Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - April 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(1/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(1/5/6)-(6/2/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/2/6)-(1/5/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3)-(6/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(2/6/3/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FON-6   WIN (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (2/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-8   WIN (6/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/5/1)-(1/8/6/4)-(8/1/2/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FON-9   WIN (1/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4/7)-(1/8/6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/6/4)-(8/1/2/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
FON-10   WIN (8/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4/6)-(8/1/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHES STEEL DREAMIN Mar19 Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 Sep13 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 121 4.00    
2  DISTANT HOLIDAY         (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00    
3  HANK'S GAL Mar12         (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 57% 0.80    
4  FLYER'S SHADOW Mar19 Mar04 May21 Apr15   (compton jess)BETHKE A 125 15.00    
5  BEAUTIFUL JUDGE Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 Jun18 May27 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  RUN BRINLEE RUN Mar19 Mar04 Feb18 Feb10 Jun12 (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 ★    
 
FON-2   04/01/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN SMOKE Mar03 Feb12 Sep27 Sep16 Sep03 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
2  TOO LATE Feb18 Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 May29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.50 15% 5.70    
3  WEBCAM Mar04 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jul03 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00    
4  MYSTERIOUS TALE Mar18 Mar04       (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
5  JUSTIN SPEIGHT Mar04 Feb18 Jan27 Jan14 Dec21 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50    
6  JONO Mar10 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
FON-3   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARTENDERS MISTAKE Mar18 Mar04 Jun11 May20 Apr30 (moss deb)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 56% 0.80    
2  JOEY'S VALENTINE Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 Apr09 Mar27 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 2.50 ★    
3  FOR REEL Mar04 Feb18 Aug08 Jul03 Jun17 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
4  WANT TO BE COWBOY Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Apr30 Apr24 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00    
5  PHLASH DRIVE Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 May20 Apr30 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 10% 8.70    
6  KENHEDOIT Mar04 Feb18 Aug04 Jul14 Jun18 (dieter dalt)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 5% 19.00    
7  L B GOLD Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 May20 Apr30 (krause bill)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
 
FON-4   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TO LEARN Mar11 Feb17 Feb11 Jan13 Dec14 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50    
2  HARLONS COMMISION Dec03 Sep16 Sep02 Jul18 Jun24 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 20% 4.00    
3  JAZZ BRUNCH Mar18 Sep16 Aug20 Aug05 Jul10 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 11% 8.20    
4  ALWAYS A TIZ Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Nov15 Oct04 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
5  CHIVE UP Mar10 Feb25 Feb17 Dec14 Dec02 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50    
6  QUEENS GIFT Mar03 Feb17 Jun11 May27 Apr30 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 5.00 20% 3.90    
7  DIXIE PENNY Mar11 Feb23 Dec30 Dec17 Nov26 (gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00 12% 7.30    
 
FON-5   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN DON Mar04 Feb18 Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 ★    
2  SHWEET PERSUASION Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Oct29 Oct14 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00    
3  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Mar18 Mar04 Feb17 Jan25 Nov30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 41% 1.40    
4  BARSTOW Mar18 Mar04 Feb12 Jan14 Jan05 (condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
5  GRAND DESIGN Mar18 Mar12 Feb25 Dec19 Sep30 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 ★    
6  WYOMING CONQUEST Mar18 Oct04 Sep10 Aug01 Jul04 (chavez veronica)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
7  LARCH Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Dec16 Nov22 (mitzner ronald)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00 28% 2.50    
 
FON-6   04/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OREGON COUNTY Mar26 Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 Sep19 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 16% 5.40    
2  NEW STRIPE Mar04 Feb18 Sep18 Aug27 Jul30 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 12.00    
3  BROADWAY Mar18 Mar04 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 28% 2.60    
4  WAGER NO MO Mar10 Mar04 Apr09 Feb25   (deisley gale)RAMOS B 125 3.00    
5  ORDER OF THE DAY Mar18 Oct02 Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00    
6  KNIGHTED Mar18 Mar04 Oct02 Sep20 Sep06 (muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 24% 3.20    
7  GOD'S PICK Mar18 Sep25 Aug29 Aug12 Jul31 (foley p)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00 8% 11.80    
 
