Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Saturday - May 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(3/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (3/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/5)-(5/1/7/8)-(1/7/3/4/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-3   WIN (5/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/8)-(5/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/8)-(5/1/7/8)-(5/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/8)-(1/7/3/4/6)-(9/2/7/8/1) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-4   WIN (1/7/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/4/6)-(1/7/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/4/6)-(1/7/3/4/6)-(1/7/3/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/4/6)-(9/2/7/8/1)-(1/7/2) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LS-5   WIN (9/2/7/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/8/1)-(9/2/7/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/8/1)-(9/2/7/8/1)-(9/2/7/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/2/7/8/1)-(1/7/2)-(4/9/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-6   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/4/2)-(1/7/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-7   WIN (4/9/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/5/6)-(4/9/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/5/6)-(4/9/5/6/3)-(4/9/5/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-8   WIN (9/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/7/6)-(9/7/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/6)-(9/7/8/6/3)-(9/7/8/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (9/7/6)-(6/3/7/5)-(5/1/12/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-9   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5)-(6/3/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/7/5)-(5/1/12/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-10   WIN (5/1/12/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/12/11)-(5/1/12/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/12/11)-(5/1/12/11)-(5/1/12/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   05/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM GRODD May07 Apr13 Mar31 Mar18 Feb24 (williams stev)CABRERA DAVID 118 12.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of BALTIC NATIONS by SEATTLE SLEW)
SCR  GWYNETH'S MALIBU May06 Mar11       (willis mindy)ALVAREZ L 118 20.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MYSTIC MIRACLE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
GOLDEN FLASH Apr15 Mar22 Feb20 Jul24 Jul08 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FRUHL'S GOLD by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
BOUGIE JOE Mar18 Feb12 Jan14 Dec10 Nov15 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 118 4.50 9% 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of APPEALING CAT by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
DR VINNIE BOOMBATZ May13 Apr08       (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 118 4.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of PRIVATE OFFERING by PULPIT)
JOHNNY APPLESEED May07 Apr13 Mar31     (willis mind)WETHEY JR 118 3.50 11% 7.80    
  (by GORMLEY out of APPEALING APPLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
ONTHESTAGE Mar23 Feb25 Jan07     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 1.40 47% 1.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of STAGEPLAY by CURLIN)
 
LS-2   05/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS GOLD RUSH Apr29 Mar31 Mar10 Feb12 Dec21 (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 20.00    
HARRY May13 Apr21 Mar24 Feb19 Feb03 (roubion steve)DIAZ RENE 124 5.00    
EUROROCKSTAR Mar17 Mar03 Feb11 Jan15 Feb12 (rossi lee )ERAMIA E 124 3.00 41% 1.50    
IRONICAL May06 Apr21 Jun19 May29 May14 (bustamante ray)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 13% 6.70    
TENACIOUS LION May06 Mar10 Feb02 Jan04 Dec13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
RED BIRD'S STORM May14 Apr29 Apr08 Mar24 Mar10 (g)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 19% 4.30    
RECKLESS RED Apr21 Mar10 Feb12 Jan14 Oct08 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 8.00    
SCR  INFINITE MORO May14 Apr21 Mar31 Feb25 Jan21 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 124 6.00    
 
