Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(4/6)-(5/6/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6/9/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/6/9/2)-(4/6/9/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/6)-(5/6/9/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(5/6/9/3)-(8/6/1/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/6/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/9/3)-(5/6/9/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/9/3)-(5/6/9/3/7)-(5/6/9/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/9/3)-(8/6/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/9/3)-(8/6/1/4)-(6/3/9/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/4)-(6/3/9/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/1/4)-(6/3/9/5/7)-(3/9/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/3/9/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/5/7)-(6/3/9/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/5/7)-(6/3/9/5/7)-(6/3/9/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/9/5/7)-(3/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/9/8)-(3/9/8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/8)-(3/9/8/1/5)-(3/9/8/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
CT-7   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3)-(8/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/2/3)-(2/7/11/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-9   WIN (2/7/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/11/10)-(2/7/11/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/11/10)-(2/7/11/10)-(2/7/11/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   04/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING KJARTAN Mar24 Jan25 Jan04 Dec17 Nov26 (stehr josep)RAMGEET R 118 4.50    
2  JUST A FLIRT Mar24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23   (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 0.80 45% 1.20    
3  CHARTERED COURSE Mar31 Mar10 Jan26 Jan11 Jan05 (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 124 20.00 ★    
4  SWEET T Mar24 Feb23 Jan28 Jan11   (tobin l)LARROSA G 124 30.00    
5  ALLEGHENY HERO Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 4.00 ★    
6  JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Mar24 Mar10 Feb23 Jan11 Dec09 (racanelli mar)SIMPSON JASON 124 12.00    
7  THE LAST CASTLE         (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 116 5.00 29% 2.50    
 
CT-2   04/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHACHO MACHO Apr06 Mar11 Feb10 Jan22 Jan08 (perri gina)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 12.00    
2  PROTA Mar10 Feb18 Jan18 Dec14 Oct29 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 ★    
3  NOON TIME GEM Mar31 Nov30 Nov19 Oct10 Sep10 (juarez)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
4  BEVERLY PARK Mar31 Mar24 Mar15 Feb22 Jan19 (cash no)ORTIZ ORLANDO 126 1.20 59% 0.70    
5  ANTIPOISON Apr06 Mar17 Mar03 Feb18 Feb10 (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 8.00    
6  AARON'S TAP Mar31 Feb24 Jan19 Dec14 Nov17 (sanderson w)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  WE B SHACKIN Apr01 Mar11 Feb04 Nov17   (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
SCR  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Apr01 Mar11 Feb23 Feb01 Jan19 (spriggs)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 ★    
9  RUNABOUT Mar19 Jan29 Jan07 Dec08 Nov17 (englehart)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 ★    
 
CT-3   04/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICKY STRONG Mar25 Mar11 Feb16 Feb02 Jan05 (dollinger-sthr l)BAEZ M 117 20.00    
2  BAL ROBINSON Mar25 Mar09 Feb04 Jan14 Dec09 (shanley mark)CECIL Y 118 20.00    
3  MY SLICK NICK Mar11 Feb16 Jan27 Nov22 Nov08 (stahlin)NUNEZ ANAHI 126 3.00 6% 15.10    
4  MIMS SECOND CHANCE Mar11 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec09 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 118 8.00    
5  VASY SAYS NYET Mar25 Mar11 Dec30 Nov11 Oct02 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 118 1.80 37% 1.70    
6  BABY BULLDOG Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 118 6.00 19% 4.20    
7  FROSTY THE BULL Feb16 Jun24 May19 May07 Apr08 (jackson angel)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 ★    
8  GEM DANCER Mar11 Feb16 Feb10 Aug12 Jul10 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 15.00    
9  FLASH OF DAY Mar23 Feb16 Jan27 Dec09 Apr29 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
CT-4   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MIRACLE MAN Mar11 Feb09 Jan20 Jan04 Dec17 (shanley timot)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  STAVANGER Mar25 Mar02 Feb10 Jan19 Dec17 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 15.00    
SCR  LION OF THE SEA Mar25 Mar16 Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 3.50 25% 2.90    
4  SPUNTACULAR Mar11 Dec02 Nov03 Oct04 Sep14 (shanley timothy)CECIL Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR Apr01 Jan21 Jan05 Dec02 Nov11 (pyke joseph)SIMPSON JASON 122 20.00    
6  AMICALOLA FALLS Jan21 Dec29 Nov21 Oct14 Oct02 (jackson l)CULLUM W 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
7  URBAN WARRIOR Mar25 Mar04 Feb10 Jan21 Jan04 (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00    
8  JOHNNY SWISH Mar25 Mar02 Feb10 Jan21 Dec15 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 126 4.50 28% 2.60    
9  FOREVER THE BOSS Mar25 Mar11 Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 (aylor natash)MARRERO CARLOS 122 30.00    
10  TYLER TIME Mar04 Feb19 Jan25 Jan08 Dec10 (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00    
11  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Apr01 Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Jan26 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 10.00    
 
CT-5   04/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG HEART Mar25 Jan07 Dec13 Nov30 May15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80    
2  SIMILAR TASTE Mar16 Jan19 Jan11 Nov11 Nov02 (gladden damon)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
3  MASTER THIS Mar25 Feb10 Jan25 Jan13 Dec16 (butts e)LARROSA G 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
4  FRONT PORCH Mar23 Feb10 Jan19 Dec09 Nov19 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
5  DAKOTA BOY Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Nov23 Nov11 (reggetts stephen)BAEZ M 115 10.00 8% 12.10    
6  FARTLEK Feb25 Jan27 Jan08 Jan01   (farrior an)RIVERA R 111 5.00 27% 2.80    
7  GORUN Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 Jan20 Dec17 (lane j)ADAMS L 115 20.00 7% 13.10    
8  GANDHI'S ORION Mar23 Mar01 Feb09 Jan19 Dec17 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
9  PLAYBOY ROY Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 Jan20 Jan04 (reynolds joa)LEWIS M 117 4.50 12% 7.50    
10  AMERICAN ROCKY Mar25 Mar02 Jan21 Nov16 Oct25 (hillegass a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
SCR  STRINGFELLA Apr01 Mar18 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (ramos )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 8.00    
SCR  TYRY TYRANNOSAURUS Apr06 Mar09 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 (jones michae)LEWIS M 117 12.00    
SCR  CAIRO BOOGIE Mar15 Feb25 Feb10 Jan16 Jan11 (demario charle)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00    
 
