Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Monday - September 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   09/05/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KARA PARA         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
2  STRIKING MELODY         (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
3  REIGN OF THUNDER         (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 30.00    
4  SPOILS OF WAR         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00    
5  ATOMIC GIRL         (sweezey kent)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 14% 6.30    
6  LADY QUINN Aug04         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
7  BODE'S GIRL         (donk david)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
8  THREE GIRLS         (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00    
9  CAMP AKEELA Jul15         (amoss thoma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
10  LUNA'S SONG         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
SCR  SLOW DOWN SUMMER Jul28         (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  FLEETFOOTED Jul28         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  SHOWEMYOURHEELS Jul28         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 7% 13.70    
SCR  MOONAGE DAYDREAM Jul28         (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 7% 13.50    
SCR  SOUFFLE (GB) Jul28         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.80 52% 0.90    
SCR  BOOGIE DOWN BRONX         (rivelli la)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 ★    
 
SAR-2   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. MARLIN Aug11         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 13% 6.70    
2  HYPER SPEED         (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 5% 18.60    
3  UNCLE MARTY Aug04         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
4  SOMAMA BEACH         (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 119 15.00 5% 18.60    
5  ATLANTA'S ACUNA         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00    
6  BLAME IT ON DADDY Aug11         (albertrani thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
7  IMPRESSOR Aug11         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
8  FLASHY ALEX Aug26         (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00    
SCR  ETERNAL GLORY         (chichakly amira)LUZZI J 119 20.00 5% 18.60    
 
SAR-3   09/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCALA DREAM Jul31 Jul03 May30 Apr14   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 ★    
  (by EFFINEX out of ELENI'S DAUGHTER by FREUD)
2  MOUILLAGE (FR) Mar05         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 ★    
  (by TORONADO (IRE) out of HAZELY by CAPE CROSS (IRE))
3  DYNADRIVE Aug06 Jul01 Mar11 Feb25   (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of HARBINGEROFTHINGS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  WINTERS BACK         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MATTIEANDMORGAN by SMART STRIKE)
5  CITY MAN Jul15 May30 May07 Apr09   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 121 1.60 26% 2.90    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CITY SCAMPER by CITY ZIP)
6  EMARAATY (GB) Aug04 Jul03       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-4   09/05/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Aug28 Aug12 Jun26 May30 Apr14 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  UNION DOLLY Jul30 Jun04 Apr09     (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.50    
3  CROWDING OUT Aug19 Jul20       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 1.00 73% 0.40    
SCR  CLARA BELLE Jul16 Jun19 May22 Mar09 Feb14 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 20.00    
5  TIZMET Aug13 Jun24 May08 Apr16 Mar03 (serpe phili)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
6  LINN PIER Jul17 Jun10 May15 Apr23 Apr17 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 118 30.00    
7  CROSSTALK Aug09 Jul17 Jun17 May30 Apr14 (englehart je)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 ★    
8  MOSTLY HARMLESS Aug06 Jun30 May27 Apr30 Apr09 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
9  LEMON TAFFY Aug17 Jul16 Jun17     (ferraro jame)HARKIE K 121 50.00    
10  INFRINGEMENT Aug11 Jul20 Jun25 May06 Apr10 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 50.00    
11  MY DELICIOUS May20 Apr22 Mar27 Mar04 Feb12 (summers chad)SAMUEL L 123 50.00    
SCR  SILKEN DOLLAR Aug17 Jul29 Jun19 May30 May07 (schosber)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 ★    
SCR  TRUE EMPRESS Jul22 May30 Apr30 Apr02 Feb19 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  UNLOCK Jul27 Jul08 Jun02     (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00    
SCR  GUAJIRA Jul31 Jan07       (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
 
SAR-5   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPOOKY ROAD Aug20 Jul27 Jun30 Mar24 Feb28 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
2  NEW YORK BANKER Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 May27 May06 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 ★    
3  DAILY BRIEFING Jul27 May06 Mar25 Mar05 Jan28 (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 ★    
4  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Aug06         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00    
5  AIDANIKE Jul21 Jun11 May06 Apr03 Feb20 (shirer mat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 50% 1.00    
6  BACKYARD MONEY Aug11 Jul27       (lukas wayne)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 21% 3.80    
7  SISTER SUPREAM Aug14 May25 May01 Apr14 Mar26 (gorham mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 ★    
 
SAR-6   09/05/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHATLOVELOOKSLIKE Aug12 Jul16 Jun04 Apr10   (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.50 12% 7.50    
1A  JUST OK IS NOT OK Jul17         (de horacio)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
2  NEW GINYA Jul17 Jun25 May30     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  I'M FINE Jul17 Jun25 May30 Apr29 Apr02 (sharp joe)FRANCO MANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIST FULL OF DICE Aug12 Jul17       (combs bentle)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
5  U GUYS ARE NO FUN Aug17 Jul21 Jun15 May18   (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00    
6  WATERVILLE Aug12 Apr10       (clement christoph)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
7  LOOKIN TO FLY Aug12 Jul16       (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00    
SCR  TALES OF MAKENNA Aug17 May06       (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00    
9  STELLA MARS Jul29 Jun26 May14 Apr16   (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00    
10  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA Jul17 Jun04       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 5% 17.60    
SCR  ELEGANT LAOBAN May29 May08 Apr10 Mar18 Feb24 (o'brien keith)RIDER TBA 122 20.00    
SCR  SWEET MYSTERY Aug13 Jul09 Jun16     (quick patri)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.60 31% 2.30    
SCR  CARAMOCHA Aug17 Jul22       (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50    
 
