Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Thursday - April 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(4/3/5)-(1/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(1/5/6)-(1/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(1/2/6)-(3/6/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(3/6/7/2)-(2/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-5   WIN (3/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/2)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/2)-(2/6/1)-(11/6/10/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-6   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(11/6/10/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(11/6/10/3/5)-(10/2/12/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
AQU-7   WIN (11/6/10/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/10/3/5)-(11/6/10/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/10/3/5)-(11/6/10/3/5)-(11/6/10/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/6/10/3/5)-(10/2/12/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
AQU-8   WIN (10/2/12/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/12/8)-(10/2/7/12/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/12/8)-(10/2/7/12/8/9)-(10/2/7/12/8/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   04/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($40K) 3 F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROL SAID NO Apr11 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 Dec12 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
1A  YAYI NIKOLLE Apr11 Mar08 Feb09 Jan17 Dec29 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.50    
POWER DRIVER Apr11 Mar08 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 (potts wayne)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
LIGHT THOUGHTS Apr11 Jan23 Jan01 Nov06   (dixon k)DAVIS KATIE 122 4.00    
ADA MAY Apr09 Mar13 Feb09 Jan17 Nov23 (miceli )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 2.00 34% 2.00    
JUST WORDS Apr06 Mar09 Dec06 Nov23 Oct06 (ryerson jam)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
AWESOME ROBERTA Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 Dec29 (de hor)RIVERA R 122 4.00    
 
AQU-2   04/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRY'S HOPE Apr05 Mar07 Dec28 Nov22   (jones edua)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 108 6.00    
BRACA Mar08 Feb02 Jan24 Nov22 Nov02 (barre)HERNANDEZ OMAR 125 15.00    
CHANGE YOUR NAME Apr05 Feb15 Oct17 Sep01 Aug17 (lee jo)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 8.00 11% 8.30    
DIALBOLICO Apr05 Mar16 Feb15 Jan16 Dec13 (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 125 0.60 62% 0.60    
DAW SAMAA Mar21 Jan26 Jan03 Dec06 Oct24 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HEY CAT         (sciacca gary)DAVIS KATIE 118 3.00    
 
AQU-3   04/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S WICKED SMART Apr06 Mar02 Feb13 Jan24 Dec15 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 124 1.80 56% 0.80    
DANNEEL Apr04 Mar23 Feb28 Feb13 Nov25 (schaue)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 3.50    
SCR  TO BE LOVED BY YOU Mar28 Mar09 Feb22 Dec28 Nov12 (soto- martine)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00    
ALLEY'S SONG Apr04 Mar07 Feb27 Feb02 Dec08 (ferraro jam)GONZALEZ MELVIS 117 3.50    
DREAM ON CARA Mar14 Feb09 Jan16 Dec01 Nov09 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 11% 8.40    
EASTERN STAR Apr04 Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 Jan12 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   04/24/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KARA PARA Mar28 Jan30 Dec12 Mar03 Jan07 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.00 27% 2.70    
KAREN'S HONOR Apr03 Feb13 Jan23 Jan05 Dec12 (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 17% 4.80    
WHISTLER'S STYLE Mar28 Feb21 Jan30 Jan01 Dec02 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 125 1.80    
DOLCE SERA Apr03 Mar21 Feb06 Jan23 Jan05 (delauro edward)LEZCANO JOSE 125 4.00    
LA GROTTE Apr10 Mar28 Feb27 Feb02 Jan18 (johnston rob)SILVERA RUBEN 125 5.00    
TROUBLED LUCK Apr10 Mar28 Mar14 Feb27 Feb02 (delauro edward )DAVIS KATIE 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-5   04/24/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSIDER IT DONE Mar22 Feb08       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.50    
STORMY'S DREAMING Mar21 Feb15 Jan17 Jan02 Dec01 (baker charlton)LUZZI J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
OMAHA PISTOL Mar14 Jan25 Sep02     (englehart jerem)CANCEL ERIC 118 2.00 46% 1.20    
STIMULI Apr11 Mar08 Feb08     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
SCR  SOLO MIO Apr05 Mar22 Oct18 Sep22   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
SKIPPY TOWN Mar19         (rice adam)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
ALLOFASUDDENLEE Mar21 Feb28 Feb02 Dec12 Nov22 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 12% 7.00    
CAPT JAX PARROW Mar28 Mar08 Jan25     (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
 
