Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - May 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/7)-(2/5/3/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(2/5/3/1)-(4/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1)-(2/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/1)-(4/1)-(4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(4/2/3)-(5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(5/4/2)-(5/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-6   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(5/3/2)-(2/6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(2/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3)-(2/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HILLBILLY LOGIC Mar23 Mar11 Feb09 May07 Mar17 (howard maryanne)MCKEE J 125 2.00 58% 0.70    
2  TIGERITO Feb22 Jan05 Dec07 Sep07 Aug19 (reed r)FELIX E 125 4.00 22% 3.60    
3  BUDDHA BOY May12 Apr27 Apr05 Mar23 Feb22 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 119 3.00 ★    
4  TWILIGHT BEAUTY May04 Apr10 Mar21     (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 114 6.00    
5  DISCOUNT DENNIS Aug02 Jul13 Jun28     (wittek karyn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 4.50    
6  MY HEAD HURTS Nov11 Oct11 Sep29     (alessi james)HESS SARA 115 10.00    
 
BTP-2   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUDLEY May06 Apr27 Apr04 Mar06 Jan05 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 121 6.00 ★    
2  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Apr27 Feb23 Jan12 Sep20 Sep02 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 62% 0.60    
3  CAPE MARCO DRIVE May06 Apr27 Jan16 Jan02 Dec13 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 116 5.00    
4  CANTANKEROUS BOBBY May06 Apr27 Mar24 Mar16 Feb07 (alamo miguel )CANUTO THIAGO 121 15.00    
5  LAST ROO Apr29 Mar15 Feb22 Jan28 May13 (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 123 4.00 ★    
6  ANY MINUTE May06 Apr16 Apr01 Mar25 Mar05 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 6.00    
7  THREE MILE LIMIT Apr27 Mar30 Feb03 Dec14 Nov19 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.50 9% 10.70    
 
BTP-3   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIS BOOM BOB Mar13 Feb09 Feb01 Dec28 Nov30 (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00 6% 16.60    
2  ROLLESTON May04 Feb24 Dec30 Dec15 Nov09 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  HONEYBELL Apr28 Apr03 Feb18     (rodriquez)CORREA L 117 4.50 11% 8.20    
4  MISS SOVELIA Apr26 Mar16 Mar04 Feb08 Dec14 (quezada inocencio)CRUZ JUAN 123 6.00    
5  LADY LIVERMORE Apr29 Mar16 Feb24 Feb03 Dec30 (jordan rick)CANUTO THIAGO 125 3.50 24% 3.10    
6  CHI TOWN HEAT Apr28 Apr08 Mar09 Feb01 Jan01 (esquivel )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 117 4.00    
7  GRAN CHEMIN Apr05 Mar18 Feb25 Feb01 Oct24 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
 
BTP-4   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY SCOUT Apr27 Mar16 Dec08 Oct24 Oct04 (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 3.50 16% 5.30    
2  GAMBLER Sep12 Aug22 Aug03 Jul22 Jul07 (short thomas)BUSH V 125 5.00    
3  CONGRATS THIS         (rhoden ca)BETANCOURT RONNEY 125 4.00 ★    
4  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Feb02 Jan04 Nov07 Sep30 Sep14 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 2.50 56% 0.80    
5  MASTER LEA May03 Feb18 Feb03 Jan12 Dec17 (bahena ismael)AYALA ISAIAS 125 6.00    
6  TOPPING Apr27 Mar16 Feb17 Nov30 Nov21 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 125 4.50    
 
BTP-5   05/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDOW SHAKER Oct29 Oct12 Sep29 Sep19 Sep06 (bends p)CANUTO THIAGO 121 15.00    
2  DANCE ON OVER Apr27 Jan05 Dec05 Oct25 Oct06 (green troy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 14% 6.10    
3  LUCKY LAUREN Apr28 Feb16 Nov16 Oct06 Aug18 (newton troy)FELIX E 121 6.00 14% 6.30    
4  VILLAREGGIA Apr20 Mar25 Mar02 Feb20 Jan29 (cash l)HEARD TYLER 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  C V THUNDER May05 Apr27 Feb15 Jan21 Dec31 (hernandez javi)COLON H 121 4.00 ★    
6  SUPORB May05 Mar17 Jan21 Jan07 Dec11 (edwards willia)ELLIOTT JANE 121 3.50    
7  TENAKEE May05 Feb18 Jan28 Nov09 Sep20 (alessi james)HESS SARA 116 10.00    
 
BTP-6   05/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBINSTEIN Apr29 Apr15 Jan06 Dec02 Oct25 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 3.50    
2  BRONX Apr29 Mar05 Feb12 Apr21 Mar13 (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00 11% 8.40    
3  ELI Apr29 Mar23 Feb17 Feb04 Jan06 (macias adolfo)CRUZ JUAN 121 4.50    
4  Z U AT THE RACES Apr29 Mar31 Mar16 Oct05 Sep02 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 121 6.00 13% 6.70    
5  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Apr27 Mar15 Feb11 Feb04 Dec31 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  LILY'S TRUMPET Apr27 Feb07 Nov23 Oct31 Sep28 (reed r)FELIX E 121 5.00    
 
BTP-7   05/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR CLINE May08 Mar30 Mar17 Feb18 Dec16 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
2  HEY RAY Apr27 Mar23       (sandy s)MCKEE J 121 10.00 7% 14.10    
3  MISTER MAN Apr27 Mar31 Mar16 Jan06 Dec08 (blevins bill)ROMERO GREGORY 121 3.50 7% 13.30    
4  KICK IT CHARLIE Apr29 Mar24 Mar16 Feb25 Feb04 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 12.00    
5  KICK OUT THE JAMS Mar15 Feb15 Jan05 Dec08 Oct13 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 116 1.80 62% 0.60    
SCR  CINDY'S STORM May13 Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 Feb08 (ramos francisc)REYES R 121 5.00    
7  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA May05 Apr22 Mar17 Feb22 Feb01 (chain pea)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 6.00    
 
BTP-8   05/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRITTEN CONSENT Mar21 Mar02 Feb09 Dec03   (wong jonathan)REYES R 119 4.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS GRACER by UNCLE MO)
2  STELLAR NOVA Apr05 Mar11       (harty eoin)LEBRON VICTOR 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by STREET SENSE out of STELLAR MOON by TAPIT)
3  D'ORO FOREVER Nov27 Oct25 Sep08     (correas i)LOPEZ E 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LEMONS FOREVER by LEMON DROP KID)
4  SAIDAR Apr05         (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 125 20.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of AES SEDAI by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  IT FACTOR Apr29 Mar09 Feb16 Jan01   (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 2.50 11% 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of JUST A LITTLE HOPE by FLATTER)
6  DONTMESSWITHJAMMER Jul13         (reed r)FELIX E 125 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of WELL LIVED by TIZNOW)
7  WEST COASTER May05 Apr19       (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of TOCCO by SMART STRIKE)
8  DELANEY'S GRACE Apr21         (galindo-torr)MARCANO Y 114 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of WHENISLIFEAHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.