Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - March 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/2/7)-(2/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/7)-(4/2/7/5)-(4/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/7)-(2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7)-(2/7/3)-(1/3/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3/4/5)-(2/7/3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(1/3/4/5)-(3/1/7/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5/6)-(1/3/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/4/5)-(3/1/7/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/5)-(3/1/7/6/4)-(7/8/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/1/7/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/6/4)-(3/1/7/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/6/4)-(3/1/7/6/4)-(3/1/7/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/7/6/4)-(7/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/6/4)-(7/8/3)-(7/10/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/3)-(7/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/8/3)-(7/8/3)-(7/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/8/3)-(7/10/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3)-(7/10/8/6)-(1/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/10/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/10/8/6)-(7/10/8/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/10/8/6)-(7/10/8/6/4)-(7/10/8/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/10/8/6)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/10/8/6)-(1/3/6)-(4/7/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(4/7/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-9   WIN (4/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/10)-(4/7/10/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/10)-(4/7/10/1/5)-(4/7/10/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   03/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY CASTLE Feb22 Feb02 Jan25 Nov30 Nov03 (boykins k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 12.00 8% 11.10    
2  WISHING FOR SPRING Feb04 Jan21 Nov24 Nov11 Oct21 (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 118 2.50 ★    
3  TRACE ESTATE Aug19 Jul28 Jul07     (collyer jamie)ADAMS L 119 20.00    
4  ONLY ROMANCE Mar02 Feb11 Jan26     (perez ernesto)PELTROCHE F 118 15.00    
5  SWISS HORIZON Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Nov30 Jul07 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 126 2.00 49% 1.10    
6  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Mar02 Feb24 Feb08 Jan18 Dec15 (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 3.00 12% 7.10    
7  BOWMANS LAZY GIRL Mar02 Feb22 Nov30 Nov09 Oct13 (bowman d)BAEZ M 117 20.00    
SCR  KEY TO THE CASTLE Mar02 Nov30 Nov09 Oct20 Sep28 (espinosa victo)ARAUJO DENIS 124 5.00 ★    
 
CT-2   03/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVER SO D'WILD Feb17 Jan14 Dec10 Dec01 Nov19 (nixon justin)LEWIS M 117 12.00    
2  WILLOW MOON Jan28 Dec08 Oct22 Oct01 Sep09 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
3  MS HEADLEY Mar02 Feb10 Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 (pickett)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00    
4  TRUE HEIRESS Mar02 Feb10 Jan18 Dec16 Nov04 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
5  BLACK PANDA Jan28 Jan11 Nov30 Aug18 Jul23 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 ★    
6  SWEETONTHEGENTS Feb10 Jan20 Dec16 Nov04 Oct22 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
7  SUPER WILDCAT Mar01 Jan28 Jan05 Dec16 Dec02 (pennella m)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  GRANDIOSELY Mar01 Feb15 Feb04 Jan25 Nov04 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 4.00 29% 2.50    
9  FORTES Mar02 Feb17 Jan27 Jan14 Jan06 (serey jr)ARAUJO DENIS 124 6.00    
 
CT-3   03/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  S S CASINO GIRL Feb16         (lucas antho)RAMGEET R 118 15.00    
2  STOWE PATROL Feb16         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  VAN HOOK Jan26 Jan06 Nov19 Oct13 Sep23 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 2.50 9% 9.70    
4  XPOSED SECRET Mar09 Feb04 Jan06 Dec02 Nov11 (lucas anthony)BOCACHICA O 118 5.00 ★    
5  SWEETSTREETDREAMS         (king yolonda)ADAMS L 119 10.00 ★    
6  LAURA'S GRAND Mar01 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec09 (pyke joseph)BAEZ M 117 15.00    
7  JUJU ON DA BEAT Mar04 Feb22 Jan18 Dec09 Nov18 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 1.80 25% 3.00    
 
