Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Thursday - April 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(7/4/1/2)-(5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-2   WIN (7/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/2)-(7/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/2)-(5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/2)-(5/8/3)-(1/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-3   WIN (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/3)-(5/8/3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3)-(1/4/2)-(1/8/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-4   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(1/8/9)-(11/7/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/9)-(1/8/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9)-(11/7/8/9)-(4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LRL-6   WIN (11/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/7/8/9)-(11/7/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/7/8/9)-(4/2)-(10) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LRL-7   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
LRL-8   WIN (10) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (10)-(10/8) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   04/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  EPICUREAN Apr12 Feb15 Jan02 Nov30 Nov09 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  ROMANTIC COMEDY Apr07 Feb25 Jan24 Jan10 Dec21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 2.50    
2  BRAMBLE BUSH Mar17 Feb10 Jan13 Dec14 Nov04 (gorham michael)CEDENO CAROL 123 4.50 ★    
3  MINER'S GEM Apr01 Mar05 Feb11 Aug17 Jun29 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 123 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  PRETTY EDGY Mar05 Feb08 Jan14     (sillaman ri)GLASER LAURALEA 123 4.00 24% 3.10    
5  RAISE YOUR GAME Apr07 Mar18 Feb04 Jan15 Dec10 (gorham mi)CARRASCO R 123 6.00    
SCR  CHLOE ROSE Mar24 Mar10 Jan20 Dec16 Nov17 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 123 12.00 ★    
SCR  RUN LAURA RUN Feb24 Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Nov30 (king lawrence)KARAMANOS A 119 8.00    
8  PROTECTTHEWITNESS Mar01 Feb08 May17 Apr29 Mar09 (schoenthal )CONCEPCION AXEL 116 10.00    
9  LILLY SIMONE Feb15 Jan25 Dec10 Nov19   (magana j)MONTERREY R 123 5.00    
 
LRL-2   04/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD TEMPER Mar25 Mar04 Feb11 Jan22 Nov18 (parker m)DELGADO A 126 3.00 10% 8.80    
2  RED WINE TIME Mar25 Mar19 Feb24 Jan20 Jan01 (sanchez-salomo)CEDENO CAROL 126 5.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  MERGER OF EQUALS Apr07 Mar31 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 12.00    
4  WATER WITCH Mar04 Feb15 Jan18 Jan01 Dec16 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  RATIONALMILLENNIAL Mar25 Feb12 Feb03 Dec09 Oct08 (corrale)BRICENO GREGOR 122 6.00    
6  HEARDITALL Apr01 Feb05 Jan28 Oct13 Sep30 (dove kevin)RIVERA R 106 50.00    
7  ALWAJD Apr12 Feb17 Jan13 Dec15 Nov21 (farro patri)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 28% 2.50    
8  SHE SO COOL Mar04 Feb10 Dec01 Jul14 Jul02 (rodriguez jesus)VEGA L 126 15.00    
 
LRL-3   04/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREPAREFORTAKEOFF Apr07 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Jan16 (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 4.50    
2  RED QUEEN Mar26 Feb03 Jan08 Dec31 Dec09 (dove ke)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 12.00 ★    
3  BACKSTREET AFFAIR Apr01 Mar18 Mar05 Feb11 Feb03 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 3.00 9% 10.20    
4  MS. MALEVOLENCE Apr01 Mar12 Feb17 Feb03 Jan21 (nazario pedro)KARAMANOS A 123 12.00    
5  MARVELLA NASTY Mar24 Mar04 Feb10 Jan18 May14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 6.00 37% 1.70    
6  CONGRESS HALL Mar26 Feb26 Feb04 Jan06 Jul28 (mcfarlane brando)CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
7  FUNNYBET Mar05 Jan07 Dec16 Nov24 Sep24 (cash l)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 3.50 ★    
8  DANCER'S MELODY Mar26 Feb17 Feb03 Dec31 Nov24 (mcmahon w )RIVERA R 116 3.50 27% 2.70    
9  RAVENEL Mar24 Feb26 Feb11 Dec10 Nov18 (hartin)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 30.00    
 
LRL-4   04/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWN COLD Mar19 Jan14 Nov25 Nov07 Aug02 (mcmahon hug)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 12% 7.40    
2  GOLDEN PEGASUS Feb23 Jan28 Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 4.50 10% 8.90    
3  PHRA PHROM Mar26 Mar18 Mar05 Feb24 Feb12 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 126 20.00    
4  THE ADDISON POUR Feb05 Jun12 Apr30 Mar25 Feb10 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 5.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  CRYO Mar19 Nov09 Oct25 Sep29 Aug28 (cash norman )BARBOSA JEIRON 126 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  CHELONIAN Mar25 Mar10 Feb19 Feb11 Jan22 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 10.00    
7  ROMP (ARG) Mar17 Feb17 Jan27 Sep05 Aug08 (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 122 6.00    
 