AQU-6   04/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($50K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR SOME REASON Apr10 Jan05 Nov14 Oct24 Sep15 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SKYLANDER Apr13 Feb08 Dec28 Nov14 Oct17 (charlerie gre)SILVERA RUBEN 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  UNCLE GEORGE Mar29 Mar16 Dec13 Nov01 Sep24 (englehart chri)LUZZI J 121 10.00    
UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL Mar29 Mar14 Jan30 Dec29 Nov30 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 1.80    
QUICK HAMMER Apr12 Mar29 Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.50    
BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Mar13 Jan19 Jun21 May18 Feb16 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
 
AQU-7   04/24/2025 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTENTIOUS Mar29 Mar01 Dec15 Nov18 Oct09 (duggan )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 126 20.00    
PEONY Feb08 Dec07 Nov03 Apr06 Mar22 (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 124 12.00    
MULKEY Mar02 May11 Apr13     (barker edw)RIVERA R 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
MISS BOURBON Nov03 Oct24 Sep20 Aug17 Apr18 (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 124 12.00    
HONORABLE BECKY Mar28 Feb28 Feb01 Nov11 Sep24 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
MISS AMERICAN PIE Mar21 Feb08 Dec28     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00 25% 3.00    
TURRIGA Mar29 Nov19 Oct24 Sep20 Aug23 (bond kevin)CASTELLANO J 126 6.00    
SHE'S OUR TIZ Oct20 Sep22 Aug28 Jul05   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00    
KAATERSKILL Jan12 Dec07 Nov17 Oct20 May11 (dunham g)LUZZI J 124 10.00    
10  AUNT YOLA Nov22 Oct26 Sep26 Aug23 Jul19 (de paz)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
11  SINEAD Feb08 Oct20 Aug25     (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 29% 2.40    
12  SLIGHTLY BUSY Jul31 Jul05       (green amelia )FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
SCR  QUICK POWER NAP Nov03 Oct03 Sep26 Aug23 Jul13 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
SCR  BOSTON'S PHINEST Mar08 Feb08 Dec14 Oct27 Sep20 (brown r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  LADY ARWEN Mar28 Feb27 Jan18 Dec27 Nov10 (arriaga antonio)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
SCR  SPLASHY Mar29 Mar09 Feb15 Jan12 Dec13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 2.50    
 
AQU-8   04/24/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON A SUMMER DAY Dec01 Nov14 Sep27 Sep13 Aug15 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ON OAKS DAY by MALIBU MOON)
GALLANT GRETA Feb28 Jan12 Sep21 Aug25 Aug02 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 126 4.50 38% 1.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
TIZN'T ANYMORE Mar29 Feb22       (donk david)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of MISS NANCY by ARCH)
TWIRLY Mar16 Feb22       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ESTILO FEMENINO by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
BLUE FOR YOU (IRE)         (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 20.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of LYRICAL TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
CASTLEDELL         (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 126 12.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of SANDCASTLE by MIZZEN MAST)
HEAVENLY GIRL Nov16 Oct20 May25 Apr25 Jul26 (de hor)RIVERA R 126 6.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BRAZO DE ORO by FIRST DUDE)
ONE MORE DANCE Sep13         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of NICE KITTY KITTY by FOREST WILDCAT)
HIGH END         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of PERFECT PACKAGE by TIZNOW)
10  PRACTICAL ROMANCE Mar22         (russell brit)CASTELLANO J 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of VALENTINES ROMANCE by ARCH)
11  ARGENTIERA Sep13         (bond kevin)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of LISINI by GRAND SLAM)
12  LOVEUMISSUMEANIT Feb05 Nov02       (begg ja)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of DON'T RUSH by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  WILL OF A WOMANNE Mar08         (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 118 10.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of ANNIE GO LIGHTLY by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
SCR  WIDDERSHINS         (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 118 30.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of MUCH REJOICING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  LADY LOOIE         (schettino domi)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of NOT NOW HILLARY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  DEAR MOON Mar29         (rice li)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 2.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DEARLY DECLARED by DECLARATION OF WAR)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.