CT-4   03/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNING FREE Feb24         (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
2  CEDAR'S WISH Feb18 Feb04 Jan20 Jan14 Dec14 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 5.00    
3  GHOSTLY SQUALL Feb11 Dec14 May21 Apr27 Mar17 (mckee cynthia )MONTANO JOSE 126 2.00 22% 3.60    
4  SHUTUPN'KISSME Feb11 Jan25 Dec07 Nov09 Oct20 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 6.00 21% 3.80    
5  ELLIES LIL CASTLE Feb25 Feb01 Jan14 Dec15 Nov19 (sigler g)LARROSA G 126 4.00 10% 8.80    
6  SHENANDOAH CAT Feb16 Jan20 Dec14 Nov16 Oct26 (lane j)CULLUM W 122 20.00 ★    
7  GAVINERA Mar03 Feb11 Jan26 Dec26 Nov22 (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 116 8.00    
 
CT-5   03/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLASTONBURY Mar11 Feb02 Nov25 Nov04 Oct14 (roadcap jerr)LEWIS M 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of BUCKLEBURY by ALLUVIAL)
SCR  COASTING TO WIN Feb23         (viands gregory)WOODSON H 111 20.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of EXOGENETIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  SWIFT DANCER Mar11 Feb02 Jan20 Aug24 Aug02 (mcmahon thom)ARAUJO DENIS 126 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of AMERICAN SWAGGER by MR. SEKIGUCHI)
4  REJOICE         (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of LIGHT AND VARIABLE by TIZNOW)
5  CRUSH 'N RUN Mar09 Feb15       (lewis r)LARROSA G 116 30.00    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of EXECUTIVE DRIVEN by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
6  BODYSLAM Mar02 Feb18 Feb01 Dec09 Nov25 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 116 6.00 5% 18.40    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CAYUGA'S WATERS by LANGFUHR)
7  ALWAYS GET REVENGE Feb02 Sep28 Aug16 Jul20 Jun02 (shanley)NUNEZ MAURICIO 126 6.00 10% 8.60    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
8  SHAMELESS APPEAL Feb18         (soldo elaine)RODRIGUEZ V 126 30.00    
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of SHAMELESS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
SCR  BAL ROBINSON Mar09 Feb04 Jan14 Dec09   (shanley mark)CECIL Y 116 30.00    
  (by BAL A BALI (BRZ) out of BROOKSIE ROBINSON by CITY ZIP)
10  FRONT DANCER Feb02 Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 Oct02 (deiter lyn)ACOSTA D 126 3.50    
  (by WAR DANCER out of MISS GOLDEN FREUD by FREUD)
 
CT-6   03/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BET ON BITZ Mar02 Feb09 Jan20 Dec03 Nov19 (pickett cry)RAMGEET R 124 3.50 12% 7.60    
2  DAKOTA BOY Mar02 Feb10 Nov23 Nov11 Oct15 (reggetts st)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
3  GORUN Mar03 Feb09 Jan20 Dec17 Nov26 (lane j)CULLUM W 122 15.00 10% 9.50    
4  GANDHI'S ORION Mar01 Feb09 Jan19 Dec17 Dec07 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 124 8.00    
5  FRONT PORCH Feb10 Jan19 Dec09 Nov19 Nov03 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 20.00    
6  LIGHTNING LAD Mar02 Feb09 Jan26 Nov26 Oct29 (milosevic mi)LEWIS M 117 10.00    
7  PLAYBOY ROY Mar03 Feb09 Jan20 Jan04 Dec03 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
8  MAKE THE WAY CLEAR Mar02 Feb09 Jan26 Jan04 Dec03 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 124 3.00 13% 6.40    
9  THATZA ALPHA Jan19 Dec14 Nov23 Nov03 Oct28 (cornwell jame)RIVERA JAVIER 124 15.00    
10  CHERRYS CROSS Mar03 Feb09 Jan19 Jan04 Oct27 (huet k)BAEZ M 117 10.00    
SCR  BALI'S SHADE Mar10 Feb10 Dec31 Dec02 Oct16 (murtaug)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 6.00 ★    
SCR  LOOKA LOOKA Mar16 Feb18 Feb01 Jan11 Dec04 (shanley timothy)BAEZ M 111 20.00    
SCR  SCOOTSCOOT Mar05 Jan13 Dec02 Nov09 Oct22 (handal ray)RIVERA R 111 1.80    
SCR  FARTLEK Feb25 Jan27 Jan08 Jan01   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.00    
 
