Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - December 09, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   12/09/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESPECIALLEA Nov25 Nov12 Oct15 Oct01 Aug20 (gatis chris)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00 ★    
2  SHAKEM N BREAKEM Nov23 Apr15 Mar16 Feb25 Jan28 (dominguez luis)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00    
3  SNAP HOOK Sep30 May20 Apr27 Apr13 Mar16 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 122 1.40 15% 5.70    
4  EL PILLO Oct21 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 Jul10 (carvajal l)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 4.00 ★    
5  TRAPPEZOID Sep26 Aug19 Jul09 Jun03 May07 (delgado jorg)SANTIAGO EDDIE 122 1.80 56% 0.80    
6  TAPSOLUTE Oct22 Sep28 Sep03 Aug01 Jul08 (nunn douglas)IORIO MELISSA 112 10.00 6% 15.80    
 
TAM-2   12/09/2022 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN DEE Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Jun11 May22 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 2.00 29% 2.40    
2  TWIN BRIDGES Nov25 Oct21 Oct05 Sep11 Sep03 (nunn douglas)IORIO MELISSA 111 20.00    
3  MONTANA JOYCE Nov12 Oct21 Oct01 Sep18 Aug27 (mcgoey mon)ROWLAND MADELINE 113 20.00    
4  MAY BEAU Oct27 Oct19 Sep28 Sep09 Jul19 (wasiluk pet)SPANABEL SKYLER 121 15.00 ★    
SCR  YEGUITA QUEEN Nov25 Oct21 Oct08 Aug28 Aug06 (barboza victor)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 15% 5.50    
6  HELEONORTIZ Nov23 Oct06 Aug27 Jun29 Jun18 (machado anto)ARROYO S 118 1.20 34% 1.90    
7  LA BRODY Nov23 Nov12 Aug10 Jul17 Jun30 (cascallares ne)CASTANON L 121 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-3   12/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYRICAL Jul09 Jun02 May19 Apr23 Apr01 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 123 4.00 12% 7.10    
2  MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Oct05 Sep14 Aug20 Aug06 Jul16 (machado anto)ARROYO S 123 15.00 9% 10.00    
3  ISLA BONITA Nov11 Oct28 Aug01 Jul08 May28 (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 3.00 ★    
4  DRILL'S VALENTINE Nov26 Jul01 Apr27 Apr15 Mar11 (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 15.00    
5  MISS MIAMI Nov26 Oct21 Jan29 Jan09   (romero rafael)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.50 14% 5.90    
6  WORKING OVERTIME Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 Aug31 Aug23 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 123 8.00    
7  REAL DOOZIE Nov27 Oct28 Sep30 Jul09 Jun18 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 123 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
TAM-4   12/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE CHOICE Nov30 Oct19 Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 120 8.00 9% 10.40    
2  SHIMMERING LIGHT Oct19 Sep17 Aug19 Jul29 Jun11 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00    
3  DIVINE CONTROL Aug28 Jul29 Jun30 Apr29 Apr06 (werneth robe)MENESES MARCOS 120 15.00    
4  JAMA DILLON Nov25 Oct25 Oct17 Sep24 Aug29 (nunn douglas)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
5  CREATIVE CLOUD Oct16 Aug26 Jul22 May20 Mar17 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 1.20 34% 2.00    
6  MISTA DONZELLA Apr30 Apr16 Mar19 Feb25 Feb11 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 120 20.00 7% 12.70    
7  FREELANCE Nov25 Aug31 Aug24 Jul22 Jun25 (manning j)BRACHO A 120 8.00 ★    
8  CAMPTOWN RACES Nov23 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 Sep18 (torres r)FERRER C 122 8.00    
 
TAM-5   12/09/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS BOOMBASTIC Nov25 Oct27 Sep28 Sep16 Aug20 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 118 30.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  PIVOTAL RUN Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug11 Jun19 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 121 2.50 19% 4.10    
3  FAST PAYDAY Sep07 Aug23 Jul01 Jun11 May26 (manning j)BRACHO A 118 8.00    
4  CANYOUHEARMENOW Dec02 Nov04 Oct21 Aug24 Aug10 (duffy sean)ARROYO S 121 12.00    
5  SIMMS Dec02 Oct12 Sep23 Sep07 Aug23 (lopez mario)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  REINER Dec02 Oct18 Sep28 Sep07 Aug21 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 121 12.00 15% 5.80    
7  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Nov25 Oct01 Sep07 Aug15 Jul18 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 118 3.50 ★    
8  SWIFT KID Aug24 Aug01 Jul12 Jun30 May06 (machad)ROJAS EDUARDO 121 8.00    
 