LS-3   05/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTCOAST BREEZE Apr26 Mar13 Feb26     (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 119 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  GOLD DECLARATION Apr30 Apr22 Feb03 Nov19 Oct15 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00    
CALARI BLUECAT Apr30 Apr02 Mar04 Feb10   (keen dallas)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 5.00    
SECRET SURVIVOR Jan22 Jan13 Dec02 Nov18 Oct14 (trian)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 15.00    
MAYAN May07 Mar31 Mar04 Jan15 Dec09 (ashford)GONCALVES R 124 1.60 34% 2.00    
SONGWRITER May07 Mar30 Feb22 Jan19 Dec28 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 124 10.00    
WINGS FOR ENO May07 Apr22 Mar17 Jan27 Sep27 (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
MIDNIGHT HUNTER May12 Apr27 Mar19 Feb23 Jan20 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-4   05/27/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZINASDESTINYVIRAGO Nov07 Nov02 Sep28 Sep13 Aug28 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
SASSY SAGEY Apr30 Mar10 Feb19 Jan01 Nov27 (hewitt michael)QUINONEZ S 124 15.00    
AUSTIN CITY GIRL Apr29 Mar05 Jan13 Nov14 May30 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50 11% 8.30    
JAN'S TURN TO WIN Apr29 Apr13 Mar26 Feb19 Jan29 (b)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 8% 11.90    
AZUNIA May14 Apr14 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 (padilla a)DIEGO V 119 8.00    
STILL OF THE NIGHT May21 Apr22 Apr02 Feb04 Nov04 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 7% 13.10    
THINKITASADONATION May07 Apr29 Apr02 Feb22 Feb03 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  CASHMERE DANCER Mar19 Feb03 Nov07 Sep24 Sep07 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
GRAY ZONE Mar18 Sep14 Jul24 Jun11 Feb17 (davidson s)ERAMIA E 124 5.00    
10  SPECIAL TREASURE Apr02 Mar19 Feb11 Jan14 Nov11 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 124 15.00    
11  GREY HALO May14 Apr22 Apr14 Apr02   (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00    
 
LS-5   05/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUNCH EM Mar27 Mar13 Nov21 Nov02 Oct07 (ashford)GONCALVES R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
RANDELLO Apr13 Apr01 Mar03 Jan28 Jan06 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
TOTALIZER May13 Mar10 Feb18 Feb05 Jan21 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 120 6.00    
QUARTERBACK DAK May13 Apr13 Mar25 Feb18 Jan20 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 4.50    
LOOKIN HIGH May06 Mar11 Feb11 Jan27 Jan07 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 120 10.00    
BLING'S BELLWETHER May13 Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 Mar03 (tuley rho)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 12.00    
KENTUCKY PEERLESS May11 Apr29 Apr14 Mar28 Mar21 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 120 5.00 11% 8.40    
UNION STATION Apr13 Mar18 Feb17 Jan12 Dec27 (g)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 5% 17.60    
CUCINA Apr13 Mar18 Jan28 Jan12 Dec10 (ashford r)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 4.00 36% 1.80    
 
LS-6   05/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLET POSITION May10 May01 Apr03 Mar21 Mar12 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
SHACKLELACKALACKA May07 Apr07 Mar18 Mar10 Feb19 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMER CAT May07 Apr15 Mar18 Feb11 Jan14 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 122 15.00    
THETRUTHISTHETRUTH May07 Apr10 Mar21 Mar06 Jan20 (cogburn orr)WETHEY JR 124 1.60    
MISSISZIPPY BLING May14 Apr13 Mar19 Mar10 Feb20 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 12.00    
HIT'EM UP May20 May05 Apr21 Feb12 Jan07 (tuley)MANRRIQUE JOSE 117 20.00    
CARPE HORSESHOE May07 Mar05 Feb24 Jan06 Nov19 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 2.00 19% 4.40    
SOUL SET FREE Apr22 Apr07 Feb11 Jan06 Dec15 (tuley rhonda)SANCHEZ M 122 20.00    
 
LS-7   05/27/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUTMAN Mar31 Feb22 Jan29 Nov26 Oct07 (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 15.00    
FAR FROM FINAL May09 Apr16 Mar11 Feb10 Jan15 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 10.00    
SEIZE THE TREASURE May05 Apr16 Apr02 Mar11 Jan14 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50    
BYE May05 Jan31 Dec19 Sep23 Sep07 (green greg)MORA GERARDO 119 2.00 50% 1.00    
MORE LIKE IT May05 Mar19 Jan22 Jan14 Oct15 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 8.00 8% 11.00    
MISTER CHAIRMAN May05 Mar19 Oct30 Sep03 Jul30 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 12.00 6% 14.50    
MY GOLDEN M May05 Mar25 Feb05 Jan20 May29 (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 6.00    
RIBBONS AND MEDALS Apr07 Jan15 Dec18 Sep29 Sep12 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 122 20.00    
COLTONS DREAM May18 Apr29 Mar26 Mar09 Feb03 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00 13% 6.60    
 