CT-7   03/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEESE LOUISE Feb25 Feb10 Jan07 Dec01 Nov04 (hanagan lel)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00    
2  SECRET AFFIRMATION Feb09 Jan13 Oct04 Sep06   (reynolds )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
SCR  ADABEL Feb09 Jan12 Dec08 Nov23 Nov02 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 122 12.00    
4  ONEPRETTYTHING Mar17 Feb25 Feb04 Jan18 Dec14 (smith osborne)BAEZ M 117 12.00 ★    
5  MY EXPENSIVE GIFT Feb22 Jan18 Jan12 Nov24 Oct13 (sandoval mich)CHILO JACINTO 124 30.00    
6  CHARM WEAVER Jan13 Dec02 Nov03 Oct12 Sep21 (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 5.00 5% 18.00    
7  INCLUDE THE BEAST Jan28 Dec08 Nov19 Oct07 Sep08 (garrido raul)RIOS-CONDE A 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
8  SHACKABOOM Feb25 Feb04 Jan18 Oct13 Sep23 (farrior anthony)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00 17% 4.70    
9  NANCYSAIDSO Feb17 Jan18 Dec16 Nov23 Nov02 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 124 10.00    
10  CAPTAIN SAM Mar02 Feb09 Jan13 Dec14 Nov23 (patterson kev)THORPE DARIUS 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
CT-8   03/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DULCIMER DAME Mar04 Feb23 Feb11 Jan21 Jan05 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 126 1.20 35% 1.90    
SCR  FLAT DISCOUNT Mar16 Mar04 Feb10 Jan25 Jan05 (ginter raym)RAMGEET R 122 15.00    
3  SENECA ROCKS Dec08 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug09 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  TOUT ENSEMBLE Feb23 Jan19 Dec14 Dec02 Oct14 (viands greg)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 ★    
5  GOLDEN SWEETS Feb23 Feb04 Jan27 Nov13 Oct30 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 ★    
6  MADY ROSE Nov12 Oct08 Sep10 Aug26 Aug04 (contreras )ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
7  WILL OR WON'T Aug18         (stites flint )THORPE DARIUS 122 12.00    
SCR  JACK'S LILLY Feb22 Feb10 Jan28 Dec30 Dec09 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
 
CT-9   03/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH OF DAY Feb16 Jan27 Dec09 Apr29 Apr08 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 10.00 ★    
2  A THOUSAND IDOLS Jan07 Nov25 Mar11 Feb25   (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 126 15.00    
3  TIZNOW TIME Mar17 Jan11 Dec09 Oct27 Oct06 (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00    
4  SLOE GIN BIZ Mar09 Feb09 Jan20 Jan04 Dec07 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 126 1.80 35% 1.90    
5  LIGHT WORK Mar01 Feb01 Jan17 Jan09 Dec14 (tobin l)LARROSA G 124 20.00 ★    
6  SPEIGHTY SENSE Mar11 Jan25 Jan01     (knoblauch-pere)RIOS-CONDE A 124 20.00    
7  VOICE OF NOW Dec10 Nov19 Oct30 Oct07 Sep24 (eppler mary )LEWIS M 119 3.50 34% 1.90    
8  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE Feb15 Jan27 Dec17 Aug17   (corrales jose)PELTROCHE F 126 12.00    
SCR  WHISKIED UP Feb16 Jan26 Dec21 Oct27   (graci kim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 5.00    
10  DADDY Z Feb09 Jan20 Nov14     (shuler john)RAMGEET R 126 6.00 7% 12.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.