FON-7   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART ACT Mar11 Sep26 Sep12 Sep05 Aug15 (hawley jo)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00    
2  CHARACTER COUNTS Mar19 Mar05 Feb12 Jan26 Jan01 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 121 2.50 31% 2.30    
3  SPITFIRE SUZIE Mar19 Sep03 Jul01 Jun04   (peters dennis)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00 11% 7.80    
4  EXODUS AND HOPE Mar18 Sep15 Sep08 Aug28 Aug14 (stankey jannae)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 9% 9.70    
5  POPS GIRL ALEXA Mar19 Feb25 Feb19 Feb11 Sep26 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 4.00    
6  QUALITY BOW Mar25 Feb02 Jan19     (castillo jose)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.00 13% 6.60    
7  SUNNY AND CLEAR Mar17 Feb24 Jan26 Jan12 Dec30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 121 8.00    
8  HIGH ON LIFE Sep26 Mar26 Mar05 Jan02   (hawley joe)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00    
 
FON-8   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Baxter Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO SUMMER Mar10 Feb24 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 118 15.00 7% 12.90    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of RANSKA by UNCLE MO)
2  J PS HARLEY GLIDER Mar17 Mar12       (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 116 8.00    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of JULIE C by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  I SEE CLEARLY NOW Mar10 Feb22 Feb03 Jan12 Nov22 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 118 2.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of CHRISTIAN COUNTY by ARCHARCHARCH)
4  CODE ONE Feb26 Dec30 Dec02 Oct03   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 116 6.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of RAFAELINI by BERNARDINI)
5  STOLICH Mar07 Feb10 Jan27 Dec09 Nov15 (ecoffey w)RAMOS B 116 12.00 13% 6.90    
  (by MASTERY out of CRAZY 'BOUT ELVIS by DIXIE UNION)
6  BRADSTREET Mar24 Jan14 Jun05     (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by BRADESTER out of BRIGHTLY by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  CONSTITUTION DAY Jan15 Dec16 Nov03     (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 116 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SNOWMASS by KINGMAMBO)
8  WITHSTANDTHESTORM Sep10 Jul28 Jun30     (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 4.00 14% 6.20    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of SWEETHOTS by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
 
FON-9   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAESARTHERULER Mar18 Mar04 Feb11 Oct02 Sep23 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 31% 2.30    
2  MY TRUE REWARD Oct01 Sep20 Aug08 Jul25 Jun18 (hawley joe)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
3  SPORTY FLYER Mar26 Feb09 Jan15 Dec30 Dec07 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00    
4  YOUNG PHILLIP Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Aug01 Jul03 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 9% 9.70    
5  TWICE THE PRICE Feb19 Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 125 10.00    
6  AWESOME FAMILY Feb25 Feb11 Jan08 Dec16 Nov04 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 13% 6.50    
7  JUST RIGHT MIKE Mar18 Feb25 Feb11 Dec30 Dec17 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 ★    
8  SCOOTER'S BOY Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Feb11 Aug30 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 23% 3.30    
9  BREAK FREE Feb18 Jun17 May30     (rhodes lester)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00    
 
FON-10   04/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BIZ Mar18 Oct04 Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 (haar j)RAMOS B 125 4.00 17% 5.10    
2  FLY FIRST CLASS Mar18 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Sep04 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 8% 11.60    
3  FRIENDOFTHECOURT Mar10 Feb22 Jan25 Jan13 Dec14 (ducheneaux ja)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00    
4  OPTIMAL Mar18 Oct03 Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  FAYETTE WARRIOR Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 Oct01 Sep19 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 10.00    
6  THORNISH Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Aug07 Jul25 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 ★    
7  MURDO Mar12 Feb24 Feb18 Sep25 Aug08 (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
8  KING OF ANYTHING Mar19 Jul25 Jul03 Jun10 May07 (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 47% 1.10    
9  DANCE FOR RANSOM Mar12 Mar04 Feb11 Sep09 Aug08 (ecoffey gil)MORALES ROBERTO 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.