Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(2/3/5)-(5/7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/7/6)-(6/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(6/2/5)-(2/8/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(2/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(2/8/5)-(7/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-5   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/5)-(7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5)-(7/2/4)-(7/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/4)-(7/2/4)-(7/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/4)-(7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4)-(7/3)-(3/2/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/9/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/9/3/2)-(7/9/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/3)-(3/2/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(3/2/8/4)-(1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4/5)-(3/2/8/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/8/4)-(1/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/9)-(1/9/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/9)-(1/9/8/2)-(1/9/8/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRILL'S VALENTINE Mar19 Feb26 Feb01 Dec09 Nov26 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 10.00    
2  BEAUTIFUL TIZ Mar25 Mar08 Feb26 Feb05 Jan22 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
3  RAPIDAMENTE Mar17 Feb26 Feb10 Jan28 Jan08 (lopez r)ALICEA JEREMY 113 10.00    
4  READY TO FILM Feb26 Feb08 Jan22 Dec22 Oct13 (gutierrez fa)MENESES MARCOS 120 1.60 49% 1.00    
5  CSILLA Mar18 Mar03 Feb19 Jan28 Jan08 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 2.50    
6  CALENDULA Mar19 Feb26       (nunez ma)RODRIGUEZ L 110 20.00 ★    
 
TAM-2   04/05/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Sep05 Aug22       (ferraro m )ROWLAND MADELINE 120 30.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SHEZASTONECOLDINGO by LONHRO (AUS))
2  ARROW BOLT Feb26 Jan29       (mott wil)GALLARDO A 120 0.60 45% 1.20    
  (by ARROGATE out of SOOTHING TOUCH by TOUCH GOLD)
3  BROKEN HEARTS BAY Mar11 Feb11 Jan25 Dec28 Nov18 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of LOVE COVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  SEAWITCH Feb11 Jan14 Dec15     (albertrani thom)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SO SQUALLY (GER) by MONSUN (GER))
5  STELLAR NOVA Mar11         (harty eoin)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 120 6.00 10% 8.90    
  (by STREET SENSE out of STELLAR MOON by TAPIT)
6  THE MONSTER IRUS         (cascallares n)LUGO D 120 15.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of LILLY BELLE BLUE by LINE OF DAVID)
 
TAM-3   04/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO FLY Sep24 Sep11 Aug15 Jul30 Jun25 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  RONSTADT Feb26 Feb10 Jan20 Oct14 Sep24 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 121 3.50 ★    
3  SMART AS ME Mar18 Feb26 Feb10 Jan20 Jan06 (smith cr)GALLARDO A 123 3.00    
4  CAJUN CASANOVA Mar17 Mar03 Feb01 Sep06 Aug16 (ferraro anth)COA J 119 12.00    
5  HARROW Mar08 Jan27 Jan08 Dec14 Oct04 (hamm timothy)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 1.20 53% 0.90    
6  WHISKEY PLANK Mar10 Feb11 Jan28 Dec31 Dec10 (cruz jesus)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BARNEGAT LIGHT Oct12 Sep07 Aug20 Jul22 Jun13 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 20% 3.90    
 
TAM-4   04/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUMPERDOO Mar17 Jan25 Jan06 Dec17 Nov05 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
2  CHICKS DIG SCARS Mar17 Feb22 Jan13 Dec14 Nov06 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
3  HAPPY CAJUN Mar26 Feb18 Jan29 Jan07 Dec16 (ubide max)LAIZ G 120 8.00    
4  JOYFUL HEART Jan14 Dec14 Dec03 Nov12 Oct13 (chavez a)BUSH V 118 8.00    
5  MACHISMO Feb17 Jan15 Nov26 Sep29 Jun11 (poole a)CENTENO E 118 4.00 12% 7.00    
6  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) Mar17 Jul12       (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
TAM-5   04/05/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT MISTRESS Mar05 Feb03       (bennett geral)FUENTES MARIO 120 12.00    
2  CAYMAN QUEEN Mar05 Feb03 Jan21 Dec16 Oct30 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 3.00 52% 0.90    
3  CAIRO WINNER Mar05 Feb17 Jan21 Nov25 Oct30 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
4  SARA KALI Mar04 Feb26 Jan20 Dec28 Dec16 (casca)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
5  EMPIRE GIRL Mar05 Feb17 Jan21 Oct24 Sep24 (sanchez jose)BATISTA A 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
6  WIFEY MATERIAL Mar17 Feb22 Feb03 Jan20   (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 30.00    
7  ITRIEDSELLINGHER Mar17         (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
8  KHARKIV Mar05 Dec30 Nov25     (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
9  ROMANCE PELUSA Mar05 Dec15 Oct27     (romero rafae)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
SCR  MY BATON ROUGE Feb22 Dec30 Dec17 Dec07 Aug30 (calixto ivan)BRACHO A 120 10.00    
SCR  ROYALE FLARE Nov05 Oct08       (lopez bernar)BATISTA A 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  HOLY SKULL         (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WICKLOW GAL Feb17 Feb03 Jan13 Dec14 Dec03 (miller c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00    
SCR  BRITTY Jan11 Oct01 Sep11     (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 113 30.00    
 