CT-6   04/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD OF CORK Mar10 Feb01 Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 4.50 ★    
2  FOREVER TAKES TIME Feb22 Feb02 Oct29 Jul14 Jun09 (barber don)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 20.00    
3  EL LUCERITO Mar30 Feb17 Jan27     (campbell marsha)RODRIGUEZ V 120 1.80 65% 0.50    
4  BELLA MELA Jan13 Dec03 Oct08 Sep23   (contreras jav)RIVERA JAVIER 111 10.00    
5  ELEANORS JACK         (jackson an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 ★    
6  COLT ROCK Mar10 Feb01 Jan07 Nov05 Oct15 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 116 8.00    
7  ENTRY TIME Mar31 Feb15 Jan11 Dec01 Nov17 (mckee e)BAEZ M 117 12.00    
8  NOW HOOK'EM Aug25 Jul30 Jul09 Jun16 May25 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
9  MYSTIC O'SHAUNESIE Mar31 Dec01 Nov12 Oct06 Sep16 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 6% 15.20    
10  REATA'S CASTLE Mar31 Feb08 Jan19 Jan06 Dec16 (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
 
CT-7   04/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKING TO HOME Mar10 Jan12 Dec16 Nov16 Oct21 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 12.00    
2  SUPER KHOZAN Mar10 Feb15 Jan14 Dec09 Nov25 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 4.50 ★    
3  WAYNE'S HOPE Jan21 Jan05 Dec09 Nov12 Sep24 (locklear james)BAEZ M 117 20.00    
4  PRIMORDIAL FEAR Apr04 Mar01 Feb13 Jan23 Nov18 (flores-coba feli)ACOSTA D 124 5.00    
5  MOTIVATED SPEAKER Feb16 Jan25 Jan05 Dec09 Oct28 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 ★    
6  BARB'S PRIDE Apr01 Mar12 Feb04 Jan14 Dec11 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 ★    
7  TANELEER Apr07 Oct14 Sep22 Sep08 Aug20 (raymond donov)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
8  D TACHYON Feb10 Jan21 Nov10 Oct26 Sep30 (davis b)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
9  DANCIN IN DUBAI Mar08 Feb23 Feb10 Jan26 Jan07 (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.60 ★    
10  JUST GO WITH IT Aug27         (kee willi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
SCR  HELL'S KITTEN Feb09 Jan14 Nov27 Oct16 Sep10 (farrior an)RIVERA R 117 0.60 78% 0.30    
 
CT-8   04/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COUSIN WINNIE Feb25 Jan25 Dec15 Nov19 Oct20 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 4.50    
2  WILL OR WON'T Mar23 Aug18       (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
3  MADY ROSE Mar23 Nov12 Oct08 Sep10 Aug26 (contreras )ALMODOVAR GERALD 126 8.00 10% 8.70    
4  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Mar23 Feb25 Feb01 Jan14 Dec15 (sigler g)LARROSA G 126 6.00 13% 6.80    
5  LADY CINCO DE MAYO Mar17 Feb23 Feb04 Jan14 Nov16 (johnson)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
6  TIMELY SECRET Mar09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan01 Dec03 (jackson l)CULLUM W 118 15.00    
SCR  BALI BALIFLY Sep07 Aug23 Aug17 Aug03   (huffman kenneth )ACOSTA D 116 15.00    
8  TIMED OUT Mar12 Feb19 Apr09 Feb25 Jan20 (englehart)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
SCR  AIM'S JUBILEE Mar09 Feb08 Jan06 Dec14 Nov30 (reggetts st)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 8.00 11% 7.90    
 
CT-9   04/14/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS HEADLEY Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan18 Dec14 (pickett)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 6.00    
2  TRUE HEIRESS Mar23 Mar02 Feb10 Jan18 Dec16 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  SECRET AFFIRMATION Mar23 Feb09 Jan13 Oct04 Sep06 (reynolds )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 15.00    
SCR  BLACK PANDA Mar23 Jan28 Jan11 Nov30 Aug18 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 12.00    
5  SUPER WILDCAT Mar23 Mar01 Jan28 Jan05 Dec16 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
6  SWEETONTHEGENTS Mar23 Feb10 Jan20 Dec16 Nov04 (walters david )ARAUJO DENIS 124 15.00    
7  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Feb17 Feb10 Dec29 Nov19 Oct09 (patter)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.80 17% 4.70    
8  SALTY SAUL Mar04 Feb10 Jan11 Nov09 Oct15 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 126 15.00    
9  MIDNIGHT FLING Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Jun03 May12 (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 12.00    
10  CAPTAIN SAM Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Jan13 Dec14 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
11  UNCANNY Mar24 Jan20 Dec16 Nov10 Oct12 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 2.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  SCARLET TANAGER Mar30 Mar02 Feb10 Jan20 Nov23 (spriggs)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
SCR  KIRBY Mar15 Dec16 Dec06 Nov22 Oct27 (neilson c)CECIL Y 124 20.00    
SCR  FORTES Apr01 Mar23 Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.