TAM-6   12/09/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREEDOM EXPRESS         (hunt donald)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 10.00    
2  TROUBLE IN RED Nov26 Oct21 Sep26 Sep16 Aug28 (arnett g)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
3  THATS ALL SHEWROTE Aug13 Jun25 Apr16 Apr02 Mar16 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 124 8.00 ★    
4  G G'S DARK STAR Sep24 Apr01 Mar16     (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 122 6.00    
5  FEEL LIKE GUESSING Nov26 Nov19 Oct23 Sep23 Apr17 (davis richard )GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00    
SCR  PATSY'S GIRL Sep30 Aug28       (barbazoniii l)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
7  SONG OF THE HEART Nov26 Oct28 Sep30 Jun12 May20 (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 113 20.00 ★    
8  FIRST FAITH Jun30         (smith rober)SPANABEL SKYLER 124 8.00 ★    
9  SOCIAL ELIZABETH Nov30 Oct23 Oct02 May06 Apr22 (delgado jorge)MARTIN MATTIE 113 3.50 5% 18.20    
 
TAM-7   12/09/2022 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARPOON HARRY Oct12 Jul01 Jun10 Apr13 Mar25 (bennett s)FERRER C 121 4.50 11% 8.50    
2  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Sep30 Aug28 Aug05 Jul08 Jun09 (dominguez luis)GREEN AUBRIE 121 30.00    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING Nov25 Oct29 Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 123 1.60 56% 0.80    
4  BEACH HOLIDAY Oct20 Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 (cheeks katy)ALLEN D 118 12.00 ★    
5  FIERCE WARRIOR Nov25 Oct26 Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 (nunn douglas)ARROYO S 118 8.00    
6  SILENT SONATA Nov16 Nov08 Oct20 Oct04 Sep13 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 ★    
7  SKIPPERINI Aug07 Jul09 Jun02 Mar27 Feb20 (wasiluk )GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
8  PAPA JIMMY Nov30 Sep14 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 (bray michael)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 10.00    
9  WAR CROSS Nov30 Nov02 Aug06 Jul06   (bray micha)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 121 10.00 8% 10.80    
 
TAM-8   12/09/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPSOLUTION Oct25 Oct11 Sep19 Sep12 Aug31 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  FLIPPING FISH Oct22 Sep23 Sep05 Aug15 Aug07 (rodriguez dari)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SCR  CANDY COVE Aug28 Aug21 Jul30 Jun15 May28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 10.00    
4  GUACO Nov23 Oct06 Sep12 Aug15 Jul21 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 12.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  STRONG ENDING Sep13 Sep05 Aug23 Jun28 Jun13 (davis richard)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50    
6  SAN COSTANTINO Nov23 Oct20 Oct11 Aug31 Jul28 (bowersock maria)FERRER C 118 12.00    
SCR  ODDS ON Oct01 Sep19 Jul19 Jun30 Jun08 (arriagada juan)CASTANON L 120 20.00    
8  LUCKY LOVER BOY Oct21 Sep30 Sep10 Aug28 Aug14 (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 30.00    
9  FORTUNATE FRIENDS Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Sep05 Aug18 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
10  BLAKENSTEIN Oct18 Oct03 Aug22 Jul20 Jun30 (guciardo kat)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 20.00    
11  ROYAL SQUEEZE Oct30 Oct08 Aug19 Jul24 Jul03 (jackson gary)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 ★    
12  AIN'T WASTING TIME Nov18 Sep30 Aug27 Jul29 Jun26 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 120 3.00    
13  A COTSWOLD VILLAGE Oct25 Oct04 Sep05 Aug15 Jul18 (machado anto)ARROYO S 120 10.00 12% 7.20    
 
TAM-9   12/09/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH KITTEN Nov23 Oct25 Oct10 Sep14 Aug17 (mcgoey monica)GREEN AUBRIE 122 20.00    
2  CASTLE BORN May08 Apr14       (harris nancy)ALLEN D 122 20.00 ★    
3  LIVELY REMARK Sep07 Aug24       (nunn douglas)SUAREZ ANTHONY 122 30.00    
4  TALK MUCH Jun30         (bennett s)FERRER C 122 3.50 9% 9.50    
5  PLAISANTE (FR)         (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 27% 2.60    
6  POINT WELL TAKEN Oct18 Sep14 Sep05 Jul31 Jul09 (mcgaughey r)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
7  SONGTELLER Sep11 Aug10 Jul27 Jun03 May20 (duffy sean)CASTANON L 122 15.00    
SCR  BABY LUCK Aug10 Jul27 Feb19 Jan08   (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 122 8.00    
9  SHE'S REDNECKER Oct20 Oct03 Sep15 Aug08 Jul20 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 8.00 9% 10.70    
10  QUEEN OF LIGHT         (o'connor robert)CENTENO E 122 8.00    
SCR  PERFECTIONIZED         (sweezey kent)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00    
SCR  JULIANNA'S RUBY         (cordero-lopez a)MENA E 122 20.00    
SCR  LITA Sep17         (klesaris steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
SCR  REDZILLA Apr06 Mar05 Feb23 Jan22 Jan05 (paragallo jenn)MARIN SAMUEL 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.