TAM-6   04/05/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUZ Mar08 Feb03 Jan21 Dec28 Dec07 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.50    
2  TRAPPEZOID Mar19 Feb08 Jan14 Dec24 Dec09 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 119 8.00 11% 7.90    
3  SAVAGE (BRZ) Mar25 Feb25 Feb11 Jan04 Dec10 (arnet)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
4  IT'S FATE Mar18 Feb18 Feb01 Dec30 Dec21 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 8.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  HARD LIGHTING Jan25 Jan14 Dec24 Dec07 Sep30 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.00 30% 2.30    
6  ARIES REIGNS Mar18 Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 Jan13 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 116 15.00    
7  GHOST STALKER Mar19 Feb19 Jan14 Dec24 Dec07 (padilla tim)CENTENO E 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
8  INDIAN BUZZ Feb19 Jan28 Jan14 Dec23 Nov26 (nobles reyna)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
 
TAM-7   04/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DURA THE EXPLORER Mar05 Nov13 Oct21 Sep22 Aug27 (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
2  CHALLENGE PRINCESS Feb19 Dec23 Oct27 Sep22 Aug21 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 12.00 ★    
3  WASSER Mar22 Feb15 Feb01 Jan07 Dec24 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Mar22 Feb08 Jan22 Jan08 Dec07 (yanez moises)MENESES MARCOS 121 8.00    
5  MAMA LONGLEGS Mar15 Feb25 Feb04 Jan15 Dec28 (harris nan)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 20.00    
SCR  BEASTIE GIRL Mar22 Mar08 Sep05 Aug09 Jul13 (rountree cathy)ALLEN D 119 6.00 8% 11.70    
7  INVESTMENT INCOME Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Dec10 Nov08 (kintz matthe)CASTANON L 119 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  LIGEIA Mar15 Feb24 Feb08 Jan22 Jan01 (granitz anthony)CENTENO E 121 2.50    
9  SHE'S JUST QUALITY Feb22 Jan22 Mar06 Feb12 Jan14 (alvarado dian)SOSA LAUREANO 112 4.50 ★    
 
TAM-8   04/05/2023 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWERFUL NATIVE Mar19 Feb08 Jul09 Feb25 Jan30 (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 126 20.00    
2  SUNSHINE GIRL Mar19 Mar01 Feb17 Jan29 Jan13 (bennett geral)FUENTES MARIO 118 4.50 13% 6.80    
3  ANGELIC STORM Mar19 Mar08 Jul30 Jun02 May01 (chain pea)HERRERA R 126 6.00 46% 1.20    
4  FLASH DEAR Feb24 Oct05       (cascallares n)LUGO D 126 10.00 7% 12.50    
5  SHE IS ROYALTY Mar15 Feb24 Feb01 Jan15 Dec22 (calixto ivan)MENDEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 ★    
6  LIFENHOWULIVIT Mar12 Feb24 Feb05 Jan22 Jun19 (werneth ro)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 126 5.00    
7  TIPHARAH Mar19 Mar04 Dec16 Nov26 Jun30 (lusk r)SOSA LAUREANO 117 3.00    
8  WINE WITH A ROSE Mar19 Mar05 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 4.00 9% 9.80    
9  JOYOUS FAIRY TALE Mar19 Mar04 Feb17 Feb01 Dec23 (scocca linda)BUSH V 126 15.00    
10  BYZANTINE EMPIRE Feb24 Feb17 Jan22 Dec22 Dec07 (burns patr)MITCHELL RICHARD 126 20.00    
 
TAM-9   04/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STIRLING'S GOLD Jun20 May30 Feb10 Jan07   (smith g)CENTENO E 122 3.00 64% 0.60    
2  LORD OF THE NILE Mar24 Mar05 Feb22 Feb12 Jan29 (dobber arnoud )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50 ★    
3  THE POINT ROAD Mar24 Mar05 Feb22 Feb12 Jan20 (mccarthy d)BUSH V 122 10.00    
4  REMEMBER THE TUNE Mar04 Feb11       (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
5  FINLANDIAS NEAT Mar24         (philipp karyn)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
6  TAKEOVER KASH Mar24 Mar05 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 (correa maxine)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00    
7  RED JET Mar04 Feb12 Jan29 Jan19 Dec11 (barrett grantl)MARIN SAMUEL 122 30.00    
8  HIGHJUMP CHARLIE Mar12 Feb26 Feb12 Nov05 Jul24 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 8.00 ★    
9  MAGIC WIZARD Dec23 Oct19 Oct06 Sep27 Sep14 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 14% 6.00    
10  MY BIG DRAMA Mar10 Feb22 Feb12 Jan22 Jan11 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 20.00    
SCR  FROSTY WARRIOR Mar05 Feb16 Dec17 Jan22   (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 122 15.00    
SCR  MAGNA RULER Mar19 Mar05 Feb15 Jan20 Jan11 (ramos o)CASTANON L 122 4.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.