SAR-7   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEFTEMBEHIND         (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
2  NOBILIS         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
3  ARCTIC ARROGANCE         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 28% 2.50    
4  ULUMALU Aug19         (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
5  LT. MITCHELL         (levine bruce)LUZZI J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  GARTH ROAD         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  PAGETT         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOUNDS SPOOKY         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  WANNA WINNA         (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
10  RADIO RED         (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
 
SAR-8   09/05/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENTLEMAN JOE Jul23 Jul09 Jun26 Jun04 May21 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 ★    
2  AIR ATTACK Aug11 Jun18 Mar26 Feb10   (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
3  NIGHT OPS Aug06 Jan09       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 ★    
4  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Aug11 Jul21 Jun30     (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
5  WAR STOPPER Jul17 Apr15 Mar13 Feb05   (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 122 8.00    
6  HEALING Aug21 Jul30 May20 Apr08 Feb12 (friedman)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
7  PORTOS Jul28 Jun11 May06 Apr13   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50    
8  AMERICAN TATTOO (ARG) Apr29 Mar24 Feb25 Jan27   (casse w)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
9  BAL HARBOUR Aug04         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  PIONEER SPIRIT Jul28 Jul22 Jun18 Apr21 Mar20 (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 15.00 22% 3.60    
 
SAR-9   09/05/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIGITAL SOFTWARE Aug07         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  RECKLESS SPIRIT Aug14 Jul01 Jun05     (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
3  GRECIAN PHAROAH Aug12 Jun23 May29     (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 30.00    
SCR  RALLY SQUIRREL Jul16 Jun24 May28 Apr30 Feb17 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VOLIERO Jul22 Jun09 Apr24 Feb17 Jan13 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  SONIC SPEED Aug20 Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 Apr23 (russell bri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
SCR  SPLENDID SUMMER Aug07 Jul10 Jun12 May22 Apr23 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
8  MASETA Aug07 Jun24 May13 Apr23   (morey willi)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00    
SCR  WAR STRATEGY Aug14 Jul17 Jun26     (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
10  I AM THE LAW Aug12 Jul21 Jun12 May15 Apr23 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 124 20.00    
11  INFLATION ADJUSTED Aug10 Jul02       (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
12  PARQUETRY Aug10 Jul16 Jun18 May05 Feb12 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
SCR  ASSIDUOUSLY (GB) Aug25 Aug10 Jul15 Jun09 May12 (caramori edu)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
SCR  CALLOWAY PEAK Aug13 Jul10 Jul02 Apr10 Mar26 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
15  CORKMAN Aug24 Jul15 May29 Apr30 Mar31 (noda orlan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 ★    
16  BOLD VICTORY Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 Jun16 Jun04 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 124 1.60    
 
SAR-10   09/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COCKTAIL MOMENTS Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar05   (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 ★    
2  LEN LO LADY Aug11         (romans dale)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
3  JANE GREY Jul23 Jun10       (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
4  MINUTE WALTZ Jun26 Jun02       (bauer a)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 10.00    
5  SHALIMAR GARDENS Jul23 Jun02 Apr16 Mar11 Jan13 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 10% 9.30    
6  BIG CITY MOMMA Aug07         (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
7  WICKED HOT Aug07 Jul02 Jun03     (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 6.00 19% 4.40    
8  VIENNA CODE Jul10 Jun12 May22 May08 Feb25 (williams)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
SCR  MORE AMMO May08 Apr08       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 34% 2.00    
10  MASHNEE GIRL Aug12 Jul10 May30 Apr08 Feb18 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
 
SAR-11   09/05/2022 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($300K) 2 ALL PT- 6:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN GHENT Aug25 Aug06 Jul23 Jun19   (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LUZMIMI PRINCESS by MALIBU MOON)
2  FORTE Jul16 May27       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by VIOLENCE out of QUEEN CAROLINE by BLAME)
3  BOURBON BASH Aug13 Jul24       (lukas wa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 ★    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of BUY SELL HOLD by VIOLENCE)
4  GULFPORT Aug13 Jul04 Jun10     (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.80 41% 1.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FAME AND FORTUNE by WESTERN FAME)
5  MO STRIKE Jul16 Jun19       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FEATHERBED by SMART STRIKE)
6  BLAZING SEVENS Jul24         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of TROPHY GIRL by TALC)
 
SAR-12   09/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUPID'S HEART         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
2  TOSCONOVA BEAUTY Aug13 Jul20 Jun20 Jun01 May09 (dixon k)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME Jun19 May28 Apr23 Apr02   (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 15.00    
4  BANKERS DAUGHTER Aug09 Jun25 May28 Apr30 Mar18 (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  JULIANA'S ROSE Feb11 Jan02       (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00    
6  RIBOT'S VALENTINE Jan08         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 17% 4.70    
7  FANCY FELINE Jul22 Apr30 Mar25 Feb25 Jan23 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  STEAL MY HEART May11 Apr23 Feb27     (clarke dylan)ALPANDER B 123 20.00    
SCR  TELLAPERFECTTALE Jul05 May28 Apr25 Mar31 Mar04 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00    
SCR  MISSING LINK Aug14 Aug04 Jul08 Jun26 May14 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 121 20.00    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Jul27 May14       (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.