Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - May 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/7/5/1)-(3/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1)-(2/7/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/1)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/1)-(3/5/2)-(6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(6/5/3)-(2/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(2/5/1)-(1/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(1/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(1/5/3)-(8/4/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(8/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(8/4/7/5)-(2/8/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (8/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/5)-(8/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/7/5)-(2/8/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-8   WIN (2/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/3)-(2/8/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/3)-(2/8/9/3)-(2/8/9/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND BEY Apr05 Mar10 Nov26 Nov07 Oct23 (poole m)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 ★    
2  GOLDEN AL Jan02 Dec20 Dec07 Nov29 Nov15 (swan kirsten)BRACHO A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  IMPROBABLE FIRST Apr23 Apr06 Mar14 Feb17 Jan26 (rone mike)RIVERA R 115 4.00    
4  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Apr24 Mar02 Feb15 Feb01 Dec06 (carmichael mikh)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Apr05 Mar05 Feb03 Jan16 Dec11 (radosevich jef)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 75% 0.30    
6  UNCLE'S THE BANKER Apr23 Mar30 Mar20 Mar10 Feb06 (sweeting craig)PEREZ A 119 6.00    
7  NET WORTH Jul31 Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 Jun05 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 119 3.00    
 
TDN-2   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Apr02 Mar20 Mar06 Mar11 Feb21 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPIN DOCTOR Apr22 Apr02 Mar25 Mar10 Feb11 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.00 51% 1.00    
3  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Apr22 Apr02 Mar10 Jan30 Jan02 (poole m)AVILES YAN 123 6.00    
4  VENTURE ON May05 Apr21 Apr10 Jul29 Jun22 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 123 3.00    
5  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Mar25 Jan23 Jan13 Dec04 May29 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00 10% 8.60    
6  BAD BOY BOOGIE Apr22 Apr02 Mar10 Jun27 Jun12 (romero oscar)DIAZ I 123 3.50    
7  LUCKY STREAK Mar31 Jun27 May14 Apr09 Mar25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50 11% 7.90    
 
TDN-3   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLO SURPRISE Apr12 Mar30 Mar12 Jan29 Dec05 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of HALO'S SURPRISE by HALO'S IMAGE)
2  HONDURAS PASSION Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of BEAUTIFUL HONDURAS by BRAHMS)
3  VESPERA Apr23 Feb06 Jan01 Nov01 Oct13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by VOLATILE out of ANYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  JENN SWEET JENN Apr23 Mar23 Mar01 Feb05 Jan19 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
  (by DAK ATTACK out of GISELLE MA BELLE by INDIAN OCEAN)
5  BLUE DAZZLER Apr26 Mar23 Mar09 Feb02 Jan23 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MASTERY out of SEEKING THE BLUE by ARCH)
 
TDN-4   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIMPLY VALID Mar13 Dec28 Dec04 Nov14 Oct30 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
2  SUMMERFEST Dec26 Dec10 Nov27 Nov12 Oct23 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
3  MAKING ME CRAZY Apr01 Jan16 Dec28 Dec11 Nov26 (mahan p)DIAZ I 119 8.00 8% 11.50    
4  MONTEREY PENINSULA Apr29 Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Jan28 (poole m)AVILES YAN 123 4.00    
5  STOMPING MOON Apr30 Apr11 Mar22 Mar12 Mar03 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
6  GAME BOY BENNY Apr11 Mar19 Mar01 Feb03 Dec16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 121 2.00 32% 2.10    
 
TDN-5   05/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GORMLEY GIRL Apr22 Mar24 Feb28 Jan30 Jan01 (faulkner rodney )VIGIL NOEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIOSA CATRINA Apr06 Mar14 Jan26 Jan12 Dec28 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  SPECIAL BEACH Apr22 Apr11 Apr03 Mar04 Jan27 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 4.00    
4  LATE NITE LIZZIE Apr22 Apr08 Mar24 Mar05 Feb13 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 121 4.50    
5  ARMY KITTEN Apr29 Apr08 Feb08 Jan24 Jan06 (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 6.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  SACRED CONNECTION May03 Apr22 Apr09 Mar30 Mar10 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00    
 
TDN-6   05/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH STREET Jan24 Dec28 Dec04 Nov17 Aug18 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 35% 1.80    
2  FACT NOT FICTION Oct30 Oct10 Sep03 Aug19 Jun22 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
3  MY HANDSOME MAN Apr12 Feb12 Jan24 Jan11 Dec30 (ovando melvin)BRACHO A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLASS ACTOR Mar26 Mar04 Jan29 Jan09 Dec23 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 121 12.00    
5  BUCKET LIST Apr11 Mar27 Mar13 Feb08 Jan13 (mahan p)DIAZ I 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  FROSTY PAWS Apr01 Mar12 Dec30 Dec02 Nov14 (sweeting craig)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
 
TDN-7   05/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY CAJUN LADY Apr23 Mar19 Feb28 Jan24 Jan12 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 6.00    
2  THEODOROPOULOS May05 Apr23 Oct21 Sep19 Aug29 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
3  CALI CRUISER Apr09 Mar18 Feb27 Jan29 Nov13 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 12.00    
4  SALUTE THE KID Aug28 Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 May23 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 4.00 16% 5.40    
5  JE SUIS RAPIDE Apr21 Mar31 Jan30 Jan16 Jan02 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUSHI Q Apr21 Apr05 Mar18 Mar05 Jan29 (morales saul )BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
7  MIZ KEETA Dec19 Nov14 Sep20 Aug30 Jun28 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 8% 10.90    
8  SILVER KISS Oct26 Aug10 Jul19 Jun17   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
TDN-8   05/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ASK ISAAC Apr22 Nov11 Nov02 Oct20 Oct10 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 20.00    
2  COOL COUPLE Apr22 Apr05 Mar19     (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 3.00 53% 0.90    
3  VODKA N GINGERALE Feb26 Jan31 Dec28 Nov13   (cannon john)NUNEZ Y 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THANKS FRANK Apr18 Jan24 Dec20 Nov29 Jul06 (rone mike)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
SCR  HEART OF AN ANGEL Nov14 Oct21 Aug27 Aug05 Jul10 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 20.00    
6  DRURY LANE Apr24 Jul24 Jun22 Apr24 Feb23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.50    
7  RERUN Apr24 Apr13 Mar01 Feb07 Jan24 (puhl kim)STOKES J 119 6.00    
8  PENSACOLA Oct11 Aug04 Jun21 Nov11 Oct15 (cowans d)AVILES YAN 119 8.00 20% 3.90    
9  CLASSIC RICHIE Apr22 Apr08 Feb26 Feb08 Dec28 (tumblin andrew)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  KONTEEKEE Apr25 Mar28 Feb17 Jan26 Dec14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.