LS-8   05/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALORIE'S BIG BOY May11 Apr30 Apr08 Mar05 Feb11 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00    
  (by CAPTAIN COUNTDOWN out of MALORIE'S FIRST by TOTAL COMMAND)
SUMMER HELP May11         (padilla a)DIEGO V 119 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of HARLAN HELPER by FRIENDS LAKE)
BLINGO Mar19 Mar05 Feb11 Jan28 Dec07 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 8.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of BRICKYARD BABY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
MUD ON MY BOOTS Apr13 Mar31       (echeverria )BARANDELA SOFIA 114 30.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of EARLY M by EARLY FLYER)
EAGLEFORD May18 Apr23 Apr07 Mar11 Feb20 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of BRIGHT PERFECTION by GRAND SLAM)
VALDINA DREAMS May11 Apr29 Apr13 Mar24 Mar03 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
TEXAS CLUBMAN Apr07 Mar19 Mar05 Jan28 Nov12 (gustafs)GONCALVES R 119 3.50 25% 2.90    
  (by GRASSHOPPER out of QUEENLAND by TASTE OF PARADISE)
BEYOND INFINITY (FR) May11         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.00    
  (by SEPTIEME CIEL out of ANCHORS AWAY (FR) by FABULOUS DANCER)
TIZ BODHI BOY May11 Mar12 Feb26 Feb11   (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of CADEBRIE by TIZNOW)
10  NATURAL HIGH May07         (echeverri)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of EARLY M by EARLY FLYER)
 
LS-9   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOCTOR LEO May06 Apr20 Feb17 Feb04 Dec30 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00    
MORNING SNOW May13 Apr30 Apr14 Mar18 Feb20 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00    
DECLINED May06 Jan15 Dec16 Dec03 Nov02 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 4.50 9% 9.70    
SCR  CARPE EROS Feb17 Feb03 Dec14 Nov21 Nov03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 20.00    
TAPIT'S SPIRIT Apr29 Apr01 Mar03 Feb10 Jan06 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 124 20.00 6% 16.70    
UNDER THE GUN Apr29 Apr08 Mar31 Mar10 Feb24 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 1.60 54% 0.90    
PICKENS Apr30 Feb22 Feb04 Dec10 Nov24 (bryant georg)FUENTES A 124 6.00 7% 13.90    
SAMURAI CAUSE Apr29 Apr21 Mar18 Mar03 Feb24 (tuley rho)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 15.00    
RED N WILD Apr13 Mar03 Feb20 Jan16 Dec03 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 4.00    
 
LS-10   05/27/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN EASY Apr21         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.00 12% 7.40    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BET TO WIN by PULPIT)
WOODY'S CHOICE Apr23 Mar11 Feb03 Dec31   (witt ii)QUINONEZ S 119 15.00    
  (by BIRD SONG out of MA PETITE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
MEDIMPACT         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 6.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BIXBY LOU by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
PROSPECTOR'S POINT         (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of GIANT SUCCESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
FREEPORT May06 Apr16 Apr07 Mar12   (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of SCARLETT'S IMAGE by YES IT'S TRUE)
LONG COOL May07         (clary r)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00    
  (by EAGLE out of RED DRESS by TOO MUCH BLING)
SCR  STASIS Apr29 Feb10 Mar12     (brav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00 36% 1.70    
  (by HALF OURS out of WELLOFAPRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
TUNGSTEN Apr23 Apr02       (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LOOKINFORCHANGE by GILDED TIME)
SEEMS RIGHT Dec01         (willis min)ERAMIA E 124 20.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of CALL FOR ROZES by CHITOZ)
10  MINISTER MAZ Nov08 Oct11 Sep07 Aug20   (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 15.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of DESTINY LEADS ME by CONGRATS)
11  PROPERLY CONNECTED May13 Apr29 Apr16 Mar11 Feb04 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of UPANDTOTHERIGHT by CREATIVE CAUSE)
12  GONE COUNTRY Apr13 Mar11       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 12.00 6% 15.20    
  (by MASTERY out of GONE BLUES by CURLIN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.