LRL-5   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE HATE ME Mar28 Mar15 Feb28 Feb13 Jan17 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  STRIKE ME DOWN Mar20 Dec21 Nov13 Oct07 Sep06 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 8.00    
2  ALPHA CHI RHO Mar11 Feb10 Jan26 Dec13 Nov23 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 6.00    
3  GREAT DAYS AHEAD Apr06 Jan20 Dec11 Dec02 Nov11 (parram )BRICENO GREGOR 114 30.00    
4  YES SIR ROBERT Mar12 Feb24 Jan21 Jan07 Dec09 (kreiser timot)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 12.00    
SCR  YOUNGEST OF FIVE Sep04 Aug13 Jul30 Apr16 Mar19 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
6  BACKATYA Mar26 Mar03 Feb06 Dec29 Dec10 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 12.00    
7  CHARGE TO VICTORY Mar25 Mar04 Jan14 Dec17 Oct15 (mancilla carlo)PEREZ XAVIER 123 5.00 ★    
8  BIGMANCAN Mar25 Mar04 Feb11 Jan28 Jan16 (dilodovico dam)ARAUJO DENIS 119 4.50 11% 8.20    
9  ARISTOCRATIC Mar25 Mar04 Jan20 Dec17 Nov27 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 5.00 6% 15.50    
 
LRL-6   04/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN SHEBA Nov20 Oct28 Oct16 Sep30 Sep11 (demario charl)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
2  KILBRITTAIN'S RED Mar03 Feb17 Jan22     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 114 15.00    
3  GAVINERA Mar23 Mar03 Feb11 Jan26 Dec26 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 114 20.00    
4  AWESOME JAZZ Oct28 Oct21 Sep17 Aug19 Jun19 (merryman w)ACOSTA D 123 10.00    
SCR  LOLA FLO Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 May22 May01 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 4.50 38% 1.70    
6  MURPH Dec09 Nov18 Oct27 Jul06 May20 (magana j)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 15.00    
7  SPOOKY SPICE Feb22 Dec10 Oct29 Sep01 Jan26 (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 10.00 15% 5.80    
8  AFANDI Sep17 Aug22 Aug04 Jul14 Jun19 (dunham bern)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  THISNAMEISOKAY Nov19 Oct27 Oct01 Sep06 Aug18 (cooper st)CARRASCO R 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  AMANI'S IMAGE Jul16 Jun03 Apr28 Apr02 Mar10 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 10.00    
11  ABOVE THE LIMIT Nov09 Sep17 Jul15 May14 Apr18 (lynch catha)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  FRECCIA D'ARGENTO Apr01 Mar10 Feb10 Jan11 Dec14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50    
13  CAROLINA SUN Nov20 Oct21 Aug29 Aug16 Jul11 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 10.00    
 
LRL-7   04/20/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TORCH OF TRUTH Mar25 Mar03 Feb05 Jan14 Dec17 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 8.00    
2  EXCELLORATOR Mar25 Mar03 Feb04 Dec31 Nov24 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 2.00 20% 4.00    
3  ARMANDO R Mar25 Feb18 Dec30 Nov26 Oct01 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00    
4  GALERIO Jan21 Jan14 Apr21 Mar19 Feb19 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  WISH FOR PEACE Mar25 Mar07 Nov26 Nov02 Oct12 (stites flin)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 15.00    
SCR  SHAFT'S BULLET Mar17 Feb24 Feb04 Jan06 Feb20 (capuano gar)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
LRL-8   04/20/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHLAND DREAM Mar19 Feb12 Jan13 Dec11 Nov21 (lawrence ja)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
2  SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND Apr13 Apr01 Mar10 Feb15 Dec09 (pickett crys)BARBOSA JEIRON 113 15.00    
3  E. P. MILTON Sep25 Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 Jun24 (cooney sus)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 10.00    
4  SOUTHERN LAD Feb19 Feb11 Jan22 Dec17 Nov14 (leaf r)LOPEZ EDUARDO 117 30.00    
5  MARATHONER Feb16 Jan17 Jan02 Nov15 Oct21 (montoya marya)KARAMANOS A 126 6.00    
SCR  BRION Mar17 Feb12 Oct20 Sep07 Jul20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  TENAX Mar25 Feb25 Feb04 Jan20 Jan13 (burdick)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 15.00    
8  SHELLY ISLAND Sep25 Aug15 Jul20 May29   (cooney susa)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 5.00 ★    
9  BOSS MAN J J Mar19 Nov05 Oct22 Jul27 Jul15 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 8.00    
10  PRINCE PERE Nov04 Oct09 Sep18 Aug07 Jul15 (stettinius suza)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 3.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  JO JO HANS Mar22 Sep19 Sep07 Aug30 Aug09 (brooks gera)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 ★    
SCR  TOWN OF GOLD Feb18 Jan05 Nov06 Oct13 Sep18 (duarte jorge )TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 1.80 43% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.