL Apr16 Mar23 Feb20 Feb10 Jan22 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 7.00 5% 19.00    
2  PERIPATETIC Apr29 Mar26 Mar12 Feb17 Jan21 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 4.00    
3  IRON MOON Apr27 Mar25 Feb24 Feb02 Jan20 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 116 5.00 ★    
4  FIVE O FOX Apr30 Apr08 Mar09 Feb20 Feb03 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  DEPUTY KNIGHT May21 Apr26 Apr05 Mar13 Feb19 (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.00    
6  OLD TOBY May15 Apr29       (witt ii)LOZADA CARLOS 119 3.00    
7  JARED THE WARRIOR Jan07 Dec03 Sep24     (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50 69% 0.50    
 
LAD-5   05/30/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDGMENTAL May14 Jan27 Sep24 Aug30 Aug06 (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAGIC LIGHTNING May21 Feb17 Jan08 Dec01 Aug09 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
3  CHIEFWEAVE May14 Mar23 Mar05 Feb11 Jan22 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00    
4  FLASHBACK WIND Jul13 Jun23 Jun11 May11 Apr08 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 3.00    
5  KINGPRIN May07 Sep27 Sep19 Aug30 Jul26 (smith ch)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 10.00 11% 8.30    
6  DARK MATTER May20 Apr29 Apr14 Feb28 Feb09 (silva walter)TORRES HUGO 117 2.00 34% 1.90    
7  KINGS WAGER Apr27 Mar08 Feb03 Jan07 Jun17 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 6.00    
8  YOU YOUR DADDY SON May07 Feb18 Jan11 Dec14 Dec01 (vincent jarv)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 10.00    
SCR  PAPIRINGO May15 Feb28 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 7.00    
 
LAD-6   05/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LITTLE ROSE May07 Mar23 Mar10 Feb26   (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  SMILING ANGEL May07 Mar18 Feb23 Feb11 Sep12 (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
3  BROADWAY PEARL May07 Feb28 Jan26 Jan12 Dec30 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50    
4  DANCING TRICK May13 Feb28 Feb10 Dec22 Nov12 (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 5.00    
5  GOTTEMINABIND May14 Apr22 Mar23 Feb22 Feb10 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
6  COURT COSTS May07 Apr21 Mar25     (wilson mel)ALBERT S 119 8.00    
 
LAD-7   05/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REDIVIVUS May13 Apr13 Sep20 Sep05 Jul23 (snodderl)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
2  BODEE BODEE May13 Feb18 Jan14 Dec15 Nov17 (turner patti)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  TAPPIN FORA DANCE May04 Apr14 Mar16 Feb10 Jan20 (romero alvin )LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00    
4  TRAPPE VALLEY May13 Apr30 Mar30 Oct27 Sep23 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50    
5  STOMPING HOTROD May05 Apr23 Mar23 Feb23 Jan18 (cates al)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
6  CORVETTE SPIRIT May22 Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00    
7  BREW CREW May06 Apr21 Mar24 Mar11 Feb17 (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 124 4.50 37% 1.70    
 
LAD-8   05/30/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD MERRITT May07 Mar18 Mar01 Dec01 Nov05 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50    
2  BISPING May15 Dec14 Nov19 Oct15 Aug27 (courville ri)MAGNON H 117 3.00 ★    
3  MORRICONE May08 Mar12 Feb19 Feb04 Jan19 (morris rowdy)BARRERA J 117 5.00    
4  PEPPER JACK May22 May14 Mar12 Feb17 Feb05 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
5  SATURDAY'S GOLD Apr01 Mar12 Jan22 Aug17 Jun21 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
6  TARGET PRACTICE Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 Dec29 Nov30 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.00 ★    
7  SABER RUN May06 Jan13 Dec23 Dec02 Nov17 (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MR. FOUR SEVENS Mar16 Mar03 Jan20 Dec09 Nov19 (dandridge )ALBERT S 117 10.00 21% 3.70    
9  JAKE THE BAND MAN Feb02 Jan14 Dec28 Dec17 Nov18 (felks r)MELANCON G 122 6.00    
SCR  RECKLESS RANSOM May04 Mar15 Feb02 Jan15 Dec10 (felks r)MELANCON G 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.